To assess the effects of groundwater production (by both municipal wells and domestic wells), DWR directed Eco:Logic Engineering, Inc. to perform a computer simulation of the aquifer in the Mt. Rose Fan area as part of the 2009-2028 Water Facility Plan Update. The computer simulation started out using the 2008 pumping rate (3,660 afy). The production rate was increased each year to the buildout demand (5,660 afy) in 2038 to mimic the gradual increase in growth. The results of the groundwater computer simulation are provided in Figures 3, 4, and 5. Figure 3 shows the anticipated drawdown of the water table at 2028 (about two thirds of the way to the buildout demand) in comparison to 2008 levels. In the figure, changes in water levels are depicted using different colors, with each color representing a 10-foot range of groundwater declines. Figure 3 indicates that the greatest anticipated decline in groundwater levels in 2028 is less than 50 feet. Figure 4 shows the anticipated declines in groundwater levels in 2038 (buildout) in comparison to 2008 levels. According to the simulation model, the declines in groundwater levels predicated for 2038 for the most of the Callahan Ranch area range between 40 and 60 feet. However, declines of up to 80 feet from 2008 levels are anticipated in a few small areas adjacent to municipal production wells. . Figure 5 shows the anticipated declines in groundwater levels in 2069 in comparison to 2008 levels. The anticipated declines for the vast majority of the Callahan Ranch Area are between 40 and 80 feet. The results suggest that there may be a small area (adjacent to a municipal production well and about ½ mile away from the nearest known domestic well) that could have a decline of up to 100 feet.
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