ASE Market Wrap-Up 13 August 2014 The ASE snaps a 3-day losing streak; stocks rebound 30 2200 25 2100 2000 20 1900 15 1800 10 Points JD Million ASE General Index 1700 5 1600 0 1500 Value Traded(Left ) Jordanian stocks recorded their biggest daily gain in more than 2 weeks after adding 9.4 points on Wednesday. The general index closed the session at 2,097.15, approaching its 2,100 support level as sector indices end the day mixed. Investors built new positions in the shares of mining heavyweights Arab Potash Company (APOT, 5.5%) & Jordan Phosphate Mines (JOPH, 0.6%). Industrials led gainers for the session, up by 0.73%. Similarly, Arab Bank (ARBK) rebounded, advancing by 3.7% to push the index higher. Jordan Ahli Bank (AHLI, 1.6%) also contributed to sector and market gains pushing the banking sector 0.68% higher. On the other hand, Jordan Electric Power (JOEP) fell by 1.5% to weigh on the services (-0.10%) sector. The real estate & insurance sectors fell by 0.46% & 0.21% respectively. ASEIndex(Right ) Regional Markets Trading Activity Value JD5.40 million Volume 4.60 million Source: ASE Market Breadth Gainers Losers 43 Unchanged 46 46 Source: ASE Top Gainers Price % Chg South Electronics 0.07 16.67% Babelon 2.18 9.55% Resources Invest 0.15 7.14% Source: ASE Amman SE (ASE) Index 2097.15 Daily 0.45% MTD -1.85% YTD 1.52% Dubai FM (DFM) 4805.07 -0.13% -0.58% 42.59% Abu Dhabi SE (ADX) 5003.03 0.31% -1.03% 16.61% Saudi SE (TASI) 10593.10 0.04% 3.70% 24.10% Kuwait SE (KSE) 7245.71 0.15% 1.61% -4.02% Doha SM (DSM) 13522.79 1.83% 5.01% 30.28% Bahrain SE (BAX) 1470.13 -0.52% -0.11% 17.72% Muscat SM (MSM) 7298.35 0.09% 1.36% 6.79% Egypt SE (EGX 30) 9288.24 0.15% 5.23% 36.94% 91.15 3.63% -2.68% -19.44% Iraq SE (ISX) Source: Bloomberg Sector Indices Top Losers Price % Chg Financial Al-Manara Insurance 0.11 -8.33% Banks J. Press Foundat 1.92 -4.95% Insurance Al-Quds Ready Mix 0.20 -4.76% Diversified Fin. Ser. Source: ASE Real Estate Most Active Price % Chg Taj Catering Housing 0.86 -1.15% Jordan Ahli Bank 1.30 1.56% J D Properties 0.74 1.37% Services Industrial Value Traded (JD) No. of Shares Close % Chg 3,767,171 3,170,986 2,850.01 0.52% 1,828,463 661,915 4,200.93 0.68% 9,046 19,444 1,921.40 -0.21% 206,229 317,578 1,789.61 0.27% 1,723,433 2,172,049 1,934.36 -0.46% 539,566 590,433 1,631.01 -0.10% 1,126,758 872,460 1,872.55 0.73% Source: ASE Source: ASE Top Value Traded Price Arab Bank 7.47 % Chg 3.75% Taj Catering Housing 0.86 -1.15% Jordan Ahli Bank 1.30 1.56% Corporate News Source: ASE Trading by Investor Type Buy Sell Retail 64.36% 74.56% Institutional 35.64% 25.44% Source: SDC Buy Sell Jordanians 78.61% 87.00% Arabs 11.13% 10.97% Foreigners 10.26% 2.03% Source: SDC Economic News Trading by Nationality Capital Bank of Jordan (EXFB) signed an agreement with Jordan Mortgage Refinance (JMRC), under which JMRC will grant the bank a JD10 million loan to refinance housing loans granted by the bank, to guarantee mortgages. According to the Department of Statistics (DOS), the inflation reached 3.2% during the first seven months of this year. The DOS attributed the rise to higher rents, besides an increase in the prices of clothes and shoes, tobacco, transport and education. This rise was coupled with a decrease in the prices of meat and poultry, hygienic products, oil and fat as well as telecommunications. 