「建設経済モデルによる建設投資の見通し」(2015年度

ᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ
㸦 2016 ᖺ 4 ᭶ 㸧
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ ᖺ㐃⥆ࡢῶᑡ
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡟
ࡼࡾቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨ 㸸 ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆
2016 ᖺ 4 ᭶ 25 ᪥
㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦୍㈈㸧⤒῭ㄪᰝ఍ ⤒῭ㄪᰝ◊✲ᡤ
㸺࠾ၥ࠸ྜࢃࡏඛ㸼
୍⯡㈈ᅋἲே ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦㟁 ヰ㸧03-3433-5011 㸦FAX㸧03-3433-5239
㸦E 㺰㺎㺷㸧[email protected]
◊✲⌮஦ ῝⃝ ඾ᏹ ◊✲ဨ ᰩᒣ ┤அ
┠ ḟ
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ࡢ᥎⛣͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ࡣࡌࡵ࡟
ᮏ࣏࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࢆ⏝࠸ࠊᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬㸦ᅄ༙ᮇู GDP ㏿ሗ㸧ࡢ 2015 ᖺ 10̺12
᭶ᮇ࣭2 ḟ㏿ሗࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼࡚ண ࡋࡓ 2015㹼2016 ᖺᗘࡢᖺᗘู࣭ᅄ༙ᮇูࡢᘓタ⤒῭ࡢண ⤖ᯝ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ࡢࣝࢹࣔی‬ᴫせ
ࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨άືࢆ㟂せືྥࠊ㔠฼࡞࡝࡜㛵㐃࡙ࡅࡓ᪉⛬ᘧయ⣔࡛⾲ࡋࠊ࣐ࢡ
ࣟⓗ࡞ᬒẼࡢືࡁ࡜ᩚྜࡍࡿᙧ࡛ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋࢆᥥࡃࡇ࡜ࢆ┠ⓗ࡜ࡋࡓ࣐ࢡࣟィ㔞⤒῭ࣔࢹ࡛ࣝ
࠶ࡿࠋNEEDS ᪥ᮏ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࢆ࣮࣋ࢫ࡟ࠊఫᏯᢞ㈨ࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࠊබඹᢞ㈨࡜࠸ࡗࡓᘓタ㛵㐃㒊㛛ࢆ
ᣑ඘ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡇ࠺ࡋࡓࣔࢹࣝ໬࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊ㔠⼥㈈ᨻᨻ⟇ࡸᾏእᬒẼࡢኚື࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡾࠊᘓタάື࡟࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡞ Ἴཬᙳ㡪ࡀཬࡪ࠿ࢆ⡆౽࡟ィ⟬ࡋࡓࡾࠊ㏫࡟ᘓタᢞ㈨ḟ➨࡛ᬒẼࡢ⾜᪉ࡀ࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡟ኚࢃࡿ࠿ࢆᥗࢇ
ࡔࡾࠊ࡜࠸ࡗࡓࡇ࡜ࡀྍ⬟࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋண ࡣࠊᅄ༙ᮇࢹ࣮ࢱࢆࡶ࡜࡟ྥ࠺ 1㹼2 ᖺࡢࣞࣥࢪ࡛⾜࠺ࠋ
ࡇࢀ࡟ࡼࡾࠊᙜヱᖺᗘࡸḟᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢỈ‽ࠊఙࡧࠊᵓᡂẚ➼࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࠊᅄ༙ᮇูࡸᖺᗘู࡟ࠊ
ᐃ㔞ⓗ࡞ࢹ࣮ࢱࢆᚓࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡢ୰࡟⤌ࡳ㎸ࢇࡔ⣽ศ໬ࡋࡓᘓタᢞ㈨࠿ࡽࠊࠗᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋ࠘㸦ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬⥲ྜ
ᨻ⟇ᒁᘓタ⤒῭⤫ィㄪᰝᐊ㸧ᡤⶶࡢᘓタᢞ㈨㢠㸦Ẹ㛫࣭ᨻᗓࠊఫᏯ࣭㠀ఫᏯ࣭ᅵᮌࠊᐇ㉁࣭ྡ┠㸧࡜
ྠᴫᛕࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆ⟬ฟࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࡼ࠺࡟࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨ࡤ࠿ࡾ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࠊ≀౯ୖ᪼⋡ࠊ㈤㔠ࠊ௻ᴗ཰┈ࠊ㞠⏝ࠊ
ᅜ㝿཰ᨭ࡜࠸ࡗࡓ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ືྥ࡟㛵ࡍࡿண ࡸࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜࠺ศᯒࢶ࣮ࣝ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡶά⏝
࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ๓ᥦ᮲௳
ձᑐࢻࣝ෇࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 4̺6 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 115.5 ෇ࠊ4̺6 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 110 ෇ࠊ7̺9 ᭶ᮇ㹼
2017 ᖺ 1̺3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 112.0 ෇࡜ࡋࡓࠋ
ղ↓ᢸಖࢥ࣮ࣝ⩣᪥≀㔠฼ࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 1̺3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 0.04%ࠊ4̺6 ᭶ᮇ㹼2017 ᖺ 1̺3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 0.00%ࠊ
࡜ண ࡋࡓࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ⤖ᯝ
2015ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
2016ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
500,100
-2.5%
496,100
-0.8%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
214,700
-8.6%
204,900
-4.6%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
149,600
2.7%
154,800
3.5%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
135,800
2.6%
136,400
0.4%
ᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ ᖺ㐃⥆ࡢῶᑡ
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2015 ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ẚ࡛ᶓࡤ
࠸ࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆྠ 10.2%ቑ࡜ண ࡋࡓୖ࡛஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࠊࡲࡓࠊ2014
ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡀ 2015 ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬8.6%࡜ண ࡍ
ࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊᣢᐙ࡜ศㆡᡞᘓࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯
ᑐ⟇࡟ࡼࡿ╔ᕤቑࡢ⥅⥆ࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢᘓ⠏㈝ୖ᪼࡟ࡼࡿ౪⤥ῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡞࡝࠿ࡽࠊఫᏯ╔ᕤ
ᡞᩘ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 4.1㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊᾏእᬒẼࡢῶ㏿ࠊᅜෆಶேᾘ㈝ࡢఙࡧᝎࡳ➼ࡢᙳ㡪࡟ࡼࡾࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࡢඛ⾜ࡁ
࡟ࡸࡸ୙㏱᫂ឤࡀ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ㊊ඖࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡣሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡋࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.8㸣ቑ࡜
