Decoding Big Data: Unlocking the Power of Smart Analytics Kevin Pool CTO – TIBCO Asia © Copyright 2000-2014 TIBCO Software Inc. Is This Big Data? Quoted from an online source “The Complexity of Daily Trash The Senseable City Lab of MIT conducted an experiment to see what happens when someone takes out the trash. By attaching transmitters to over 3,000 pieces of rubbish they were able to track where that item went, whether they went to the correct recycling facility or not, and how far they traveled. The results were eye opening as you can imagine from the tracer map It’s this kind of Big Data that can help cities manage resources more effectively, reduce costs and carbon footprint. “ Is This Big Data? Often the Big Data success stories are not about Big Volume But New Types of Data That is used in new and unusual ways To Obtain new Business Insights or new types of Business Value © Copyright 2000-2013 TIBCO Software Inc. Is this True? … or even Relevant? • Is this Big Data Sizing True? • Is it Relevant? • If not, then what is Relevant? The Gartner Hype Cycle Peak of Inflated Expectations Expectations (Hype) Plateau of Productivity Slope of Enlightenment Technology Trigger Trough of Disillusionment Time Big Data Hype Cycle Expectations (Hype) Big Data Time Are you Ready To Jump into Big Data? Are you Ready To Jump into Big Data? What is Different? The Data Warehouse • Do (did) you have a DW project? • Is it viewed as a Success? • Why? And now with Big Data ….. ….. We want more? Some Experienced This • 80% of time spent extracting, cleaning, and loading data • Hidden problems in systems feeding the DW • Needed data not being captured by existing systems • Poor Data Quality • Low Business Value • Unacceptable Performance • Inability to Expand • Not Cost Justified • Over Budget / Behind Schedule • Poor Quality Reports • Not Responsive to Changing Business Requirements • Did not get the VALUE anticipated A New Approach for BI? “I know what I need” “Capture only what is needed” “Capture everything” “I don’t know what I need!” 3V’s ??? Volume! Velocity! Variety! 3V’s describe only the data itself, not critical business activities required to obtain business value The Good News is …… Big Data Master Data Management Expectations (Hype) Visual Analytics Application Integration Cloud Data Cleansing Predictive Analytics In-Memory Data Grid Time High Value Objectives Enterprise Analytics Capabilities Enterprise-Class Dimension-Free Data Exploration Predictive & Event Driven • Contextual Collaboration Data Mashup • Explore and understand events in the context of historical data • • • • Event Driven Analysis Focused on Line of Business, not IT heavy Use Predictive Analytics to Anticipate problems and opportunities Mashup Data at Rest with Data in Motion © Copyright 2000-2014 TIBCO Software Inc. • • • Operationalize analytics Automate process monitoring and analysis Alert users to anomalies/problems/opportunities Provide users the analytic context to understand and evaluate events Analytics to Action: Real-Time Opportunities Source: Tower Group, 2012 REAL-TIME EVENT ANALYSIS and RESPONSE UNDERSTAND ANTICIPATE Predict new issue, defect or detect sensor signal requiring intervention Identify triggers for defect ID or sensor signal SPOTFIRE 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 RULES / MODELS EVENT SERVER ANALYTICS 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 ACT RESULTS Intervene to proactively address process to prevent defects, sensor malfunction or equipment issue VISUALIZE RESULTS STATS SERVER Measure results, validate interventions SPOTFIRE DASHBOARDS 1 0 1 1 0 1001001010010010101001010101010101010101001010010010101010100101010010101001010100100101100100100110010100101010101010101010110010101010101010101010010101010010 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 MACHINE DATA HISTORICAL DATA 0 TIBCO ENTERPRISE SERVICE BUS AND IN MEMORY DATA GRID 101001010101010101010101010100101010101010101010110000 LOG FILE MANAGEMENT 10101010 11010101010101010101001010101010101010101100001010101 HADOOP / ASTER REAL TIME APPLICATION EVENTS AND DATA FIRST TO INSIGHT. FIRST TO ACTION. 