Terra reen `50 Subscriber’s copy VOLUME 7 ISSUE 5 August 2014 CONVERGING MDGs INTO THE SDGs A R EVIEW in conversation Subrata Burman Senior Operations Officer International Finance Corporation special highlights Universal Primary Education: INDIA Jency Samuel Seen, Over-seen, and the Unseen Sudebi Thakurta EARTH M AT T E R S A JUST RELEASED Publication In the Shadow of the Leaves Anjana Basu This story is told in a simple lyrical style, set in a imple, idyllic location. It symbolizes dreams and he spirit of adventure which is locked up inside hildren and which very often find their eventual elease. And slowly, simply, through the nuances modern fairy tale is crafted.” Anjana Basu Rituparno Ghosh, Filmmaker nergy and Resources Institute 2014 • ISBN: 9788179935385 Pages: 200 • Binding: Paperback Size: 120 × 180 mm • Price: `250.00 The Energy and Resources Institute Rohan and his mother are holidaying in the Kumaon Hills. Rohan should be practicing Maths, he has failed in his exam, but he is spending time reading Jim Corbett’s Man-eaters of Kumaon and wandering in the hills with fearless Manjul, who herds cows. Rohan admires the way she jumps streams like a little cat and her knowledge of the woods. Peace and tranquility, in the hills, is lost when they hear that a tiger has been killing cattle in the nearby villages. A mysterious man with a moustache materializes at night and seems to spellbind the children and tigers. Rohan is convinced that it is Jim Corbett’s ghost. Manjul disagrees. Whoever the mysterious man is, he is on a mission—save the tiger from poachers and herd it back into the National Park. The result is a story of mystery and magic. Reviews: “This story is told in a simple lyrical style, set in a simple, idyllic location. It symbolizes dreams and the spirit of adventure which is locked up inside children and which very often find their eventual release. And slowly, simply, through the nuances a modern fairy tale is crafted.” Rituparno Ghosh, Filmmaker About the Author: Anjana Basu was born in Allahabad and started school in London. She works as an advertising consultant in Kolkata. She has a book of short stories, published by Orient Longman, India, to her credit. The BBC has broadcast one of her short stories and her poems have featured in anthologies brought out by various publishers. In the US, she has been published in Gowanus,The Blue Moon Review, and Recursive Angel, to name a few. In Canada, she has appeared in The Antigonish Review. The Edinburgh Review and The Saltzburg Review have also featured her work. In 2003, her novel Curses in Ivory was published. In 2004, she was awarded a Hawthornden Fellowship in Scotland where she worked on her second novel, Black Tongue which was published in 2007. In February 2010, her children’s novel Chinku and the Wolfboy was published. Her novel Rhythms of Darkness came out in October 2011. Anjana Basu has also worked on scripts with director Rituparno Ghosh for ‘Antarmahal’ and ‘The Last Lear’ and has subtitled several of his films including ‘Unishe April’, ‘Dahan’ and ‘Chokher Bali’. The Energy and Resources Institute Attn: TERI Press Darbari Seth Block IHC Complex, Lodhi Road New Delhi – 110 003/India Tel. 2468 2100 or 4150 4900 Fax: 2468 2144 or 2468 2145 India +91 • Delhi (0)11 Email: [email protected] Web: http://bookstore.teriin.org To purchase the book, visit our online bookstore at http://bookstore.teriin.org or send us your demand draft or cheque in favour of TERI, payable at New Delhi (outstation cheques are not accepted). T The eight MDGs which covered a range of priorities and essential initiatives have indeed brought the challenge of ending poverty into mainstream national, subnational, and international efforts to improve the lot of human society. he United Nations (UN) as an organization often receives considerable criticism for being ineffective and slow in dealing with global problems. Such criticism may be justified in some cases, but in several areas, the UN has shown remarkable vision and foresight. Even in periods of crisis, this organization has done outstanding service to humanity, which no other entity in the world would have been able to substitute. One particular area where the UN has made a unique contribution is in the formulation and pursuit of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). There are no doubt some flaws and shortcomings in the conceptualization and implementation of the MDGs, but they were certainly an extremely effective instrument by which the problem of poverty across the globe received due attention, and by which some of the specific areas in which interventions were required to end poverty were adequately articulated. The eight MDGs which covered a range of priorities and essential initiatives have indeed brought the challenge of ending poverty into mainstream national, sub-national, and certainly international efforts to improve the lot of human society. At the time when the MDGs were being