Publications Andries Hof

Last update: August 14, 2014 Publications Andries Hof Refereed journal articles Deetman, S., Hof, A.F., Girod, B., van Vuuren, D.P., 2014. Regional differences in mitigation strategies: an example for passenger transport. Regional Environmental Change, in press. DOI: 10.1007/s10113‐014‐0649‐1 Deetman, S., Hof, A.F., Van Vuuren, D.P., 2014. Deep CO2 emission reductions in a global bottom‐up model approach. Climate Policy, in press. DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2014.912980 Meller, L., Thuiller, W., Pironon, S., Barbet‐Massin, M., Hof, A., Cabeza, M., 2014. Balance between climate change mitigation benefits and land use impacts of bioenergy: Conservation implications for European birds. GCB Bioenergy, in press. DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.12178 Roelfsema, M., Elzen, M.D., Höhne, N., Hof, A.F., Braun, N., Fekete, H., Böttcher, H., Brandsma, R., Larkin, J., 2014. Are major economies on track to achieve their pledges for 2020? An assessment of domestic climate and energy policies. Energy Policy 67, 781‐796. van Vliet, J., Hof, A.F., Mendoza Beltran, A., van den Berg, M., Deetman, S., den Elzen, M.G.J., Lucas, P.L., van Vuuren, D.P., 2014. The impact of technology availability on the timing and costs of emission reductions for achieving long‐term climate targets. Climatic Change 123 (3‐4), 559‐569 Hof, A.F., Den Elzen, M.G.J., Roelfsema, M., 2013. The effect of updated pledges and business‐as‐usual projections, and new agreed rules on expected global greenhouse gas emissions in 2020. Environ Science and Policy 33, 308‐319. den Elzen, M.G.J., Hof, A.F., Roelfsema, M., 2013. Analysing the greenhouse gas emission reductions of the mitigation action plans by non‐Annex I countries by 2020. Energy Policy 56, 633‐643. Deetman, S., Hof, A.F., Pfluger, B., van Vuuren, D.P., Girod, B., van Ruijven, B.J., 2013. Deep greenhouse gas emission reductions in Europe: Exploring different options. Energy Policy 55, 152‐164. den Elzen, M.G.J., Beltran, A.M., Hof, A.F., van Ruijven, B., van Vliet, J., 2013a. Reduction targets and abatement costs of developing countries resulting from global and developed countries' reduction targets by 2050. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 18, 491‐512. den Elzen, M.G.J., Hof, A.F., Roelfsema, M., 2013. Analysing the greenhouse gas emission reductions of the mitigation action plans by non‐Annex I countries by 2020. Energy Policy 56, 633‐643. den Elzen, M.G.J., Meinshausen, M., Hof, A.F., 2012. The impact of surplus units from the first Kyoto period on achieving the reduction pledges of the Cancún Agreements. Climatic Change 114 (2), 401‐408 Hof, A.F., Hope, C.W., Lowe, J., Mastrandrea, M.D., Meinshausen, M., van Vuuren, D.P., 2012. The benefits of climate change mitigation in integrated assessment models: The role of the carbon cycle and climate component. Climatic Change 113 (3‐4), 897‐
917. van Ruijven, B.J., Weitzel, M., den Elzen, M.G.J., Hof, A.F., van Vuuren, D.P., Peterson, S., Narita, D., 2012. Emission allowances and mitigation costs of China and India resulting from different effort‐sharing approaches. Energy Policy 46, 116‐134. van Vliet, J., van den Berg, M., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D.P., den Elzen, M.G.J., Hof, A.F., Beltran, A.M., Meinshausen, M., 2012. Copenhagen Accord Pledges imply higher costs for staying below 2°C warming ‐ A letter. Climatic Change 113 (2), 551‐561. den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., Mendoza Beltran, A., Grassi, G., Roelfsema, M., van Ruijven, B., van Vliet, J., van Vuuren, D. P., 2011. The Copenhagen Accord: Abatement costs and carbon prices resulting from the submissions. Environmental Science and Policy 14 (1), 28‐39. Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J., Beltrán, A. M., 2011. Predictability, equitability and adequacy of post‐2012 international climate financing mechanisms. Environmental Science & Policy 14 (6), 615‐627. den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., Roelfsema, M., 2011. The emissions gap between the Copenhagen pledges and the 2°C climate goal: Options for closing and risks that could widen the gap. Global Environmental Change 21 (2), 733‐743. Mendoza Beltran, A., den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., van Vuuren, D. P., van Vliet, J., 2011. Exploring the bargaining space within international climate negotiations based on political, economic and environmental considerations. Energy Policy 39 (11), 7361‐