࡞ࡾࠊᅵᮌ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ⣔௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡶᐤ୚ࡋࠊ඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.6㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2016 ᖺᗘண⟬ᨻᗓ᱌ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண
⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡜ࡋࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠕ᚟⯆࣭๰⏕ᮇ㛫ࠖ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㛵ಀ┬
ᗇࡢண⟬㢠ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࡿ࡞࡝ࡋ࡚஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࠊࡲࡓࠊ2015 ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡀ
2016 ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬4.6%࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᅇࡢ 2014 ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯୍࡛ᐃࡢ㟂せࡀඛ㣗࠸ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࡇ࡜ࠊ2017 ᖺᾘ
㈝ቑ⛯ࡢᙳ㡪ࢆ⦆࿴ࡍࡿࡓࡵ㉗୚⛯㠀ㄢ⛯ᯟࡢᣑ඘ᥐ⨨ࡀྲྀࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ2013 ᖺᗘ⛬࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࡶࡢ
ࡢࠊ2017 ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せⓎ⏕ࡀ᝿ᐃࡉࢀࠊఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.6%ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ
๓ᖺᗘ࡜ྠᵝ࡟⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ቑຍࡀண ࡉࢀࠊ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡀ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.3㸣ቑࠊ
Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨ࡣྠ 0.6%ቑ࡜࡞ࡾࠊ඲య࡛ࡣྠ 0.4㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺ䚷ᗘ
2000
2005
2010
2011
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
661,948
515,676
419,282
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-3.4%
-2.4%
-2.4%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
299,601
189,738
179,820
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-6.2%
-8.9%
0.3%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-2.9
-3.5
0.1
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
202,756
184,258
129,779
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-2.2%
0.3%
1.1%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-0.7
0.1
0.3
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
159,591
141,680
109,683
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
0.7%
4.0%
-10.0%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
0.2
1.0
-2.8
ᐇ㉁ᘓタᢞ㈨
663,673
515,676
400,503
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-3.6%
-3.5%
-2.7%
ὀ㻕㻞㻜㻝㻠ᖺᗘ䜎䛷䛾ᘓタᢞ㈨䛿ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬䛂ᖹᡂ㻞㻣ᖺᗘ㻌ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻䛧䛃䜘䜚䚹
432,923
3.3%
186,108
3.5%
1.5
133,750
3.1%
0.9
113,065
3.1%
0.8
407,712
1.8%
2012
452,914
4.6%
197,170
5.9%
2.6
140,944
5.4%
1.7
114,800
1.5%
0.4
432,947
6.2%
2013
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
512,900
13.2%
225,500
14.4%
6.3
157,900
12.0%
3.7
129,500
12.8%
3.2
479,510
10.8%
2014
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
513,000
0.0%
235,000
4.2%
1.9
145,600
-7.8%
-2.4
132,400
2.2%
0.6
466,996
-2.6%
2015
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
500,100
-2.5%
214,700
-8.6%
-4.0
149,600
2.7%
0.8
135,800
2.6%
0.7
453,900
-2.8%
2016
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
496,100
-0.8%
204,900
-4.6%
-2.0
154,800
3.5%
1.0
136,400
0.4%
0.1
448,100
-1.3%
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
ぢ㎸ࡳ Ћ Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
㸦඙෇㸧
70
66.2
60
25%
16.0
51.6
50
20.3
40
30
49.6
13.0
13.2
13.6
13.6
15.8
14.6
15.0
15.5
14.1
13.4
13.0
50.0
15%
11.5
11.3
11.0
18.4
51.3
45.3
43.3
41.9
14.2
20%
51.3
10%
20
30.0
10
19.0
18.0
2005
2010
5%
18.6
19.7
22.6
23.5
21.5
20.5
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0%
2016 㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
0
2000
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸧
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
ぢ㎸ࡳ Ћ Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
๓ᖺᗘẚ㸦㸣㸧
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
-8.0
-10.0
-12.0
-14.0
-16.0
2000
2005
2010
ᨻᗓᘓタᐤ୚ᗘ
2011
2012
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
2013
2014
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
2015
2016 䠄ᖺᗘ䠅
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ྡ┠㸧ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧 㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ఙ
䜃
⋡
ఙ
䜃
⋡
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
4䇲6
7.4%
6.4%
8.4%
7.7%
4䇲6
-2.3%
-4.2%
-3.5%
1.9%
2013䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
13.7%
16.6%
18.1%
20.9%
11.2%
13.5%
10.0%
12.1%
2015䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
-0.9%
-3.9%
-7.3%
-11.5%
5.7%
5.0%
2.2%
2.7%
1䇲3
14.1%
10.7%
14.6%
20.1%
4䇲6
5.3%
7.7%
3.5%
4.2%
1䇲3
-2.8%
-9.7%
3.8%
3.4%
4䇲6
1.1%
0.9%
2.7%
-0.4%
