建設経済モデルによる建設投資の見通し

ᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ
㸦 2016 ᖺ 10 ᭶ 㸧
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ➨ ḟ⿵ṇண⟬ࡢᡂ❧࡟ࡼࡾ ᖺᗘࢆୖᅇࡿỈ‽࡟
ᖺᗘࡣ ඙෇ࢆୖᅇࡿỈ‽࡟
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫ Ꮿ ᢞ ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡸ㔠฼ࡢపୗ࡟ࡼࡾ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸
2016 ᖺ 10 ᭶ 27 ᪥
㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦୍㈈㸧⤒῭ㄪᰝ఍ ⤒῭ㄪᰝ◊✲ᡤ
㸺࠾ၥ࠸ྜࢃࡏඛ㸼
୍⯡㈈ᅋἲே ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦㟁 ヰ㸧03-3433-5011 㸦FAX㸧03-3433-5239
㸦E 㺰㺎㺷㸧[email protected]
◊✲⌮஦ ᚨỌ ᨻ㐨 ◊✲ဨ ྡ᱒ ⪔ᖹ
┠ ḟ
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ࡢ᥎⛣͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ࡣࡌࡵ࡟
ᮏ࣏࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࢆ⏝࠸ࠊᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬㸦ᅄ༙ᮇู GDP ㏿ሗ㸧ࡢ 2016 ᖺ 4㹼6 ᭶
ᮇ࣭2 ḟ㏿ሗࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼࡚ண ࡋࡓ 2016㹼2017 ᖺᗘࡢᖺᗘู࣭ᅄ༙ᮇูࡢᘓタ⤒῭ࡢண ⤖ᯝ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ࡢࣝࢹࣔی‬ᴫせ
ࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨άືࢆ㟂せືྥࠊ㔠฼࡞࡝࡜㛵㐃࡙ࡅࡓ᪉⛬ᘧయ⣔࡛⾲ࡋࠊ࣐ࢡ
ࣟⓗ࡞ᬒẼࡢືࡁ࡜ᩚྜࡍࡿᙧ࡛ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋࢆᥥࡃࡇ࡜ࢆ┠ⓗ࡜ࡋࡓ࣐ࢡࣟィ㔞⤒῭ࣔࢹ࡛ࣝ
࠶ࡿࠋNEEDS ᪥ᮏ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࢆ࣮࣋ࢫ࡟ࠊఫᏯᢞ㈨ࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࠊබඹᢞ㈨࡜࠸ࡗࡓᘓタ㛵㐃㒊㛛ࢆ
ᣑ඘ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡇ࠺ࡋࡓࣔࢹࣝ໬࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊ㔠⼥㈈ᨻᨻ⟇ࡸᾏእᬒẼࡢኚື࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡾࠊᘓタάື࡟࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡞ Ἴཬᙳ㡪ࡀཬࡪ࠿ࢆ⡆౽࡟ィ⟬ࡋࡓࡾࠊ㏫࡟ᘓタᢞ㈨ḟ➨࡛ᬒẼࡢ⾜᪉ࡀ࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡟ኚࢃࡿ࠿ࢆᥗࢇ
ࡔࡾࠊ࡜࠸ࡗࡓࡇ࡜ࡀྍ⬟࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋண ࡣࠊᅄ༙ᮇࢹ࣮ࢱࢆࡶ࡜࡟ྥ࠺ 1㹼2 ᖺࡢࣞࣥࢪ࡛⾜࠺ࠋ
ࡇࢀ࡟ࡼࡾࠊᙜヱᖺᗘࡸḟᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢỈ‽ࠊఙࡧࠊᵓᡂẚ➼࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࠊᅄ༙ᮇูࡸᖺᗘู࡟ࠊ
ᐃ㔞ⓗ࡞ࢹ࣮ࢱࢆᚓࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡢ୰࡟⤌ࡳ㎸ࢇࡔ⣽ศ໬ࡋࡓᘓタᢞ㈨࠿ࡽࠊࠗᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋ࠘㸦ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬⥲ྜ
ᨻ⟇ᒁᘓタ⤒῭⤫ィㄪᰝᐊ㸧ᡤⶶࡢᘓタᢞ㈨㢠㸦Ẹ㛫࣭ᨻᗓࠊఫᏯ࣭㠀ఫᏯ࣭ᅵᮌࠊᐇ㉁࣭ྡ┠㸧࡜
ྠᴫᛕࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆ⟬ฟࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࡼ࠺࡟࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨ࡤ࠿ࡾ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࠊ≀౯ୖ᪼⋡ࠊ㈤㔠ࠊ௻ᴗ཰┈ࠊ㞠⏝ࠊ
ᅜ㝿཰ᨭ࡜࠸ࡗࡓ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ືྥ࡟㛵ࡍࡿண ࡸࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜࠺ศᯒࢶ࣮ࣝ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡶά⏝
࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ๓ᥦ᮲௳
ձᑐࢻࣝ෇࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 7㹼9 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 102.4 ෇ࠊ10㹼12 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 103.6 ෇ࠊ2017 ᖺ
1㹼3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 103.4 ෇ࠊ2017 ᖺ 4㹼6 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 106.3 ෇ࠊ7㹼9 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 104.6 ෇ࠊ
10㹼12 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 105.0 ෇ࠊ2018 ᖺ 1㹼3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 105.7 ෇࡜ࡋࡓࠋ
ղ↓ᢸಖࢥ࣮ࣝ⩣᪥≀㔠฼ࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 7㹼9 ᭶ᮇࢆ-0.05%ࠊ2016 ᖺ 10㹼12 ᭶ᮇ㹼2017 ᖺ 1㹼3 ᭶ᮇ
ࢆ-0.04%ࠊ2017 ᖺ 4㹼6 ᭶ᮇࢆ-0.06%ࠊ2017 ᖺ 7㹼9 ᭶ᮇࢆ-0.04%ࠊ2017 ᖺ 10㹼12 ᭶ᮇࢆ-0.03%ࠊ
2018 ᖺ 1㹼3 ᭶ᮇࢆ-0.02%࡜ண ࡋࡓࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ⤖ᯝ
2016ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
2017ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
519,400
1.9%
512,000
-1.4%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
219,500
1.9%
213,000
-3.0%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
149,100
3.3%
148,200
-0.6%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
150,800
0.8%
150,800
0.0%
ᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ➨ ḟ⿵ṇண⟬ࡢᡂ❧࡟ࡼࡾ ᖺᗘࢆୖᅇࡿỈ‽࡟
ᖺᗘࡣ ඙෇ࢆୖᅇࡿỈ‽࡟
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘࡣ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡸ㔠฼ࡢపୗ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2016 ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ẚ࡛
ᶓࡤ࠸࡜ࡋࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊࠕ᚟⯆࣭๰⏕ᮇ㛫ࠖ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㛵ಀ┬ᗇࡢᙜึ
ண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࠊࡲࡓࠊ2016 ᖺᗘ➨ 2 ḟ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ୍㒊
ࡀ 2016 ᖺᗘ࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡞࡝ࢆ᝿ᐃࡋࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 1.9%ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ౯᱁ࡢ㧗Ṇࡲࡾ࡟ࡼࡿศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢ╔ᕤῶࡀ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇࡟
