「建設経済モデルによる建設投資の見通し」(2014年度

ᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ
㸦 2014 ᖺ 10 ᭶ 㸧
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᗘࢆୗᅇࡿࡶࡢࡢ ᖺᗘࢆ㉸࠼ࡿᢞ㈨㢠ࢆ⥔ᣢ
ᖺᗘࡣ኱ᖜ࡞ῶᑡࡢぢ㏻ࡋ
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘࡣᾘ㈝ቑ⛯๓㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢ཯ື࡟ࡼࡾῶᑡࡋࠊ
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚᚤቑ࡛᥎⛣
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆
2014ᖺ10᭶22᪥
㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦୍㈈㸧⤒῭ㄪᰝ఍ ⤒῭ㄪᰝ◊✲ᡤ
㸺࠾ၥ࠸ྜࢃࡏඛ㸼
୍⯡㈈ᅋἲே ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦㟁 ヰ㸧03-3433-5011 㸦FAX㸧03-3433-5239
㸦E 㺰㺎㺷㸧[email protected]
◊✲⌮஦ ῝⃝ ඾ᏹ ◊✲ဨ ᾆ㎶ 㝯ᘯ
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ┠ ḟ
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ࡢ᥎⛣͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ࡣࡌࡵ࡟
ᮏ࣏࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࢆ⏝࠸ࠊᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬㸦ᅄ༙ᮇู GDP ㏿ሗ㸧ࡢ 2014 ᖺ 4̺6 ᭶
ᮇ࣭2 ḟ㏿ሗࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼࡚ண ࡋࡓ 2014㹼2015 ᖺᗘࡢᖺᗘู࣭ᅄ༙ᮇูࡢᘓタ⤒῭ࡢண ⤖ᯝ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ࡢࣝࢹࣔی‬ᴫせ
ࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨άືࢆ㟂せືྥࠊ㔠฼࡞࡝࡜㛵㐃࡙ࡅࡓ᪉⛬ᘧయ⣔࡛⾲ࡋࠊ࣐ࢡ
ࣟⓗ࡞ᬒẼࡢືࡁ࡜ᩚྜࡍࡿᙧ࡛ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋࢆᥥࡃࡇ࡜ࢆ┠ⓗ࡜ࡋࡓ࣐ࢡࣟィ㔞⤒῭ࣔࢹ࡛ࣝ
࠶ࡿࠋ୍⯡ⓗ࡞⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡜ẚ࡭࡚ࠊఫᏯᢞ㈨ࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࠊබඹᢞ㈨࡜࠸ࡗࡓᘓタ㛵㐃㒊㛛ࢆ⣽ศ໬
ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡇ࠺ࡋࡓࣔࢹࣝ໬࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊ㔠⼥㈈ᨻᨻ⟇ࡸᾏእᬒẼࡢኚື࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡾࠊᘓタάື࡟࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡞ Ἴཬᙳ㡪ࡀཬࡪ࠿ࢆ⡆౽࡟ィ⟬ࡋࡓࡾࠊ㏫࡟ᘓタᢞ㈨ḟ➨࡛ᬒẼࡢ⾜᪉ࡀ࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡟ኚࢃࡿ࠿ࢆᥗࢇ
ࡔࡾࠊ࡜࠸ࡗࡓࡇ࡜ࡀྍ⬟࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋண ࡣࠊᅄ༙ᮇࢹ࣮ࢱࢆࡶ࡜࡟ྥ࠺ 1㹼2 ᖺࡢࣞࣥࢪ࡛⾜࠺ࠋ
ࡇࢀ࡟ࡼࡾࠊᙜヱᖺᗘࡸḟᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢỈ‽ࠊఙࡧࠊᵓᡂẚ➼࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࠊᅄ༙ᮇูࡸᖺᗘู࡟ࠊ
ᐃ㔞ⓗ࡞ࢹ࣮ࢱࢆᚓࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡢ୰࡟⤌ࡳ㎸ࢇࡔ⣽ศ໬ࡋࡓᘓタᢞ㈨࠿ࡽࠊࠗᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋ࠘㸦ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬⥲ྜ
ᨻ⟇ᒁᘓタ⤒῭⤫ィㄪᰝᐊ㸧ᡤⶶࡢᘓタᢞ㈨㢠㸦Ẹ㛫࣭ᨻᗓࠊఫᏯ࣭㠀ఫᏯ࣭ᅵᮌࠊᐇ㉁࣭ྡ┠㸧࡜
ྠᴫᛕࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆ⟬ฟࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࡼ࠺࡟࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨ࡤ࠿ࡾ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࠊ≀౯ୖ᪼⋡ࠊ㈤㔠ࠊ௻ᴗ཰┈ࠊ㞠⏝ࠊ
ᅜ㝿཰ᨭ࡜࠸ࡗࡓ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ືྥ࡟㛵ࡍࡿண ࡸࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜࠺ศᯒࢶ࣮ࣝ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡶά⏝
࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ๓ᥦ᮲௳
ձᑐࢻࣝ෇࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊ2014 ᖺ 10̺12 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 106.0 ෇ࠊ2015 ᖺ 1̺3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 106.0 ෇ࠊ
4̺6 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 107.0 ෇ࠊ7̺9 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 107.0 ෇ࠊ10̺12 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 108.0 ෇ࠊ2016
ᖺ 1̺3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 108.0 ෇࡜ࡋࡓࠋ
ղ↓ᢸಖࢥ࣮ࣝ⩣᪥≀㔠฼ࡣࠊ2014 ᖺ 10̺12 ᭶ᮇ㹼2015 ᖺ 7̺9 ᭶ᮇࢆ 0.08㸣ࠊ2015 ᖺ 10̺12
᭶ᮇ㹼2016 ᖺ 1̺3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 0.07㸣࡜ண ࡋࡓࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ⤖ᯝ
2014ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
474,700
-2.6%
459,500
-3.2%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
195,400
-5.1%
172,700
-11.6%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
147,500
-6.3%
152,500
3.4%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
131,800
6.5%
134,300
1.9%
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
2015ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᗘࢆୗᅇࡿࡶࡢࡢ ᖺᗘࢆ㉸࠼ࡿᢞ㈨㢠ࢆ⥔ᣢ
ᖺᗘࡣ኱ᖜ࡞ῶᑡࡢぢ㏻ࡋ
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘࡣᾘ㈝ቑ⛯๓㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢ཯ື࡟ࡼࡾῶᑡࡋࠊ ᖺᗘ
ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚᚤቑ࡛᥎⛣
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2012 ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬ࡢ཯ື࡟ࡼࡾ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬5.1㸣࡜࡞ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ2013 ᖺᗘࡢ⿵ṇண
⟬࡜ 2014 ᖺᗘࡢᙜึண⟬ࢆ୍య࡛⦅ᡂࡋࡓࠕ15 ࢝᭶ண⟬ࠖࡢຠᯝࡀⓎ⌧ࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡟ࡼࡾࠊ2012 ᖺᗘࢆ
㉸࠼ࡿᢞ㈨㢠࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2015 ᖺ࠿ࡽࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇➼࡟ࡼࡿ㈚ᐙ╔ᕤࡢ⥅⥆ࡀ᝿ᐃࡉࢀࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊᣢ
ᐙࡢཷὀῶᑡࡀ⥅⥆ࡋࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡶῶᑡࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ2013 ᖺᗘ࡟ẚ࡭࡚ࡢῶᑡ