formulated, some of us outside the system tried very hard to see that energy and its scarcity for the poor would be included as an MDG. At the beginning of the century, there were about 1.4 billion people who had no access to electricity and almost double the number using biomass, often of very inferior quality, for cooking purposes. However, energy scarcity which is both a symptom and a determinant of poverty was not included as an MDG. In 2015, the UN General Assembly will articulate and adopt a set of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by which human society would be enabled to move towards a pattern and pathway of sustainable development. Two issues need to be kept in mind in this regard. Firstly, the SDGs should not be formulated in isolation of the MDGs. Secondly, the SDGs should apply not merely to the developing countries but should also enable, motivate, and induce changes in the developed world where issues of consumption and production need a totally revised approach. Given the fact that the SDGs will come into existence in 2015, a debate and informed discussion on the subject at this point of time would be of great value. The intergovernmental Open Working Group established to carry forward the activity of establishing the SDGs and submit its report to the UN General Assembly has laid down certain conditions which would characterize the MDGs. These are broad and comprehensive and require the goals embedded in the SDGs as action oriented, aspirational, easy to communicate, and global in nature. There are great expectations as well as concerns related to the SDGs, but overall their adoption represents a major step forward towards sustainability in the world. R K Pachauri Director-General, TERI TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 | 1 Editor-in-chief R K Pachauri Editorial Board Leena Srivastava Rajiv Seth Sangeeta Gupta MAILBOX Publishing Head Anupama Jauhry Editorial Team Hemambika Varma Arpita Dasgupta Aparna Mir Shweta Singh Shilpa Mohan Design and Illustration Santosh Gautam and Vijay Nipane Image Editor Shilpa Mohan ‘The Butterfly Effect’ is indeed a very inspirational story about a woman who fought all odds to save Luna. Such stories motivate us to do our share of work to save environment. I really enjoyed reading the cover-story. The role of media in highlighting the measures taken to check the climate change is well explained by the author. The article by Maneka Gandhi is a harsh reality. Strong laws should be made to protect the female dog feeders. I congratulate the team of TerraGreen for including such interesting articles in the magazine. Production R K Joshi Aman Sachdeva Marketing, Sales & Distribution effort by a woman became a national rage and brought about a change in society. No doubt, as mentioned in the article also, Carson’s writing instigates us to take environmental issues seriously and makes us realize our responsibility towards our surroundings. The only thought that comes to our mind after reading this article is, if Carson can, we also can. Samridhi Ujjwal Verma Chandigarh Mrinal Saha Assam I found the article ‘The Hands That Rocked the World’ very motivating and inspirational. The issue that was raised in the article was so trivial for us that it completely skipped our observation. But Rachael Carson distinguished herself by bringing this ‘trivial’ matter to the limelight. Her this observation clearly sets her apart from us. We are so preoccupied nowadays that we fail to notice that something is missing in our surroundings. It is very motivating to see that how a little The articles in the last issue of TerraGreen were very interesting. It really true about the concretization of land in our country. I feel that the government needs to protect our trees because they are so important to us. In school also we have planting tree sessions and we water them also. If we, as school students, can do this, why not our ministers and politicians? Bhavnna Singh Class 8, Delhi International Public School, New Delhi Gitesh Sinha Kakali Ghosh Lutfullah Syed Rahul Kumar Avinash Kumar Shukla Prashant Sharma Sanjeev Sharma Head office TERI Darbari Seth Block, IHC Complex Lodhi Road, New Delhi – 110 003 Tel. +91 (11) 2468 2100 or 2468 2111 Fax +91 (11) 2468 2144 or 2468 2145 Regional centres Southern Regional Centre TERI, CA Site No. 2, 4th Main, 2nd Stage Domlur, Bangalore–560 071 Email: [email protected] North-Eastern Regional Centre Chachal Hengrabari, Express Highway Guwahati- 781 036 Tel: 0361-2334790, Fax: 0361-2334869 Email: [email protected] Western Regional Centre House No. 233/GH-2, Vasudha Housing Colony, Alto-St Cruz, Tiswadi, Goa-403 202 Tel: 0832-2459306, 2459328 Email: [email protected] Affiliate institutes TERI North America 1152 15th Street NW Suite 300 Washington, DC 20005 Email [email protected] TERI Europe 27 Albert Grove, London SW20 8PZ, UK Email: [email protected] Overseas representation TERI Japan PRINTED ON RECYCLED PAPER