2014䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
0.3%
-1.5%
5.1%
3.8%
-8.3%
-12.4%
3.1%
2.1%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
2.2%
-2.5%
2.3%
-8.7%
3.9%
5.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1䇲3
-2.5%
1.8%
-12.3%
0.2%
1䇲3
-3.3%
-9.6%
1.9%
1.5%
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
㻌
ᖺᗘ࣭ᖺᗘ࡜ᖺ㐃⥆ࡢῶᑡ
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠‫ڹ‬㸣㸦ᐇ㉁‫ڹ‬㸣㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧ࡣࠊ2015ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸ࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆྠ10.2%ቑ࡜
ぢ㎸ࢇࡔୖ࡛஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ⥲ົ┬ࡼࡾබ⾲ࡉࢀࡓࠕᆅ᪉㈈ᨻࡢ≧ἣ࡛ࠖ♧ࡉࢀࡓෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ2015ᖺᗘண
⟬㢠㸦9᭶⿵ṇᚋ㸧ࢆ๓ᖺᗘẚ0.2㸣ῶ࡜ࡋ࡚஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊ2014ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ஦ᴗ㈝࡛8,000൨෇⛬ᗘ࡜᥎ィࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊࡑࢀࡽࡣ
2015ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠‫ڹ‬㸣㸦ᐇ㉁‫ڹ‬㸣㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧ࡣࠊ2015ᖺ12᭶24᪥࡟㛶㆟Ỵᐃࡉࢀࡓ2016ᖺᗘண⟬
ᨻᗓ᱌ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡜ࡋ࡚ࠊࡲࡓࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ
኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊࠕ᚟⯆࣭๰⏕ᮇ㛫ࠖ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㛵ಀ┬ᗇࡢண⟬㢠ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃
ࡲ࠼ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ⥲ົ┬ࡀࡲ࡜ࡵࡓᖹᡂ28ᖺᗘᆅ᪉㈈ᨻィ⏬࡛♧ࡉࢀࡓෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ2016ᖺᗘண
⟬㢠ࢆ๓ᖺᗘẚ3.0㸣ቑ࡜ࡋ࡚஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊ2015ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ஦ᴗ㈝࡛9,000൨෇⛬ᗘ࡜᥎ィࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊࡑࢀࡽࡣ
2016ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
2ᖺ㐃⥆ࡢῶᑡ࡜࡞ࡾࠊࡲࡓࠊண⟬ࡢ๓ಽࡋᇳ⾜ࡀ⾜ࢃࢀࡿࡓࡵࠊᖺᗘᚋ༙ࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨࡟ษࢀ┠ࡀ
࡞࠸ࡼ࠺㐺ษ࡞ᥐ⨨ࡀồࡵࡽࢀࡿࠋ
‫ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
2000
299,601
2005
189,738
2010
179,820
2011
2012
186,108
2014
2015
2016
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
225,500
235,000
214,700
204,900
-6.2%
-8.9%
0.3%
3.5%
5.9%
14.4%
4.2%
-8.6%
-4.6%
40,004
20,527
22,096
21,433
21,779
28,600
26,700
26,700
25,400
-12.0%
-13.9%
-0.1%
-3.0%
1.6%
31.3%
-6.6%
0.0%
-4.9%
259,597
169,211
157,724
164,675
175,391
196,900
208,300
188,000
179,500
-5.2%
-8.3%
0.3%
4.4%
6.5%
12.3%
5.8%
-9.7%
-4.5%
300,719
189,738
170,702
174,080
186,728
209,062
212,045
193,000
183,400
-6.5%
-10.2%
-0.3%
2.0%
7.3%
12.0%
1.4%
-9.0%
-5.0%
ὀ1㸧2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ27ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
197,170
2013
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
඙෇
40
ぢ㎸ࡳЋ
๓ᖺᗘẚ
Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
45%
30.0
30%
4.0
23.5
22.6
19.0
20
19.7
18.6
2.2
2.1
15.8
16.5
17.5
19.7
2.1
21.5
2.7
18.0
2.9
20.5
2.7
2.5
15%
18.0
0%
2.2
26.0
20.8
18.8
16.9
0
-15%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
䠂䠄๓ᖺྠᮇẚ䠅
ぢ㎸ࡳЋ Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
-10.0
-20.0
-30.0
-40.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
㻞㻜㻝㻟ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
㻞㻜㻝㻠ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
㻞㻜㻝㻡ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
㻞㻜㻝㻢ᖺᗘ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
2013 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
6.4%
18.1%
20.9%
10.7%
7.7%
5.1%
3.8%
1.8%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
22.2%
35.6%
38.8%
27.1%
-3.5%
-5.9%
-7.0%
-8.8%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
4.5%
15.9%
18.7%
8.6%
9.3%
6.7%
5.4%
3.3%
2015 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
7-9
2014 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
4-6
7-9
2016 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
-4.2%
-7.3%
-11.5%
-9.7%
0.9%
2.3%
-8.7%
-9.6%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
4.9%
1.5%
-3.1%
-1.2%
0.5%
1.9%
-9.0%
-9.9%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
-5.3%
-8.4%
-12.5%
-10.8%
0.9%
2.3%
-8.7%
-9.6% 㻌 ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ䛾᥎⛣㻌 㻌
ᖺᗘࡣࠊ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣࠊ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
2015 ᖺᗘࡣࠊᣢᐙ࡜ศㆡᡞᘓࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ
⟇➼࡟ࡼࡿ╔ᕤቑࡢ⥅⥆ࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢᘓ⠏㈝ୖ᪼࡟ࡼࡿ౪⤥ῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡞࡝࠿ࡽࠊ2014 ᖺ
ᗘ࡟ẚ࡭࡚ቑຍࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊᇶ♏ࡄ࠸ᕤ஦ၥ㢟ࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥ➼ࡢ╔ᕤ࡬ࡢᙳ㡪ࡸࠊ࣐࢖ࢼࢫ
㔠฼ᨻ⟇࡟ࡼࡿఫᏯ࣮ࣟࣥ㔠฼పୗࡢఫᏯ╔ᕤ࡬ࡢຠᯝࡣ㝈ᐃⓗ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࠋ
2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ2017 ᖺ 4 ᭶ࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࢆண ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡓࡔࡋࠊ๓ᅇࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯࡟ࡼࡿ㥑
ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢඛ㣗࠸ࠊᙳ㡪⦆࿴ࡢࡓࡵࡢ㉗୚⛯㠀ㄢ⛯ᯟࡢᣑ඘ᥐ⨨ࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇࡟ࡼࡿ
ຠᯝࡢ₞ῶ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡣ๓ᅇ⛬࡛ࡣ࡞࠸࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ
ᘓ⠏㈝㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢ≧ែࡀ⥆ࡃ࡜ᛮࢃࢀࠊ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ 2015 ᖺᗘ࡟ẚ࡭࡚ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ୓ᡞࠊ
ᖺᗘࡣྠ 㸣ቑࡢ ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᣢᐙࡣࠊ2015 ᖺ 4 ᭶㹼2016 ᖺ 2 ᭶ᮇࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 2.1㸣ቑ࡜ 2014 ᖺ 4 ᭶ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽᣢࡕ
┤ࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊὀᩥఫᏯ኱ᡭ 5 ♫ࡢཷὀ㏿ሗᖹᆒࡶ 2015 ᖺ 4 ᭶㹼2016 ᖺ 3 ᭶࡛๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ 0.4㹼8.8㸣ቑ
࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ2015 ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ2017 ᖺ 4 ᭶
ࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡀ᝿ᐃࡉࢀࡿࡀࠊ2014 ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ࡜ẚ࡭ࡿ࡜ᑡ࡞࠸࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࠋ
2015 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.2㸣ቑࡢ 28.4 ୓ᡞࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣྠ 8.8㸣ቑࡢ 30.9 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
㈚ᐙࡣࠊ2015 ᖺ 4 ᭶㹼2016 ᖺ 2 ᭶ᮇࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 7.6㸣ቑ࡜ࠊ2015 ᖺ 1 ᭶ࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ᚋࡶ╔ᕤቑࡀ
⥅⥆ࡋࡓࠋ㈤㈚ఫᏯ኱ᡭ 3 ♫ࡢཷὀ㏿ሗᖹᆒ࡟ࡼࡿ࡜ࠊ2015 ᖺ 10 ᭶࡜ 12 ᭶ࡣ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ࣐࢖ࢼࢫ࡟㌿
ࡌࡓࡀࠊ2016 ᖺ 1㹼3 ᭶ࡣ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ 5.5㹼8.3%ቑ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡣ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇࡟ࡼࡿ
ຠᯝࡀ⥆࠸࡚࠸ࡿࡶࡢ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ2015 ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ
ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡀ᝿ᐃࡉࢀࡿࡀࠊቑຍࡣ 2014 ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯᫬ࡼࡾᑡ࡞࠸࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࠋ2015 ᖺ
ᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 6.6㸣ቑࡢ 38.2 ୓ᡞࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣྠ 3.5㸣ቑࡢ 39.5 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ศㆡఫᏯࡣࠊ2015 ᖺ 4 ᭶㹼2016 ᖺ 2 ᭶ᮇࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 2.7㸣ቑ࡛ࠊ࠺ࡕ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡀྠ 4.4㸣ቑࠊᡞ
ᘓࡀྠ 1.1㸣ቑ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡣᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡚࠸ࡓࡶࡢࡢࠊᘓ⠏㈝㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡀᙳ㡪ࡋࠊ2015 ᖺ 9 ᭶
㹼2016 ᖺ 1 ᭶ࡣ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ‫ڹ‬4.1㹼‫ڹ‬22.4%࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ㤳㒔ᅪ࣭㏆␥ᅪࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢ㈍኎≧ἣࡣࠊ
2015 ᖺ 4 ᭶㹼8 ᭶ᮇࡢ㈍኎ᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ‫ڹ‬2.3㸣ࡔࡗࡓࡀࠊዎ⣙⋡ࡣᖹᆒ 76.5㸣࡛ዲㄪࡢ┠Ᏻ࡛࠶
ࡿ 70㸣௨ୖࢆ㉸࠼࡚࠸ࡓࠋࡋ࠿ࡋࠊ2015 ᖺ 9 ᭶㹼2016 ᖺ 3 ᭶ᮇࡢ㈍኎ᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ‫ڹ‬18.2%ࠊዎ
⣙⋡ࡣᖹᆒ 69.2%࡜ᘓ⠏㈝ࡢ㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡀᙳ㡪ࡋࠊᙅ࠸ືࡁ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᡞᘓࡣ 2015 ᖺ 8 ᭶㹼2016 ᖺ
2 ᭶࡛ࡣ 10 ᭶ࢆ㝖࠸࡚๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ 1.0㹼10.1%ቑ࡛཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋࡀ⥆࠸࡚࠸ࡿࠋศㆡఫᏯ඲య࡛
ࡣ 2015 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍࢆண ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡢᡞᘓࡣᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡀ᝿ᐃࡉࢀࠊ
࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡣᘓ⠏㈝㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢᙳ㡪ࡀ௒ᚋࡶṧࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋศㆡఫ
Ꮿ඲య࡛ࠊ2015 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.5㸣ቑࡢ 24.4 ୓ᡞࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣྠ‫ڹ‬2.4㸣ࡢ 23.9 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ͤ㈍኎ᡞᩘ࣭ዎ⣙⋡ࡣ㸦ᰴ㸧୙ື⏘⤒῭◊✲ᡤⓎ⾲ࡢ㤳㒔ᅪ࣭㏆␥ᅪࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥᕷሙືྥࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆྜ⟬
‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༓ᡞ㸧
1,400
ᐇ⦼← →ぢ㏻䛧
1,249.4
1,213.2
1,200
987.3
1,000
819.0
841.2
2010
2011
893.0
880.5
916.4
949.3
2015
2016
800
600
400
200
0
2000
2005
ᣢᐙ
㈚ᐙ
2012
2013
ศㆡ㸦࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ㸧
2014
ศㆡ㸦ᡞᘓ㸧
⤥୚
㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦ᡞᩘ༢఩㸸༓ᡞࠊᢞ㈨㢠༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
ᖺ ᗘ
2000
2005
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
(ぢ㏻䛧)