ࡣ㑊ࡅࡽࢀ࡞࠸࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࠊఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬10.0㸣࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ10 ᭶࡟Ⓨ⾲ࡉࢀࡓ᪥㖟▷ほ࡛඲⏘ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ពḧࡀሀㄪ࡞୰ࠊ2014 ᖺᗘࡢ
╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡀ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍࡍࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 7.6㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡾࠊᅵᮌ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ
⣔௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡶᐤ୚ࡋࠊ඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 6.5㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧ࡣࠊ2015ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢྛ┬ᴫ⟬せồ
ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ẚ1.9%ቑࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀ
ࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆྠ5.5%ቑ࡜ぢ㎸ࡴ࡞࡝ࡋ࡚஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬11.6%࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊணᐃ㏻ࡾ10᭶࡟ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡀᐇ᪋ࡉࢀࡿࡇ࡜ࢆ๓ᥦ࡜ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊቑ⛯᫬ᮇࡀᖺᗘࡢ
୰ᚰ࡟࡞ࡾࠊ2014ᖺ4᭶ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ࡟ࡼࡿ㟂せඛ㣗࠸ࡶ࠶ࡿࡓࡵࠊ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ࣭཯ືῶࡢᙳ㡪ࡣ
2013࣭2014ᖺᗘ࡟ẚ࡭࡚ᑡ࡞࠸࡜ண᝿ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᣢᐙࡢᅇ᚟ࢆぢ㎸ࡴࡀศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢῶᑡ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ
ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ2.2%ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘ࡜ྠᵝࡢഴྥࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡀ๓ᖺᗘẚ2.4㸣ቑ࡜࡞
ࡾࠊẸ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘ࡜ྠỈ‽࡛᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊ඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ1.9㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺ䚷ᗘ
1995
2000
2005
2010
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
790,169
661,948
515,676
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
0.3%
-3.4%
-2.4%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
351,986
299,601
189,738
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
5.8%
-6.2%
-8.9%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
2.5
-2.9
-3.5
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
243,129
202,756
184,258
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-5.2%
-2.2%
0.3%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-1.7
-0.7
0.1
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
195,053
159,591
141,680
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-1.8%
0.7%
4.0%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-0.4
0.2
1.0
ᐇ㉁ᘓタᢞ㈨
779,352
663,673
515,676
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
0.2%
-3.6%
-3.5%
ὀ㻕㻞㻜㻝㻟ᖺᗘ䜎䛷䛾ᘓタᢞ㈨䛿ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬䛂ᖹᡂ㻞㻢ᖺᗘ㻌ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻䛧䛃䜘䜚䚹
419,282
-2.4%
179,820
0.3%
0.1
129,779
1.1%
0.3
109,683
-10.0%
-2.8
400,503
-2.7%
2011
432,923
3.3%
186,108
3.5%
1.5
133,750
3.1%
0.9
113,065
3.1%
0.8
407,712
1.8%
2012
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
442,000
2.1%
186,900
0.4%
0.2
140,900
5.3%
1.7
114,200
1.0%
0.3
422,078
3.5%
2013
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
487,200
10.2%
206,000
10.2%
4.3
157,400
11.7%
3.7
123,800
8.4%
2.2
454,596
7.7%
2014
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
474,700
-2.6%
195,400
-5.1%
-2.2
147,500
-6.3%
-2.0
131,800
6.5%
1.6
427,400
-6.0%
2015
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
459,500
-3.2%
172,700
-11.6%
-4.8
152,500
3.4%
1.1
134,300
1.9%
0.5
408,400
-4.4%
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ‫┠ྡە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
㸦඙෇㸧
90
ぢ㎸ࡳ Ћ Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
25%
79.0
80
70
19.5
60
20%
66.2
16.0
50
51.6
24.3
40
14.2
20.3
30
18.4
20
35.2
41.9
43.3
44.2
11.0
11.3
11.4
13.0
13.4
14.1
47.5
46.0
12.4
13.2
13.4
15.7
14.8
10%
15.3
5%
30.0
10
19.0
18.0
18.6
18.7
20.6
19.5
17.3
2005
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
0%
2015㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
0
1995
15%
48.7
2000
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸧
‫┠ྡە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
๓ᖺᗘẚ㸦㸣㸧
ぢ㎸ࡳ Ћ Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
-8.0
-10.0
-12.0
-14.0
-16.0
1995
2000
2005
ᨻᗓᘓタᐤ୚ᗘ
2010
2011
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
2012
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
2013
2015 䠄ᖺᗘ䠅
2014
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ྡ┠㸧ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧 㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ఙ
䜃
⋡
ఙ
䜃
⋡
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