7371. van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Arnell, N., Barker, T., Criqui, P., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R., Scrieciu, S., 2011. The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Global Environmental Change 21 (2), 575‐591. van Vuuren, D. P., Lowe, J., Stehfest, E., Gohar, L., Hof, A. F., Hope, C., Warren, R., Meinshausen, M. and Plattner, G.‐K., 2011. How well do integrated assessment models simulate climate change? Climatic Change 104 (2), 255‐285. van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., den Elzen, M. G. J., Kram, T., van Vliet, J., Deetman, S., Isaac, M., Klein Goldewijk, K., Hof, A., Beltran, A. M., Oostenrijk, R., van Ruijven, B., 2011. RCP2.6: exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature increase below 2°C. Climatic Change 109 (1), 95‐116. Hof, A.F., den Elzen, M. G. J., 2010. The effect of different historical emissions datasets on emission targets of the sectoral mitigation approach Triptych. Climate Policy 10 (6), 684‐704. Hof, A.F., den Elzen, M. G. J., van Vuuren, D. P., 2010. Including adaptation costs and climate change damages in evaluating post‐2012 burden‐sharing regimes. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 15 (1), 19‐40. Hof, A.F., van Vuuren, D. P., den Elzen, M. G. J., 2010. A quantitative minimax regret approach to climate change: Does discounting still matter? Ecological Economics 7 (1), 43‐55. Patt, A., van Vuuren, D.P., Berkhout, F., Aaheim, A., Hof, A.F., Isaac, M. and Mechler, R., 2010. Adaptation in integrated assessment modeling: where do we stand? Climatic Change 99 (3), 383‐402. Warren, R., Mastrandrea, M.D., Hope, C. and Hof, A.F., 2010. Variation in the climatic response to SRES emissions scenarios in integrated assessment models. Climatic Change 102 (3), 671‐685. Hof, A. F., de Bruin, K. C., Dellink, R. B., den Elzen, M. G. J. and van Vuuren, D. P., 2009. The effect of different mitigation strategies on international financing of adaptation. Environmental Science & Policy 12 (7), 832‐843. Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J. and van Vuuren, D. P., 2009. Environmental effectiveness and economic consequences of fragmented vs. universal regimes: What can we learn from model studies? International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics 9 (1), 39‐62. Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J. and van Vuuren, D. P., 2008. Analysing the costs and benefits of climate policy: Value judgements and scientific uncertainties. Global Environmental Change 18 (3), 412‐424. PBL reports Hof, A.F, Boot, P., van Vuuren, D.P., van Minnen, J., 2014. Costs and benefits of climate change adaptation and mitigation: An assessment on different regional scales. PBL publication number 1198, The Hague, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. Verdonk, M., Hof, A.F., 2013. Non‐ETS emission targets for 2030. Indication of emission targets for the Netherlands and other EU Member States under the European Effort Sharing Decision. PBL publication number 1192, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague. Roelfsema, M., den Elzen, M.G.J., Höhne, N., Hof, A.F., Braun, N., Fekete, H., Böttcher, H., Brandsma, R., Larkin, J., 2013. Assessment of climate and energy policies of major emitting countries. PBL publication number 1096, The Hague, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. Hof, A.F., Brink, C., Mendoza Beltran, A., Den Elzen, M.G.J., 2012. Greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for 2030: Conditions for an EU target of 40%. PBL publication number 500114023, The Hague, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. den Elzen, M.G.J., Roelfsema, M., Hof, A.F., Böttcher, H., Grassi, G., 2012. Analysing the emission gap between pledged emission