1 ASE Market Wrap-Up Economic News (cont’d) The Social Security Corporation (SSC) posted a 9.4% increase in insurance revenues in 2013, reaching JD976 million from JD892 million the year before, a SSC report showed Wednesday. The rise in revenues, however, was coupled with an increase in expenditure to cover insurance services of pensions, work injuries and compensations, which went up by 11.5% last year to reach JD609 million, compared with JD546 million in 2012, the SSC said in a statement e-mailed to The Jordan Times. But despite the increase in expenditure, the corporation recorded a higher surplus last year, amounting to JD334 million compared with JD306 million in 2012. The surplus is the difference between the revenue generated from insurance subscription fees and funds spent to cover pensions, work injuries and compensations, among other obligations. The number of active subscribers exceeds one million, working in 45,165 establishments, while the number of subscribers who joined the SSC insurance voluntarily went up by 5.9% to reach 64,191people, according to the SSC report. The number of overall pensioners reached 153,167 by the end of last year; 8,540 people retired in 2013, nearly 59% of whom took early retirement, the statement said. The number of work injuries recorded by the SSC dropped by 7.4% to 15,822 last year, the corporation said, attributing the decline to awareness and media campaigns it organized. The value of government subsidies for various goods and services amounted to over JD2.2 billion in 2013, Planning Minister Ibrahim Saif said on Wednesday. Saif revealed the figures while briefing the Council of Ministers on the volume of government subsidies according to Finance Ministry data, indicating that it constituted 9.2% of the Kingdom's gross domestic product (GDP) and 36.4% of overall government spending last year. Non-Jordanians' share of the subsidy was 4%, which is around JD85.6 million, the minister said, noting that the data also calculated the share of each income segment according to the living expenses of households. The underprivileged bracket is the one where an individual’s annual expenditure is below the poverty line of JD813.7, while the annual individual expenditure of the bracket below the middle class is between JD813 and JD1,627. Individuals whose annual expenditure is two to four times the poverty line, from JD1,627 to JD3,245, are classified as middle income, whereas the rich are those who spend more than JD3,254 per year. Saif pointed that the government’s support for bread through selling subsidized flour to bakeries amounted to JD185 million in 2013. He indicated that nearly 88% of the bread subsidy went to middle and lower income households. Turning to water subsidies, Saif said they amounted to JD345.2 million, while subsidies for gas cylinders used for cooking and heating purposes were JD39.7 million. Subsidizing electricity tariffs represented the highest cost on the budget last year, reaching JD1.321 billion, the minister said, noting that the poor bracket received the smallest share of this subsidy. Poor families benefited the least from the electricity subsidy as their share was only JD105 million last year, while those of the middle class and the bracket classified below middle income were JD447 million and JD456 million. Meanwhile, the rich segment’s share was JD311 million, he said. The education