4䇲6
3.7%
-0.6%
4.4%
8.9%
4䇲6
6.5%
9.3%
2.8%
7.4%
2012䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
0.9%
2.6%
-0.8%
3.9%
0.8%
6.0%
3.7%
-4.0%
2014䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
0.4%
-5.2%
-2.5%
-7.1%
-3.4%
-11.4%
10.0%
7.8%
1䇲3
1.5%
-1.1%
10.5%
-2.9%
4䇲6
4.4%
2.6%
8.1%
2.1%
1䇲3
-9.0%
-14.0%
-11.6%
1.9%
4䇲6
-3.1%
-12.1%
2.2%
2.7%
2013䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
10.4%
13.2%
13.8%
16.2%
10.9%
13.2%
5.0%
7.2%
2015䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
-4.4%
-2.1%
-19.0%
-10.4%
7.5%
6.8%
2.0%
2.2%
1䇲3
11.8%
6.9%
14.3%
17.7%
1䇲3
-3.2%
-6.2%
-3.0%
0.7%
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
㻌
ᖺᗘࡣᖺᗘࢆୗᅇࡿࡶࡢࡢᖺᗘࢆ㉸࠼ࡿᢞ㈨㢠ࢆ⥔ᣢ
ᖺᗘࡢᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ኱ᖜ࡞ῶᑡࡢぢ㏻ࡋ
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠‫ڹ‬㸣㸦ᐇ㉁‫ڹ‬㸣㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧ࡣࠊ2014ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ẚ1.9%ቑࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆྠ‫ڹ‬8.4㸣࡜
ぢ㎸ࢇࡔୖ࡛஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ࡞࠾ࠊ2013ᖺࡢ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡣࠊᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࡢࠕᖹ
ᡂ26ᖺᗘᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋ࡛ࠖヨ⟬ࡉࢀࡓ2.3඙෇⛬ᗘࢆ᥇⏝ࡋࠊࡑࡢ࡯࡜ࢇ࡝ࡣ௒ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚
ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ㒔㐨ᗓ┴➼ࡢᙜึண⟬ࡢືྥࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ3.3%ቑ࡜ࡋࡓࠋ
2014ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢఙࡧ⋡ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࣐࢖ࢼࢫ࡛࠶ࡿࡀࠊ2013ᖺᗘࡢ⿵ṇண⟬࡜2014ᖺᗘࡢᙜ
ึண⟬ࢆ୍య࡛⦅ᡂࡋࡓࠕ15࢝᭶ண⟬ࠖࡢຠᯝࡀⓎ⌧ࡍࡿࡇ࡜࡟ࡼࡾࠊ2012ᖺᗘࢆ㉸࠼ࡿᢞ㈨㢠࡜࡞ࡿ
ぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠‫ڹ‬㸣㸦ᐇ㉁‫ڹ‬㸣㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧ࡣࠊ9᭶࡟බ⾲ࡉࢀࡓ2015ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢྛ┬ᴫ⟬せồࡢ
ෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ẚ1.9%ቑࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟
ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆྠ5.5%ቑ࡜ぢ㎸ࢇࡔୖ࡛஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ⥲ົ┬ࡀࡲ࡜ࡵࡓᖹᡂ27ᖺᗘᆅ᪉㈈ᨻࡢㄢ㢟࡛♧ࡉࢀࡓᆅ᪉㈈ᨻ཰ᨭࡢ௬ヨ⟬ࡢ
ෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ๓ᖺᗘ୪ࡳ࡜ࡋࡓࠋ
ࠕ15࢝᭶ண⟬ࠖࡢຠᯝࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿ2014ᖺᗘ࠿ࡽ኱ᖜ࡞ῶᑡ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ⪁ᮙ໬ᑐ⟇஦
ᴗࡸᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏࠿ࡽࡢ᚟⯆࡞࡝ࡀ೵ࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡢ࡞࠸ࡼ࠺㐺ษ࡞ண⟬㓄ศࡀᮃࡲࢀࡿࠋ
‫ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
1995
2000
2005
2010
2011
2013
2014
2015
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
351,986
299,601
189,738
179,820
186,108
186,900
206,000
195,400
172,700
5.8%
-6.2%
-8.9%
0.3%
3.5%
0.4%
10.2%
-5.1%
-11.6%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
56,672
40,004
20,527
22,096
21,433
21,600
26,900
25,300
21,000
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-12.5%
-12.0%
-13.9%
-0.1%
-3.0%
0.8%
24.5%
-5.9%
-17.0%
295,314
259,597
169,211
157,724
164,675
165,300
179,100
170,100
151,700
10.3%
-5.2%
-8.3%
0.3%
4.4%
0.4%
8.3%
-5.0%
-10.8%
347,856
300,719
189,738
170,702
174,080
176,819
190,504
174,300
152,000
5.5%
-6.5%
-10.2%
-0.3%
2.0%
1.6%
7.7%
-8.5%
-12.8%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ὀ1㸧2013ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ26ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
2012
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ‫┠ྡ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
඙෇
40
ぢ㎸ࡳЋ
๓ᖺᗘẚ
Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
45%
5.7
30%
4.0
20
2.1
2.2
2.1
2.2
15.8
16.5
16.5
2.7
2.5
2.1
29.5
26.0
16.9
15%
0%
17.0
17.9
15.2
0
-15%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
䠂䠄๓ᖺྠᮇẚ䠅
ぢ㎸ࡳЋ Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
-10.0
-20.0
-30.0
-40.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
㻞㻜㻝㻞ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
㻞㻜㻝㻟ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
㻞㻜㻝㻠ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
㻞㻜㻝㻡ᖺᗘ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᅄ༙ᮇ
2013 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
2012 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
ᖺᗘ
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
-0.6%
-0.8%
3.9%
-1.1%
2.6%
13.8%
16.2%
6.9%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
-0.2%
-0.4%
4.2%
-0.8%
16.0%
28.6%
31.3%
20.8%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
-0.6%
-0.8%
3.8%
-1.2%
0.9%
11.9%
14.2%
5.1%
2014 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
7-9
2015 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
9.3%
-2.5%
-7.1%
-14.0%
-12.1%
-19.0%
-10.4%
-6.2%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
8.4%
-3.3%
-7.9%
-14.7%
-17.4%
-23.9%
-15.8%