reductions under the Cancún agreements and the 2 °C climate target. PBL publication number 500114021, The Hague, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. Höhne, N., Braun, N., Fekete, H., Brandsma, R., Larkin, J., den Elzen, M., Roelfsema, M., Hof, A., Böttcher, H., 2012. Greenhouse gas emission reduction proposals and national climate policies of major economies. Ecofys, Utrecht, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague. Hof, A.F., Den Elzen, M.G.J., van Vuuren, D.P., Mendoza Beltran, A., Slingerland, S., 2011. Climate policy after Kyoto: Analytical insights into key issues in the climate negotiations. PBL publication number 500114019, The Hague, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. Den Elzen, M.G.J., Hof, A.F., Mendoza Beltran, M.A., Roelfsema, M., van Ruijven, B.J., van Vliet, J., van Vuuren, D.P., Höhne, N., Moltmann, S., 2010. Evaluation of the Copenhagen Accord: Chances and risks for the 2°C climate goal. PBL publication number 500114018, Bilthoven/The Hague, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. van Vuuren, D.P., Hof, A.F., den Elzen, M.G.J., 2009. Meeting the 2°C target: From climate objective to emission reduction measures. PBL publication number 500114012, Bilthoven/The Hague, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. Other publications Schaeffer, M., Baarsch, F., Adams, S., Bruin, K.d., De Marez, L., Freitas, S., Hof, A., Hare, B. (2013). Africa’s Adaptation Gap: Climate‐change impacts, adaptation challenges and costs for Africa. UNEP. Aaheim, H. A., Dokken, T., Hochrainer, S., Hof, A. F., Jochem, E., Mechler, R. and van Vuuren, D. P. (2010). National responsibilities for adaptation strategies: Lessons from four modelling frameworks. In M. Hulme & H. Neufeldt (Eds.), Making Climate Change Work for Us: European Perspectives on Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Biermann, F., Pattberg, P., Zelli, F., van Asselt, H., Boas, I., Flachsland, N., Goel, N., Hof, A., Jerneck, A., Massey, E., Olsson, L. and Stripple, J. (2010). Global climate governance after 2012: architecture, agency and adaptation. In M. Hulme & H. Neufeldt (Eds.), Making Climate Change Work for Us: European Perspectives on Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. den Elzen, M. G. J., Hof, A. F., Vliet, J. v. and Lucas, P. (2010). A staged sectoral approach for climate mitigation. In F. Biermann, P. Pattberg & F. Zelli (Eds.), Global climate governance after 2012: architecture, agency and adaptation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Hof, A. F., de Bruin, K., Dellink, R., den Elzen, M. G. J. and van Vuuren, D. P. (2010). Costs, benefits and inter‐linkages between adaptation and mitigation. In F. Biermann, P. Pattberg & F. Zelli (Eds.), Global climate governance after 2012: architecture, agency and adaptation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Hof, A. F., den Elzen, M. G. J. and van Vuuren, D. P. (2010). Environmental effectiveness and economic consequences of fragmented vs. universal regimes: What can we learn from modeling studies? In F. Biermann, P. Pattberg & F. Zelli (Eds.), Global climate governance after 2012: architecture, agency and adaptation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Neufeldt, H., Jochem, E., Hinkel, J., Huitema, D., Massey, E., Watkiss, P., McEvoy, D., Rayner, T., Hof, A. F. and Lonsdale, K. (2010). Climate policy and inter‐linkages between adaptation and mitigation. In M. Hulme & H. Neufeldt (Eds.), Making Climate Change Work for Us: European Perspectives on Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. van Vuuren, D., Isaac, M., Hof, A., Mechler, R., Criqui, P., Kitous, A., Barker, T., Scrieciu, S. and Kundzewicz, Z. (2010). Scenarios as the Basis for Assessment of Mitigation and Adaptation. In M. Hulme & H. Neufeldt (Eds.), Making Climate Change Work for Us: European Perspectives on Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Hof, A.F. (2009). International mitigation and adaptation strategies for climate change policy: An integrated assessment approach. VU University Amsterdam, doctoral thesis.

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