Beyond REDD in Congo

Beyond REDD in Congo
Bruno Verbist
Pieter Moonen
Van der Werf et al, 2009
Le Quéré et al., 2009, Nature Geoscience; Data: CDIAC, FAO, Woodhole
Research center 2009
Forest in DRC
o
o
o
120 -156 million ha
forest
0.2% -0.6% annual
net deforestation
35 million people
resident in or
dependent on the
forest
3
• waar deze programma’s realiseren ?
• wat is er mogelijk binnen de grenzen v/h systeem:
waar kom je uit, en met welke trade-offs ?
Source: MECNT, 2010. R-PP DRC
“Passive” forest protection
in the DRC




weak infrastructure
civil unrest
investment climate
low average rural population
densities
Relationship between REDD+ policies, agricultural intensification, and deforestation.
Phelps J et al. PNAS 2013;110:7601-7606
©2013 by National Academy of Sciences
Forest definition
based on % tree
cover
100%
X is often
between
10-30%
What is a forest?
REDD vs. REALU
Includes agroforests, oil
palm plantations;
High density of rural poor
Non-Forest with
trees
Forest with trees
X%
Forest without
trees
Non-Forest
without trees
0%
Forest
Non-forest
ALL-REDDI:
average= 90 t C/ha
Clearfelling/ re-plant is accepted as
forest; no time-limit on ‘replant’;
Mainly State Forest Land; low
density of rural poor
ALL-REDDI: average
= 60 t C/ha
7
Forest definition
based on a legal
or institutional
perspective
Non-forest
mosaic
Non-forest
with trees
Forest without trees
Forest with
trees
8
Tropical Young Growth
Tropical Old Growth
Tropical Forest Regrowth
Tropical Young Secondary Forest
Bare soil
Driving factors of deforestation
Link with the
mechanisms of
deforestation
Deforestation along 5 axes from Kisangani
ha
Km à partir de Kisangani
Field survey
Focus group
discussions at
village level
Village biplot with the colour of the villages indicating the deforestation level
(Red= very high, black = high, blue = mediocre, green = low) and the shape indicating the
four cluster groups (circle = Very high 1, triangle = high, plus = medium and cross = low deforestation).
Household and village survey
Preliminary results socio-economic survey:
Most important factors // deforestation
• Village level: Mbole // deforestation
• Household level:
o
o
Number of wives
Number of fields
Participatory mapping
Conclusions
- Fallow land and secondary play an increasingly important
role in the agricultural system and in carbon storage.
- Future (agricultural) development projects better take into
account the existance and location of different stages of
fallow and forest
- Lots of disputes in ownership of land and forest will impact
REDD
- The Forest Code (2002) has not yet gotten ‘teeth’ to have
an impact at field level regarding community management
and carbon rights
Thank you for your attention.
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