Centre for Urban Studies Combined use of bike and train Roland Kager, Bram Fokke, Marco te Brömmelstroet, Luca Bertolini VerDuS-DBR research programme, Nov 2013 – Aug 2014 A. Research background VerDuS - DBR ‘Verbinden van Duurzame Steden’ (NWO, Min. I&M / BZK / EZ, Platform31) ‘Duurzaam Bereikbare Randstad’: exploration of research areas relevant for long-term transition to sustainable transport, drafting of research agenda Projects ‘Bicycle use’ and ‘Bicycle as an egress and access mode’ awarded to UvA, output: Three scientific articles (forthc.) ‘CoRP Fietscommunity’, joint CROW-publication High media and professional interest (articles, confer.) 2 B. Setting the scene: Bike-transit observations A principal transport phenomenon in the Netherlands: high usage = ~45% in access travel to stations high growth = +5% annually 2000-2013 (# travellers) solid outlook: many co-trends = ict,hnw,(re-)urb,p2p,zzp, gen.Z,phs,lev’s,flex,24/7,(car-)share,health,lifestyle,...) ... yet little understood: no data, no research tradition, little awareness; ‘a niche in a niche’... Appraised a system of high value (actual or potential)... ... but approached using a problem-frame in practice Autonomous/user-driven development, not policy-driven 3 C. Hypothesis: Bike-train a distinct modality? Analysis: In case we would consider combined bike-train use a distinct modality; I. Conceptually: What are its distinct characterics? II. Quantitatively: Distinctive enough to justify such an approach? -> Illustrative example of NL III. Application-wise?... also outside NL? 4 C-I. Characteristics of the bike-train modality 1. Integration of heterogeneous yet complementary transport modalities • The resulting modality is not the average of either modality, but rather (because of choice) an optimal combination of strong aspects of either sub-modality 2. Non-deterministic choice in access and egress station • relevant • heterogeneous • dynamic 3. High complexity 5 C-II. Distinctive in NL? N < 1 km < 5km < 7.5 km Choice (5 km) Choice (7,5 km) All stations (excl. lightrail) 388 19,2% 69,1% 81,2% 2,32 3,47 - Large IC station 17 1,1% 15,8% 23,8% 1,33 1,39 - IC station 27 1,8% 20,6% 28,5% 1,13 1,30 - Small IC station 22 1,5% 10,5% 17,0% 1,03 1,05 - Hybrid station 16 1,2% 7,6% 12,3% 1,05 1,11 - Stop station + 86 4,6% 28,8% 42,3% 1,41 1,77 - Stop station 216 9,4% 36,3% 53,6% 1,55 1,95 Catchment-area pedestrian distance vs cycleable distances (% of total population) C-II. Distinctive in NL? Number of departing trains per hour within 20 minutes of cycling Additional number of departing trains within 20 min. when using pedelec C-II. Distinctive in NL ? 8 C-II. Distinctive in NL ? 9 C-II. Distinctive in NL ? 10 C-II. Distinctive in NL ? 11 C-II. Distinctive in NL ? Effective speed per access modality 12 C-II. Distinctive in NL ? Effective station choice per access modality 13 C-III. Application in NL? Bike-train users are the dominant user group! (we need to understand this group if we want to facilitate, improve or adjust train or bike experience) The general case of station choice provides (rather unexplored) opportunities for optimisation, for increasing land value or furthering urban densities. Framework for exploring future use & impact of trends (e-bike, PHS, ‘NorthSouth-line’, reurbanisation, new stations, new bike parkings, rationalisation feedering transit, ....?) 14 C-III. also applicable outside NL? 15 C-III. also applicable outside NL? Yes... heteregeonity within the transit system ... and distribution of (heterogeneous) access stations of high level transit system within ‘cycling distance’ closely correlates with urban density and general transit system hierarchy ... mostly availability of bike system differs (bike culture, bike infra, bike facilities, institutions) ... but such differences are rapidly decreasing (especially in urban areas) ... and bike-train follows ‘bottom-up’ 16 D. Research areas Data! Case studies! Calibration! Framework: From bike-train modality (‘trip chains’) to bike-train-based mobility (‘land-use/transport’) = ‘bike’ + ‘train’ + ‘bike-train’ Interrelationship bike-train with ‘full’ transit, ‘plain’ train and ‘plain’ cycling Spatial effects of bike-train-based mobility (urbanisation, borrowed-size/agglomerations) NL as ‘living lab’ in international business/consultancy /profiling/research (focus on heterogeneity) 17 Contact us! Roland Kager, Luca Bertolini, Bram Fokke, Marco te Brömmelstroet University of Amsterdam Centre for Urban Studies T 06 10790466 [email protected] http://dbr.verdus.nl/pagina.asp?id=1650 http://www.linkedin.com/in/rolandkager
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