Owned, printed, and published by Dr R K Pachauri for The Energy and Resources Institute, Darbari Seth Block, IHC Complex, Lodhi Road, New Delhi – 110 003, Tel. +91 (11) 2468 2100 or 2468 2111, E-mail [email protected], Fax +91 (11) 2468 2144 or 2468 2145, Web www.teriin.org, and printed by him at Batra Art Press, A-14, Naraina Industrial Area, Phase II, New Delhi-28 © The Energy and Resources Institute. All rights reserved. n es.i ri.r e t ht t p : / / w w w. t e r i i n . o rg / t e r ra g re e n s@ res erip | TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 t2 C/o IGES Nippon Press Centre Building (8th Floor) 2-2-1, Uchisaiwai-cho, Chiyodi-ku Tokyo, Japan - 100-0011 E-mail [email protected] TERI South-East Asia Unit 503, 5th Floor Menara Mutiara Majestic 15 Jalan Othman, Seksyen 3, 4600 Petaling Jaya, Selagor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia Email: [email protected] TERI Gulf Centre Flat No. 105, Dalal Building, Al Qusais, Dubai, UAE VOLUME 7 COVER STORY ISSUE 5 AUGUST 2014 26 4 News 26 8 Comment Consumerism in Cinema Cover Story Converging MDGs into the SDGs: A Review 34 Special Report Universal Primary Education: Where Does India Stand? 38 Perspective India: Women Rue Their Lost Green Paradise 43 Terra Youth 48 Maneka Speaks 50 Pioneer 54 Breakthrough 56 Green Events and Wake-up Call 8 World View Water Wonders 12 Environmental Research Superfast Deep Earthquake 14 Feature Energy Security and the Future of Renewable Energy in Europe 22 In Conversation Subrata Burman, Senior Operations Officer International Finance Corporation FEATURES 14 SPECIAL REPORT 34 PERSPECTIVE 38 TERRA YOUTH 43 CONVERGING MDGs INTO THE SDGs A REVIEW 26 | TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 With 2015 looming ahead, it is now time to review what the eight MDGs, decided almost 15 years ago, have come to. As the MDGs give way to the SDGs, intended to guide future global action on health, poverty, hunger, climate, and other development challenges, it is time to ask, what have we as a nation been able to achieve? Manipadma Jena takes us through this very important journey and the road ahead. TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 | 27 Photo: WWF-India E ven before the sun touches the hilltops, Dasru Jaseika the tribal priest-healer strides up a specific hill on the Niyamgiri hill range followed by only his dog. Sweeping aside the shrub cover, he intensely searches the undergrowth; with the first showers of monsoon, the herb’s new leaves unfurl and creep luxuriantly hugging the earth. The dog sensing his master’s disappointment starts sniffing at the undergrowth with renewed urgency. Jaseika, the medicineman of the Dongria Kondh tribal people in Bathudi village in Rayagada province in the State of Odisha, in eastern India, is in search of an indigenous herb that has been used as a contraceptive for women since generations, its identification kept secret with the tribal healers. But, all that Jaseika returns with is a bundle of small wood. It should have been 28 | TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 raining over a month now, the hill streams should have been gurgling downhill in fulsome note, but Niyam Raja, their God, presiding over all of nature, wind and rain, food and disease is, perhaps, angry. If the herb roots fail to revive this monsoon, it will die as many medicinal plants have perished in recent years. Only in recent years is the global community taking cognizance of and what the forest people know since centuries that forests are critical food and nutritional security for the world’s poorest communities. Medicinal plants are a critical part of their food and health basket. “The forests’ socio-economic data collection must focus on people, not only trees,” says a key message of UN FAO’s recently released report State of World’s Forests 2014, seeking to get benefits from forests recognized in the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the proposed post-2015 framework to replace the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The eight developmental goals including eradication of extreme poverty and hunger, achieving universal primary education, promoting gender equality and women empowerment, reducing child mortality, improving maternal health, combating HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases, ensuring environmental sustainability, and developing a global partnership for development started in 2000 and which expire in 2015, will pass the baton to the SDGs, intended to guide future global action on health, poverty, hunger, climate, and other development challenges. Releasing the MDG progress report in 2011, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon had said, “Let us strive to connect the dots among water, energy, food, gender, global health, and climate change, so that solutions to one can become solutions to all.” In 2014, when nay-sayers have all but acceded that climate change is indeed not anymore knocking