商工会事務局より:カナダ中央銀行、金利政策発表 1%据え置き From Shokokai: Bank of Canada maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1%. 12 月 3 日、カナダ中央銀行(Bank of Canada)より、金利政策が発表になりました。概要ポイント(仮訳)とリンク先を御連絡い たします。ご参照ください。 なお、仮訳は、あくまで商工会事務局で訳したものであり英語の微妙な表現を保証したものではありません。 英語原文にて確認した上でご利用ください。 ポイント仮訳: ◎ オーバーナイト金利1%に据え置き。 ◎ カナダ CPI は予想以上に上昇。 ◎ 米国経済は確実によくなっている。しかし、その他の地域では、不振が続いており、石 油価格は下落しつづけている。 ◎ カナダ経済は、広範囲にわたり回復基調を示しており特に輸出は堅調。しかし、石油、 その他コモディティー価格の下降傾向はカナダ経済にマイナス効果。雇用市場は不 振。 ◎ 家計債務は依然として危惧される要因であるが、リスクバランスは想定内として、金利 維持を決定。 Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1 per cent The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent. Inflation has risen by more than expected. The increase in inflation over the past year is largely due to the temporary effects of a lower Canadian dollar and some sectorspecific factors, notably telecommunications and meat prices. Underlying inflation has edged up but remains below 2 per cent. The U.S. economy has clearly strengthened, particularly business investment, which has benefitted Canada’s exports. Growth in the rest of the world, in contrast, continues to disappoint, leading authorities in some regions to deploy further policy stimulus. Oil prices have continued to fall, due to both supply and demand developments. In this context, global financial conditions have eased further. Canada's economy is showing signs of a broadening recovery. Stronger exports are beginning to be reflected in increased business investment and employment. This suggests that the hoped-for sequence of rebuilding that will lead to balanced and selfsustaining growth may finally have begun. However, the lower profile for oil and certain other commodity prices will weigh on the Canadian economy. The net effect of these recent developments, together with upward revisions to historical data, is that the output gap appears to be smaller than the Bank had projected in the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). However, the labour market continues to indicate significant slack in the economy. While inflation is at a higher starting point relative to the October MPR, weaker oil prices pose an important downside risk to the inflation profile. This is tempered by a stronger U.S. economy, Canadian dollar depreciation, and recent federal fiscal measures. Household imbalances, meanwhile, present a significant risk to financial stability. Overall, the balance of risks remains within the zone for which the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate and therefore the target for the overnight rate remains at 1 per cent. 原文は以下のサイトを参照ください。 http://www.bankofcanada.ca/2014/12/fad-press-release-2014-12-03/ トロント日本商工会 事務局
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