建設経済モデルによる建設投資の見通し

ᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ
㸦 2016 ᖺ 8 ᭶ 㸧
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᗘ୪ࡳࡢᢞ㈨㢠ࢆ⥔ᣢ
ᖺᗘࡣ ඙෇ࢆୗᅇࡿỈ‽࡟
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘࡣ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡸ㔠฼ࡢపୗ࡟ࡼࡾ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸
2016 ᖺ 8 ᭶ 30 ᪥
㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦୍㈈㸧⤒῭ㄪᰝ఍ ⤒῭ㄪᰝ◊✲ᡤ
㸺࠾ၥ࠸ྜࢃࡏඛ㸼
୍⯡㈈ᅋἲே ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦㟁 ヰ㸧03-3433-5011 㸦FAX㸧03-3433-5239
㸦E 㺰㺎㺷㸧[email protected]
◊✲⌮஦ ᚨỌ ᨻ㐨 ◊✲ဨ ᰩᒣ ┤அ
┠ ḟ
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ࡢ᥎⛣͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ࡣࡌࡵ࡟
ᮏ࣏࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࢆ⏝࠸ࠊᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬㸦ᅄ༙ᮇู GDP ㏿ሗ㸧ࡢ 2016 ᖺ 1㹼3 ᭶
ᮇ࣭2 ḟ㏿ሗࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼࡚ண ࡋࡓ 2016㹼2017 ᖺᗘࡢᖺᗘู࣭ᅄ༙ᮇูࡢᘓタ⤒῭ࡢண ⤖ᯝ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ࡢࣝࢹࣔی‬ᴫせ
ࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨άືࢆ㟂せືྥࠊ㔠฼࡞࡝࡜㛵㐃࡙ࡅࡓ᪉⛬ᘧయ⣔࡛⾲ࡋࠊ࣐ࢡ
ࣟⓗ࡞ᬒẼࡢືࡁ࡜ᩚྜࡍࡿᙧ࡛ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋࢆᥥࡃࡇ࡜ࢆ┠ⓗ࡜ࡋࡓ࣐ࢡࣟィ㔞⤒῭ࣔࢹ࡛ࣝ
࠶ࡿࠋNEEDS ᪥ᮏ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࢆ࣮࣋ࢫ࡟ࠊఫᏯᢞ㈨ࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࠊබඹᢞ㈨࡜࠸ࡗࡓᘓタ㛵㐃㒊㛛ࢆ
ᣑ඘ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡇ࠺ࡋࡓࣔࢹࣝ໬࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊ㔠⼥㈈ᨻᨻ⟇ࡸᾏእᬒẼࡢኚື࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡾࠊᘓタάື࡟࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡞ Ἴཬᙳ㡪ࡀཬࡪ࠿ࢆ⡆౽࡟ィ⟬ࡋࡓࡾࠊ㏫࡟ᘓタᢞ㈨ḟ➨࡛ᬒẼࡢ⾜᪉ࡀ࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡟ኚࢃࡿ࠿ࢆᥗࢇ
ࡔࡾࠊ࡜࠸ࡗࡓࡇ࡜ࡀྍ⬟࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋண ࡣࠊᅄ༙ᮇࢹ࣮ࢱࢆࡶ࡜࡟ྥ࠺ 1㹼2 ᖺࡢࣞࣥࢪ࡛⾜࠺ࠋ
ࡇࢀ࡟ࡼࡾࠊᙜヱᖺᗘࡸḟᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢỈ‽ࠊఙࡧࠊᵓᡂẚ➼࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࠊᅄ༙ᮇูࡸᖺᗘู࡟ࠊ
ᐃ㔞ⓗ࡞ࢹ࣮ࢱࢆᚓࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡢ୰࡟⤌ࡳ㎸ࢇࡔ⣽ศ໬ࡋࡓᘓタᢞ㈨࠿ࡽࠊࠗᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋ࠘㸦ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬⥲ྜ
ᨻ⟇ᒁᘓタ⤒῭⤫ィㄪᰝᐊ㸧ᡤⶶࡢᘓタᢞ㈨㢠㸦Ẹ㛫࣭ᨻᗓࠊఫᏯ࣭㠀ఫᏯ࣭ᅵᮌࠊᐇ㉁࣭ྡ┠㸧࡜
ྠᴫᛕࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆ⟬ฟࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࡼ࠺࡟࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨ࡤ࠿ࡾ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࠊ≀౯ୖ᪼⋡ࠊ㈤㔠ࠊ௻ᴗ཰┈ࠊ㞠⏝ࠊ
ᅜ㝿཰ᨭ࡜࠸ࡗࡓ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ືྥ࡟㛵ࡍࡿண ࡸࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜࠺ศᯒࢶ࣮ࣝ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡶά⏝
࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ๓ᥦ᮲௳
ձᑐࢻࣝ෇࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 7㹼9 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 107.5 ෇ࠊ10㹼12 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 108.2 ෇ࠊ2017 ᖺ
1㹼3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 108.6 ෇ࠊ2017 ᖺ 4㹼6 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 109.0 ෇ࠊ7㹼9 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 109.3 ෇ࠊ
10㹼12 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 109.9 ෇ࠊ2018 ᖺ 1㹼3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 110.3 ෇࡜ࡋࡓࠋ
ղ↓ᢸಖࢥ࣮ࣝ⩣᪥≀㔠฼ࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 7㹼9 ᭶ᮇ㹼2017 ᖺ 1㹼3 ᭶ᮇࢆ-0.05%ࠊ2017 ᖺ 4㹼6 ᭶ᮇ㹼
2018 ᖺ 1㹼3 ᭶ᮇࢆ-0.07%ࠊ࡜ண ࡋࡓࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ⤖ᯝ
2016ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
2017ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
515,300
1.1%
493,000
-4.3%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
214,300
-0.6%
194,300
-9.3%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
150,500
4.2%
148,400
-1.4%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
150,500
0.6%
150,300
-0.1%
ᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᗘ୪ࡳࡢᢞ㈨㢠ࢆ⥔ᣢ
ᖺᗘࡣ ඙෇ࢆୗᅇࡿỈ‽࡟
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘࡣ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡸ㔠฼ࡢపୗ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2016 ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ẚ࡛ᶓࡤ
࠸ࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊࠕ᚟⯆࣭๰⏕ᮇ㛫ࠖ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㛵ಀ┬ᗇࡢண⟬㢠ࡢෆᐜ
ࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࡿ࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡾࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࠊࡲࡓࠊ2015 ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨㢠➼ࡀ 2016
ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬0.6%࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊᾘ㈝⛯⋡ᘬୖࡆࡢ෌ᘏᮇ࡟ࡼࡿ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せศࡢῶᑡࡸᘓ⠏㈝㧗Ṇࡲࡾ࡟ࡼࡿศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩ
ࣙࣥࡢ╔ᕤῶࡀ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇࡟ࡼࡿ╔ᕤቑࡀ⥅⥆ࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡞࡝࠿ࡽࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯᘓタᢞ
㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 4.2%ቑࠊఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 1.9%ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊᾏእᬒẼࡢῶ㏿ࠊᅜෆಶேᾘ㈝ࡢఙࡧᝎࡳ➼ࡢᙳ㡪࡟ࡼࡾࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࡢඛ⾜ࡁ࡟ࡸ
ࡸ୙㏱᫂ឤࡀ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ㊊ඖࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡣሀㄪ࡛࠶ࡾࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.3%ቑ࡜
ண ࡍࡿࠋ୍᪉ࠊᘓ⠏༢౯ࡀ๓ᖺᗘࡼࡾୗⴠࡍࡿ࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬
1.8㸣࡜࡞ࡿࡀࠊᅵᮌ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ⣔௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡀᐤ୚ࡋࠊ඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.6㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2017 ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢ඲యീࡀ⌧᫬Ⅼ࡛ࡣ୙࡛᫂࠶ࡿࡓࡵࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨➼ࢆ
๓ᖺᗘ୪ࡳ࡜௬ᐃࡋࠊࡲࡓࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊࠕ᚟⯆࣭๰⏕ᮇ㛫ࠖ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ
஦ᴗつᶍ(ぢ㎸ࡳ)ࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࡿ࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡾࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬9.3%࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡶḟ➨࡟ῶᑡ࡟ྥ࠿࠸ࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡶᘓ⠏㈝㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢ≧ἣ࡟኱ࡁ࡞
ኚ໬ࡣぢ㎸ࡲࢀ࡞࠸࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬1.4%ࠊఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬1.8%࡜ண
ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘ࠿ࡽ࡯ࡰᶓࡤ࠸ࡀண ࡉࢀࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬0.6%ࠊẸ
㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.8%ቑࠊ඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬0.1%࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺ䚷ᗘ
2000
2005
2010
2012
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
661,948
515,676
419,282
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-3.4%
-2.4%
-2.4%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
299,601
189,738
179,820
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-6.2%
-8.9%
0.3%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-2.9
-3.5
0.1
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
202,756
184,258
129,779
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-2.2%
0.3%
1.1%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-0.7
0.1
0.3
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
159,591
141,680
109,683
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
0.7%
4.0%
-10.0%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
0.2
1.0
-2.8
ᐇ㉁ᘓタᢞ㈨
663,673
515,676
400,503
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-3.6%
-3.5%
-2.7%
ὀ㻕㻞㻜㻝㻠ᖺᗘ䜎䛷䛾ᘓタᢞ㈨䛿ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬䛂ᖹᡂ㻞㻣ᖺᗘ㻌ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻䛧䛃䜘䜚䚹
452,914
4.6%
197,170
5.9%
2.6
140,944
5.4%
1.7
114,800
1.5%
0.4
432,947
6.2%
2013
512,984
13.3%
225,608
14.4%
6.3
157,893
12.0%
3.7
129,483
12.8%
3.2
479,444
10.7%
2014
2015
2016
2017
㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧 㸦ぢ㎸ࡳ㸧 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
512,400
509,500
515,300
493,000
-0.1%
-0.6%
1.1%
-4.3%
229,600
215,500
214,300
194,300
1.8%
-6.1%
-0.6%
-9.3%
0.8
-2.8
-0.2
-3.9
141,200
144,400
150,500
148,400
-10.6%
2.3%
4.2%
-1.4%
-3.3
0.6
1.2
-0.4
141,600
149,600
150,500
150,300
9.4%
5.6%
0.6%
-0.1%
2.4
1.6
0.2
0.0
466,610
466,284
472,900
448,900
-2.7%
-0.1%
1.4%
-5.1%
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
ぢ㎸ࡳ Ћ Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
㸦඙෇㸧
70
66.2
60
25%
16.0
51.6
50
51.3
51.2
51.0
51.5
12.9
14.2
15.0
15.1
14.1
14.4
15.1
20%
49.3
45.3
20.3
41.9
14.2
40
11.5
11.0
18.4
30
15.8
14.1
13.0
15.0
14.8
15%
10%
20
30.0
10
5%
19.0
18.0
19.7
22.6
23.0
21.6
21.4
19.4
2005
2010
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
0%
2017 㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
0
2000
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸧
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
๓ᖺᗘẚ㸦㸣㸧
ぢ㎸ࡳ Ћ Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
-8.0
-10.0
-12.0
-14.0
-16.0
2000
2005
2010
ᨻᗓᘓタᐤ୚ᗘ
2012
2013
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
2014
2015
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
2016
2017 䠄ᖺᗘ䠅
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ྡ┠㸧ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧 㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ఙ ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
䜃 Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
⋡ Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ఙ ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