at the door but is already within the living room, the single solution that Ban Ki-moon spoke of could well be environmental sustainability. To take the example of forests alone, seen till now as an environment-only issue, are in fact a single cross-cutting solution to many sustainable development challenges. “Forests are important throughout the development agenda,” said Peter Holmgren, Director General of the Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) earlier. “They’re important for food security, for protecting the environment, for climate change, for the green economy — so we can’t really place forests in one box. We need to figure out how forests can contribute across the range of SDGs.” Forests maintain water supplies, help mitigate climate change, and provide billions of the world’s poorest people with income, food, and medicine. Global development frameworks in recent years, the MDGs among them, have tended to be sector bound, addressing specific issues through rather narrow views, for better monitoring perhaps, but development dynamics are complex, often overlapping in cause and impact. The UN Global MDG Report 2014 finds targets already met on reducing poverty, increasing access to improved drinking water sources, improving the lives of slum dwellers, and achieving gender parity in primary school. The Report says that many more targets are within reach by their 2015 target date. If trends continue, the world will surpass MDG targets on malaria, tuberculosis, and access to HIV treatment, and the hunger target looks within reach. Other targets, such as access to technologies, reduction of average tariffs, debt relief, and growing political participation by women, show great progress. Among the short-fallings is a failure to address the environment in an integrated and cross-sectoral way. India: Environmental Sustainability In India, the country with the world’s second largest population, largest number of farmers and rural population, also has the largest food insecure people, about one-quarter of the world’s total, according to The Millennium Development Goals India Country Report 2014. Of its 18 targets, India is seriously lagging in eradicating hunger, child and maternal mortality, and access to improved sanitation. India MDG Report Card 2014 Does lack of basic sanitation or over half of India’s 1.21 billion people defecating in the open have anything to do with India’s stubbornly high malnutrition figures? Seems it has. New research on malnutrition which leads to childhood stunting quoted by a New York Times (NYT) report titled ‘Poor Sanitation in India May Afflict Well-Fed Children With Malnutrition’, suggests that a root cause may be an abundance of human waste polluting soil and water, rather than a scarcity of food. According to the report, a child raised in India is far more likely to be malnourished than one from the Democratic Republic of Congo, Zimbabwe or Somalia, the planet’s poorest countries! Stunting affects 65 million Indian children under the age of five, including one-third of children from the country’s richest families. Owing to the widespread open defecation, Indian children are exposed to a ‘bacterial brew’ that often sickens them, leaving them unable to attain a healthy body weight no matter how much food they eat. These children’s bodies divert energy and nutrients away from growth and brain development to prioritize infectionfighting survival. When this happens during the first two years of life, children become stunted. “What’s particularly disturbing is that the lost height and intelligence are permanent”, say doctors quoted in the report. CONVERGING MDGs INTO THE SDGs A REVIEW According to the report by the New York Times, a child raised in India is far more likely to be malnourished than one from the Democratic Republic of Congo, Zimbabwe or Somalia, the planet’s poorest countries! TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 | 29 Manipadma Jena spoke to Tim Hanstad, CEO of Landesa, the Washington-based non-profit organization that is partnering with local governments to secure land rights for the world’s poorest people. Excerpts The connection between insecure land rights and conflict has been well documented around the world. Across India, 12 per cent of all murders are related to conflicts over land. On a provincial level, few weeks go by without newspapers reporting conflicts between communities who are battling over land. This is not unique to India. Not only are most wars between countries fought over land, but also, as we all intuitively know, high rates of landlessness or the inequitable distribution of land, leads to instability within countries. Our history books talk about devastating civil conflicts from Mexico and Russia, to China, and Vietnam – each of these bloody conflicts was fought by hungry peasants eager for their share of the land. India has an estimated 20 million rural families who are completely landless. Many a times that number have land, but hold it insecurely. If India is to sustainably address the challenges of nutrition, food security, education, and security, it must address land rights — particularly women’s land rights. This is why we believe so strongly that land tenure for women and men need to be specifically called out in the post2015 sustainable development framework. Providing impoverished rural people with access and secure rights to land is central to reducing poverty, empowering poor people and communities, and promoting both broader economic growth and social harmony. 