ࡼࡿ╔ᕤቑࡀ⥅⥆ࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡞࡝࠿ࡽࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.3%ቑࠊఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.2%ቑ
࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ㊊ඖࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋࡢືࡁ࡟㊊㋃ࡳࡀࡳࡽࢀࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ௻ᴗ཰┈ࡢᨵၿ➼ࢆ
⫼ᬒ࡟ᗏሀࡃ᥎⛣ࡋࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.3%ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ୍᪉ࠊᘓ⠏༢౯ࡀ๓ᖺᗘ
ࡼࡾపୗࡍࡿ࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬1.5㸣࡜࡞ࡿࡀࠊᅵᮌ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ⣔௻
ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡀᐤ୚ࡋࠊ඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.8㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2017 ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢྛ┬ᴫ⟬せồࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜ
ึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡜ࡋ࡚᥎ィࡋࠊࡲࡓࠊ2016 ᖺᗘ➨ 2 ḟ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡀ 2017 ᖺᗘ࡟୍㒊ฟ᮶
㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡞࡝ࢆ᝿ᐃࡋࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬3.0%࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡶḟ➨࡟ῶᑡ࡟ྥ࠿࠸ࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡶ౯᱁㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢ≧ἣ࡟኱ࡁ࡞ኚ
໬ࡣぢ㎸ࡲࢀ࡞࠸࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬0.6%ࠊఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬1.8%࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘ࠿ࡽ࡯ࡰᶓࡤ࠸ࡀண ࡉࢀࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬0.4%ࠊẸ
㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.8%ቑࠊ඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚs0.0%࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺ䚷ᗘ
2000
2005
2010
2012
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
661,948
515,676
419,282
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-3.4%
-2.4%
-2.4%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
299,601
189,738
179,820
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-6.2%
-8.9%
0.3%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-2.9
-3.5
0.1
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
202,756
184,258
129,779
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-2.2%
0.3%
1.1%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-0.7
0.1
0.3
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
159,591
141,680
109,683
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
0.7%
4.0%
-10.0%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
0.2
1.0
-2.8
ᐇ㉁ᘓタᢞ㈨
663,673
515,676
400,503
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-3.6%
-3.5%
-2.7%
ὀ㻕㻞㻜㻝㻡ᖺᗘ䜎䛷䛾ᘓタᢞ㈨䛿ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬䛂ᖹᡂ㻞㻤ᖺᗘ㻌ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻䛧䛃䜘䜚䚹
452,914
4.6%
197,170
5.9%
2.6
140,944
5.4%
1.7
114,800
1.5%
0.4
432,947
6.2%
2013
512,984
13.3%
225,608
14.4%
6.3
157,893
12.0%
3.7
129,483
12.8%
3.2
479,444
10.7%
2014
2015
2016
2017
㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧 㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
512,400
509,500
519,400
512,000
-0.1%
-0.6%
1.9%
-1.4%
229,600
215,500
219,500
213,000
1.8%
-6.1%
1.9%
-3.0%
0.8
-2.8
0.8
-1.3
141,200
144,400
149,100
148,200
-10.6%
2.3%
3.3%
-0.6%
-3.3
0.6
0.9
-0.2
141,600
149,600
150,800
150,800
9.4%
5.6%
0.8%
0.0%
2.4
1.6
0.2
0.0
466,610
466,284
477,800
464,900
-2.7%
-0.1%
2.5%
-2.7%
‫┠ྡە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
㸦඙෇㸧
70
66.2
30%
㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧 㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧
60
16.0
51.6
50
25%
51.3
51.2
51.0
51.9
51.2
12.9
14.2
15.0
15.1
15.1
45.3
41.9
14.2
20.3
40
20%
11.5
11.0
30
15%
15.8
18.4
13.0
14.1
14.1
14.9
14.4
14.8
10%
20
30.0
10
18.0
19.7
22.6
23.0
21.6
22.0
21.3
2005
2010
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
0%
2017 㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
0
2000
5%
19.0
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸧
‫┠ྡە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
๓ᖺᗘẚ㸦㸣㸧
Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
-8.0
-10.0
-12.0
-14.0
-16.0
2000
2005
2010
ᨻᗓᘓタᐤ୚ᗘ
2012
2013
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧
㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧
2014
2015
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
2016
2017 䠄ᖺᗘ䠅
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ྡ┠㸧ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧 ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ఙ
䜃
⋡
ఙ
䜃
⋡
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
4䇲6
5.2%
5.2%
0.4%
10.9%
4䇲6
0.3%
-3.2%
3.7%
1.1%
2014䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
0.1%
-1.9%
2.6%
1.4%
-11.1%
-15.0%
9.9%
9.3%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
4.7%
-1.0%
8.6%