䜃 Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
⋡ Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
4䇲6
5.2%
5.2%
0.4%
10.9%
4䇲6
3.2%
4.4%
4.8%
-0.1%
2014䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
0.1%
-1.9%
2.6%
1.4%
-11.1%
-15.0%
9.9%
9.3%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
3.9%
-1.3%
6.6%
-6.0%
4.2%
4.4%
-0.1%
0.9%
1䇲3
-2.3%
-0.6%
-14.9%
7.9%
4䇲6
0.2%
-0.9%
-3.4%
5.7%
1䇲3
-0.6%
-4.5%
3.5%
1.4%
4䇲6
-5.7%
-13.1%
-2.1%
0.2%
2015䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
1.9%
-1.0%
-4.1%
-8.4%
6.0%
5.1%
6.8%
7.7%
2017䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
-9.4%
-1.7%
-21.9%
-3.0%
-1.0%
-1.1%
0.2%
-0.1%
1䇲3
-2.9%
-8.9%
1.3%
3.0%
1䇲3
-1.0%
-1.0%
-1.3%
-0.7%
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
㻌
ᖺᗘࡣᖺᗘ୪ࡳࡢᢞ㈨㢠ࢆ⥔ᣢ
ᖺᗘࡣ඙෇ࢆୗᅇࡿỈ‽࡟
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠‫ڹ‬㸣㸦ᐇ㉁㸣ቑ㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧ࡣࠊ2016ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡜ࡋ࡚ࠊࡲࡓࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
ࡣࠊࠕ᚟⯆࣭๰⏕ᮇ㛫ࠖ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ㛵ಀ┬ᗇࡢண⟬㢠ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ⥲ົ┬ࡀࡲ࡜ࡵࡓᖹᡂ28ᖺᗘᆅ᪉㈈ᨻィ⏬࡛♧ࡉࢀࡓෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ2016ᖺᗘண
⟬㢠ࢆ๓ᖺᗘẚ3.0㸣ቑ࡜ࡋ࡚஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊ2015ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ஦ᴗ㈝࡛9,000൨෇⛬ᗘ࡜᥎ィࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊࡑࢀࡽࡣ
2016ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜᝿ᐃࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
⇃ᮏᆅ㟈࠿ࡽࡢ᚟ᪧ࣭᚟⯆࡟ಀࡿ2016ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣぢ㎸ࢇ࡛࠾ࡾࠊ2016ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜
ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜᝿ᐃࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠‫ڹ‬㸣㸦ᐇ㉁‫ڹ‬㸣㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
2017ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢ඲యീࡀ⌧᫬Ⅼ࡛ࡣ୙࡛᫂࠶ࡿࡓࡵࠊᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧
ࡣࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡜௬ᐃࡋ࡚ࠊࡲࡓࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู
఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊࠕ᚟⯆࣭๰⏕ᮇ㛫ࠖ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ஦ᴗつᶍ(ぢ㎸ࡳ)ࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ
᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘ୪ࡳ࡜௬ᐃࡋ࡚஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
࡞࠾ࠊ⌧᫬Ⅼ࡛2016ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣぢ㎸ࢇ࡛࠸࡞࠸ࠋ
‫ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
2000
299,601
2005
189,738
2010
179,820
2012
2013
197,170
2015
2016
2017
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
229,600
215,500
214,300
194,300
-6.2%
-8.9%
0.3%
5.9%
14.4%
1.8%
-6.1%
-0.6%
-9.3%
40,004
20,527
22,096
21,779
28,701
31,300
26,900
26,500
23,400
-12.0%
-13.9%
-0.1%
1.6%
31.8%
9.1%
-14.1%
-1.5%
-11.7%
259,597
169,211
157,724
175,391
196,907
198,300
188,600
187,800
170,900
-5.2%
-8.3%
0.3%
6.5%
12.3%
0.7%
-4.9%
-0.4%
-9.0%
300,719
189,738
170,702
186,728
209,018
207,289
195,611
195,800
175,600
-6.5%
-10.2%
-0.3%
7.3%
11.9%
-0.8%
-5.6%
0.1%
-10.3%
ὀ1㸧2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ28ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
225,608
2014
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
඙෇
40
ぢ㎸ࡳЋ
๓ᖺᗘẚ
Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
45%
30.0
30%
4.0
23.0
22.6
19.0
20
19.7
18.0
2.1
3.1
2.9
21.6
21.4
2.7
2.7
19.4
2.2
15%
2.3
2.2
26.0
17.5
15.8
19.7
19.8
18.9
18.8
0%
17.1
16.9
0
-15%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
䠂䠄๓ᖺྠᮇẚ䠅
ぢ㎸ࡳЋ Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
-10.0
-20.0
-30.0
-40.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
㻞㻜㻝㻠ᖺᗘ
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
㻞㻜㻝㻡ᖺᗘ
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
㻞㻜㻝㻢ᖺᗘ
10-12
1-3
㻞㻜㻝㻣ᖺᗘ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
2014 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
5.2%
2.6%
1.4%
-0.6%
-0.9%
-4.1%
-8.4%
-8.9%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
12.7%
9.9%
8.7%
6.6%
-9.2%
-12.1%
-16.1%
-16.5%
1.5%
0.3%
-1.6%
0.5%
-2.8%
-7.2%
-7.6%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
4.1%
2016 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
7-9
2015 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
4-6
7-9
2017 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
4.4%
6.6%
-6.0%
-4.5%
-13.1%
-21.9%
-3.0%
-1.0%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
3.5%
5.6%
-6.8%
-5.4%
-15.4%
-24.0%
-5.6%
-3.6%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
4.6%
6.7%
-5.8%
-4.3%
-12.8%
-21.7%
-2.7%
-0.7% 㻌 ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ䛾᥎⛣㻌 㻌