30 | TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 The percentage of underweight children under three years of age are accepted as the key MDG indicator for malnourishment or food insecurity. Census 2011 recorded 35.6 million under-3 children were underweight. Though malnutrition is a complex issue, the baffling slow degree of decline — less than a percentage point, for both the cases of stunting and underweight children between 1999 and 2006 — could point to the NYT’s environmental factor. The India MDG 2014 report says it is possible only to bring down under-3 underweight children to 33 per cent. It will not be possible to achieve the 26 per cent target by 2015. In the 2011 Census of India, 53 per cent households had no toilets, a 10 per cent improvement on the 63.5 per cent in 2001. The 2015 target is likely to be met in urban areas where 2 in 10 households lack toilets but cannot be achieved in rural areas where 7 in 10 households still lack basic sanitation. The 2014 Union Budget has made a strong pitch for total sanitation but has realistically kept the deadline for 2019, even if missing 2015 by a wide margin. India’s poor score on nutrition intake for both adults and children is unfortunate despite the fact that India’s foodgrain production has been growing over the last decade, according to the OECD–FAO Agricultural Outlook 2014–23. Agricultural output has grown on the back of deep subsidies on fertilizers, pesticides, seeds, water, electricity, and credit as well as market support prices. However, many of the farm-targeted subsidies, especially for water, thermalbased power, chemical pesticide, and fertilizers are, in sustainable environment parameters, already in the red alert zone and need to be addressed. This is because Target 9 that aims to integrate sustainable development into the country’s policy and programmes is only moderately on-track to achieve the MDG of ensuring environmental sustainability. Though the 2014 budget shows that the new NDA government has seized the issue by having issued soil health cards and instituted organic farming research, promising to take a relook at the urea subsidy policy — the only chemical fertilizer now being subsidized and hence used irrationally on crops by farmers. Schemes slide into tokenism when not implemented in conviction and spirit. We need more research with a focus on climate smart farming, and much more application of it in farm fields. We also need to go back to our farming roots, document local adaption and mitigation practices including more research in traditional locally adapted seeds. Convention strategies and business as usual will fall short in these climateimpacted times. Green Energy India’s industrial development model is an energy guzzler and desperately needs much more energy — 1,200 GW by 2050 to ensure sustain industrial growth. The per capita consumption of electricity in India in 2011 was 778 KWh, while in the European Union, it is 6,200 KWh. While realistically, India will be compelled to build on thermal power despite environmental fallouts not only because it has abundant resources but also due to low capacity of alternate energy. With at least 25 per cent of the population without access to electricity — and those having electricity in rural areas have poor quality and erratic access — renewable is the answer to much of the rural energy challenges. Community managed and offgrid electricity lost in transmission or theft — an unsustainable 32 per cent in India — could also come under control. It is estimated that 628 million people in the Asia Pacific region — almost half the world’s energy poor — do not have access to electricity, says the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP). Universal access to modern energy means far more than merely providing kilowatt hours. It means providing predictable energy in rural regions in environmentally sustainable ways for small businesses, improved health services, women to use in the evenings productively to earn that extra income, but most of all a strong motivation for children to study in school The Gathering storm: Climate change, armed violence, security, and MDGs In July 2014, like many villages which often empty of inhabitants, migrating for fear of violence from Left Wing Extremists (LWE), families from Chitrakonda — the block worst affected in Malkangiri, in the heart of the contiguous Red