The Boardroom View on Talent Measurement Ayoub Kazim, Managing Director Education Cluster, TECOM Investments © 2013 SHL, a part of CEB. All rights reserved. Education Cluster – HR and Higher Education Zones in TECOM Dubai Knowledge Village (DKV) Launched 2003 as a Dubai initiative to develop talent for the growing knowledge economy. Focus on all areas of human resources, including executive search, consulting, assessment and professional training. 500 companies delivering HR services to the region. Dubai International Academic City (DIAC) Launched 2007 as a zone dedicated to higher education. Host to 21 of the UAE’s 37 International Branch Campuses Universities from 10 countries catering to over 20,000 students from 125 nationalities Student numbers are accurate as of the 2012/13 academic year Economics - The Global Competitiveness Index 2013-14 Economics - The Global Competitiveness Index 2013-14 UAE ranked 19th out of 148 countries globally • Basic Requirements - 4th • Efficiency Enhancers- 20th • Innovation & Sophistication Factors - 24th • High Quality of Infrastructure - 5th • Efficient Good Markets – 4th • Macroeconomic Stability – 7th • Public Trust in Politicians – 3rd • Governments Efficiency- 9th Economics - Characteristics of an Innovation Driven Economy • Have a very high level of income per capita. • Sufficient economic diversification. • Sustain higher wages and standards of living • Businesses are able to compete through innovation. Global Innovation Index - Top 5: Switzerland, Sweden, UK, Netherlands and the US. - UAE placed 38th on Global Innovation Index ranking among 142 economies in 2013. UAE Agenda 2021 Vision - UAE to be ranked in top 20 in Innovation Index and top 10 in Competitiveness. Economic Growth by Country Key Factors Affecting Growth Size of Economy (US$ bn) Growth in non-oil & gas sectors, including construction and banking 206 Growth in the tourism & hospitality sector; 404 recovery of the real estate sector Source: GulfTalent Survey High government spending on infrastructure and welfare 82 Recovery of oil output after technical challenges in 2012; unresolved political tensions 31 Government investment in infrastructure; growth in the construction, retail and transport sectors; slight dip in oil output 733 Weak growth in oil production 181 Economics - Salary Increase 2013 – GCC Private Sector Observations • The UAE was the only country that saw a higher average pay increase in 2013 than the previous year, with most countries seeing a slower increase • Oman had the highest average salary rise, following a 62% rise in national minimum wage and a further mandatory increase for nationals employed in the private sector • Bahrain’s salary rise remained conservative as many businesses struggled to grow Source: GulfTalent Survey Economics – Estimated Salary Increase 2014 - GCC Observations • Oman is forecast to once again enjoy the highest average pay rise in 2014 • UAE companies plan to offer higher salary increases than last year, driven by higher expected inflation as well as faster pace of growth • Bahrain’s companies remain conservative in their salary decisions, despite indicators of an improving economic climate in 2014 Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers Emiratisation - Government Vs Private Sector Source: Recruiting Top Emirati Graduates: A survey of Emirati Graduates conducted by Gulf Talent. Emiratisation - Nationalisation Pressure on Employers Percentage of employers reporting nationalisation as key human resource challenge in 2013 Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers Manpower Requirements - Mapping of skills in demand Based on survey results, we have identified 64 skills in demand across the 11 sectors Highly specialized skills/ learnt on studied the job 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Building and Construction Project Management Design engineering Civil engineering Health & safety Cost and value management Quantity Surveying 1. Customer relationship management 2. Event management 3. Food and beverage management 4. Restaurant management 5. Hotel management IT 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Data center services Cloud Computing Analytics management Software engineering Programming Telecom 1. Customer analytics/data mining 2. Product development 3. Operations management 4. Network engineering 5. Customer Care Source: DIAC Workforce Planning Study 2013) 12 Islamic Banking Financial Risk Management Wealth Management Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities Trading 5. Segmentation/ customer analytics Retail Media 1. Customer Psychology & buying behavior 2. Luxury brand management 3. Facilities management 4. Mall management Transportation & Logistics 1. Customer service - Transport, Logistics & Storage 2. International logistics 3. Integrated Logistics/ Supply chain management 4. Freight clearing/forwarding 5. Inventory management 6. Multi modal transport 1. Quality Assurance/ Quality Control 2. Safety and training 3. Energy risk engineering 4. Operations engineering 5. Mechanical engineering 1.Professors/Lecturers for: - Economics - Professional and vocational training courses - Management - Accountancy/ auditing Finance & Banking 1. 2. 3. 