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The future, opportunities
and threats within the pig
industry
Klaus Jørgensen, Market Director,
DanAvl, Danish Pig Research Centre
Danish Pig Research Centre
• Responsible for research and development
programmes and knowledge transfer to the
Danish pig industry
• Research budget: 15 million Euro per year
• Supporting the development of a responsible
and economically sustainable pig industry with
highest possible level of welfare and a minimum
impact on the environment
• Development and marketing of DanAvl.
2
The Key Challenge:
Business
Key issue: Sustainability
Sustainable
Pig
Production
Society
Key challenge. How to balance.
Ethics
Sustainable Business:
Competitive pig producers
Cost efficiency.
Productivity.
PIGS WEANED PER LITTER 2003-2011 - EUROPE
Source: Interpig 2012
5
Efficiency – sows
2013*)
2012
Average
Top 25%
Average
Live born / litter
15,4
16,1
15.1
Pre-weaning mortality, %
13,7
11,5
13.7
Weaned / litter
13,3
14,2
13.1
Litters / sow / year
2,25
2,31
2.26
Weaned/per sow/per year (median)
30,2
32,5
29,7
* National average for productivity in pig production 2013, Pig Research
Centre, based on 604 sow herds with a total of 411,000 sows
6
Efficiency – Finisher Herds
(30-107 kilo live weight)
2013
2012
Top 25%
Av.
Av.
Daily weight gain, g
985
916
905
Feed conversion, feed units
FUgp* per kg gain
2,67
2,84
2,86
Average slaughter weight, kg
83,4
82,7
81.8
Average lean meat, %
60,3
60.2
60.4
3
3.7
3.6
Dead and culled, %
* 1 kg feed mix ≈ 1.04 -1.07 FUgp (feed units for finishers)
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Sustainable society:
Contributing pig producers
The way we contribute to society.
Regulatory frames
Society
8 employees in
neighbouring
areas
15 employees in slaughterHouses and related industries
Society impact:
- The pig500production
ISfinishers
important
sows
Sale of 11,000
and 4,000 piglets
Farm turnover
to EUR 1.5 mill.
Slaughtering and food processing
turnover to EUR 2.2 mill.
Tax income will fund at least
8 public sector employees.
10
Sustainable ethics:
Responsible pig producers
The way we do business.
Our license to operate
Key challenges
• Animal welfare
• Food safety
• Environmental impact
Ethics
How to keep the pigs
What do we put into the pigs?
0,35
0,3
0,25
Gram
antibiotics pr 0,2
kg meat0,15
all species
0,1
0,05
USA
Netherlands
France
Schwitzerland
Czech
Republic
UK
Germany
Denmark
Finland
Sweden
Norway
0
14
How do we treat our environment
Nitrate 1985-2010
47
Phosphorous 19852010
51
NH3 loss 1990-2007
61
Use of artificial fertiliser
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
The Key Challenge:
Business
Key issue: Sustainability
Sustainable
Pig
Production
Society
Key challenge. How to balance.
Ethics
So what about the
opportunities?
Manage the challenges.
We have a great story – if we do it right:
Do it!
Tell it!
•
Thank You!
DanAvl verzekerd je
productiviteit nu en in de
toekomst!
DanAvl Fokdoel
Duroc
Conformatie Slachtverlies
2%
4%
Yorkshire & Landrace
g/dag
0-30 kg
3%
Levensduur
4%
g/dag
30-100 kg
20%
Voederconversie
54%
Levende
Biggen op
dag 5
27%
Magervleesgehalte
17%
Slachtverlies
2%
g/dag
30-100 kg
11%
g/dag
0-30 kg
2%
Magervlees
-gehalte
7%
Voederconversie
42%
Conformtie
5%
1
Dreiging:
Toekomstmogelijkheid:
• Fokken op aantal levende
biggen op dag 5 (LB5)
 Hogere toomgroote en
minder sterfte!
Effect van
Levende biggen op dag 5
Dreiging:
Toekomstmogelijkheid:
• Hoge selectiedruk op
productiekenmerken
• Optimale Contributie
Selectie
 Meer conformatieproblemen, minder
algemeene robuustheid
 Minder inteelt, hogere
vooruitgang en daarbij ook
conformatie en robuustheid!
DanAvl: Duroc varkens
Voorspelling Fokindeks
120
80
40
Inteelttoename
0.20
0.19
0.18
Optimale Contributie Selectie
0.17
2008
2009
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Dreiging:
• Beperkingen opgelegd
door de overheid
 Economie producent
omlaag
Toekomstmogelijkheid:
• Genomische Selectie
 Hogere vooruitgang en
grotere efficiëntie producent!
DanAvl: Yorkshire
Voorspelling Fokindeks
120
80
40
Inteelttoename
0.20
0.18
Genomische Selectie
0.16
2008
2009
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Meer toekomstmogelijkheden
• Toomgroei en aantal tepels
• Sociaale varkens
• Berengeur
•
•
DanAvl verzekerd
Genomische Selectie v.3.0
je productiviteit nu
en in de toekomst!
Overleving tot slacht
27