Corridor covering forested swaths of southern Odisha, Chhattisgarh, and Andhra Pradesh — fled en masse but not unexpectedly; the armed rebels caught up and shot dead one of them accusing him of being a police informer. and at homes. Stemming OutMigration making Villages Economically Sustainable, Disastersafe How efficiently will India able to stem, if not entirely stall, rural to urban migration is still too conjectural, but intra- and inter-state migration owing to growing numbers and severity of natural disasters is a given, and is already occurring. While urban housing for the poor under the Rajiv Awas Yojana (RAY) has commenced, it is doubtful that it can provide adequately to the high rate of in- migration into cities in the coming years. Therefore, slums are set to grow. India remains unprepared for climate change including extreme weather related migration from underdeveloped areas into cities. Also, the housing for the poor must be disaster resistant. Extreme heat of 2014 has been a climate disaster and worst-hit were the migrant workers living in polythene covered make-shift shacks in cities, many of which have transformed to ‘heat-islands’. While Target 11 for environmental sustainability calls for a significant improvement in the lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers by 2020, which is just six years away, we are off track with the government stating, ‘the pattern not statistically discernible’ which means that it has no real count of urban slum-dweller strength and hence would not be able to plan accurately, a gap that can set back sustainable urban development beyond the 2015 deadline. Over a year back, each of the 11 Kondh tribal households in Balinaikaguda forest village in Odisha’s Rayagada province got two 9-watt compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs) and one solar street lamp. After this, all of the nine primary school-going children were made to congregate under the street lamp and do their school tasks, watched over by mothers while they cooked by their doorways. After examination results were announced mid-summer, the school teacher passing by the mothers working in the millet fields, enquired if Photo: WWF-India CONVERGING MDGs INTO THE SDGs A REVIEW Extreme heat of 2014 has been a climate disaster and worsthit were the migrant workers living in polythene covered make-shift shacks in cities, many of which have transformed to ‘heatislands’. TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 | 31 Khetramani Batraka who all knew had migrated to Chennai city was back, and tutoring the kids. Twenty-six-year-old Batraka after failing his eighth standard examinations had quit school. He was the most educated person in Balinaikaguda. Since Batraka had not helped, credit for the children’s improved performance went to the streetlight, by default. It is no coincidence that forested habitats of India’s highest tribal population — Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, and Odisha — constitute the hotbed of LWEs. Exploitation, deprivation and perceived injustice over decades, and failure of institutional mechanisms to address community grievances owing to large-scale corruption are factors that Non-official sources record that from 2004 to 2014 there have been more than 362 LWE attacks, 707 killings, and 337 persons injured. 32 | TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 have built up providing the impetus for armed conflict with the government. According to a Home Ministry report in 2013, 106 districts in nine Indian states are LWE affected. Further, non-official sources record that from 2004 to 2014 there have been more than 362 LWE attacks, 707 killings, and 337 persons injured. India’s size, its linguistic and religious diversity, as well as challenges, posed by high levels of poverty and socioeconomic disparity and the fact that it is a democracy where no mean levels of corruption inhibits deliverables to the weakest section are all a volatile cocktail for rebellion and even armed conflict. Since 1979, insurgency in India, from Assam, five north-eastern states, Kashmir, and Punjab, all started with, broadly speaking, sustained unaddressed grievances — a sense of inequity. This is precisely where climate change will find an open door; “Challenges of a changing climate may exacerbate tensions [over resources and] aggravate pre-existing pressures in hotspots where conflicts already exist, amplify the fragility of post-conflict countries and drive both internal and crossborder conflicts,” says a 2014 report ‘The Gathering Storm: Climate Change Security and Conflict’ from the UK-based environment and human rights group Environmental Justice Foundation (EJF). EJF says that every 1 °C rise in temperature has been estimated to cause a 14 per cent increase of intergroup conflict and a 4 per cent increase of interpersonal violence. With the possibility of global average temperatures rising by 2–4 °C this century, it concludes,“amplified