-4.2%
3.8%
3.1%
0.2%
0.3%
1䇲3
-2.3%
-0.6%
-14.9%
7.9%
4䇲6
0.2%
-0.9%
-3.4%
5.7%
1䇲3
3.7%
6.0%
2.5%
1.3%
4䇲6
0.9%
5.0%
-2.4%
-0.5%
2015䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
1.9%
-1.0%
-4.1%
-8.4%
6.0%
5.1%
6.8%
7.7%
2017䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
-4.6%
1.4%
-10.1%
2.9%
-0.7%
0.4%
-0.3%
0.1%
1䇲3
-2.9%
-8.9%
1.3%
3.0%
1䇲3
-3.0%
-7.3%
0.2%
0.7%
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
㻌
ᖺᗘࡣ➨ḟ⿵ṇண⟬ࡢᡂ❧࡟ࡼࡾᖺᗘࢆୖᅇࡿỈ‽࡟
ᖺᗘࡣ඙෇ࢆୖᅇࡿỈ‽࡟
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠㸣ቑ㸦ᐇ㉁㸣ቑ㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ2016ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘ
ᙜึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡜ࡋ࡚ࠊࡲࡓࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊࠕ᚟⯆࣭๰⏕ᮇ㛫ࠖ
࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㛵ಀ┬ᗇࡢᙜึண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ⥲ົ┬ࡀࡲ࡜ࡵࡓᖹᡂ28ᖺᗘᆅ᪉㈈ᨻィ⏬࡛♧ࡉࢀࡓෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ2016ᖺᗘᙜ
ึண⟬࡟ࡘ࠸࡚๓ᖺᗘẚ3.0㸣ቑ࡜ࡋ࡚஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
2015ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2016ᖺᗘ࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜᝿ᐃࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
⇃ᮏᆅ㟈࠿ࡽࡢ᚟ᪧ࣭᚟⯆࡟ಀࡿ2016ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬ࡣࠊ2016ᖺᗘ࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜᝿ᐃࡋ࡚
࠸ࡿࠋ
2016ᖺ10᭶࡟ᡂ❧ࡋࡓ2016ᖺᗘ➨2ḟ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2016ᖺᗘ࡟୍㒊ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚
ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜᝿ᐃࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ᪩ᮇᇳ⾜ࡀᮃࡲࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠‫ڹ‬㸣㸦ᐇ㉁‫ڹ‬㸣㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊබ⾲ࡉࢀࡓ2017ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢྛ┬ᴫ⟬せồࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡜ࡋ࡚ࠊࡲࡓࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
ࡣࠊࠕ᚟⯆࣭๰⏕ᮇ㛫ࠖ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㛵ಀ┬ᗇࡢᴫ⟬せồࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ⥲ົ┬ࡀࡲ࡜ࡵࡓࠕᖹᡂ29ᖺᗘࡢᆅ᪉㈈ᨻࡢㄢ㢟࡛ࠖ♧ࡉࢀࡓᆅ᪉㈈ᨻ཰ᨭࡢ௬
ヨ⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ2017ᖺᗘண⟬࡟ࡘ࠸࡚๓ᖺᗘ୪ࡳ࡜ࡋ࡚஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
2016ᖺᗘ➨2ḟ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2017ᖺᗘ࡟୍㒊ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜᝿ᐃࡋ࡚࠸
ࡿࠋ
‫ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
2000
2005
2010
2012
2013
2015
2016
2017
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
299,601
189,738
179,820
197,170
225,608
229,600
215,500
219,500
213,000
-6.2%
-8.9%
0.3%
5.9%
14.4%
1.8%
-6.1%
1.9%
-3.0%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
40,004
20,527
22,096
21,779
28,701
31,300
26,900
27,100
25,600
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-12.0%
-13.9%
-0.1%
1.6%
31.8%
9.1%
-14.1%
0.7%
-5.5%
259,597
169,211
157,724
175,391
196,907
198,300
188,600
192,400
187,400
-5.2%
-8.3%
0.3%
6.5%
12.3%
0.7%
-4.9%
2.0%
-2.6%
300,719
189,738
170,702
186,728
209,018
207,289
195,611
200,500
191,500
-6.5%
-10.2%
-0.3%
7.3%
11.9%
-0.8%
-5.6%
2.5%
-4.5%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ὀ1㸧2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ28ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
2014
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
‫┠ྡە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
඙෇
40
๓ᖺᗘẚ
Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
45%
30.0
㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧
4.0
19.0
20
22.6
23.0
2.9
3.1
19.7
19.8
18.9
2013
2014
2015
19.7
18.0
2.1
30%
㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧
21.6
22.0
21.3
2.7
2.7
2.6
19.2
18.7
2016
-15%
2017 ᖺᗘ
2.2
15%
2.2
26.0
15.8
17.5
2010
2012
0%
16.9
0
2000
2005
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
䠂䠄๓ᖺྠᮇẚ䠅
ぢ㎸ࡳЋ Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
-10.0
-20.0
-30.0
-40.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
2014ᖺᗘ
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
2015ᖺᗘ
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
2016ᖺᗘ
10-12
1-3
2017ᖺᗘ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
2014 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
5.2%
2.6%
1.4%
-0.6%
-0.9%
-4.1%
-8.4%
-8.9%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
12.7%
9.9%
8.7%
6.6%
-9.2%
-12.1%
-16.1%
-16.5%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
4.1%
1.5%
0.3%
-1.6%
0.5%
-2.8%
-7.2%
-7.6%
2016 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
7-9
2015 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
4-6
7-9
2017 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
-3.2%
8.6%
-4.2%
6.0%
5.0%
-10.1%
2.9%
-7.3%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
-4.3%
7.4%
-5.3%
4.9%
2.2%
-12.5%
0.2%