-11.9%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
9.4%
-2.3%
-7.0%
-13.9%
-11.3%
-18.3%
-9.6%
-5.3%
4-6
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண 㻌 ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ䛾᥎⛣㻌 㻌
ᖺᗘࡣࠊᾘ㈝ቑ⛯๓㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢ཯ື࡟ࡼࡾ๓ᖺᗘ࡟ẚ࡭ῶᑡ
ᖺᗘࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚᚤቑ
2009 ᖺኟ௨㝆ࠊᅇ᚟ഴྥࡀ⥆࠸࡚࠸ࡓఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣࠊ2011 ᖺ 3 ᭶ࡢᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏ࡢ᚟⯆㟂せࢆ⤒
࡚ࠊ2013 ᖺᗘ࡟ࡣ 2014 ᖺ 4 ᭶ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ987,254 ᡞ㸦๓ᖺᗘẚ 10.6㸣ቑ㸧ࡢ㢧
ⴭ࡞ቑຍ࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋ
2014 ᖺ 2 ᭶௨㝆ࡣࠊᣢᐙ࣭ศㆡᡞᘓࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯࡟ࡼࡿ཯ືῶࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢᘓ⠏㈝ୖ᪼➼࡟ࡼࡿ
╔ᕤῶࡀ⥆࠸࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊ୍᪉࡛ࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ 2014 ᖺ 6 ᭶ࡲ࡛๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚࣉࣛࢫࢆ⥆ࡅ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ㊊
ඖ࡟࠾࠸࡚ࡶῶᑡࡣ⦆ࡸ࠿࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
2014 ᖺᗘࡢఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣࠊ2015 ᖺ࠿ࡽࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇➼࡟ࡼࡿ㈚ᐙ╔ᕤࡢ⥅⥆ࡀ᝿ᐃࡉࢀ
ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊᣢᐙࡢཷὀῶᑡࡀ⥅⥆ࡋࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡶῶᑡࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ2013 ᖺᗘ࡟
ẚ࡭࡚ࡢῶᑡࡣ㑊ࡅࡽࢀ࡞࠸࡜ぢ㎸ࢇ࡛࠸ࡿࠋ
2015 ᖺᗘࡢఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣࠊணᐃ㏻ࡾ 10 ᭶࡟ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡀᐇ᪋ࡉࢀࡿࡇ࡜ࢆ๓ᥦ࡜ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊቑ⛯
᫬ᮇࡀᖺᗘࡢ୰ᚰ࡟࡞ࡾࠊ2014 ᖺ 4 ᭶ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ࡟ࡼࡿ㟂せඛ㣗࠸ࡶ࠶ࡿࡓࡵࠊ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ࣭཯
ືῶࡢᙳ㡪ࡣ 2013࣭2014 ᖺᗘ࡟ẚ࡭࡚ᑡ࡞࠸࡜ண᝿ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋᣢᐙࡢᅇ᚟ࢆぢ㎸ࡴࡀศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥ
ࡢῶᑡ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ᚤቑࢆ᝿ᐃࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ୓ᡞࠊ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ୓ᡞ࡜ ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᣢᐙࡣࠊᾘ㈝ቑ⛯㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࡢ཯ືῶࡀ⥆࠸࡚࠾ࡾࠊ2014 ᖺ 4㹼8 ᭶ࡢ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ࡛‫ڹ‬21.3㸣ࡢῶᑡ࡜
࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋඛ⾜ᣦᶆ࡛࠶ࡿ࣓࣮࣮࢝ཷὀ㏿ሗ࡛ࡣࠊ8 ᭶ࡲ࡛኱ᡭ 4 ♫ࡢᖹᆒ࡛࡯ࡰ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ‫ڹ‬20㸣
ࡢⴠࡕ㎸ࡳࡀ⥆࠸࡚࠾ࡾࠊ
╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢᅇ᚟ࡣ௒෤௨㝆࡟࡞ࡿぢ㎸ࡳ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ2014 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬22.0㸣
ࡢ 27.5 ୓ᡞࠊ2015 ᖺᗘࡣྠ 8.2㸣ቑࡢ 29.8 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
㈚ᐙࡣࠊ2015 ᖺࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࠊᢞ㈨≀௳࡜ࢧ࣮ࣅࢫ௜ࡁ㧗㱋⪅ྥࡅఫᏯࡢዲㄪ࡟ࡼࡾࠊᾘ㈝
ቑ⛯ᚋࡶ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ 2014 ᖺ 6 ᭶ࡲ࡛๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚࣉࣛࢫࡀ⥆࠸ࡓࠋ7 ᭶࣭8 ᭶ࡣῶᑡࡋࡓࡶࡢࡢࠊዲㄪࡔ
ࡗࡓ᫖ᖺྠ᭶࡟ẚ࡭࡚ࡢῶᑡᖜࡀᑡ࡞ࡃࠊ኱ᡭ࣓࣮࣮࢝ࡢཷὀ㏿ሗࡶᖹᆒࡋ࡚ 8 ᭶ࡲ࡛ࠊ࡯ࡰ๓ᖺྠ᭶
ẚࣉࣛࢫ࡛᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋཷὀࡣᗏሀࡃࠊ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡢᙳ㡪ࡀ 2015 ᖺ༙ࡤ㡭ࡲ࡛⥅⥆ࡍࡿ࡜⪃
࠼ࠊ2014 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.6㸣ቑࡢ 38.0 ୓ᡞࠊ2015 ᖺᗘࡣྠ 2.0㸣ቑࡢ 38.7 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ศㆡࡣࠊ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡀ 2014 ᖺ 6㹼8 ᭶ࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡀᘓ⠏㈝ࡢୖ᪼➼࡟ࡼࡾࠊ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ‫ڹ‬23.6㸣㹼‫ڹ‬
6.2㸣࡜ⴠࡕ㎸ࡳࠊࡑࡢᙳ㡪ࡀ⥆ࡃ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࡿࠋ᫖ᖺ 10 ᭶௨㝆ࡶዎ⣙⋡ࡣ 70㸣௨ୖ࡛࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊⓎ
኎ᡞᩘࡀ 8 ᭶࡟๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ‫ڹ‬45.8㸣࡜኱ᖜ࡟ῶᑡࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ౪⤥ᡞᩘࡢῶᑡഴྥࡀ⥅⥆ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿ㸦ͤ㸧ࠋ
ᡞᘓࡣࠊᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ᚋࡢ཯ືῶ࡟ࡼࡾ 1 ᭶௨㝆ῶᑡഴྥࡀ⥆࠸࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
2014 ᖺᗘࡣศㆡ඲య࡛๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬12.3㸣ࡢ 22.7 ୓ᡞࠊ2015 ᖺᗘࡣ‫ڹ‬4.5㸣ࡢ 21.7 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ͤዎ⣙⋡ࡣ㸦ᰴ㸧୙ື⏘⤒῭◊✲ᡤⓎ⾲ᩘ್ࢆᇶ࡟ࡋࡓ㤳㒔ᅪ࡜㏆␥ᅪࡢྜ⟬ዎ⣙⋡࡛ࠊⓎ኎ᡞᩘࡣྠ◊✲ᡤⓎ⾲
ࡢ㤳㒔ᅪ࡜㏆␥ᅪࡢྜ⟬ᡞᩘ
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༓ᡞ㸧
1,600
1,484.7
ᐇ⦼← →ぢ㏻䛧
1,400
1,213.2
1,249.4
1,200
987.3
1,000
775.3
800
819.0
841.2
2010
2011
893.0
888.3
908.1
2014
2015
600
400
200
0
1995
2000
ᣢᐙ
2005
㈚ᐙ
2009
2012
ศㆡ㸦࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ㸧
2013
ศㆡ㸦ᡞᘓ㸧
⤥୚
㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦ᡞᩘ༢఩㸸༓ᡞࠊᢞ㈨㢠༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
ᖺ ᗘ
1995
2000
2005
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
඲ࠉయ
1,484.7 1,213.2 1,249.4
775.3
819.0
841.2
893.0
987.3
-4.9%
-1.1%
4.7%
-25.4%