ᖺᗘࡣࠊ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡸ㔠฼ࡢపୗ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ
ᾘ㈝⛯⋡ᘬୖࡆࡀ 2019 ᖺ 10 ᭶࡟෌ᘏᮇࡉࢀࡓࡇ࡜࡛ࠊ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡜ࡑࢀ࡟క࠺཯ືῶ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ
┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࠊ᪥㖟ࡀ 2016 ᖺ 1 ᭶࡟ᑟධࡋࡓ࣐࢖ࢼࢫ㔠฼ᨻ⟇࡟ࡼࡿ㔠฼ࡢపୗࠊᘓ⠏㈝ࡢ㧗Ṇࡲ
ࡾ࡜࠸ࡗࡓせᅉࡀ╔ᕤ࡟ᙳ㡪ࢆ୚࠼ࡿ࡜᥎ᐹࡉࢀࡿࠋ
2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊᣢᐙ࡜ศㆡᡞᘓࡣᏳᐃⓗ࡟᥎⛣ࡋࠊ㈚ᐙࡣ 2015 ᖺ 1 ᭶࡟┦⥆⛯ࡀቑ⛯ࡉࢀࡓ௨㝆ࡶ╔
ᕤቑࡀ⥆࠸࡚࠾ࡾ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊᘓ⠏㈝㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢᙳ㡪
࡟ࡼࡾࠊᘬࡁ⥆ࡁ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࡀࠊ㈚ᐙࡀ╔ᕤᡞᩘࢆ≌ᘬࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ඲య
࡜ࡋ࡚๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
2017 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡶḟ➨࡟ῶᑡ࡟ྥ࠿ࡗ࡚࠸ࡃ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍ
ࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡶࠊᘓ⠏㈝㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢ≧ἣ࡟኱ࡁ࡞ኚ໬ࡣぢ㎸ࡲࢀ࡞࠸࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ๓ᖺᗘ
ẚ࡛ῶᑡ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ඲యࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊᣢᐙ࡜ศㆡᡞᘓࡣ࡯ࡰᶓࡤ࠸࡛᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࡿࡀࠊ
㈚ᐙ࡜ศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢῶᑡ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ୓ᡞࠊ ᖺᗘࡣྠ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᣢᐙࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 4㹼6 ᭶ᮇࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 2.1㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊὀᩥఫᏯ኱ᡭ 5 ♫ࡢཷὀ㏿ሗᖹᆒࡶ
2016 ᖺ 4㹼7 ᭶࡛๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ 0.2㹼5.6㸣ቑ࡜㊊ඖ࡛ሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘ
ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2017 ᖺᗘࡣࠊᘬࡁ⥆ࡁᏳᐃⓗ࡟᥎⛣ࡋࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ᚤቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2016
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.2㸣ቑࡢ 29.1 ୓ᡞࠊ2017 ᖺᗘࡣྠ 1.2㸣ቑࡢ 29.4 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
㈚ᐙࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 4㹼6 ᭶ᮇࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 11.0㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ㈤㈚ఫᏯ኱ᡭ 3 ♫ࡢཷὀ㏿ሗᖹᆒࡶ
2016 ᖺ 4㹼7 ᭶࡛๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ 1.6㹼10.4%ቑ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡇࢀࡽࡣ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡢຠᯝ࡜࣐࢖ࢼࢫ
㔠฼ᨻ⟇࡟ࡼࡿ㔠฼ࡢపୗࡀせᅉ࡜ࡋ࡚⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊᘬࡁ⥆ࡁሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡋࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑ
ຍࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2017 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ┦⥆⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇࡟ಀࡿ╔ᕤࡶῶᑡ࡟ྥ࠿࠺࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛
ῶᑡ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 4.3㸣ቑࡢ 40.0 ୓ᡞࠊ2017 ᖺᗘࡣྠ‫ڹ‬3.4㸣ࡢ 38.7 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍ
ࡿࠋ
ศㆡఫᏯࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 4㹼6 ᭶ᮇࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ‫ڹ‬0.5㸣࡛ࠊ࠺ࡕ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡀྠ‫ڹ‬8.5㸣ࠊᡞᘓࡀྠ 9.3㸣
ቑ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࠋ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡣ㊊ඖ࡛╔ᕤᡞᩘࡀῶࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ2016 ᖺ 5 ᭶ࡣ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ࡛‫ڹ‬0.8%ࠊྠ 6 ᭶ࡣ
‫ڹ‬28.1%࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ㤳㒔ᅪ࣭㏆␥ᅪࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢ㈍኎≧ἣࡣࠊ2016 ᖺ 4㹼7 ᭶ᮇࡢ㈍኎ᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺ
ྠᮇẚ‫ڹ‬15.7㸣࡛ࠊዎ⣙⋡ࡶᖹᆒ 68.6㸣࡜ዲㄪ࠿ྰ࠿ࡢ┠Ᏻ࡛࠶ࡿ 70㸣ࢆୗᅇࡗࡓࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡢ࣐ࣥ
ࢩࣙࣥࡣᘓ⠏㈝㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢᙳ㡪࡟ࡼࡾࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ࡜ண ࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊᡞᘓࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡛᥎
⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ2017 ᖺᗘࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡣᘓ⠏㈝㧗Ṇࡲࡾࡢ≧ἣ࡟኱ࡁ࡞ኚ໬ࡣぢ㎸ࡲࢀ࡞࠸࡜⪃࠼
ࡽࢀࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ῶᑡ࡜ண ࡋࠊᡞᘓࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛࡯ࡰᶓࡤ࠸࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋศㆡఫᏯ඲య࡛ࡣ࣐ࣥࢩࣙ
ࣥࡢ╔ᕤῶࡢᙳ㡪ࢆཷࡅ࡚ࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬2.1㸣ࡢ 24.1 ୓ᡞࠊ2017 ᖺᗘࡣྠ‫ڹ‬2.9㸣ࡢ 23.4 ୓
ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ͤ㈍኎ᡞᩘ࣭ዎ⣙⋡ࡣ㸦ᰴ㸧୙ື⏘⤒῭◊✲ᡤⓎ⾲ࡢ㤳㒔ᅪ࣭㏆␥ᅪࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥᕷሙືྥࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆྜ⟬
‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༓ᡞ㸧
1,400
ᐇ⦼← →ぢ㏻䛧
1,249.4
1,200
987.3
1,000
819.0