-9.7%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
-3.1%
8.7%
-4.1%
6.2%
5.4%
-9.8%
3.3%
-6.9% 㻌 ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ䛾᥎⛣㻌 㻌
ᖺᗘࡣ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡸ㔠฼ࡢపୗ࡟ࡼࡾ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ
┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࠊ᪥㖟ࡀ 2016 ᖺ 1 ᭶࡟ᑟධࡋࡓ࣐࢖ࢼࢫ㔠฼ᨻ⟇࡟ࡼࡿ㔠฼ࡢపୗࠊ౯᱁ࡢ㧗Ṇࡲ
ࡾ࡞࡝ࡢせᅉࡀ╔ᕤ࡟ᙳ㡪ࢆ୚࠼ࡿ࡜᥎ᐹࡉࢀࡿࠋ
2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊᣢᐙ࡜ศㆡᡞᘓࡣᏳᐃⓗ࡟᥎⛣ࡋࠊ㈚ᐙࡣ 2015 ᖺ 1 ᭶࡟┦⥆⛯ࡀቑ⛯ࡉࢀࡓ௨㝆ࡶ╔
ᕤቑࡀ⥆࠸࡚࠾ࡾࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ࡟࡞ࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡣࠊ౯᱁㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢᙳ㡪࡟ࡼࡾࠊ
ᘬࡁ⥆ࡁ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࡀࠊ㈚ᐙࡀ╔ᕤᡞᩘࢆ≌ᘬࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ඲య࡜ࡋ࡚๓
ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
2017 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡶḟ➨࡟ῶᑡ࡟ྥ࠿ࡗ࡚࠸ࡃ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍ
ࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡶࠊ౯᱁㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢ≧ἣ࡟኱ࡁ࡞ኚ໬ࡣぢ㎸ࡲࢀ࡞࠸࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ
࡛ῶᑡ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ඲యࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊᣢᐙ࡜ศㆡᡞᘓࡣᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸࡛᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࡿࡀࠊ㈚
ᐙ࡜ศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢῶᑡ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ୓ᡞࠊ ᖺᗘࡣྠ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᣢᐙࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 4㹼8 ᭶ᮇࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 3.4㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊὀᩥఫᏯ኱ᡭ 5 ♫ࡢཷὀ㏿ሗᖹᆒࡣ
2016 ᖺ 8 ᭶ࡣ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ‫ڹ‬2.4%࡜࡞ࡗࡓࡶࡢࡢࠊ5㹼9 ᭶ࡣ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ 0.6㹼5.6㸣ቑ࡜ሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡋ࡚
࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2017 ᖺᗘࡣࠊᘬࡁ⥆ࡁᏳᐃⓗ࡟᥎
⛣ࡋࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ᚤቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.6㸣ቑࡢ 29.2 ୓ᡞࠊ2017 ᖺᗘࡣྠ 1.1㸣ቑࡢ
29.5 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
㈚ᐙࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 4㹼8 ᭶ᮇࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 10.8㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ㈤㈚ఫᏯ኱ᡭ 3 ♫ࡢཷὀ㏿ሗᖹᆒࡶ
2016 ᖺ 4㹼9 ᭶࡛๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ 0.3㹼10.4%ቑ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡣ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡢຠᯝ࡜࣐࢖ࢼࢫ
㔠฼ᨻ⟇࡟ࡼࡿ㔠฼ࡢపୗࡀせᅉ࡜ࡋ࡚⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊᘬࡁ⥆ࡁሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡋࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑ
ຍ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2017 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇࡟ಀࡿ╔ᕤࡶῶᑡ࡟ྥ࠿࠺࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ
࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 5.9㸣ቑࡢ 40.6 ୓ᡞࠊ2017 ᖺᗘࡣྠ‫ڹ‬3.9㸣ࡢ 39.0 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ศㆡఫᏯࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 4㹼8 ᭶ᮇࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ‫ڹ‬1.3㸣࡛ࠊ࠺ࡕ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡀྠ‫ڹ‬11.3㸣ࠊᡞᘓࡀྠ 9.9㸣
ቑ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡣ㊊ඖ࡛╔ᕤᡞᩘࡀῶࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ2016 ᖺ 8 ᭶ࡣ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ‫ڹ‬33.1%࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸
ࡿࠋ㤳㒔ᅪ࣭㏆␥ᅪࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢ㈍኎≧ἣࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 4㹼9 ᭶ᮇࡢ㈍኎ᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ‫ڹ‬8.9㸣࡛ࠊ
ዎ⣙⋡ࡶᖹᆒ 69.1㸣࡜ዲㄪ࠿ྰ࠿ࡢ┠Ᏻ࡛࠶ࡿ 70㸣ࢆୗᅇࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡣࠊ౯᱁
ࡀ㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊࡑࡢᙳ㡪࡟ࡼࡾ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ࡜ண ࡋࠊᡞᘓࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸
࡛᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2017 ᖺᗘࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡣ౯᱁㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢ≧ἣ࡟኱ࡁ࡞ኚ໬ࡣぢ㎸ࡲࢀ࡞࠸࡜⪃
࠼ࡽࢀࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ࡜ண ࡋࠊᡞᘓࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚᶓࡤ࠸࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋศㆡఫᏯ඲య࡛ࡣ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢ
╔ᕤῶࡢᙳ㡪ࢆཷࡅ࡚ࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬3.9㸣ࡢ 23.7 ୓ᡞࠊ2017 ᖺᗘࡣྠ‫ڹ‬1.7㸣ࡢ 23.3 ୓ᡞ࡜
ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ͤ㈍኎ᡞᩘ࣭ዎ⣙⋡ࡣ㸦ᰴ㸧୙ື⏘⤒῭◊✲ᡤⓎ⾲ࡢ㤳㒔ᅪ࣭㏆␥ᅪࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥᕷሙືྥࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆྜ⟬
‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༓ᡞ㸧
1,400
ᐇ⦼← →ぢ㏻䛧
1,249.4
1,213.2
1,200
987.3
1,000
893.0
880.5
819.0
920.5
940.8
924.3
2015
2016
2017
800
600
400
200
0
2000
2005
ᣢᐙ
2010
㈚ᐙ
2012
2013
2014
ศㆡ㸦࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ㸧
ศㆡ㸦ᡞᘓ㸧
⤥୚
㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦ᡞᩘ༢఩㸸༓ᡞࠊᢞ㈨㢠༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
ᖺ ᗘ
2000
2005
2010
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
(ぢ㏻䛧)
඲ࠉయ
1,213.2
1,249.4
819.0
893.0
987.3
880.5
920.5
940.8
-1.1%
4.7%
5.6%
6.2%
10.6%
-10.8%
4.5%
2.2%
437.8
352.6
308.5
316.5
352.8
278.2
284.4
291.7
ᣢࠉᐙ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-8.0%
-4.0%
7.5%
3.8%
11.5%
-21.1%
2.2%
2.6%
418.2
518.0
291.8
320.9
370.0
358.3
383.7
406.2
㈚ࠉᐙ
╔
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-1.8%
10.8%
-6.3%
10.7%
15.3%
-3.1%
7.1%
5.9%
ᕤ
ᡞ
346.3
370.3
212.1
249.7
259.1
236.0
246.6
237.1
ศࠉㆡ
ᩘ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
11.0%
6.1%
29.6%
4.4%
3.8%
-8.9%
4.5%
-3.9%
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
220.6
232.5
98.7
125.1
125.2
111.8
120.4
108.6
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
13.4%
10.9%
44.5%
3.3%
0.1%
-10.7%
7.7%
-9.8%
125.7
137.8
113.4
124.5
133.9
124.2
126.2
128.5
ᡞࠉᘓ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
6.9%
-1.2%
19.0%
5.6%
7.5%
-7.2%
1.6%
1.8%
202,756
184,258
129,779
140,944
157,893
141,200
144,400
149,100
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-2.2%
0.3%
1.1%
5.4%
12.0%
-10.6%
2.3%
3.3%
ὀ1㸧╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2016࣭17ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ2㸧ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣ2013ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2014࣭15ᖺᗘࡣぢ㎸ࡳࠊ2016࣭17ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ3㸧⤥୚ఫᏯࡣ฼⏝㛵ಀู࡟⾲♧ࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࡀࠊ඲యࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ྵࡲࢀࡿࠋ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ࠉ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
2014
2015
7-9
10-12
-13.6%
-13.8%
-23.8%
-27.9%
ఙ
-5.7%
-6.8%
ࡧ
-11.2%
-5.1%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
-13.1%
4.1%
ᡞࠉᘓ
-9.4%
-12.2%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
7-9
10-12
4.9%
4.5%
0.6%
඲ࠉయ
2.1%
4.7%
0.0%
ᣢࠉᐙ
ఙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
11.0%
9.2%
2.1%
ࡧ
ศࠉㆡ
-0.5%
-4.3%
-1.4%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
-8.5%
-15.1%
-0.4%
ᡞࠉᘓ
9.3%
4.5%
-2.2%
ὀ㸧2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2016࣭17ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
඲ࠉయ
ᣢࠉᐙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
ศࠉㆡ
4-6
-9.3%
-19.3%
5.5%
-16.0%
-29.0%
-2.5%
1-3
-5.4%
-10.1%
-4.4%
-2.3%
-0.6%
-4.0%
4-6
7.6%
2.2%
5.3%
18.8%
52.2%
-6.4%
1-3
-1.5%
3.5%
0.7%
-9.2%
-14.5%
-3.9%
4-6
-5.0%
0.1%
-4.1%
-12.3%
-24.1%
-0.3%
7-9
10-12
6.2%
-0.7%
4.8%
0.2%
16.5%
1.3%
-5.4%
-3.6%
-12.2%
-11.6%
0.9%
3.7%
2017䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
-0.6%
0.7%
-0.4%
4.8%
-5.5%
-2.8%
8.9%
2.0%
23.3%
3.3%
-0.6%
0.9%
1-3
5.5%
1.7%
6.0%
9.3%
9.6%
9.0%
1-3
-2.1%
-0.2%
-2.9%
-3.0%
-8.4%
1.8%
2017
(ぢ㏻䛧)
924.3
-1.8%
294.9
1.1%
390.3
-3.9%
233.1
-1.7%
104.1
-4.1%
129.0
0.4%
148,200
-0.6%
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᘓ⠏㸩ᅵᮌ㸧ࡢ᥎⛣
ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ࡟ᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸
2016 ᖺ 4㹼6 ᭶ᮇࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ㸦ෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ2 ḟ㏿ሗ್㸧ࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 1.0㸣ቑ࡜
࡞ࡗࡓࠋ ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭⎔ቃࡢ୙☜ᐇᛶࡀ⥆ࡃ࡞࠿ࠊ㊊ඖࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡣᣢࡕ┤ࡋࡢືࡁ࡟㊊㋃ࡳࡀࡳࡽࢀࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ
ࡇࢀࡲ࡛ࡢ௻ᴗ཰┈ࡢᨵၿ➼ࢆ⫼ᬒ࡟タഛᢞ㈨ࡣᗏሀࡃ᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃࡇ࡜ࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡢᐇ
㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.4㸣ቑࠊ2017 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 1.6㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛᢞ㈨ࡢ࠺ࡕ
⣙ 2 ๭ࢆ༨ࡵࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊୗグࡢ㏻ࡾᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ 15 ඙ 800 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ2016 ᖺ
ᗘࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ࠊ஦ົᡤࡣ 5.7㸣ࠊᗑ⯒ࡣ 3.5㸣ࠊᕤሙࡣ 3.2㸣ࠊ಴ᗜࡣ 5.0㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡿࡇ࡜
ࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋ୍᪉ࠊᘓ⠏༢౯ࡀ๓ᖺᗘࡼࡾపୗࡍࡿ࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨඲య
࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬1.5㸣࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓẸ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ㕲㐨࣭㏻ಙ࣭࢞ࢫ࡞࡝ᅵᮌ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ⣔
௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡀሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚs㸣ࡢ 15 ඙ 800 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢ࠺ࡕ
ᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬0.4㸣ࠊᅵᮌᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.8㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
஦ົᡤࡣࠊ✵ᐊ⋡ࠊ㈤ᩱ࡜ࡶ඲ᅜⓗ࡟ሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ㟂⤥ࡣᘬࡁ⥾ࡲࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇࢆୗᅇࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊཷὀ㢠ࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇࢆୖᅇࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ㤳㒔ᅪ࡞࡝㒔ᕷ㒊࡟࠾ࡅࡿ኱
ᆺ≀௳ࡢከࡃࡀ╔ᕤࢆ㏄࠼ࡿ࡞࡝ࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣ௒ᚋࡶሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋ
ᗑ⯒ࡣࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࠊཷὀ㢠ࠊ኱つᶍᑠ኎ᗑ⯒❧ᆅἲ࡟ࡼࡿᒆฟ≧ἣࡣ࡯ࡰ๓ᖺྠᮇ୪ࡳ࡛᥎⛣ࡋ࡚
࠸ࡿࠋ㛗ࡃ⥆࠸ࡓ೵࡟୍ᐃࡢṑṆࡵࡀ᥃࠿ࡿ඙ೃࡀぢࡽࢀࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣᅇ᚟ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᕤሙࡣࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࠊཷὀ㢠࡜ࡶዲㄪࡔࡗࡓ๓ᖺྠᮇࢆୗᅇࡗ࡚᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊⅭ᭰ࡸᾏእᬒẼࡢື
ྥࢆὀどࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ⪁ᮙ໬タഛࡢ᭦᪂ࠊ⏕⏘ᛶྜ⌮໬ࠊప㔠฼➼ࣉࣛࢫせᅉࢆ⫼ᬒ࡟ࠊ╔
ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
಴ᗜࡣࠊࢿࢵࢺ㏻㈍ࠊ3PL㸦ࢧ࣮ࢻ࣭ࣃ࣮ࢸ࢕࣭ࣟࢪࢫࢸ࢕ࢡࢫ㸧ࡢᣑ኱ࢆ⫼ᬒ࡟ࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣᘬ
ࡁ⥆ࡁᗏሀࡃ᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ✵ᐊ⋡ࡢୖ᪼ࡀண ࡉࢀࡿᆅᇦࡶ࠶ࡾࠊ௒ᚋࡢ≧ἣࢆὀどࡍ
ࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ௒ᚋࠊ2020ᖺᮾி࢜ࣜࣥࣆࢵࢡ࣭ࣃࣛࣜࣥࣆࢵࢡࢆぢ㎸ࢇࡔᢞ㈨ࢆྵࡵࠊ⦆ࡸ࠿
࡞ᅇ᚟ഴྥ࡟࠶ࡿ࡜ᛮࢃࢀࡿࡀࠊᾘ㈝⪅࣐࢖ࣥࢻࡸᾏእᬒẼ➼ࡢືྥ࡬ࡢὀどࡀᘬࡁ⥆ࡁᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
(༢఩:൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ 2005 ᖺᗘ౯᱁)
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2014
2015
2016
2017
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
2000
2005
2010
2012
2013
159,591
141,680
109,683
114,800
129,483
141,600
149,600
150,800
0.7%
4.0%
-10.0%
1.5%
12.8%
9.4%
5.6%
0.8%
0.0%
93,429
92,357
69,116
72,402
84,189
93,100
100,000
98,500
98,100
-0.5%
3.4%
-9.5%
4.0%
16.3%
10.6%
7.4%
-1.5%
-0.4%
66,162
49,323
40,567
42,398
45,294
48,500
49,600
52,300
52,700
2.5%
5.3%
-10.9%
-2.4%
6.8%
7.1%
2.3%
5.4%
0.8%
649,864
705,989
648,763
686,471
706,784
707,225
721,915
724,800
736,694
4.8%
4.4%
3.8%
0.9%
3.0%
0.1%
2.1%
0.4%
1.6%
ὀ1㸧2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ 28ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
ὀ2㸧2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
150,800
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ぢ㎸䜏䊹
㸣๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
䊻ぢ㏻䛧
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
2014ᖺᗘ
1-3
4-6
7-9
2015ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
10-12
2014䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
9.9%
9.3%
11.1%
10.5%
7.6%
7.0%
0.6%
-0.1%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
0.2%
0.3%
-2.6%
-2.6%
5.8%
6.4%
0.2%
0.0%
4-6
1.1%
-1.8%
7.0%
1.0%
1-3
4-6
7-9
2016ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
4-6
10.9%
12.1%
8.6%
1.5%
10-12
10-12
1-3
2017ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
1-3
7.9%
9.1%
5.6%
-1.3%
4-6
5.7%
7.5%
2.3%
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
0.4%
3.2%
0.4%
4-6
-0.5%
-1.3%
1.0%
1.6%
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
2015䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
6.8%
7.7%
3.0%
8.6%
9.5%
4.7%
3.4%
4.2%
-0.3%
2.6%
4.1%
0.6%
2017䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
-0.3%
0.1%
0.7%
-0.6%
-0.4%
0.6%
0.1%
1.0%
0.8%
1.6%
1.8%
1.5%
ὀ㸧2016ᖺ4㹼6᭶ᮇࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
༢఩༓੍
ᖺᗘ
஦ົᡤ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᗑ⯒╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᕤሙ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
಴ᗜ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2000
2005
2010
2012
2013
2014
2015
2017
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7,280
6,893
4,658
5,315
4,819
5,097
5,441
5,753
5,839
-4.2%
-4.4%
-26.8%
5.5%
-9.3%
-4.1%
12.9%
5.7%
1.5%
11,862
12,466
5,727
7,403
8,326
7,112
6,029
6,242
6,304
-17.9%
9.7%
4.1%
43.1%
12.5%
-3.9%
-27.6%
3.5%
1.0%
13,714
14,135
6,405
8,203
7,890
7,482
8,739
9,018
9,108
37.6%
6.8%
17.6%
14.4%
-3.8%
-8.8%
10.8%
3.2%
1.0%
7,484
8,991
4,234
6,248
6,842
8,003
7,921
8,320
8,570
11.2%
16.3%
6.1%
16.6%
9.5%
28.1%
15.8%
5.0%
3.0%
59,250
65,495
37,403
44,559
47,679
45,013
44,278
45,746
46,358
2.0%
3.8%
7.3%
10.0%
7.0%
1.0%
-7.1%
3.3%
1.3%
ὀ㸧㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ࠿ࡽ஦ົᡤࠊᗑ⯒ࠊᕤሙࠊ಴ᗜࢆ᥍㝖ࡋࡓṧవࡣࠊᏛᰯࠊ⑓㝔ࠊࡑࡢ௚࡟ヱᙜࡍࡿ㹿
2016
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䝬䜽䝻⤒῭䛾᥎⛣ 㻌
ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ࡟ᬒẼࡀ⦆ࡸ࠿࡟ᅇ᚟ࡍࡿぢ㏻ࡋ