5.6%
2.7%
6.2%
10.6%
550.5
437.8
352.6
287.0
308.5
304.8
316.5
352.8
ᣢࠉᐙ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-4.9%
-8.0%
-4.0%
-7.6%
7.5%
-1.2%
3.8%
11.5%
563.7
418.2
518.0
311.5
291.8
289.8
320.9
370.0
㈚ࠉᐙ
╔
9.3%
-1.8%
10.8%
-30.0%
-6.3%
-0.7%
10.7%
15.3%
ᕤ 㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ᡞ
344.7
346.3
370.3
163.6
212.1
239.1
249.7
259.1
ศࠉㆡ
ᩘ 㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-8.7%
11.0%
6.1%
-40.0%
29.6%
12.7%
4.4%
3.8%
198.4
220.6
232.5
68.3
98.7
121.1
125.1
125.2
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
-12.5%
13.4%
10.9%
-58.9%
44.5%
22.8%
3.3%
0.1%
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
146.3
125.7
137.8
95.3
113.4
118.0
124.5
133.9
ᡞࠉᘓ
-3.0%
6.9%
-1.2%
-10.6%
19.0%
4.0%
5.6%
7.5%
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
243,129 202,756 184,258 128,404 129,779 133,750 140,900 157,400
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
-5.2%
-2.2%
0.3%
-21.6%
1.1%
3.1%
5.3%
11.7%
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ὀ1㸧╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ2013ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2014࣭15ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ2㸧ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣ2011ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2012࣭13ᖺᗘࡣぢ㎸ࡳࠊ2014࣭15ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ3㸧⤥୚ఫᏯࡣ฼⏝㛵ಀู࡟⾲♧ࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࡀࠊ඲యࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ྵࡲࢀࡿࠋ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
2014
(ぢ㏻䛧)
888.3
-10.0%
275.2
-22.0%
379.6
2.6%
227.4
-12.3%
104.9
-16.2%
122.5
-8.5%
147,500
-6.3%
2015
(ぢ㏻䛧)
908.1
2.2%
297.7
8.2%
387.2
2.0%
217.3
-4.5%
97.7
-6.9%
119.6
-2.3%
152,500
3.4%
‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ࠉ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
2012
2013
7-9
10-12
-1.1%
15.0%
-4.2%
10.4%
ఙ
2.1%
27.0%
ࡧ
1.0%
8.5%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
0.1%
7.7%
ᡞࠉᘓ
1.9%
9.4%
2014䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
7-9
10-12
඲ࠉయ
-9.3%
-14.9%
-14.6%
ᣢࠉᐙ
-19.3%
-25.1%
-33.7%
ఙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
5.5%
-8.4%
2.9%
ࡧ
ศࠉㆡ
-16.0%
-9.9%
-14.4%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
-29.0%
-9.2%
-9.2%
ᡞࠉᘓ
-2.5%
-10.6%
-18.4%
ὀ㸧2013ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2014࣭15ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
඲ࠉయ
ᣢࠉᐙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
ศࠉㆡ
4-6
6.2%
3.5%
11.1%
3.6%
2.8%
4.4%
1-3
5.1%
7.4%
3.4%
4.6%
2.8%
6.6%
4-6
11.8%
14.9%
10.8%
11.6%
11.7%
11.5%
1-3
0.7%
-4.4%
11.0%
-8.4%
-16.0%
-1.1%
4-6
18.2%
25.0%
23.8%
1.7%
0.8%
2.5%
7-9
10-12
13.5%
12.9%
12.2%
19.7%
15.8%
15.8%
12.4%
-0.5%
14.2%
-12.3%
10.7%
11.1%
2015䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
13.6%
-4.2%
18.6%
1.8%
27.1%
-9.1%
-10.2%
-1.7%
-20.9%
-3.3%
0.4%
-0.3%
1-3
3.4%
-2.7%
18.8%
-7.4%
-11.5%
-3.1%
1-3
-18.4%
-14.5%
-27.8%
-7.1%
-0.7%
-12.3%
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᘓ⠏㸩ᅵᮌ㸧ࡢ᥎⛣
ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆
2014 ᖺ 4̺6 ᭶ᮇࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ㸦ෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ2 ḟ㏿ሗ್㸧ࡣࠊ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 3.8㸣ቑ
࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋ௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨࡟ࡣᙅ࠸ືࡁࡶぢࡽࢀࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊᾏእ⤒῭ࡢ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡾࠊ〇㐀
ᴗࡢ⏕⏘࣭௻ᴗࡢ཰┈࡜ࡶ㧗ࡲࡿࡇ࡜ࡀண᝿ࡉࢀࠊ2014 ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.6㸣ቑࠊ
2015 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 3.9㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛᢞ㈨ࡢ࠺ࡕ⣙ 2 ๭ࢆ༨ࡵࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊୗグࡢ
㏻ࡾ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ 13 ඙ 1,800 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ2014
ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ࠊ஦ົᡤࡣ 3.3㸣ቑࠊᗑ⯒ࡣ 1.0㸣ቑࠊᕤሙࡣ 0.5㸣ቑࠊ಴ᗜࡣ 5.7㸣ቑ࡜
ఙࡧࡿࡇ࡜ࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 7.6㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓẸ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨࡟
ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ㕲㐨࣭㏻ಙ࣭࢞ࢫ࡞࡝ᅵᮌ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ⣔௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡀ㧗Ỉ‽࡛᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ 13 ඙ 4,300 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢ࠺
ࡕᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.4㸣ቑࠊᅵᮌᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘ࡜ྠỈ‽࡛᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃࡇ࡜ࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋ
஦ົᡤࡣࠊ඲ᅜⓗ࡟✵ᐊ⋡࣭㈤㈚ᩱࡣᨵၿഴྥ࡟࠶ࡾࠊ㊊ඖࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚࠾ࡼࡧᘓタᕤ஦ཷὀືែ