25 © Copyright 2000-2013 TIBCO Software Inc. Analytics Based Decision Driven Meetings © Copyright 2000-2014 TIBCO Software Inc. Visual Analytics “ …visualization-based data discovery tools have far-reaching implications for how business information is consumed….end-user organizations should adopt as a way to improve the success of their BI program. - Gartner “ ANALYTICS & DATA DISCOVERY Visual, Intuitive, & Interactive REPORTING STATS Dynamic, Fast, & Easy to Use Useful, but Limited to Static Information Powerful, but Highly Complex Predetermined Questions Only Difficult to Customize IT-dependent For Advanced Users Only Ad-hoc Q&A, Customizable 28 Empowers All User Populations Interactive Visual Analytics Video © Copyright 2000-2014 TIBCO Software Inc. Interactive Visual Analytics Video © Copyright 2000-2014 TIBCO Software Inc. Use Cases Understanding Analytics Users in Your Enterprise Traders Risk Management • Analyze Price / Volume • Drill-down on Individual Securities • Analyze Economic Indicators • Incorporate Statisctical methods • Aggregated view of multiple positions • Handle Unexpected market changes • Rapid Rebalancing Marketing • Analyze Customers • Monitor Product Uptake • Identify patterns across multiple products • Discover acceptance thresholds across customer groups © Copyright 2000-2014 TIBCO Software Inc. Product Line VP / CFO • Sales Scorecard • Strategic Pricing • Financial Data Quality • Capital Planning • Product Marketing • Asset & Risk Management… Consumer Insights • Problem / Value • Grow revenue with cross-sell up-sell • Response • Items purchased by members in prior period • Analysis • Identify associations between products purchased by same customer in given time window • Make recommendations for companion / next purchase Product Affinity • Problem / Value • Grow revenue with cross-sell up-sell • Response • Specific product purchase (Y/N) • Features • Other items purchased • Analysis • Predict specific product purchase (training set) • Score cart: intervene when Pr(specific product purchase) > threshold (e.g. 0.8) and no specific product in cart Location Analytics • Analysis Unit • Stores / outlets • Branch Offices • ATMs • Features • Stores: lat, long, population served • Volume: products / value • Costs • Value • Operations optimization Trading Analytics Traders need rapid and comprehensive view of risk and sensitivities Equity Trading ► Analyze price / volume across holdings ► Drill down into individual securities ► Calculate statistical and technical indicators, benchmark comparisons ► Incorporate indicators and financial data e.g. Bloomberg, Thomson, FactSet ► Collaborate across trading teams Fixed Income Analysis ► Identify unknowns: bond prices, interest, durations, convexity and yield ► Compare fixed income instruments with economic indicators ► Incorporate statistical methods applied to new and existing instruments Risk Management Risk managers need interactive and aggregate views on risk; and ability to visualize complex risk analyses with management Enterprise Risk Aggregation ►Aggregated view of multiple risk positions by geography, product, … ►Assess loss given default for products and counterparties Credit and Counterparty Risk ► ► ► Handle unexpected changes in markets with rapid rebalancing Incorporate predictive analytics e.g. stress tests, economic capital Collaborate between traders and managers Market Risk ► ► ► Mark to market, VaR, scenario and sensitivity analysis Interest rate and FX-risk Collaborate across organization for rapid response to market conditions Fraud and Compliance Regulators expect banks to have powerful and robust analytics for compliance and Anti Money Laundering (AML) Anti-Money Laundering ► ► ► Identify / trace unknown and suspect transactions across context eg business lines and geographies Set thresholds, define segments and automate alert scoring Comply with OCC guidelines Credit Card Fraud ► ► Identify fraudulent transactions by vendor, location Highlight patterns, context and identify root cause Trade Fraud and Compliance ► ► Track desk in near real time Identify violations, patterns, rulebrushing traders Portfolio Management Managers require multiple assets and funds in single view; need to prove value and comply with new regulations Portfolio Optimization ►Analyze risk-return sensitivities ►Efficient frontier statistics ►Drill to efficient portfolios of interest ►Incorporate predictive analytics ►Rebalance on –demand Regulation Compliance ► Comply with new regulations that require thorough understanding of trading across assets and liabilities Performance and Attribution ► ► ► Dimension-free exploration of assets across time Real-time analysis and review of fund strategies impact on performance Integrate with CRM data for customer insight FIRST TO INSIGHT. FIRST TO ACTION. Big Data Visual Analytics Do you have the tools and technologies in place to get BIG VALUE from your Big Data? Kevin Pool [email protected] +65 6836 3880
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