2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊಶேᾘ㈝ࠊ௻ᴗࡢᬒἣឤ࡞࡝࡟ᙅ࠸ືࡁࡶぢࡽࢀࡿࡀࠊࠕࢽࢵ୍࣏ࣥ൨⥲ά㌍ࣉࣛࣥࠖ
࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡿ㞠⏝࣭ᡤᚓ⎔ቃࡢᨵၿ࡜࡜ࡶ࡟ࠊࠕᮍ᮶࡬ࡢᢞ㈨ࢆᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ⤒῭ᑐ⟇ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿ㟂せႏ㉳ࡀ㐍
ࡴ࡜ண᝿ࡉࢀࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ⤒῭ࡢዲᚠ⎔ࡀ㐍ᒎࡍࡿ୰࡛ࠊᬒẼࡣ⦆ࡸ࠿࡟ᅇ᚟ࡍࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
2017 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ⤒῭ᑐ⟇ࡢ㐍ᤖࡀᮏ᱁໬ࡋࠊࡉࡽ࡟㟂せႏ㉳ࡀ㐍ࡴࡇ࡜࡛ࠊ⤒῭ࡢዲᚠ⎔ࡀ㐍ᒎࡋࠊᘬ
ࡁ⥆ࡁ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥆ࡃぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ୗ᣺ࢀࣜࢫࢡ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ࢔࣓ࣜ࢝ࡢ㔠⼥ᨻ⟇ṇᖖ໬ࡢᙳ㡪ࠊ୰ᅜࡸࡑࡢ௚᪂⯆ᅜࡢᬒẼࡢඛ⾜ࡁࠊⱥ
ᅜࡢ EU 㞳⬺ၥ㢟࡟క࠺ඛ⾜ࡁ୙㏱᫂ឤࡢ㧗ࡲࡾࠊ㔠⼥㈨ᮏᕷሙࡢኚື➼࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࠊ␃ពࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶
ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑ࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.1㸣ቑ
㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ 0.1㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣྠ 3.2㸣ቑ㸦ྠ 0.1㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣྠ 0.4㸣
ቑ㸦ྠ 0.1㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬4.8㸣
㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ‫ڹ‬0.2㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣྠ‫ڹ‬1.6㸣㸦ྠ‫ڹ‬0.0㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣྠ 1.6㸣
ቑ㸦ྠ 0.2㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ 2005 ᬺᖺ㐃㙐౯᱁⾲♧㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᐇ㉁GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ྡ┠GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2000
4,767,233
2.0%
2,750,555
0.3%
0.2
839,598
4.8%
0.8
200,798
-0.1%
0.0
649,864
4.8%
0.7
350,705
-6.1%
-0.5
3,408
-110.2%
0.8
-20,874
102.6%
0.0
5,108,347
0.8%
2005
5,071,580
1.9%
2,925,785
1.9%
1.1
923,628
0.4%
0.1
183,450
-0.7%
0.0
705,989
4.4%
0.6
241,128
-6.7%
-0.3
8,072
-46.3%
-0.1
83,487
56.0%
0.6
5,053,494
0.5%
2010
5,127,203
3.5%
2,997,207
1.6%
0.9
978,863
2.0%
0.4
125,337
2.2%
0.1
648,763
3.8%
0.5
207,145
-6.4%
-0.3
-1,357
-97.3%
1.1
171,665
46.5%
0.8
4,805,275
1.4%
2012
5,195,472
0.9%
3,091,577
1.7%
1.0
1,005,790
1.5%
0.3
136,775
5.7%
0.2
686,471
0.9%
0.1
202,629
1.0%
0.0
-10,708
-16.7%
0.0
85,791
-30.0%
-0.8
4,744,037
0.0%
ὀ㸧2015 ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
2013
5,297,654
2.0%
3,161,899
2.3%
1.4
1,021,937
1.6%
0.3
148,861
8.8%
0.3
706,784
3.0%
0.4
223,538
10.3%
0.5
-26,466
147.2%
-0.3
72,405
-15.6%
-0.5
4,824,009
1.7%
2014
5,247,825
-0.9%
3,071,592
-2.9%
-1.7
1,023,182
0.1%
0.0
131,428
-11.7%
-0.4
707,225
0.1%
0.0
217,793
-2.6%
-0.1
3,138
-111.9%
0.6
113,172
56.3%
0.6
4,895,577
1.5%
2015
5,291,921
0.8%
3,065,402
-0.2%
-0.1
1,039,298
1.6%
0.3
134,559
2.4%
0.1
721,915
2.1%
0.3
211,936
-2.7%
-0.1
17,701
464.1%
0.3
116,882
3.3%
0.1
5,005,467
2.2%
2016
2017
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
5,324,332
0.6%
3,087,538
0.7%
0.4
1,057,264
1.7%
0.3
138,804
3.2%
0.1
724,800
0.4%
0.1
216,388
2.1%
0.1
5,478
-69.1%
-0.2
109,733
-6.1%
-0.1
5,045,905
0.8%
5,359,202
0.7%
3,111,279
0.8%
0.4
1,069,348
1.1%
0.2
136,574
-1.6%
-0.0
736,694
1.6%
0.2
205,986
-4.8%
-0.2
5,498
0.4%
0.0
109,494
-0.2%
-0.0
5,087,394
0.8%
‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
㸦㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺࠊ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
8.0
ぢ㏻ࡋ
ᐇ⦼
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
-3.0
-4.0
-5.0
-6.0
-7.0
-8.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2014ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2015ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
2016ᖺᗘ
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
2017ᖺᗘ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᐇ㉁*'3ᡂ㛗⋡㸦㸣㸧
ࠉࠉࠉ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
4-6
-0.3
-1.5
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
-0.0
1.3
-0.2
4-6
0.8
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.1
-0.1
-0.2
0.1
2014
7-9 10-12
-1.5
-1.0
-1.7
-1.3
-0.0
0.1
-0.4
-0.5
0.1
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.5
-0.1
0.2
1.1
2016㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
0.6
0.6
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.2
-0.4
-0.2
-0.1
-0.2
1-3
-1.0
-2.5
0.1
-0.5
-0.2
-0.2
1.0
1.4
4-6
0.7
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.2
1-3
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.2
-0.2
-0.3
4-6
0.8
0.5
0.3
-0.1
0.2
0.1
-0.2
0.0
2015
7-9 10-12
1.8
0.7
0.2
-0.6
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.5
-0.0
-0.3
0.5
0.6
0.2
-0.1
2017㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
0.4
0.8
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.2
-0.0
-0.0
0.2
0.2
-0.5
0.0