඲ࠉయ
1,213.2
1,249.4
819.0
841.2
893.0
987.3
880.5
916.4
-1.1%
4.7%
5.6%
2.7%
6.2%
10.6%
-10.8%
4.1%
437.8
352.6
308.5
304.8
316.5
352.8
278.2
284.4
ᣢࠉᐙ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-8.0%
-4.0%
7.5%
-1.2%
3.8%
11.5%
-21.1%
2.2%
418.2
518.0
291.8
289.8
320.9
370.0
358.3
382.1
㈚ࠉᐙ
╔
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-1.8%
10.8%
-6.3%
-0.7%
10.7%
15.3%
-3.1%
6.6%
ᕤ
ᡞ
346.3
370.3
212.1
239.1
249.7
259.1
236.0
244.4
ศࠉㆡ
ᩘ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
11.0%
6.1%
29.6%
12.7%
4.4%
3.8%
-8.9%
3.5%
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
220.6
232.5
98.7
121.1
125.1
125.2
111.8
118.2
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
13.4%
10.9%
44.5%
22.8%
3.3%
0.1%
-10.7%
5.7%
125.7
137.8
113.4
118.0
124.5
133.9
124.2
126.1
ᡞࠉᘓ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
6.9%
-1.2%
19.0%
4.0%
5.6%
7.5%
-7.2%
1.5%
202,756
184,258
129,779
133,750
140,944
157,900
145,600
149,600
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-2.2%
0.3%
1.1%
3.1%
5.4%
12.0%
-7.8%
2.7%
ὀ1㸧╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2015࣭16ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ2㸧ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣ2012ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2013࣭14ᖺᗘࡣぢ㎸ࡳࠊ2015࣭16ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ3㸧⤥୚ఫᏯࡣ฼⏝㛵ಀู࡟⾲♧ࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࡀࠊ඲యࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ྵࡲࢀࡿࠋ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ࠉ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
2013
2014
7-9
10-12
13.5%
12.9%
12.2%
19.7%
ఙ
15.8%
15.8%
ࡧ
12.4%
-0.5%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
14.2%
-12.3%
ᡞࠉᘓ
10.7%
11.1%
2015䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
7-9
10-12
඲ࠉయ
7.6%
6.2%
-0.7%
ᣢࠉᐙ
2.2%
4.8%
0.2%
ఙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
5.3%
16.5%
1.3%
ࡧ
ศࠉㆡ
18.8%
-5.4%
-3.6%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
52.2%
-12.2%
-11.6%
ᡞࠉᘓ
-6.4%
0.9%
3.7%
ὀ㸧2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2015࣭16ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
඲ࠉయ
ᣢࠉᐙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
ศࠉㆡ
4-6
11.8%
14.9%
10.8%
11.6%
11.7%
11.5%
1-3
3.4%
-2.7%
18.8%
-7.4%
-11.5%
-3.1%
4-6
-9.3%
-19.3%
5.5%
-16.0%
-29.0%
-2.5%
1-3
3.5%
1.6%
4.1%
5.5%
2.3%
8.6%
4-6
0.0%
5.3%
3.7%
-10.9%
-26.5%
8.1%
7-9
10-12
-13.6%
-13.8%
-23.8%
-27.9%
-5.7%
-6.8%
-11.2%
-5.1%
-13.1%
4.1%
-9.4%
-12.2%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
6.4%
11.4%
9.4%
20.0%
5.3%
9.0%
4.4%
5.0%
5.4%
6.7%
3.6%
3.7%
1-3
-5.4%
-10.1%
-4.4%
-2.3%
-0.6%
-4.0%
1-3
-4.2%
-0.8%
-5.3%
-6.4%
-11.6%
-1.5%
2016
(ぢ㏻䛧)
949.3
3.6%
309.3
8.8%
395.4
3.5%
238.5
-2.4%
108.1
-8.6%
130.4
3.4%
154,800
3.5%
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᘓ⠏㸩ᅵᮌ㸧ࡢ᥎⛣
ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆
10-12 ᭶ᮇࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ㸦ෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ2 ḟ㏿ሗ್㸧ࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 3.9㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋ
㊊ඖࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡣሀㄪ࡛࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊᾏእᬒẼࡢῶ㏿ࠊᅜෆಶேᾘ㈝ࡢఙࡧᝎࡳ➼ࡢᙳ㡪࡟ࡼࡾࠊ࣐ࢡ
ࣟ⤒῭⎔ቃࡢ୙☜ᐇᛶࡀቑࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࡢඛ⾜ࡁࡶࡸࡸ୙㏱᫂ឤࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ2015 ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻
ᴗタഛࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.1㸣ቑࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.2㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛᢞ㈨ࡢ࠺ࡕ⣙ 2 ๭ࢆ
༨ࡵࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊୗグࡢ㏻ࡾ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆ࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ 13 ඙ 5,800 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ2015
ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ࠊ஦ົᡤࡣ 7.5㸣ࠊᗑ⯒ࡣ‫ڹ‬13.9㸣ࠊᕤሙࡣ 18.2㸣ቑࠊ಴ᗜࡣ‫ڹ‬3.9㸣࡜
࡞ࡿࡇ࡜ࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.8㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓẸ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨࡟ࡘ
࠸࡚ࡣࠊ㕲㐨࣭㏻ಙ࣭࢞ࢫ࡞࡝ᅵᮌ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ⣔௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡀሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ 13 ඙ 6,400 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢ࠺
ࡕᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.3㸣ቑࠊᅵᮌᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.6㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
஦ົᡤࡣࠊ✵ᐊ⋡ࡀ඲ᅜⓗ࡟ᨵၿࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ㟂⤥ࡣᘬࡁ⥾ࡲࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࠊཷὀ㢠࡜ࡶ㊊