841.2
2010
2011
893.0
880.5
920.5
938.2
921.2
2015
2016
2017
800
600
400
200
0
2005
ᣢᐙ
㈚ᐙ
2012
2013
2014
ศㆡ㸦࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ㸧
ศㆡ㸦ᡞᘓ㸧
㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
⤥୚
㸦ᡞᩘ༢఩㸸༓ᡞࠊᢞ㈨㢠༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
ᖺ ᗘ
2005
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
(ぢ㏻䛧)
2017
(ぢ㏻䛧)
඲ࠉయ
1,249.4
819.0
841.2
893.0
987.3
880.5
920.5
938.2
4.7%
5.6%
2.7%
6.2%
10.6%
-10.8%
4.5%
1.9%
ᣢࠉᐙ
352.6
308.5
304.8
316.5
352.8
278.2
284.4
290.8
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-4.0%
7.5%
-1.2%
3.8%
11.5%
-21.1%
2.2%
2.2%
㈚ࠉᐙ
518.0
291.8
289.8
320.9
370.0
358.3
383.7
400.2
╔
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
10.8%
-6.3%
-0.7%
10.7%
15.3%
-3.1%
7.1%
4.3%
ᕤ
ᡞ
ศࠉㆡ
370.3
212.1
239.1
249.7
259.1
236.0
246.6
241.4
ᩘ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
6.1%
29.6%
12.7%
4.4%
3.8%
-8.9%
4.5%
-2.1%
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
232.5
98.7
121.1
125.1
125.2
111.8
120.4
114.8
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
10.9%
44.5%
22.8%
3.3%
0.1%
-10.7%
7.7%
-4.7%
137.8
113.4
118.0
124.5
133.9
124.2
126.2
126.6
ᡞࠉᘓ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-1.2%
19.0%
4.0%
5.6%
7.5%
-7.2%
1.6%
0.3%
184,258
129,779
133,750
140,944
157,893
141,200
144,400
150,500
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
0.3%
1.1%
3.1%
5.4%
12.0%
-10.6%
2.3%
4.2%
ὀ1㸧╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2016࣭17ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ2㸧ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣ2013ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2014࣭15ᖺᗘࡣぢ㎸ࡳࠊ2016࣭17ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ3㸧⤥୚ఫᏯࡣ฼⏝㛵ಀู࡟⾲♧ࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࡀࠊ඲యࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ྵࡲࢀࡿࠋ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ࠉ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
2014
2015
7-9
10-12
-13.6%
-13.8%
-23.8%
-27.9%
ఙ
-5.7%
-6.8%
ࡧ
-11.2%
-5.1%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
-13.1%
4.1%
ᡞࠉᘓ
-9.4%
-12.2%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
7-9
10-12
඲ࠉయ
4.9%
1.4%
4.0%
ᣢࠉᐙ
2.1%
3.9%
0.1%
ఙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
11.0%
-2.2%
8.2%
ࡧ
ศࠉㆡ
-0.5%
4.2%
1.6%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
-8.5%
7.2%
8.4%
ᡞࠉᘓ
9.3%
1.7%
-3.7%
ὀ㸧2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2016࣭17ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
඲ࠉయ
ᣢࠉᐙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
ศࠉㆡ
4-6
-9.3%
-19.3%
5.5%
-16.0%
-29.0%
-2.5%
1-3
-5.4%
-10.1%
-4.4%
-2.3%
-0.6%
-4.0%
4-6
7.6%
2.2%
5.3%
18.8%
52.2%
-6.4%
1-3
-3.0%
2.8%
0.1%
-12.9%
-20.3%
-5.6%
4-6
-3.9%
3.9%
-7.6%
-7.2%
-11.0%
-3.3%
7-9
10-12
6.2%
-0.7%
4.8%
0.2%
16.5%
1.3%
-5.4%
-3.6%
-12.2%
-11.6%
0.9%
3.7%
2017䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
-0.6%
-1.2%
0.7%
0.4%
-1.2%
-1.7%
-1.1%
-2.5%
-1.2%
-4.4%
-1.0%
-0.8%
1-3
5.5%
1.7%
6.0%
9.3%
9.6%
9.0%
1-3
-1.4%
-0.3%
-3.1%
-0.2%
-0.8%
0.4%
921.2
-1.8%
294.3
1.2%
386.5
-3.4%
234.4
-2.9%
109.3
-4.8%
125.1
-1.2%
148,400
-1.4%
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᘓ⠏㸩ᅵᮌ㸧ࡢ᥎⛣
ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸
2016 ᖺ 1㹼3 ᭶ᮇࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ㸦ෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ2 ḟ㏿ሗ್㸧ࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 0.4㸣ቑ࡜
࡞ࡗࡓࠋ ㊊ඖࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡣሀㄪ࡛ࡣ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊᾏእᬒẼࡢῶ㏿ࠊᅜෆಶேᾘ㈝ࡢఙࡧᝎࡳ➼ࡢᙳ㡪࡟ࡼࡾࠊ
࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭⎔ቃࡢ୙☜ᐇᛶࡀቑࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࡢඛ⾜ࡁࡶࡸࡸ୙㏱᫂ឤࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ
㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 1.2㸣ቑࠊ2017 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 1.8㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛᢞ㈨ࡢ࠺ࡕ⣙ 2
๭ࢆ༨ࡵࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊୗグࡢ㏻ࡾᴫࡡᶓࡤ࠸࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ 15 ඙ 500 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ2016 ᖺ
ᗘࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ࠊ஦ົᡤࡣ 5.7㸣ቑࠊᗑ⯒ࡣ 3.5㸣ቑࠊᕤሙࡣ 3.2㸣ቑࠊ಴ᗜࡣ 5.0㸣ቑ࡜࡞
ࡿࡇ࡜ࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋ୍᪉ࠊᘓ⠏༢౯ࡀ๓ᖺᗘࡼࡾୗⴠࡍࡿ࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ
㈨඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬1.8㸣࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓẸ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ㕲㐨࣭㏻ಙ࣭࢞ࢫ࡞࡝ᅵᮌ࢖ࣥ
ࣇࣛ⣔௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡀሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ 15 ඙ 300 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢ࠺ࡕ
ᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬0.6㸣ࠊᅵᮌᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 0.8㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
஦ົᡤࡣࠊ✵ᐊ⋡ࠊ㈤ᩱ࡜ࡶ඲ᅜⓗ࡟ሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ㟂⤥ࡣᘬࡁ⥾ࡲࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࠊ
ཷὀ㢠࡜ࡶ㊊ඖࡢືࡁࡣሀㄪ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ㤳㒔ᅪ࡞࡝㒔ᕷ㒊࡟࠾ࡅࡿ኱ᆺ≀௳ࡢከࡃࡀ╔ᕤࢆ㏄࠼ࡿ࡞࡝ࠊ
╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣ௒ᚋࡶሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋ
ᗑ⯒ࡣࠊཷὀ㢠࡜኱つᶍᑠ኎ᗑ⯒❧ᆅἲ࡟ࡼࡿᒆฟ≧ἣࡀ๓ᖺᗘࢆୖᅇࡗ࡚᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ㛗ࡃ⥆࠸
ࡓ೵࡟୍ᐃࡢṑṆࡵࡀ᥃࠿ࡿ඙ೃࡀぢࡽࢀࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣࡸࡸᅇ᚟ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᕤሙࡣࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࠊཷὀ㢠࡜ࡶዲㄪࡔࡗࡓ๓ᖺࢆୗᅇࡗ࡚᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊⅭ᭰ࡸᾏእᬒẼࡢືྥࢆ
ὀどࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ⪁ᮙ໬タഛࡢ᭦᪂ࠊ⏕⏘ᛶྜ⌮໬ࠊప㔠฼➼ࣉࣛࢫせᅉࢆ⫼ᬒ࡟ࠊ╔ᕤᗋ
㠃✚ࡣሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
಴ᗜࡣࠊࢿࢵࢺ㏻㈍ࠊ3PL㸦ࢧ࣮ࢻ࣭ࣃ࣮ࢸ࢕࣭ࣟࢪࢫࢸ࢕ࢡࢫ㸧ࡢᣑ኱ࢆ⫼ᬒ࡟ࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣᘬ
ࡁ⥆ࡁᗏሀࡃ᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ㤳㒔ᅪࡢ✵ᐊ⋡ࡀ㑹እ࢚ࣜ࢔ࢆ୰ᚰ࡟ୖ᪼ࡋࠊ㏆␥ᅪ࡛ࡶ௒
ᚋ✵ᐊ⋡ࡢୖ᪼ࡀண ࡉࢀ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ௒ᚋࡢ≧ἣࢆὀどࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ௒ᚋࠊ2020ᖺᮾி࢜ࣜࣥࣆࢵࢡ࣭ࣃࣛࣜࣥࣆࢵࢡࢆぢ㎸ࢇࡔᢞ㈨ࢆྵࡵࠊ⦆ࡸ࠿
࡞ᅇ᚟ഴྥ࡟࠶ࡿ࡜ᛮࢃࢀࡿࡀࠊᾘ㈝⪅࣐࢖ࣥࢻࡸᾏእᬒẼ➼ࡢືྥ࡬ࡢὀどࡀᘬࡁ⥆ࡁᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
(༢఩:൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ 2005 ᖺᗘ౯᱁)
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2014
2015
2016
2017
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
2000
2005
2010
2012
2013
159,591
141,680
109,683
114,800
129,483
141,600
149,600
150,500
0.7%
4.0%
-10.0%
1.5%
14.5%
23.3%
5.6%
0.6%
-0.1%
93,429
92,357
69,116
72,402
84,189
93,100
100,000
98,200
97,600
-0.5%
3.4%
-9.5%
4.0%
20.9%
28.6%
7.4%
-1.8%
-0.6%
66,162
49,323
40,567
42,398
45,294
48,500
49,600
52,300
52,700
2.5%
5.3%
-10.9%
-2.4%
4.3%
14.4%
2.3%
5.4%
0.8%
649,864
705,989
648,763
686,471
706,783
707,236
721,616
730,354
743,254
4.8%
4.4%
3.8%
0.9%
3.0%
0.6%
2.0%
1.2%
1.8%
ὀ1㸧2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ 28ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
ὀ2㸧2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
150,300
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ぢ㎸䜏䊹
㸣๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
䊻ぢ㏻䛧
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
2014ᖺᗘ
1-3
4-6
7-9
2015ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
10-12
10-12
2014䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
9.9%
9.3%
11.1%
10.5%
7.6%
7.0%
0.6%
-0.1%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
-0.1%
0.9%
-2.6%
-1.9%
5.0%
6.6%
1.0%
0.5%
4-6
-0.1%
-3.5%
7.0%
1.1%
4-6
7-9
2016ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
4-6
10.9%
12.1%
8.6%
1.5%
1-3
10-12
1-3
2017ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
1-3
7.9%
9.1%
5.6%
-1.3%
4-6
5.7%
7.5%
2.3%
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
0.4%
3.4%
2.0%
4-6
0.2%
0.0%
0.7%
2.3%
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
2015䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
6.8%
7.7%
3.0%
8.6%
9.5%
4.7%
3.4%
4.2%
-0.3%
2.6%
4.1%
0.4%
2017䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
0.2%
-0.1%
-0.7%
-0.3%
-1.0%
-1.0%
1.2%
1.5%
-0.1%
2.0%
1.5%
1.3%
ὀ㸧2016ᖺ4-6᭶ᮇࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
༢఩༓੍
ᖺᗘ
஦ົᡤ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᗑ⯒╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᕤሙ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
಴ᗜ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2000
2005
2010
2012
2013
2014
2015
2017
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7,280
6,893
4,658
5,315
4,819
5,097
5,441
5,753
5,839
-4.2%
-4.4%
-26.8%
5.5%
-9.3%
-4.1%
12.9%
5.7%
1.5%
11,862
12,466
5,727
7,403
8,326
7,112
6,029
6,242
6,304
-17.9%
9.7%
4.1%
43.1%
12.5%
-3.9%
-27.6%
3.5%
1.0%
13,714
14,135
6,405
8,203
7,890
7,482
8,739
9,018
9,108
37.6%
6.8%
17.6%
14.4%
-3.8%
-8.8%
10.8%
3.2%
1.0%
7,484
8,991
4,234
6,248
6,842
8,003
7,921
8,320
8,570
11.2%
16.3%
6.1%
16.6%
9.5%
28.1%
15.8%
5.0%
3.0%
59,250
65,495
37,403
44,559
47,679
45,013
44,278
45,746
46,358
2.0%
3.8%
7.3%
10.0%
7.0%
1.0%
-7.1%
3.3%
1.3%
ὀ㸧㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ࠿ࡽ஦ົᡤࠊᗑ⯒ࠊᕤሙࠊ಴ᗜࢆ᥍㝖ࡋࡓṧవࡣࠊᏛᰯࠊ⑓㝔ࠊࡑࡢ௚࡟ヱᙜࡍࡿ㹿
2016
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䝬䜽䝻⤒῭䛾᥎⛣ 㻌
ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ࡟ᬒẼࡀ⦆ࡸ࠿࡟ᅇ᚟ࡍࡿぢ㏻ࡋ
2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊಶேᾘ㈝ࠊ௻ᴗࡢᬒἣឤ࡞࡝࡟ᙅ࠸ືࡁࡀぢࡽࢀࡿࡇ࡜࡟ຍ࠼ࠊᾘ㈝⛯⋡ᘬୖࡆࡢ෌ᘏ
ᮇࠊ⇃ᮏᆅ㟈ࡢ⤒῭࡬ࡢᙳ㡪࡞࡝ࡀ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ2016 ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢ᪩ᮇᇳ⾜ࠊࠕࢽࢵ୍࣏ࣥ൨⥲ά㌍ࣉࣛ