rates of human conflict could represent a large and critical impact of anthropogenic climate change.” EJF further says,“that while climate change may not be the sole cause of conflict in future, it will increasingly play a prominent role as a ‘threat multiplier’.” Some of the key factors will be human migration, carrying capacity, and extreme climate disasters. Environmental-related migration between and within states may increase existing tensions or conflict, or create new ones, primarily affecting underdeveloped states. Weak infrastructure, resource scarcity and poverty, and income disparity increase the risk of migrationrelated conflict. Carrying capacity is defined by climate scientists as the maximum number of people an area can support without deteriorating living conditions. Climate change will alter the carrying capacity of many vulnerable areas of the world either as a result of land degradation — flooding, drought, and soil erosion — or the pressures of migration. It is already happening in Bangladesh and Darfur. There is already growing evidence to support the theory that the current conflict in Darfur is partly due to land degradation as a result of climate change. Less than a generation ago, Africans and Arabs lived peacefully and productively in Darfur. More recently, desertification and increasingly regular drought cycles have diminished the availability of water and arable land, which has in turn, led to repeated clashes between pastoralists and farmers. Most countries, India included, are not adequately prepared, either in policy, infrastructure or awareness, for extreme climate disasters. Cyclone, floods, earthquakes are now on the radar, but drought, because of its slow advance is still not receiving the advance preparations it warrants. Climate change will bring new natural disasters, such as extreme heat events and pest attacks too. In fact, an interesting research by scientists Solomon Hsiang and colleagues and currently very relevant, claims civil conflicts are associated with the global climate. Their 2011 research analysed whether civil conflicts might be linked to the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the dominant mode of inter-annual variability in the modern global climate. Using data collected between 1950 and 2004 from tropical countries, the study found that the probability of new civil conflicts breaking out in El Niño years is double than seen in cooler La Niña years. Overall, these findings suggest that the ENSO may have played a part in initiating 21 per cent of all civil conflicts since 1950. This study represents the first demonstration that the stability of modern societies is associated with the global climate. Closer home, we need keep in mind that South Asian countries are linked not just by trade, but with each other through rivers, glaciers, monsoons, and land; hence, bilateral ties would be increasingly impacted by climate change effects. Developments already underway are sharing water with Bangladesh and China; border infiltration by Pakistan, Bangladesh, China; and oil drilling rights won recently in Bay of Bengal by Bangladesh. Innovative thinking, technology, cooperation, understanding of geography, acting holistically, and refining negotiation strategies keeping in view possible climate impacts are key to preempt conflict arising out of climate change. Also, needed are South Asian regional models of integrated risk management. demography of India. Its population’s average age will be 29 years in 2020 and have a dependency ratio of just 0.4 per cent. This has been seen by many as a decisive advantage, a youth dividend, which will keep India growing when other economies slow down. The optimism however is based on the assumption that all these young people will be gainfully employed. Between 2010 and 2030, India will add 241 million new people to its workforce or a high 12 million per year. This youth window of opportunity will last a brief 15 to 20 years and we must lay a sustainable foundation for prosperity. Given India’s industrial slow growth over this decade and unemployment at over 9 per cent, creating employment for this gigantic number is going to be a major challenge. Can this youth dividend be capitalized on by providing skill-based entrepreneurship based on a sustainable green framework from India’s vast rural areas. Decentralized green energy is key to establish local-level, smaller, community-managed infrastructure for agriculture, horticulture and floriculture, and poultry and meat industries as well as small manufacturing hubs. Budget 2014 already gives an indication in this direction. Climate change has brought in new priorities and urgencies since the MDGs were formulated in 2000. A REVIEW Natural disasters are now a reality and new ones are hitting with full force like extreme heat. Disasters threaten to pull apart in a single blow, economic equity that is painstakingly built. Economic growth engines, industries, mining, manufacturing have now to keep a wary eye on carbon emission, pollution, using dirty electricity. If viewed conventionally, development goals will now be defined by constraints as it were, and that is what precisely we need to change — the way we view development. It is the ‘green’ vision that holds the potential to converge the MDGs into the SDGs into a single coherent post-2015 development framework.