sector subsidy, mainly to public universities, stood at JD68.5 million by the end of last year, Saif added, noting it did not include the financial support provided to the fund for underprivileged students. Subsidies for the health sector totaled JD157.2 million, while cash support disbursed by the National Aid Fund to poor families across the Kingdom amounted to JD85.9 million, according to the Planning Ministry statement. The Attarat Power Company on Wednesday said it is awaiting the government’s response on when to sign agreements to go ahead with its USD2.4 billion oil shale-fuelled power plant. “The government approved the deal, but it seems the National Electric Power Company is still waiting for official approval over parts of the agreement from the concerned authorities before they can invite us to sign the documents,” Andres Anijalg, chairman of the Attarat Power Company, said in an e-mail to The Jordan Times. “As soon as the government of Jordan is ready to sign the agreement with Attarat Power Company, we can move forward with the necessary preparations to start the construction next year”. Earlier this year, the Cabinet approved signing an agreement to build the plant by the company, which is owned by Enefit (Eesti Energia AS), YTL Power International Berhad and Near East Investments Limited. The plant’s 470-megawatt capacity will account for some 15% of Jordan’s current overall electricity capacity of 3,200 megawatts. The plant, which is expected to be operational in February 2018, will be established on a build, own, and operate basis. 2 ASE Daily Top 30 Rank Ticker Closing Price 52 Week Change Last Report P/E TTM P/BV Div. Yield Net Income (JD Mil) MKT Cap (JD Mil) Change YTD FY 2013 Arab Bank Group ARBK 7.47 3.7% 6.52 10.50 Q2 11.4 0.8 4.0% 4,254.9 -4.6% 352.4 293.7 1.1% 6.8% 2 The Housing Bank THBK 9.10 0.0% 8.45 9.15 Q2 21.2 2.4 1.6% 2,293.2 4.6% 99.8 6.1% 57.0 16.8% 1.5% 11.3% 3 Arab Potash Company APOT 24.80 5.5% 20.47 37.62 Q2 25.6 2.6 6.0% 2,066.3 -11.6% 130.7 -34.2% 43.2 -53.7% 8.2% 9.3% 4 Jordan Telecom JTEL 3.07 0.0% 2.87 4.14 Q2 15.7 2.3 6.8% 767.5 -25.1% 51.5 -38.1% 22.6 -10.2% 8.1% 13.8% 5 Jordan Islamic Bank JOIB 3.43 0.6% 2.92 4.50 Q2 11.9 2.0 4.4% 514.5 0.3% 45.1 23.6% 22.7 -7.9% 1.3% 17.1% 6 Jordan Phosphate Mines JOPH 6.69 0.6% 5.43 8.75 Q1 89.8 0.7 4.5% 501.8 -6.4% 1.2 -99.1% N/A N/A 0.5% 0.7% 7 Bank of Jordan BOJX 2.57 -0.4% 2.20 2.81 Q2 9.3 1.3 5.8% 398.6 2.8% 40.7 12.3% 22.1 11.3% 2.0% 14.2% 8 Jordan Kuwait Bank JOKB 3.67 0.0% 3.08 4.35 Q2 7.3 0.9 5.4% 367.0 -5.7% 49.6 7.1% 27.6 3.6% 2.0% 12.6% 9 Cairo Amman Bank CABK 2.86 0.0% 2.51 4.04 Q2 8.1 1.3 5.9% 357.5 2.9% 40.8 15.7% 20.6 18.0% 2.0% 16.9% 10 Eqbal Investment Company EICO 12.60 0.0% 10.10 15.90 Q2 11.3 5.9 7.9% 315.0 -10.0% 28.7 36.9% 12.5 -6.6% 32.2% 50.6% 11 Afaq Energy MANE 2.82 -0.7% 1.47 3.18 Q2 12.9 2.4 4.3% 310.2 36.9% 18.5 152.9% 10.5 113.0% 9.4% 18.9% 12 Capital Bank of Jordan EXFB 1.64 0.0% 1.09 2.32 Q2 8.1 1.1 6.1% 297.7 2.5% 35.1 78.1% 18.5 9.3% 2.0% 14.4% 13 Arab Jordan Invest Bank AJIB 1.64 0.0% 1.40 2.73 Q2 14.2 1.3 7.9% 246.0 -17.2% 16.1 9.1% 9.0 16.2% 1.3% 11.8% 14 Jordan Ahli Bank AHLI 1.30 1.6% 1.07 1.49 Q2 7.2 0.8 4.6% 227.5 6.6% 16.0 -33.0% 25.5 156.3% 1.2% 11.0% 15 Jordan Electric Power JOEP 2.71 -1.5% 2.60 3.40 Q2 NEG 2.6 2.8% 204.9 -16.9% -7.9 -180.9% -7.1 22.4% -0.8% -6.7% 16 Jordan Petroleum