ࣥࠖ࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡿ㞠⏝࣭ᡤᚓ⎔ቃࡢᨵၿࡀண᝿ࡉࢀࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ⤒῭ࡢዲᚠ⎔ࡀ㐍ᒎࡍࡿ୰࡛ࠊᬒẼࡣ⦆
ࡸ࠿࡟ᅇ᚟ࡍࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
2017 ᖺᗘࡣࠊᾘ㈝⛯⋡ᘬୖࡆࡢ෌ᘏᮇ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢ཯ືῶࡀ↓ࡃ࡞ࡿ࡜࡜ࡶ࡟ࠊ⤒῭ࡢዲ
ᚠ⎔ࡀ㐍ᒎࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡟ࡼࡾࠊᘬࡁ⥆ࡁ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥆ࡃぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ୍᪉࡛බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ࡟ࡘ
࠸࡚ࡣࠊ2016 ᖺᗘ࡜ẚ㍑ࡋ࡚ῶᑡࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡀண ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
ୗ᣺ࢀࣜࢫࢡ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ࢔࣓ࣜ࢝ࡢ㔠⼥ᨻ⟇ṇᖖ໬ࡢᙳ㡪ࠊ୰ᅜࡸࡑࡢ௚᪂⯆ᅜࡢᬒẼࡢඛ⾜ࡁࠊⱥ
ᅜࡢ EU 㞳⬺ၥ㢟࡟క࠺ඛ⾜ࡁ୙㏱᫂ឤࡢ㧗ࡲࡾࠊ㔠⼥㈨ᮏᕷሙࡢኚື➼࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࠊ␃ពࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶
ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑ࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬0.4㸣
㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ‫ڹ‬0.0㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣ 3.0㸣ቑ㸦ྠ 0.1㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ 1.2㸣ቑ㸦ྠ
0.2㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬10.3㸣
㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ‫ڹ‬0.4㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣ‫ڹ‬1.5㸣㸦ྠ‫ڹ‬0.0㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ 1.8㸣ࡢ
ቑຍ㸦ྠ 0.2㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ 2005 ᬺᖺ㐃㙐౯᱁⾲♧㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᐇ㉁GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ྡ┠GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2000
4,767,233
2.0%
2,750,555
0.3%
0.2
839,598
4.8%
0.8
200,798
-0.1%
0.0
649,864
4.8%
0.7
350,705
-6.1%
-0.5
3,408
-110.2%
0.8
-20,874
102.6%
0.0
5,108,347
0.8%
2005
5,071,580
1.9%
2,925,785
1.9%
1.1
923,628
0.4%
0.1
183,450
-0.7%
0.0
705,989
4.4%
0.6
241,128
-6.7%
-0.3
8,072
-46.3%
-0.1
83,487
56.0%
0.6
5,053,494
0.5%
2010
5,127,203
3.5%
2,997,207
1.6%
0.9
978,863
2.0%
0.4
125,337
2.2%
0.1
648,763
3.8%
0.5
207,145
-6.4%
-0.3
-1,357
-97.3%
1.1
171,665
46.5%
0.8
4,805,275
1.4%
2012
5,198,024
1.0%
3,094,893
1.8%
1.1
1,005,783
1.5%
0.3
136,782
5.7%
0.2
688,082
1.2%
0.2
202,642
1.0%
0.0
-12,889
0.3%
0.0
85,711
-30.1%
-0.8
4,744,037
0.0%
ὀ㸧2014 ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
2013
5,297,962
1.9%
3,161,914
2.2%
1.4
1,021,937
1.6%
0.3
148,861
8.8%
0.3
706,788
2.7%
0.4
223,538
10.3%
0.5
-26,456
105.3%
-0.3
72,647
-15.2%
-0.5
4,824,009
1.7%
2014
5,247,841
-0.9%
3,071,603
-2.9%
-1.7
1,023,182
0.1%
0.0
131,428
-11.7%
-0.4
707,236
0.1%
0.0
217,793
-2.6%
-0.1
3,131
-111.8%
0.6
113,172
55.8%
0.6
4,895,577
1.5%
2015
5,290,437
0.8%
3,064,135
-0.2%
-0.1
1,038,896
1.5%
0.3
134,563
2.4%
0.1
721,616
2.0%
0.3
211,951
-2.7%
-0.1
17,629
463.0%
0.3
117,317
3.7%
0.1
5,005,345
2.2%
2016
2017
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
5,328,087
0.7%
3,080,785
0.5%
0.3
1,057,445
1.8%
0.4
138,616
3.0%
0.1
730,354
1.2%
0.2
211,045
-0.4%
-0.0
7,152
-59.4%
-0.2
118,358
0.9%
0.0
5,046,433
0.8%
5,349,556
0.4%
3,101,879
0.7%
0.4
1,062,268
0.5%
0.1
136,468
-1.5%
-0.0
743,254
1.8%
0.2
189,328
-10.3%
-0.4
6,216
-13.1%
-0.0
125,812
6.3%
0.1
5,070,552
0.5%
‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
㸦㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺࠊ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
8.0
ぢ㏻ࡋ
ᐇ⦼
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
-3.0
-4.0
-5.0
-6.0
-7.0
-8.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2014ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2015ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
2016ᖺᗘ
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
2017ᖺᗘ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᐇ㉁*'3ᡂ㛗⋡㸦㸣㸧
ࠉࠉࠉ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
4-6
-0.3
-1.5
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
-0.0
1.3
-0.2
4-6
0.9
0.2
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.2
-0.3
0.1
2014
7-9 10-12
-1.5
-1.0
-1.7
-1.3
-0.0
0.1
-0.4
-0.5
0.1
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.5
-0.1
0.2
1.1
2016㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
0.8
0.8
0.0
0.6
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.3
-0.3
-0.3
-0.1
0.1
0.0
1-3
-1.0
-2.5
0.1
-0.5
-0.2
-0.2
1.0
1.4
4-6
0.7
0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.2
1-3
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.3
-0.3
-0.1
-0.2
4-6
0.4
0.4
0.1
-0.1
0.3
-0.5
0.0
0.1
2015
7-9 10-12
1.8
0.7
0.2
-0.6
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.5
-0.0
-0.3
0.5
0.6
0.2
-0.1
2017㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
-0.1
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.1
0.1
-0.0
-0.0
0.3
0.2