# Manipadma Jena is a senior international environmental journalist in India. She writes for the London-based Thomson Reuters Foundation and for Rome-based Inter Press Service (IPS) news agency. Winner of the Best Media Reporting Award in 2012 from the Asia-Pacific Climate Change Adaption Forum in Bangkok, she has been Fellow with UNEP, the World Bank-South Asia, UNCCD, and CSE, among others. She specializes in researching and writing on climate change adaption and has covered climate change related high-level international events in Asia. A passionate photographer, Manipadma often travels to indigenous Indian communities to photograph their ways of life and has transcribed collected oral folktales into a book. Conclusion: Laying Sustainable Foundation During a Brief Demographic Youth Window Migration for livelihood brings us to an important phenomenon that is the CONVERGING MDGs INTO THE SDGs Women in Koraput show their land tenure title of an acre of land The views expressed by the author are his own and do not reflect those of TERI. TERRAGREEN | AUGUST 2014 | 33 Gitesh Sinha Email: [email protected] <Extn 2718> Kakali Ghosh Email: [email protected] <Extn 2736> Sangeeta Paul Email: [email protected] <Extn 2734> Postal Regn. No. DL(S)-17/3328/2014-16 RNI No. DELENG/2008/24157 ISSN No. 0974-5688 Posted on 5–6 August 2014 By Lodhi Road Post Office No. of Pages 56 without Cover Subscr An Imprint of TERI The ry Sto of Benita Sen What’s common between a cardboard box and the tissues inside it? They are both made of paper! But have you ever wondered where paper comes from? The Story of Paper takes you on a paper trail, from mulberry bark and bamboo fibres to the textbook on your desk! However, producing more and more paper is harming our planet and causing pollution, because making paper involves cutting too many trees and using a lot of water and electricity. So we need to think sharp and be paper smart! About the Author: Benita Sen Benita Sen is a journalist and children’s author. She has written dozens of books – fiction and non-fiction – for young people. Some of her stories have won prizes, and they have been published in English textbooks. She loves to interact with children and conducts workshops on crafts and environmental issues. Other titles in the series • The Story of Clothes • The Story of Computer • The Story of Food • The Story of House • The Story of Transport COMIC FRAMES WITH FUNNY CHARACTERS AND SPEECH BUBBLES T HE S TO R Y O F PAP ER paper everywhere Guess what else paper gets into? Here’s a riddle for you. BRAIN TEASER Float me, fold me, rip me, shred me... I let you do it all. Write on me, read from me, Or just roll me into a ball. Who am I? Let us sail together! The answer is PAPER! How are you sailing faster? We don’t give much thought to paper, maybe because it is present almost everywhere. Can you make a list of things made from paper that you can see around you right now? Because I’m made from an old sailing book! 1. WRITING ACTIVITY 2. 3. PAPER TRAIL Cartons in which you pack your stuff when you are shifting home are made from paper. This is because it makes these boxes lighter and cheaper than, say, a metal box. 4. 5. The toothpaste you use came inside a paper pack that kept the tube safe and in shape. The poster of your favourite superhero, singer, or sportsperson is Paper plate printed on paper, and glass and the receipt that the shopkeeper gave your mom when you bought Diary this book was written on or printed on paper. Carton Poster ILLUSTRATIVE VISUALS Carry bag Toothpaste pack SUITABLE CAPTIONS Notebook If you look carefully, you will find paper being used in many different things and for many different purposes. The calendar hanging in your room, the bag your mother gets groceries in, the newspaper your father reads every morning, your school diary, books, notebooks, and even the labels on them are all made of paper! Paper filters r, air, oil, are used to clean wate cine. and even to purify medi PAPER TAG 4 GREEN KNOWLEDGE BYTES 5 FUN-FILLED FACTS SUPPORTING THE BODY TEXT SPECIFICATIONS Size: 180×240 mm • 24 pages • Paperback • Ages: 6 years and above • Price: `95.00 For orders and enquiries, please contact: The Energy and Resources Institute Attn: TERI Press, Darbari Seth Block, IHC Complex, Lodhi Road, New Delhi – 110 003 Tel.: 24682100/41504900, Fax: 24682144, E-mail: [email protected] Visit the TERI Bookstore at http://bookstore.teriin.org KNOWLEDGE BOOKS ON ENVIRONMENT, WHICH SUPPLEMENT THE ENVIRONMENT EDUCATION CURRICULUM
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