ඖࡢືࡁࡣሀㄪ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ㤳㒔ᅪ࡞࡝㒔ᕷ㒊࡟࠾ࡅࡿ኱ᆺ≀௳ࡢከࡃࡀ╔ᕤࢆ㏄࠼ࡿ࡞࡝ࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ࡣ௒ᚋࡶሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᗑ⯒ࡣࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࠊཷὀ㢠࡜ࡶ࡟ືࡁࡀ㕌ࡃࠊ኱つᶍᑠ኎ᗑ⯒❧ᆅἲ࡟ࡼࡿᒆฟ≧ἣࡶ๓ᖺࢆୗᅇ
ࡗ࡚᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᬒἣឤࡸᾘ㈝⪅࣐࢖ࣥࢻ࡟㊊㋃ࡳࡀぢࡽࢀࠊᾘ㈝ືྥ࡬ࡢᙳ㡪ࡀᠱᛕࡉࢀࡿࡇ࡜࠿
ࡽࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣᙅ࠸ືࡁ࡜࡞ࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᕤሙࡣࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࠊཷὀ㢠࡜ࡶ๓ᖺࢆୖᅇࡗ࡚᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ࢔࣓ࣜ࢝ࡢ㔠⼥ᨻ⟇ṇᖖ໬ࡢᙳ㡪ࠊ
ᾏእᬒẼࡢືྥࢆὀどࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ⪁ᮙ໬タഛࡢ᭦᪂ࠊ⏕⏘ᛶྜ⌮໬ࠊప㔠฼➼ࡢࣉࣛࢫせ
ᅉࢆ⫼ᬒ࡟ࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
಴ᗜࡣࠊࢿࢵࢺ㏻㈍ࡸ3PL㸦ࢧ࣮ࢻ࣭ࣃ࣮ࢸ࢕࣭ࣟࢪࢫࢸ࢕ࢡࢫ㸧ࡢᣑ኱ࢆ⫼ᬒ࡟ࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣᘬ
ࡁ⥆ࡁᗏሀࡃ᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ኱ᆺ≀ὶ᪋タࡢᕷሙࡣᡂ⇍໬ࡋࡘࡘ࠶ࡾࠊ㤳㒔ᅪࡢ኱ᆺ≀ὶ
᪋タࡢ✵ᐊ⋡ࡀୖ᪼ࡍࡿ࡜࠸ࡗࡓኚ໬ࡶ⌧ࢀ࡚ࡁ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ௒ᚋࡢ≧ἣࢆὀどࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ௒ᚋࠊ2020ᖺᮾி࢜ࣜࣥࣆࢵࢡ࣭ࣃࣛࣜࣥࣆࢵࢡࢆぢ㎸ࢇࡔᢞ㈨ࢆྵࡵࠊ⦆ࡸ࠿
࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆ࡍࡿ࡜ᛮࢃࢀࡿࡀࠊᾘ㈝⪅࣐࢖ࣥࢻࡸᾏእᬒẼ➼ࡢືྥ࡬ࡢὀどࡀᘬࡁ⥆ࡁᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
(༢఩:൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ 2005 ᖺᗘ౯᱁)
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2013
2014
2015
2016
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
2000
2005
2010
2011
2012
159,591
141,680
109,683
113,065
114,800
0.7%
4.0%
-10.0%
3.1%
1.5%
12.8%
2.2%
2.6%
0.4%
93,429
92,357
69,116
69,618
72,402
84,200
86,300
89,600
89,900
129,500
135,800
136,400
-0.5%
3.4%
-9.5%
0.7%
4.0%
16.3%
2.5%
3.8%
0.3%
66,162
49,323
40,567
43,447
42,398
45,300
46,100
46,200
46,500
2.5%
5.3%
-10.9%
7.1%
-2.4%
6.8%
1.8%
0.2%
0.6%
649,864
705,989
648,763
680,053
686,471
706,785
707,170
722,029
744,958
4.8%
4.4%
3.8%
4.8%
0.9%
3.0%
0.1%
2.1%
3.2%
ὀ1㸧2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ27ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
ὀ2㸧2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
132,400
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ぢ㎸䜏䊹
㸣๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
䊻ぢ㏻䛧
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
-5.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
2013ᖺᗘ
10-12
1-3
4-6
2014ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
4-6
1.9%
3.3%
-0.6%
1.1%
10-12
1-3
4-6
2015ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
4-6
7.7%
11.0%
2.0%
-0.9%
7-9
2013䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
10.0%
12.1%
13.4%
15.6%
4.2%
6.2%
0.2%
1.8%
2015䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
2.2%
2.7%
3.1%
3.9%
0.5%
0.3%
2.2%
3.9%
7-9
10-12
1-3
2016ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
1-3
20.1%
23.8%
13.8%
9.6%
4-6
4.2%
4.4%
3.7%
1.5%
1-3
3.4%
4.9%
0.5%
1.3%
4-6
-0.4%
-0.6%
-0.1%
3.5%
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
2014䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
3.1%
2.1%
0.2%
3.4%
2.4%
0.4%
2.6%
1.7%
-0.3%
0.6%
-0.2%
-1.3%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
0.1%
0.0%
1.5%
-0.7%
-0.3%
2.0%
1.5%
0.7%
0.5%
3.5%
2.5%
3.2%
ὀ㸧2015ᖺ10-12᭶ᮇࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
༢఩༓੍
ᖺᗘ
஦ົᡤ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᗑ⯒╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᕤሙ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
಴ᗜ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2000
7,280
2005
2010
6,893
4,658
2011
5,039
2012
2013
5,315
4,819
2014
2015
2016
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
5,097
5,479
-4.2%
-4.4%
-26.8%
8.2%
5.5%
-9.3%
5.8%
7.5%
5.0%
11,862
12,466
5,727
5,173
7,403
8,326
7,112
6,120
6,242
-17.9%
9.7%
4.1%
-9.7%
43.1%
12.5%
-14.6%
-13.9%
2.0%
13,714
14,135
6,405
7,168
8,203
7,890
7,482
8,842
9,018
37.6%
6.8%
17.6%
11.9%
14.4%
-3.8%
-5.2%
18.2%
2.0%
7,484
8,991
4,234
5,361
6,248
6,842
8,003
7,694
7,700
11.2%
16.3%
6.1%
26.6%
16.6%
9.5%
17.0%
-3.9%
0.1%
59,250
65,495
37,403
40,502
44,559
47,679
45,013
44,306
44,940
2.0%
3.8%
7.3%
8.3%
10.0%
7.0%
-5.6%
-1.6%
1.4%
ὀ㸧㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ࠿ࡽ஦ົᡤࠊᗑ⯒ࠊᕤሙࠊ಴ᗜࢆ᥍㝖ࡋࡓṧవࡣࠊᏛᰯࠊ⑓㝔ࠊࡑࡢ௚࡟ヱᙜࡍࡿ㹿
5,753
䝬䜽䝻⤒῭䛾᥎⛣ 㻌
ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ࡟ᬒẼࡀ⦆ࡸ࠿࡟ᅇ᚟ࡍࡿぢ㏻ࡋ
2015 ᖺᗘࡣࠊබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ 2014 ᖺᗘ࡜ẚ㍑ࡋ࡚ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡉࢀࠊಶேᾘ㈝ࠊ௻ᴗࡢᬒἣ
ឤ࡞࡝ࠊᙅ࠸ືࡁࡶぢࡽࢀࡿࡀࠊࠕ୍൨⥲ά㌍♫఍ࡢᐇ⌧࡟ྥࡅ࡚⥭ᛴ࡟ᐇ᪋ࡍ࡭ࡁᑐ⟇ࠖ࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡿ
㞠⏝࣭ᡤᚓ⎔ቃࡢᨵၿࠊཎἜ౯᱁ୗⴠ࡟ࡼࡿ௻ᴗ཰┈࡞࡝ࡢᢲୖࡆࡸタഛᢞ㈨ࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋࡀண ࡉࢀࡿ
ࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ⤒῭ࡢዲᚠ⎔ࡀ㐍ᒎࡍࡿ୰࡛ࠊᬒẼࡀ⦆ࡸ࠿࡟ᅇ᚟ࡍࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ2016 ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ࡢ᪩ᮇᇳ⾜࡟ຍ࠼ࠊᖺᗘᚋ༙࡟ࡣ 2017 ᖺ 4 ᭶࡟ணᐃࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿᾘ
㈝ቑ⛯࡟ࡼࡾಶேᾘ㈝ࡸఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢᙳ㡪ࡶ࠶ࡾࠊ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥆ࡃぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ୍
᪉࡛බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ2015 ᖺᗘ࡜ẚ㍑ࡋ࡚ῶᑡࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡀண ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
ୗ᣺ࢀࣜࢫࢡ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ࢔࣓ࣜ࢝ࡢ㔠⼥ᨻ⟇ṇᖖ໬ࡢᙳ㡪ࠊ୰ᅜࡸࡑࡢ௚᪂⯆ᅜࡢᬒẼࡢඛ⾜ࡁࠊ
ཎἜ౯᱁ୗⴠࡢ⏘Ἔᅜ➼࡬ࡢᙳ㡪➼࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࠊᘬࡁ⥆ࡁ␃ពࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑ࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬2.2㸣
㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ‫ڹ‬0.1㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣ 2.6㸣ቑ㸦ྠ 0.1㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ 2.1㸣ቑ㸦ྠ
0.3㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬4.9㸣
㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ‫ڹ‬0.2㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣ 3.1㸣ࡢቑຍ㸦ྠ 0.1㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ 3.2㸣
ࡢቑຍ㸦ྠ 0.4㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ 2005 ᬺᖺ㐃㙐౯᱁⾲♧㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᐇ㉁GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ྡ┠GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2000
4,767,233
2.0%
2,750,555
0.3%
0.2
839,598
4.8%
0.8
200,798
-0.1%
0.0
649,864
4.8%
0.7
350,705
-6.1%
-0.5
3,408
-110.2%
0.8
-20,874
102.6%
0.0
5,108,347
0.8%
2005
5,071,580
1.9%
2,925,785
1.9%
1.1
923,628
0.4%
0.1
183,450
-0.7%
0.0
705,989
4.4%
0.6
241,128
-6.7%
-0.3
8,072
-46.3%
-0.1
83,487
56.0%
0.6
5,053,494
0.5%
2010
5,127,203
3.5%
2,997,207
1.6%
0.9
978,863
2.0%
0.4
125,337
2.2%
0.1
648,763
3.8%
0.5
207,145
-6.4%
-0.3
-1,357
-97.3%
1.1
171,665
46.5%
0.8
4,805,275
1.4%
2011
5,146,943
0.4%
3,039,745
1.4%
0.8
990,681
1.2%
0.2
129,361
3.2%
0.1
680,053
4.8%
0.6
200,543
-3.2%
-0.1
-12,854
847.2%
-0.3
122,625
-28.6%
-1.0
4,741,705
-1.3%
ὀ㸧2014 ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
2012
5,198,024
1.0%
3,094,893
1.8%
1.1
1,005,783
1.5%
0.3
136,782
5.7%
0.2
688,082
1.2%
0.2
202,642
1.0%
0.0
-12,889
0.3%
0.0
85,711
-30.1%
-0.8
4,746,357
0.1%
2013
5,297,962
1.9%
3,161,914
2.2%
1.4
1,021,937
1.6%
0.3
148,861
8.8%
0.3
706,788
2.7%
0.4
223,538
10.3%
0.5
-26,456
105.3%
-0.3
72,647
-15.2%
-0.5
4,824,306
1.6%
2014
5,246,875
-1.0%
3,070,555
-2.9%
-1.8
1,023,115
0.1%
0.0
131,405
-11.7%
-0.4
707,170
0.1%
0.0
217,681
-2.6%
-0.1
3,025
-111.4%
0.6
113,484
56.2%
0.6
4,896,179
1.5%
2015
2016
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
5,281,632
0.7%
3,058,204
-0.4%
-0.2
1,037,746
1.4%
0.3
134,814
2.6%
0.1
722,029
2.1%
0.3
212,792
-2.2%
-0.1
16,872
457.8%
0.3
116,815
2.9%
0.1
4,999,663
2.1%
5,322,371
0.8%
3,089,527
1.0%
0.6
1,048,087
1.0%
0.2
138,961
3.1%
0.1
744,958
3.2%
0.4
202,407
-4.9%
-0.2
10,705
-36.6%
-0.1
105,365
-9.8%
-0.2
5,039,930
0.8%
‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
㸦㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺࠊ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ぢ㏻ࡋ
ᐇ⦼
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
-3.0
-4.0
-5.0
-6.0
-7.0
-8.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2013ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2014ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
2015ᖺᗘ
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
2016ᖺᗘ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᐇ㉁*'3ᡂ㛗⋡㸦㸣㸧
ࠉࠉࠉ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
4-6
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.2
-0.1
0.1
-0.2
-0.2
4-6
0.7
0.1
0.3
-0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
2013
7-9 10-12
2.0
2.1
1.2
1.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.0
0.2
0.6
0.8
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
-0.5
2015㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
1.7
0.7
0.2
-0.7
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.3
0.5
-0.0
-0.3
0.6
0.7
0.2
-0.0
1-3
2.7
2.3
0.1
0.3
1.5
0.4
-0.6
-1.3
4-6
-0.3
-1.5
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
-0.0
1.3
-0.2
1-3
-0.3
-0.5
0.3
0.1
0.2
-0.2
-0.1
-0.2
4-6
0.5
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.4
0.0
-0.4
0.0
2014
7-9 10-12
-1.5
-1.0
-1.7
-1.3
-0.0
0.1
-0.4
-0.5
0.1
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.5
-0.1
0.3
1.1
2016㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
0.7
0.7
0.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.3
0.1
-0.4
-0.0
0.1
-0.2
-0.3
1-3
-1.0
-2.5
0.1
-0.5