-0.9
-0.2
0.1
-0.3
0.0
0.2
1-3
0.1
-0.2
0.5
0.1
0.1
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
1-3
0.9
0.4
0.1
-0.0
0.2
-0.1
0.1
0.3
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ࠉ
༢఩㸸൨෇
2012
452,914
235,125
145,769
4,825
140,944
89,356
16,954
72,402
217,789
175,391
149,656
25,735
42,398
197,170
255,744
21,779
213,346
175,391
42,398
2013
512,984
270,783
164,643
6,750
157,893
106,140
21,951
84,189
242,201
196,907
170,687
26,220
45,294
225,608
287,376
28,701
242,082
196,907
45,294
ྡ┠
2014
2015
2016
512,400
509,500
515,300
265,600
271,300
275,200
149,200
151,400
155,900
8,000
7,000
5,400
141,200
144,400
150,500
116,400
119,900
119,300
23,300
19,900
21,100
93,100
100,000
98,200
246,800
238,200
240,100
198,300
188,600
187,800
171,900
161,600
160,600
26,400
27,000
27,200
48,500
49,600
52,300
229,600
215,500
214,300
282,800
294,000
301,000
31,300
26,900
26,500
234,300
244,400
248,700
198,300
188,600
187,800
48,500
49,600
52,300
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2017
493,000
269,400
153,400
5,000
148,400
116,000
18,400
97,600
223,600
170,900
143,700
27,200
52,700
194,300
298,700
23,400
246,000
170,900
52,700
༢఩㸸൨෇
2012
432,947
226,986
140,984
4,675
136,309
86,002
16,318
69,684
205,961
165,735
141,318
24,417
40,226
186,728
246,219
20,993
205,993
165,735
40,226
2013
479,444
255,437
155,494
6,398
149,096
99,943
20,669
79,274
224,007
181,951
157,606
24,345
42,056
209,018
270,426
27,067
228,370
181,951
42,056
ᐇ㉁
2014
2015
2016
466,610
466,284
472,900
244,180
250,217
253,600
137,293
139,710
142,900
7,394
6,500
5,000
129,899
133,210
137,900
106,887
110,507
110,700
21,396
18,341
19,600
85,491
92,166
91,100
222,430
216,067
219,300
178,499
170,770
171,200
154,586
146,112
146,200
23,913
24,658
25,000
43,931
45,297
48,100
207,289
195,611
195,800
259,321
270,673
277,100
28,790
24,841
24,600
215,390
225,376
229,000
178,499
170,770
171,200
43,931
45,297
48,100
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2017
448,900
246,800
140,100
4,600
135,500
106,700
16,900
89,800
202,100
154,100
129,400
24,700
48,000
175,600
273,300
21,500
225,300
154,100
48,000
㸨ᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
ࠉ
༢఩㸸㸣
ྡ ┠䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2012
2013
4.6
4.6
5.3
3.8
5.4
3.4
1.0
4.0
4.6
6.5
8.0
-1.5
-2.4
5.9
3.6
1.6
4.9
6.5
-2.4
2014
13.3
15.2
12.9
39.9
12.0
18.8
29.5
16.3
11.2
12.3
14.1
1.9
6.8
14.4
12.4
31.8
13.5
12.3
6.8
2015
-0.1
-1.9
-9.4
18.5
-10.6
9.7
6.1
10.6
1.9
0.7
0.7
0.7
7.1
1.8
-1.6
9.1
-3.2
0.7
7.1
2016
-0.6
1.1
2.1
1.4
1.5
3.0
-12.5
-22.9
2.3
4.2
3.0
-0.5
-14.6
6.0
7.4
-1.8
-3.5
0.8
-4.9
-0.4
-6.0
-0.6
2.3
0.7
2.3
5.4
-6.1
-0.6
4.0
2.4
-14.1
-1.5
4.3
1.8
-4.9
-0.4
2.3
5.4
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
ࠉ
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
2017
-4.3
-2.1
-1.6
-7.4
-1.4
-2.8
-12.8
-0.6
-6.9
-9.0
-10.5
0.0
0.8
-9.3
-0.8
-11.7
-1.1
-9.0
0.8
༢఩㸸㸣
ᐇ ㉁䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2012
2013
6.2
6.4
7.2
5.6
7.2
5.1
2.7
5.7
6.0
7.8
9.2
0.1
-0.8
7.3
5.4
3.3
6.7
7.8
-0.8
2014
10.7
12.5
10.3
36.9
9.4
16.2
26.7
13.8
8.8
9.8
11.5
-0.3
4.5
11.9
9.8
28.9
10.9
9.8
4.5
-2.7
-4.4
-11.7
15.6
-12.9
6.9
3.5
7.8
-0.7
-1.9
-1.9
-1.8
4.5
-0.8
-4.1
6.4
-5.7
-1.9
4.5
2015
2016
-0.1
1.4
2.5
1.4
1.8
2.3
-12.1
-23.1
2.5
3.5
3.4
0.2
-14.3
6.9
7.8
-1.2
-2.9
1.5
-4.3
0.3
-5.5
0.1
3.1
1.4
3.1
6.2
-5.6
0.1
4.4
2.4
-13.7
-1.0
4.6
1.6
-4.3
0.3
3.1
6.2
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2017
-5.1
-2.7
-2.0
-8.0
-1.7
-3.6
-13.8
-1.4
-7.8
-10.0
-11.5
-1.2
-0.2
-10.3
-1.4
-12.6
-1.6
-10.0
-0.2
䠄ཧ⪃䠅
㻌
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨䛸 GDP ẚ䛾᥎⛣㻌
㸦඙෇㸧
90
20%
㻤㻠㻚㻜
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
඙෇
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
80
18%
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
㻝㻣㻚㻠㻑
16%
70
14%
60
12%
㻡㻝㻚㻡඙෇
㻠㻥㻚㻟඙෇
50
10%
㻥㻚㻣㻑
40
㻟㻡㻚㻞
㻥㻚㻞㻑
඙෇
㻟㻞㻚㻟
8%
ᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻝㻣㻚㻠㻑
䊻㻥㻚㻞㻑
඙෇
30
㻣㻚㻜㻑
㻢㻚㻣㻑
6%
㻞㻝㻚㻠඙෇
㻝㻥㻚㻠඙෇
20
4%
㻠㻚㻜㻑
㻟㻚㻢㻑
10
2%
0
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
0%
17㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
ぢ㎸ ぢ㎸ ぢ㏻ ぢ㏻
ὀ1)2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢGDPࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ࡞࠾ࠊ1992㹼93ᖺᗘࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ12ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁㺂
1994ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ17ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ2)2015ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬㺀ᖹᡂ28ᖺᗘᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ3)2016ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣࠊ㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㸦2016ᖺ8᭶㸧ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻣㻚㻜㻑
䊻㻟㻚㻢㻑