0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
1-3
0.2
-0.1
0.5
0.1
0.1
-0.2
-0.1
-0.1
1-3
0.7
0.4
0.2
-0.0
0.2
-0.4
0.2
0.1
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ࠉ
༢఩㸸൨෇
2012
452,914
235,125
145,769
4,825
140,944
89,356
16,954
72,402
217,789
175,391
149,656
25,735
42,398
197,170
255,744
21,779
213,346
175,391
42,398
2013
512,984
270,783
164,643
6,750
157,893
106,140
21,951
84,189
242,201
196,907
170,687
26,220
45,294
225,608
287,376
28,701
242,082
196,907
45,294
ྡ┠
2014
2015
2016
512,400
509,500
519,400
265,600
271,300
274,700
149,200
151,400
154,700
8,000
7,000
5,600
141,200
144,400
149,100
116,400
119,900
120,000
23,300
19,900
21,500
93,100
100,000
98,500
246,800
238,200
244,700
198,300
188,600
192,400
171,900
161,600
165,200
26,400
27,000
27,200
48,500
49,600
52,300
229,600
215,500
219,500
282,800
294,000
299,900
31,300
26,900
27,100
234,300
244,400
247,600
198,300
188,600
192,400
48,500
49,600
52,300
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2017
512,000
271,900
153,700
5,500
148,200
118,200
20,100
98,100
240,100
187,400
160,200
27,200
52,700
213,000
299,000
25,600
246,300
187,400
52,700
༢఩㸸൨෇
2012
432,947
226,986
140,984
4,675
136,309
86,002
16,318
69,684
205,961
165,735
141,318
24,417
40,226
186,728
246,219
20,993
205,993
165,735
40,226
2013
479,444
255,437
155,494
6,398
149,096
99,943
20,669
79,274
224,007
181,951
157,606
24,345
42,056
209,018
270,426
27,067
228,370
181,951
42,056
ᐇ㉁
2014
2015
2016
466,610
466,284
477,800
244,180
250,217
254,200
137,293
139,710
143,300
7,394
6,500
5,200
129,899
133,210
138,100
106,887
110,507
110,900
21,396
18,341
19,900
85,491
92,166
91,000
222,430
216,067
223,600
178,499
170,770
175,400
154,586
146,112
150,400
23,913
24,658
25,000
43,931
45,297
48,200
207,289
195,611
200,500
259,321
270,673
277,300
28,790
24,841
25,100
215,390
225,376
229,100
178,499
170,770
175,400
43,931
45,297
48,200
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2017
464,900
248,800
140,800
5,100
135,700
108,000
18,300
89,700
216,100
168,100
143,500
24,600
48,000
191,500
273,400
23,400
225,400
168,100
48,000
㸨ᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
ࠉ
༢఩㸸㸣
ྡ ┠䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2012
2013
4.6
4.6
5.3
3.8
5.4
3.4
1.0
4.0
4.6
6.5
8.0
-1.5
-2.4
5.9
3.6
1.6
4.9
6.5
-2.4
2014
13.3
15.2
12.9
39.9
12.0
18.8
29.5
16.3
11.2
12.3
14.1
1.9
6.8
14.4
12.4
31.8
13.5
12.3
6.8
2015
-0.1
-1.9
-9.4
18.5
-10.6
9.7
6.1
10.6
1.9
0.7
0.7
0.7
7.1
1.8
-1.6
9.1
-3.2
0.7
7.1
2016
-0.6
1.9
2.1
1.3
1.5
2.2
-12.5
-20.0
2.3
3.3
3.0
0.1
-14.6
8.0
7.4
-1.5
-3.5
2.7
-4.9
2.0
-6.0
2.2
2.3
0.7
2.3
5.4
-6.1
1.9
4.0
2.0
-14.1
0.7
4.3
1.3
-4.9
2.0
2.3
5.4
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
ࠉ
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
2017
-1.4
-1.0
-0.6
-1.8
-0.6
-1.5
-6.5
-0.4
-1.9
-2.6
-3.0
0.0
0.8
-3.0
-0.3
-5.5
-0.5
-2.6
0.8
༢఩㸸㸣
ᐇ ㉁䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2012
2013
6.2
6.4
7.2
5.6
7.2
5.1
2.7
5.7
6.0
7.8
9.2
0.1
-0.8
7.3
5.4
3.3
6.7
7.8
-0.8
2014
10.7
12.5
10.3
36.9
9.4
16.2
26.7
13.8
8.8
9.8
11.5
-0.3
4.5
11.9
9.8
28.9
10.9
9.8
4.5
-2.7
-4.4
-11.7
15.6
-12.9
6.9
3.5
7.8
-0.7
-1.9
-1.9
-1.8
4.5
-0.8
-4.1
6.4
-5.7
-1.9
4.5
2015
2016
-0.1
2.5
2.5
1.6
1.8
2.6
-12.1
-20.0
2.5
3.7
3.4
0.4
-14.3
8.5
7.8
-1.3
-2.9
3.5
-4.3
2.7
-5.5
2.9
3.1
1.4
3.1
6.4
-5.6
2.5
4.4
2.4
-13.7
1.0
4.6
1.7
-4.3
2.7
3.1
6.4
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2017
-2.7
-2.1
-1.7
-1.9
-1.7
-2.6
-8.0
-1.4
-3.4
-4.2
-4.6
-1.6
-0.4
-4.5
-1.4
-6.8
-1.6
-4.2
-0.4
䠄ཧ⪃䠅
㻌
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨䛸 GDP ẚ䛾᥎⛣㻌
㸦඙෇㸧
90
20%
㻤㻠㻚㻜
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
඙෇
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
80
18%
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
㻝㻣㻚㻠㻑
16%
70
14%
60
㻡㻝㻚㻥඙෇
12%
㻡㻝㻚㻞඙෇
50
10%
㻝㻜㻚㻟㻑
㻝㻜㻚㻝㻑
40
㻟㻡㻚㻞
඙෇
㻟㻞㻚㻟
8%
ᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻝㻣㻚㻠㻑
䊻㻝㻜㻚㻝㻑
඙෇
30
㻣㻚㻜㻑
㻢㻚㻣㻑
6%
㻞㻞㻚㻜඙෇
㻞㻝㻚㻟඙෇
20
㻠 㻚㻠㻑
㻠㻚㻞㻑
10
2%
0
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
0%
17㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
ぢ㎸ ぢ㎸ ぢ㏻ ぢ㏻
ὀ1)2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢGDPࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ࡞࠾ࠊ1992㹼93ᖺᗘࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ12ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁㺂
1994ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ17ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ2)2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬㺀ᖹᡂ28ᖺᗘᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ3)2016ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣࠊ㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㸦2016ᖺ8᭶㸧ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
4%
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻣㻚㻜㻑
䊻㻠㻚㻞㻑