-0.2
-0.2
1.0
1.3
1-3
1.1
1.5
0.1
0.0
0.5
-0.5
-0.2
-0.4
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ࠉ
༢఩㸸൨෇
2011
432,923
224,801
138,400
4,650
133,750
86,401
16,783
69,618
208,122
164,675
138,544
26,131
43,447
186,108
246,815
21,433
203,368
164,675
43,447
2012
452,914
235,125
145,769
4,825
140,944
89,356
16,954
72,402
217,789
175,391
149,656
25,735
42,398
197,170
255,744
21,779
213,346
175,391
42,398
ྡ┠
2013
2014
2015
512,900
513,000
500,100
270,700
258,600
265,900
164,600
152,000
155,000
6,700
6,400
5,400
157,900
145,600
149,600
106,100
106,600
110,900
21,900
20,300
21,300
84,200
86,300
89,600
242,200
254,400
234,200
196,900
208,300
188,000
170,700
182,500
165,800
26,200
25,800
22,200
45,300
46,100
46,200
225,500
235,000
214,700
287,400
278,000
285,400
28,600
26,700
26,700
242,100
231,900
239,200
196,900
208,300
188,000
45,300
46,100
46,200
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2016
496,100
270,100
160,000
5,200
154,800
110,100
20,200
89,900
226,000
179,500
157,300
22,200
46,500
204,900
291,200
25,400
244,700
179,500
46,500
༢఩㸸൨෇
2011
407,712
213,387
131,568
4,429
127,139
81,819
15,893
65,926
194,325
153,758
129,359
24,399
40,567
174,080
233,632
20,322
193,065
153,758
40,567
2012
432,947
226,986
140,984
4,675
136,309
86,002
16,318
69,684
205,961
165,735
141,318
24,417
40,226
186,728
246,219
20,993
205,993
165,735
40,226
ᐇ㉁
2013
2014
2015
479,510
466,996
453,900
255,359
237,750
243,700
155,454
139,862
142,300
6,351
5,915
5,000
149,103
133,947
137,300
99,905
97,888
101,400
20,621
18,641
19,500
79,284
79,247
81,900
224,151
229,246
210,200
182,090
187,489
168,500
157,763
164,119
148,500
24,327
23,370
20,000
42,061
41,757
41,700
209,062
212,045
193,000
270,448
254,951
260,900
26,972
24,556
24,500
228,387
213,194
219,200
182,090
187,489
168,500
42,061
41,757
41,700
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2016
448,100
246,100
146,100
4,800
141,300
100,000
18,400
81,600
202,000
160,200
140,300
19,900
41,800
183,400
264,700
23,200
222,900
160,200
41,800
㸨ᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
ࠉ
༢఩㸸㸣
ྡ ┠䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2011
2012
3.3
1.7
2.6
-9.8
3.1
0.4
-0.9
0.7
5.0
4.4
6.4
-5.1
7.1
3.5
3.1
-3.0
2.2
4.4
7.1
2013
4.6
4.6
5.3
3.8
5.4
3.4
1.0
4.0
4.6
6.5
8.0
-1.5
-2.4
5.9
3.6
1.6
4.9
6.5
-2.4
2014
13.2
15.1
12.9
38.9
12.0
18.7
29.2
16.3
11.2
12.3
14.1
1.8
6.8
14.4
12.4
31.3
13.5
12.3
6.8
2015
0.0
-2.5
-4.5
2.8
-7.7
2.0
-4.5
-15.6
-7.8
2.7
0.5
4.0
-7.3
4.9
2.5
3.8
5.0
-7.9
5.8
-9.7
6.9
-9.2
-1.5
-14.0
1.8
0.2
4.2
-8.6
-3.3
2.7
-6.6
0.0
-4.2
3.1
5.8
-9.7
1.8
0.2
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
ࠉ
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
2016
-0.8
1.6
3.2
-3.7
3.5
-0.7
-5.2
0.3
-3.5
-4.5
-5.1
0.0
0.7
-4.6
2.0
-4.9
2.3
-4.5
0.7
༢఩㸸㸣
ᐇ ㉁䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2011
1.8
0.3
1.2
-11.0
1.7
-1.0
-2.3
-0.7
3.5
2.9
4.8
-6.3
5.7
2.0
1.7
-4.4
0.9
2.9
5.7
2012
2013
6.2
6.4
7.2
5.6
7.2
5.1
2.7
5.7
6.0
7.8
9.2
0.1
-0.8
7.3
5.4
3.3
6.7
7.8
-0.8
2014
10.8
12.5
10.3
35.9
9.4
16.2
26.4
13.8
8.8
9.9
11.6
-0.4
4.6
12.0
9.8
28.5
10.9
9.9
4.6
2015
-2.6
-2.8
-6.9
2.5
-10.0
1.7
-6.9
-15.5
-10.2
2.5
-2.0
3.6
-9.6
4.6
0.0
3.3
2.3
-8.3
3.0
-10.1
4.0
-9.5
-3.9
-14.4
-0.7
-0.1
1.4
-9.0
-5.7
2.3
-9.0
-0.2
-6.7
2.8
3.0
-10.1
-0.7
-0.1
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2016
-1.3
1.0
2.7
-4.0
2.9
-1.4
-5.6
-0.4
-3.9
-4.9
-5.5
-0.5
0.2
-5.0
1.5
-5.3
1.7
-4.9
0.2
䠄ཧ⪃䠅
㻌
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨䛸 GDP ẚ䛾᥎⛣㻌
㸦඙෇㸧
90
20%
㻤㻠㻚㻜
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
඙෇
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
80
18%
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
㻝㻣 㻚㻠㻑
16%
70
14%
60
㻡㻜㻚㻜඙෇
㻠㻥㻚㻢඙෇
50
12%
10%
㻝㻜㻚㻜㻑
㻥㻚㻤㻑
40
㻟㻡 㻚㻞
඙෇
㻟㻞 㻚㻟
8%
඙෇
30
㻣 㻚㻜㻑
㻢 㻚㻣㻑
㻞㻟㻚㻡඙෇
6%
㻞㻝㻚㻡඙෇
㻞㻜㻚㻡඙෇
20
㻠㻚㻟㻑
㻠㻚㻜㻑
10
0
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
0%
16㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
ぢ㎸ ぢ㎸ ぢ㏻ ぢ㏻
ὀ1)2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢGDPࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ࡞࠾ࠊ1992㹼93ᖺᗘࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ12ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁㺂
1994ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ17ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ2)2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬㺀ᖹᡂ27ᖺᗘᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ3)2015ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣࠊ㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㸦2016ᖺ4᭶㸧ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
4%
2%
92
ᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻝㻣㻚㻠㻑
䊻㻥㻚㻤㻑
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻣㻚㻜㻑
䊻㻠㻚㻜㻑