4. Energy and resources Education Tourism & Hospitality Construction 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Advertising Social Media Journalism TV/Film Production Sports management Animation Screenwriting/Scriptwriting Healthcare 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Hospital Management E-healthcare Pharmacy Nursing Clinical data management/ telemetry 6. Medical equipment sales & distribution 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Obstetrics Pediatrics Cardiology Radiology Neurology Dermatology Human Resources– Key Skill in Demand Human Resources is the top skill demanded by corporates surveyed, followed by accounting/auditing and Management consulting; Legal/Law skills and Management consulting skills are required more at Entry levels Top skills in demand Skills lacking by level % of companies interviewed % of companies interviewed Human resources 80 Accountancy/auditing 80 33 Human resources Management Consulting 0 13 60 13 Accountancy/auditing Enterprise risk management services 53 IT professionals 53 Sustainability consulting 27 7 20 Management Consulting 40 33 33 Investment/ portfolio management 40 40 Market research Enterprise risk management services 33 27 13 Legal/Law skills 27 20 Family business structuring/advisory 20 IT professionals 7 27 Tax advisors 13 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Senior Source: YouGov Market research 5 10 15 20 90 Middle Entry 25 30 35 40 45 Manpower Projections – Financial Services Representing the number of people employed under Banking and Finance in the selected GCC nations Number of employees in Banking and Financial services (thousands) UAE Saudi Arabia CGR 3.29% CAGR 2.32% 111 56 54 107 52 105 51 103 49 2011 101 2012 2013 2014 2015 Qatar 2011 2012 2013 2014 Oman CAGR 5.92% 22 17 18 19 20 No accurate data available 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Alpen Capital, NBS UAE, CDSI Saudi Arabia, QSA Qatar, NCSI Oman 2015 Manpower Projections – Construction and Real Estate The GCC markets are expected to witness a manpower gap of close to 500K employees between 2011 and 2015; highest skill gap is likely to be seen in Qatar as infrastructure is built in preparation for the 2022 World Cup Construction(thousands) Real Estate(thousands) UAE Saudi Arabia CAGR 4.17% CAGR 4.07% CAGR 1.73% CAGR 1.61% Slow growth of the UAE property market, representing the steady rebound from the 2008/2009 crisis. 703 676 655 93 2011 94 2012 771 734 95 2013 97 2014 646 52 2011 2012 2013 Oman CAGR 8.84% CAGR 4.75% CAGR 7.09% CAGR 2.32% 2013 Source: Ministry of Economy, Alpen Capital 63 2014 2015 68 2015 22 2011 23 2012 394 374 357 342 328 59 55 2014 Strong public sector spending on infrastructure expected to boost the construction sector 906 834 768 2012 2011 Qatar Over the next decade Qatar will develop USD140 billion (QR509 billion) worth of major projects in preparation for the 2022 FIFA World Cup. 709 2015 359 347 337 329 324 100 1187 1129 1082 1045 1012 23 2013 24 2014 24 2015 Manpower Projections – Tourism and Hospitality Representing the number of people employed under Hospitality, Hotels and Restaurants in the selected GCC nations Number of employees in Hotels and Restaurants (thousands) UAE Saudi Arabia CAGR 2.12% CAGR 4.85% The hospitality market is forecast to grow at an average rate of 8.1% in the next four years, to US$28.3bn 174 KSA plans to nearly double the number of hotel rooms in the country by 2020 according to recent updates 168 258 268 2011 2012 281 0.296 311 164 160 2011 161 2012 2013 2014 2015 2013 Qatar Oman CAGR 5.63% CAGR 2.90% Growing popularity of Qatar as a tourist destination post announcement of the FIFA World Cup taking place. The boom in Qatar’s hospitality sector is not only due to the general increase of population inflow, but also due to the developments in the industry, such as the Green Hotel Interest Group recently organized in Qatar. 28 29 31 32 2014 2015 54 53 34 51 50 48 2011 2012 Source: Alpen Capital, Deloitte 2013 2014 2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manpower Projections – Education The education sector across the GCC is expected to witness a total manpower gap of around 200K between 2012 and 2015 Total Employment in the Education Industry (thousands) UAE Saudi Arabia CAGR 8.53% CAGR 8.10% 702 106 650 98 83 2012 90 556 2013 2014 2015 2012 601 2013 Qatar 2014 Oman CAGR 8.64% CAGR 8.26% 86 51 47 40 2012 43 2013 68 2014 2015 Source: Alpen Capital, NBS UAE, CDSI Saudi Arabia, QSA Qatar, NCSI Oman 17 2015 2012 74 2013 80 2014 2015 Euromonitor International – Report on Expo 2020 • Expected to attract more than 25 million visitors to Dubai between October 2020 and April 2021, 70% of which will be international tourists, the largest number of international visitors ever reached through an Expo. • Economic impact of hosting the event to approach AED 88.2 billion. • Dubai expects to double hotel inventory from over 82,000 to around 164,000 hotel rooms and apartments by 2020. • Around AED 24 Billion are expected to be spent on new infrastructure in Dubai. • Around AED 120 Billion will be allocated to the construction of new developments in Dubai’s hotel and retail space, and will include the expansion of its airport and expansion of the metro and Jebel Ali Port Terminal 3. • A total of approx 277,000 jobs are expected to be created of which approximately 40% are estimated to be in the Travel and Tourism industry. Summary • UAE placed 38th on Global Innovation Index ranking among 142 economies in 2013. • Salaries in Dubai are expected to increase by 5.9% in 2014 as compared to a 5.3% in 2013. • 28% of employers in the UAE reported nationalization as a key human resource challenge. • A total of 64 skill Gaps have been identified across 12 industry sectors in the region. • Human Resources is the top skill demanded by corporates surveyed, followed by accounting /auditing and Management consulting. • The GCC markets in Construction and Real Estate are expected to witness a manpower gap of close to 500K employees between 2011 and 2015. • The education sector across the GCC is expected to witness a total manpower gap of around 200K between 2012 and 2015 • More than 277,000 jobs that are expected to be created by Expo2020. • Economic Impact of hosting Expo 2020 is about 4 times the amount to be spent on infrastructure.
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