⤫ィㄪᰝ㸦ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬㸧ࡢືࡁࡣሀㄪ࡛࠶ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ௒ᚋࡶ㡰ㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᗑ⯒ࡣࠊᘓタࢥࢫࢺࡢୖ᪼࡟క࠸ฟᗑィ⏬ࢆᢚไࡍࡿືࡁࡀ୍㒊࡛ぢࡽࢀࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ኱つᶍᑠ኎ᗑ⯒
❧ᆅἲୖࡢᒆฟ≧ἣࡣሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋࡋ࠿ࡋ࡞ࡀࡽࠊ㊊ඖࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣ㕌࠸ືࡁ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ
ໃ࠸ࡣ㕌໬ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᕤሙࡣࠊ㊊ඖࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣ㕌࠸ືࡁ࡛࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ10᭶࡟Ⓨ⾲ࡉࢀࡓ᪥㖟▷ほ࡟࠾࠸࡚ࡣ〇㐀ᴗ࡟
࠾ࡅࡿタഛࡢవ๫ឤࡣゎᾘࡋࡘࡘ࠶ࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊᘓタᕤ஦ཷὀືែ⤫ィㄪᰝ࡟࠾࠸࡚ࡶᕤሙࢆ୰ᚰ࡜ࡋࡓ
〇㐀ᴗ࠿ࡽࡢཷὀ≧ἣࡣάⓎ࡛࠶ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ௒ᚋࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
಴ᗜࡣࠊᑠ኎ᴗ࡞࡝ࡢࢿࢵࢺ㏻㈍ࡀᣑ኱ࡍࡿࡢ࡟క࠸ࠊၟရࡢ㞟Ⲵࡸ㓄㏦ࢆຠ⋡ࡼࡃ㐍ࡵࡼ࠺࡜ࡍࡿ
ືࡁࡀຍ㏿໬ࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ᪂ࡓ࡞≀ὶᣐⅬࢆᘓタࡍࡿືࡁࡀ௒ᚋࡶ⥆ࡃ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ௒ᚋࡶ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆ࡍࡿ࡜ᛮࢃࢀࡿࡀࠊಶேᾘ㈝ᅇ᚟ࡢ㐜ࢀ࡟క࠺௻
ᴗ཰┈ࡢᅽ㏕ࠊᘓタࢥࢫࢺୖ᪼➼ࡶᠱᛕࡉࢀࠊືྥࢆὀどࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
(༢఩:൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁)
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
1995
2000
2005
2010
195,053
159,591
141,680
109,683
20111
113,065
2012
2013
2014
2015
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
114,200
131,800
134,300
-1.8%
0.7%
4.0%
-10.0%
3.1%
1.0%
8.4%
6.5%
1.9%
110,095
93,429
92,357
69,116
69,618
71,800
79,800
85,900
88,000
-6.8%
-0.5%
3.4%
-9.5%
0.7%
3.1%
11.1%
7.6%
2.4%
84,958
66,162
49,323
40,567
43,447
42,400
44,000
45,900
46,300
5.6%
2.5%
5.3%
-10.9%
7.1%
-2.4%
3.8%
4.3%
0.9%
603,261
649,864
705,989
648,763
680,140
684,945
703,173
728,447
756,952
3.1%
4.8%
4.4%
3.8%
4.8%
0.7%
2.7%
3.6%
3.9%
ὀ1㸧2013ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ26ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
ὀ2㸧2013ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
123,800
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ぢ㎸䜏䊹
㸣๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
䊻ぢ㏻䛧
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
-5.0
-10.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2012ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2013ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
7-9
4-6
7.4%
7.9%
6.6%
3.8%
1-3
4-6
7-9
2014ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
4-6
8.9%
11.2%
5.2%
8.3%
10-12
2012䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
3.7%
-4.0%
5.8%
-2.0%
0.1%
-7.3%
3.9%
-4.2%
2014䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
10.0%
7.8%
12.4%
9.7%
5.7%
4.6%
6.1%
6.1%
10-12
1-3
2015ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
1-3
-2.9%
-0.8%
-6.1%
-3.4%
4-6
2.1%
4.7%
-2.2%
-2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2.3%
1.1%
-0.5%
4-6
2.7%
3.1%
2.1%
5.5%
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
2013䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
5.0%
7.2%
17.7%
7.6%
9.9%
20.7%
0.5%
2.7%
12.7%
-0.9%
1.2%
11.6%
2015䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
2.0%
2.2%
0.7%
1.9%
2.5%
2.2%
2.1%
1.8%
-2.0%
3.9%
3.5%
3.1%
ὀ㸧2014ᖺ4-6᭶ᮇࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
༢఩༓੍
ᖺᗘ
஦ົᡤ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᗑ⯒╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᕤሙ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
಴ᗜ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
1995
2000
2005
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
9,474
7,280
6,893
4,658
5,039
5,315
4,819
4,978
4,843
-0.6%
-4.2%
-4.4%
-26.8%
8.2%
5.5%
-9.3%
3.3%
-2.7%
11,955
11,862
12,466
5,727
5,173
7,403
8,326
8,409
8,451
13.8%
-17.9%
9.7%
4.1%
-9.7%
43.1%
12.5%
1.0%
0.5%
13,798
13,714
14,135
6,405
7,168
8,203
7,890
7,929
8,016
4.6%
37.6%
6.8%
17.6%
11.9%
14.4%
-3.8%
0.5%
1.1%
9,994
7,484
8,991
4,234
5,361
6,248
6,842
7,234
7,451
-1.6%
11.2%
16.3%
6.1%
26.6%
16.6%
9.5%
5.7%
3.0%
68,458
59,250
65,495
37,403
40,502
44,559
47,679
49,305
50,050
5.3%
2.0%
3.8%
7.3%
8.3%
10.0%
7.0%
3.4%
1.5%
ὀ㸧㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ࠿ࡽ஦ົᡤࠊᗑ⯒ࠊᕤሙࠊ಴ᗜࢆ᥍㝖ࡋࡓṧవࡣࠊᏛᰯࠊ⑓㝔ࠊࡑࡢ௚࡟ヱᙜࡍࡿ㹿
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண 䝬䜽䝻⤒῭䛾᥎⛣ 㻌
ᖺᗘࡣ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢ཯ື࡛㕌໬
2014 ᖺᗘࡣࠊಶேᾘ㈝ࡸఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡀ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢ཯ື࡛࣐࢖ࢼࢫ࡟㌿ࡌࠊබඹᢞ㈨࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡶ 2013
ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬ࢆྵࡵ࡚ࡶῶᑡࡍࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊᡂ㛗ຊࡣ㕌໬ࡍࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ୍᪉࡛ࠊタഛᢞ㈨࡟ࡘ࠸
