Further Alterations to the London Plan. How the GLA is rising to the challenges London’s new demographic challenge • London population 2001 (revised):7.34 mil • London population 2011 (Census):8.17 mil = 83,000 pa increase BUT London Plan 2011 – 2031 assumes 51,000pa AND new GLA trend projection 2011 – 2036 suggests 76,000 pa, and over 100k in earlier years…. Annualised population change London’s demographic challenge Age structure change 2011 - 2036 London’s demographic challenge Distribution of population growth 2011 - 2036 London’s employment growth Distribution of employment growth Chapter 1 Context and strategy •Vision: ‘Best big city in the world’ Over the years to 2031 – and beyond, London should: “Excel among world cities – expanding opportunities for all its people and enterprises, achieving the highest environmental standards and quality of life and leading the world in its approach to tackling the urban challenges of the 21st century, particularly that of climate change”. Chapter 2: London’s Places Sub-regions CAZ, Inner and Outer London Central Activities Zone Regeneration areas Opportunity and Intensification Areas Town centre network Strategic Industrial Locations Outer London Development Centres Strategic function(s) of greater than sub-regional importance Potential outer London development centres Leisure/tourism/arts/culture/ sports / Wembley, parts of Greenwich, Richmond/ Kingston, Stratford, Royal Docks, the Lower Lee Valley and the Upper Lee Valley, Hillingdon and the Wandle Valley, Crystal Palace sports Media White City, parts of Park Royal, Hounslow (Golden Mile) Logistics Parts of Bexley, Barking & Dagenham, Enfield, Havering, Hillingdon, Hounslow, Park Royal Other transport related functions Parts of Hillingdon, Hounslow, Royal Strategic office Croydon, Stratford, Brent Cross/ Cricklewood (subject to demand) Higher Education Uxbridge, Kingston, Greenwich. Possibly Croydon, Stratford, Havering, White City Industry/green enterprise Upper Lee Valley, Bexley Riverside, London Riverside, Park Royal Retail Brent Cross, Stratford, Wembley Docks, Biggin Hill Open space network London and the wider SE: did recession reduce out-migration? Wider South East 80,000 Annual household growth over decade 70,000 60,000 50,000 DCLG 2008-based 40,000 DCLG 2011-based Historic 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1991 to 2001 2001 to 2011 2011 to 2021 Pre-recession migration from London to Districts Commuters from Districts to London 2011 Commuters to London 2011 Key diagram Emerging 2050 Infrastructure Plan scenarios Accommodating growth outside London? Accommodating growth within London’s borders Redevlop ment/ New runway? New hub airport? 23 New runway? Chapter 3 London’s people •Social infrastructure: update to integrate with new approaches to service delivery •Increasing housing supply: • Need: 49,000 – 62,000 pa • Capacity-based target 42,000 pa plus new policy for 7,000+ from high density development in town centres, opportunity areas and surplus industrial land •Housing density: optimising output •Housing quality: standards •Housing choice eg . Affordable housing: (26,000 – 17,000) • Older people (3,600 – 4,200 pa) • Students (2,000 – 3,100) • PRS/‘Custom build’ Chapter 4 London’s economy • • • Support for a more diverse economy Greater recognition of SMEs Spatially differentiated approach to offices: • 2.25m sq ft in CAZ/Isle of Dogs • Elsewhere look at local office market; manage consolidation (swaps/credits; conversion) • More rigorous approach to industrial land release Borough level groupings for transfer of industrial land to other uses Chapter 5 London’s response to climate change • Mitigation: • Emission reduction targets • More resilient networks • Stronger emphasis on retrofitting • 25% heat and power from renewable/decentralised energy • Support for new technologies • Adaptation • Strong, target-based approach • Over-heating/cooling: urban greening • Water mgmt measures • Waste: 2026 manage100% within London, ‘carbon intensity floor’ Heat density distribution Chapter 6 London’s transport • • • • • • • Improving connectivity: updated list of investments NB Xrail 2, HS2 Aviation: oppose Heathrow expansion and new heliports Strong support for walking and cycling Eg cycling Superhighways, Quietways, Mini Hollands, parking standards Roads Task Force: tackling congestion through smoothing traffic flow Limited improvement of road network capacity Parking standards: outer London Major transport schemes Chapter 7 London’s living places and spaces • Lifetime Neighbourhoods • Enhance local context/character eg in architecture/public realm policies • Strategic approach to tall/large buildings and views • Strong emphasis on protection/ promotion/enhancement of green/open spaces and waterways • Managing noise Protected vistas Chapter 8 Implementation, monitoring and review • Support for MDCs, EZs, TIFs, HZs • Infrastructure requirements • 2050 Infrastructure Plan – the need for a long term perspective • London Finance Commission: resources for the future