Refinery JOPT 4.55 1.1% 3.78 5.15 Q1 6.0 1.4 - 182.0 -6.2% 28.2 31.7% N/A N/A 1.8% 25.3% 17 Bank Al-Etihad UBSI 1.63 0.0% 1.30 2.01 Q2 7.3 0.7 3.7% 179.3 -1.2% 23.1 56.6% 11.6 14.2% 1.3% 9.8% 18 Arab Int. for Education & Inv. AIEI 4.40 0.0% 3.06 4.51 Q2 9.0 2.2 6.8% 178.2 19.2% 17.5 27.6% 12.1 22.4% 18.1% 25.2% 19 Northern Cement NCCO 2.90 0.0% 1.30 3.10 Q2 11.1 2.3 3.4% 159.5 -3.3% 6.2 39.7% 9.8 540.0% 19.0% 22.3% 20 Invest Bank INVB 1.37 -0.7% 1.04 1.70 Q2 11.3 1.0 5.1% 137.0 14.2% 13.1 16.3% 6.4 -12.6% 1.6% 8.8% 21 Union Land Development Corp ULDC 2.80 1.1% 2.70 4.15 Q2 302.2 2.3 - 126.0 -15.2% 2.3 -136.8% 0.6 -75.4% 0.6% 0.7% 22 JDFS 16.00 0.0% 11.10 15.01 Q2 9.0 3.4 6.3% 120.0 30.6% 9.9 22.5% 8.2 71.1% 34.2% 40.2% UTOB 7.79 0.0% 5.19 10.23 Q2 104.3 3.1 5.1% 116.9 1.8% 3.5 3.5% 1.2 -65.4% 1.2% 2.6% 24 Jordanian Duty Free Shops Union Tobacco & Cigarette Industries Jordan Projects for Tourism JPTD 5.40 0.0% 5.40 5.75 Q2 NEG 5.3 - 116.1 -1.3% -3.5 -9.3% -0.9 39.5% -4.6% -12.4% 25 Arab Banking Corporation ABCO 1.05 1.0% 0.98 1.29 Q2 9.8 0.8 - 115.5 -4.5% 11.7 5.8% 6.3 2.7% 1.2% 8.8% 26 Jordan Commercial Bank JCBK 1.05 -0.9% 0.88 1.19 Q2 72.3 0.9 - 105.0 1.0% 3.6 68.1% 0.7 -76.5% 0.1% 1.3% 27 Mediterranean Tourism Inv. MDTR 2.22 0.0% 1.86 2.35 Q2 36.5 2.0 2.7% 99.9 -0.9% 3.0 26.0% 1.6 -13.8% 5.1% 5.5% 28 Zara Investment ZARA 0.62 0.0% 0.54 0.74 Q2 149.0 0.5 - 91.9 14.8% -1.1 -201.6% 1.8 2106.0% 0.2% 0.4% 29 Jordan Cement Factories JOCM 1.43 0.0% 0.89 1.57 Q2 NEG 1.0 - 86.4 6.7% -27.6 -31.5% -0.9 -93.3% -7.6% -15.4% 30 Union Investment Corporation UINV 1.71 -0.6% 1.72 2.67 Q2 NEG 2.4 - 85.5 -21.6% 4.4 -207.0% 0.6 -89.0% -0.1% -0.5% 15.87 1.28 4.2% 15102.7 -4.3% 1012.4 -4.9% 637.6 2.0% 1.5% 8.1% 23 ASE Top 30 totals Q1: Ratios are based on Q1 2014 results Q2: Ratios are based on Q2 2014 results NEG: P/E ratio is negative N/A: Not Available High H1 2014 ROaE TTM 1 Low Change YoY 44.4% ROaA TTM Change YoY 7.9% Company Name 3 Research Contacts: Trading contacts: Customer Service: Tarek Yaghmour Head of Research Khaldon Al-Zoubi Head of Brokerage Sawsan Saleh Head of Customer Service Tel: +962 6 5200330 Ext. 327 [email protected] Tel: +962 6 5200330 Ext. 351 [email protected] Tel: +962 6 5200330 Ext. 349 [email protected] Hamzeh Abdul-Hadi Research Analyst Tel: +962 6 5200330 Ext. 478 [email protected] Mohammad Al-Zoubi Research Analyst Tel: +962 6 5200330 Ext. 805 [email protected] Disclaimer The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. Capital Investments makes no warranty as to the accuracy and completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute and reflect our independent judgment as of the date published on the report and are subject to change without notice. Capital Investments accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss of any kind arising out of the use of all or any part of this report. Capital Investments and its related companies may have performed or seek to perform any financial or advisory services for the company mentioned in this report. Capital Investments, its funds, or its employees may from time to time take positions or effect transactions in the securities issued by the company mentioned in this report .This document may not be reproduced in any form without the expressed written permission of Capital Investments. 4
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