࡚ࡣ㊊ඖ࡛ࡣᙅ࠸ືࡁࡶぢࡽࢀࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ௻ᴗ཰┈ࡢᨵၿ➼ࢆ⫼ᬒ࡟ቑຍഴྥࡀ⥆ࡃࡇ࡜ࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿ
ࡇ࡜࡟ຍ࠼ࠊྡ┠㈤㔠ࡶୖ᪼ഴྥ࡟࠶ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ⤒῭ࡢዲᚠ⎔ࢆᣑ኱ࡍࡿࡓࡵࡢྲྀࡾ⤌ࡳࡀ☜ᐇ࡟ᐇ
᪋ࡉࢀࡿࡇ࡜ࡀᮃࡲࢀࡿࠋእ㟂࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡶ࢔࣓ࣜ࢝⤒῭ࡢᗏሀࡉ➼ࢆ⫼ᬒ࡟ḟ➨࡟ᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡟ྥ࠿࠺ࡇ
࡜ࡀᮇᚅࡉࢀࡿࠋ
2015 ᖺᗘࡣࠊணᐃ㏻ࡾ 10 ᭶࡟ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡀᐇ᪋ࡉࢀࡿࡇ࡜ࢆ๓ᥦ࡜ࡍࡿ࡜ࠊಶேᾘ㈝ࡸఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡀᖺ
ᗘ๓༙࡟㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢᙳ㡪࡛ቑຍࡋࠊᖺᗘᚋ༙࡟ࡣ཯ື࡟ࡼࡾῶ㏿ࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡉࢀࡿࠋࡲࡓࠊබⓗᅛ
ᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡶࠊ2013 ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬ࡀᇳ⾜ࡉࢀࡿ 2014 ᖺᗘ࡜ẚ㍑ࡋ࡚ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡉࢀࡿࡇ
࡜࠿ࡽࠊ2014 ᖺᗘ࡟ᘬࡁ⥆ࡁࠊᣢ⥆ⓗ࡞⤒῭ᡂ㛗࡟ࡘ࡞ࡀࡿྲྀࡾ⤌ࡳࡀᮇᚅࡉࢀࡿࠋ
ୗ᣺ࢀࣜࢫࢡ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊᾘ㈝ቑ⛯࡟ࡼࡿ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᅇ᚟ࡢ㐜ࢀࡸࠊ୰ᅜࢆࡣࡌࡵ࡜
ࡍࡿ࢔ࢪ࢔⤒῭ࡢᅇ᚟ࡢ㕌໬ࠊ୰ᮾ᝟ໃࡢᝏ໬࡞࡝ࡀᣲࡆࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬7.7㸣ࡢ
ῶᑡ㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ‫ڹ‬0.4㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣ‫ڹ‬9.8㸣ࡢῶᑡ㸦ྠ‫ڹ‬0.3㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ࡣ 3.6㸣ࡢቑຍ㸦ྠ 0.5㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬12.9㸣ࡢ
ῶᑡ㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ‫ڹ‬0.5㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣ 2.1㸣ࡢቑຍ㸦ྠ 0.1㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ
3.9㸣ࡢቑຍ㸦ྠ 0.5㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ 2005 ᬺᖺ㐃㙐౯᱁⾲♧㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᐇ㉁GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ྡ┠GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
1995
4,590,576
2.7%
2,658,908
2.3%
1.3
736,169
4.3%
0.6
236,088
-5.7%
-0.3
603,261
3.1%
0.5
417,039
6.7%
0.6
12,911
-241.5%
0.6
-45,087
596.5%
-0.6
5,045,943
1.8%
2000
4,767,233
2.0%
2,750,555
0.3%
0.2
839,598
4.8%
0.8
200,798
-0.1%
0.0
649,864
4.8%
0.7
350,705
-6.1%
-0.5
3,408
-110.2%
0.8
-20,874
102.6%
0.0
5,108,347
0.8%
2005
2010
5,071,580
1.9%
2,925,785
1.9%
1.1
923,628
0.4%
0.1
183,450
-0.7%
0.0
705,989
4.4%
0.6
241,128
-6.7%
-0.3
8,072
-46.3%
-0.1
83,487
56.0%
0.6
5,053,494
0.5%
5,124,238
3.4%
2,997,240
1.6%
0.9
978,863
2.0%
0.4
125,337
2.2%
0.1
648,763
3.8%
0.5
207,145
-6.4%
-0.3
-1,357
-97.3%
1.1
168,467
43.8%
0.8
4,802,325
1.3%
ὀ㸧2013 ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
2011
5,141,599
0.3%
3,039,093
1.4%
0.8
990,785
1.2%
0.2
129,360
3.2%
0.1
680,140
4.8%
0.6
200,556
-3.2%
-0.1
-14,777
988.9%
-0.3
119,742
-28.9%
-1.0
4,736,819
-1.4%
2012
5,175,831
0.7%
3,084,782
1.5%
0.9
1,005,888
1.5%
0.3
136,299
5.4%
0.2
684,945
0.7%
0.1
203,214
1.3%
0.1
-19,217
30.0%
-0.1
83,828
-30.0%
-0.8
4,726,399
-0.2%
2013
2014
2015
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
5,292,519 5,306,589
2.3%
0.3%
3,162,407 3,096,696
2.5%
-2.1%
1.5
-1.2
1,023,748 1,037,220
1.8%
1.3%
0.4
0.3
149,278
134,720
9.5%
-9.8%
0.3
-0.3
703,173
728,447
2.7%
3.6%
0.4
0.5
233,922
215,145
15.1%
-8.0%
0.7
-0.4
-39,930
-1,992
107.8%
-95.0%
-0.4
0.7
71,561
108,885
-14.6%
52.2%
-0.5
0.7
4,814,462 4,927,858
1.9%
2.4%
5,383,162
1.4%
3,135,748
1.3%
0.7
1,035,796
-0.1%
-0.0
137,498
2.1%
0.1
756,952
3.9%
0.5
187,349
-12.9%
-0.5
-6,532
227.9%
-0.1
148,883
36.7%
0.8
5,033,997
2.2%
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
㸦㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺࠊ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ぢ㏻ࡋ
ᐇ⦼
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
-3.0
-4.0
-5.0
-6.0
-7.0
-8.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2012ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2013ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
2014ᖺᗘ
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
2015ᖺᗘ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᐇ㉁*'3ᡂ㛗⋡㸦㸣㸧
ࠉࠉࠉ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
4-6
3.2
1.9
0.3
0.1
1.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
4-6
-0.1
-1.6
0.0
-0.1
0.5
0.2
1.0
-0.2
2012
7-9 10-12
-0.2
-0.3
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.0
0.2
0.5
-0.5
0.0
0.2
-0.0
-0.0
-1.6
-0.9
2014㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
0.4
1.0
-1.0
-0.7
0.2
0.3
-0.2
-0.4
0.8
0.7
-0.2
-0.5
0.4
0.5
0.5
1.1
1-3
0.1
0.9
0.3
0.3
-0.5
-0.0
-0.3
-0.5
4-6
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
-0.4
0.3
-0.4
-0.1
1-3
-0.2
-1.7
0.5
-0.4
-0.1
-0.8
1.1
1.2
4-6
2.5
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.7
-0.4
-0.3
0.7
2013
7-9 10-12
2.3
2.5
1.5
1.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
-0.1
0.2
0.8
1.0
-0.4
-0.2
-0.1
-0.5
2015㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
2.0
0.7
1.5
-0.1
-0.1
-0.2
0.2
0.1
0.5
0.4
-0.8
-0.6
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.9
1-3
3.0
2.1
0.1
0.4
1.8
0.6
-0.7
-1.3
1-3
0.6
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
0.5
-0.3
-0.1
0.8
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
༢఩㸸൨෇
2010
419,282
220,991
134,933
5,154
129,779
86,058
16,942
69,116
198,291
157,724
130,198
27,526
40,567
179,820
239,462
22,096
198,895
157,724
40,567
2011
432,923
224,801
138,400
4,650
133,750
86,401
16,783
69,618
208,122
164,675
138,544
26,131
43,447
186,108
246,815
21,433
203,368
164,675
43,447
ྡ┠
2012
2013
2014
442,000
487,200
474,700
234,300
264,100
258,700
145,700
164,300
152,300
4,800
6,900
4,800
140,900
157,400
147,500
88,600
99,800
106,400
16,800
20,000
20,500
71,800
79,800
85,900
207,700
223,100
216,000
165,300
179,100
170,100
139,700
153,300
144,800
25,600
25,800
25,300
42,400
44,000
45,900
186,900
206,000
195,400
255,100
281,200
279,300
21,600
26,900
25,300
212,700
237,200
233,400
165,300
179,100
170,100
42,400
44,000
45,900
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2015
459,500
261,500
157,300
4,800
152,500
104,200
16,200
88,000
198,000
151,700
126,400
25,300
46,300
172,700
286,800
21,000
240,500
151,700
46,300
༢఩㸸൨෇
2010
400,503
212,672
130,003
4,975
125,028
82,669
16,275
66,394
187,831
149,452
123,410
26,042
38,379
170,702
229,801
21,250
191,422
149,452
38,379
2011
407,712
213,387
131,568
4,429
127,139
81,819
15,893
65,926
194,325
153,758
129,359
24,399
40,567
174,080
233,632
20,322
193,065
153,758
40,567
ᐇ㉁
2012
2013
2014
422,078
454,596
427,400
225,892
248,676
235,000
140,782
154,879
138,300
4,647
6,528
4,400
136,135
148,351
133,900
85,110
93,797
96,700
16,138
18,797
18,600
68,972
75,000
78,100
196,186
205,920
192,400
156,034
165,179
151,300
131,792
141,290
128,600
24,242
23,889
22,700
40,152
40,741
41,100
176,819
190,504
174,300
245,259
264,092
253,100
20,785
25,325
23,000
205,107
223,351
212,000
156,034
165,179
151,300
40,152
40,741
41,100
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2015
408,400
234,400
140,900
4,300
136,600
93,500
14,500
79,000
174,000
133,200
110,900
22,300
40,800
152,000
256,400
18,800
215,600
133,200
40,800
㸨ᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
༢఩㸸㸣
ྡ ┠䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2010
2011
-2.4
-2.6
0.7
-8.2
1.1
-7.3
2.7
-9.5
-2.2
0.3
-6.4
52.2
-10.9
0.3
-4.3
-0.1
-2.9
0.3
-10.9
2012
3.3
1.7
2.6
-9.8
3.1
0.4
-0.9
0.7
5.0
4.4
6.4
-5.1
7.1
3.5
3.1
-3.0
2.2
4.4
7.1
2013
2.1
4.2
5.3
3.2
5.3
2.5
0.1
3.1
-0.2
0.4
0.8
-2.0
-2.4
0.4
3.4
0.8
4.6
0.4
-2.4
2014
10.2
-2.6
12.7
-2.0
12.8
-7.3
43.8
-30.4
11.7
-6.3
12.6
6.6
19.0
2.5
11.1
7.6
7.4
-3.2
8.3
-5.0
9.7
-5.5
0.8
-1.9
3.8
4.3
10.2
-5.1
10.2
-0.7
24.5
-5.9
11.5
-1.6
8.3
-5.0
3.8
4.3
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
ࠉ
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
2015
-3.2
1.1
3.3
0.0
3.4
-2.1
-21.0
2.4
-8.3
-10.8
-12.7
0.0
0.9
-11.6
2.7
-17.0
3.0
-10.8
0.9
༢఩㸸㸣
ᐇ ㉁䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2010
-2.7
-2.7
0.6
-8.3
1.0
-7.5
2.5
-9.7
-2.8
-0.3
-7.0
51.3
-11.4
-0.3
-4.5
-0.3
-3.0
-0.3
-11.4
2011
2012
1.8
0.3
1.2
-11.0
1.7
-1.0
-2.3
-0.7
3.5
2.9
4.8
-6.3
5.7
2.0
1.7
-4.4
0.9
2.9
5.7
2013
3.5
5.9
7.0
4.9
7.1
4.0
1.5
4.6
1.0
1.5
1.9
-0.6
-1.0
1.6
5.0
2.3
6.2
1.5
-1.0
2014
7.7
-6.0
10.1
-5.5
10.0
-10.7
40.5
-32.6
9.0
-9.7
10.2
3.1
16.5
-1.0
8.7
4.1
5.0
-6.6
5.9
-8.4
7.2
-9.0
-1.5
-5.0
1.5
0.9
7.7
-8.5
7.7
-4.2
21.8
-9.2
8.9
-5.1
5.9
-8.4
1.5
0.9
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2015
-4.4
-0.3
1.9
-2.3
2.0
-3.3
-22.0
1.2
-9.6
-12.0
-13.8
-1.8
-0.7
-12.8
1.3
-18.3
1.7
-12.0
-0.7
ᘓタ⤒῭ᢞ㈨ண 䠄ཧ⪃䠅
㻌
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨䛸 GDP ẚ䛾᥎⛣㻌
㸦඙෇㸧
90
20%
㻤㻠㻚㻜
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
඙෇
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
80
18%
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
㻝 㻣 㻚㻠㻑
16%
70
14%
60
12%
㻠㻣㻚㻡඙෇
50
㻠㻢㻚㻜඙෇
10%
40
㻥㻚㻢㻑
㻟 㻡 㻚㻞
㻥㻚㻝㻑
඙෇
㻟㻞㻚㻟
8%
඙෇
30
ᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻝㻣㻚㻠㻑
䊻㻥㻚㻝㻑
㻣㻚㻜㻑
㻢㻚㻣㻑
6%
㻝㻥㻚㻡඙෇
20
㻝㻣㻚㻟඙෇
4%
㻠㻚㻜㻑
㻟㻚㻠㻑
10
2%
0
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻣㻚㻜㻑
䊻㻟㻚㻠㻑
0%
15 㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
ぢ㎸ ぢ㎸ ぢ㏻ ぢ㏻
ὀ1)2013ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢGDPࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ࡞࠾ࠊ1992㹼93ᖺᗘࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ12ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁㺂
1994ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ17ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ2)2013ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬㺀ᖹᡂ26ᖺᗘᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ3)2014ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣࠊ㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㸦2014ᖺ10᭶㸧ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
㻌