CFI Projects Webinar – 28th July 2014 Introduction – Rob Asselman Avoided Deforestation – Christian Dannecker Forest Regeneration - Ben Keogh Savanna Burning – Phillip Toyne Question – Hosted by Josh Harris myCFI has been developed by Climate Friendly and supported by funding from the Australian Government 1 2 Experience with the development of REDD projects under the CFI CFI Webinar 28 July 2014 South Pole Carbon, 2014 Christian Dannecker, Director of Forestry South Pole – developing solutions worldwide Head office Satellite office Local presence • 2006: Incorporation in Zurich / Switzerland • 2014: 14 offices worldwide • 2011/12/13/14: Best Project Developer* London • Swiss Social Beijing Zurich Entrepreneur of the Year 2011** Taipei New Delhi Mexico City Kampala • Over 90 carbon pros from Hanoi 22 countries Bangkok • Projects in over twenty Medellin countries Jakarta Rio de Janeiro Johannesburg Melbourne Sydney • Specialized in projects with substantial social and environmental cobenefits 4 Background and overview • CFI formally not impacted by the recent abolishment of the carbon tax • Its “replacement”, the Emissions Reduction Fund (ERF), is not there yet and of • • course there is price uncertainty Therefore pricing will either move from 23 to 0 AUD on 2 February or to anywhere from 2-15 AUD under the ERF If your REDD project does not get started with the below process in the next 3-5 weeks, you will most likely not sell any carbon at 23 AUD. CFI project cycle ACCU estimate CFI registration Monitoring design and data collection Offset Report Project registration External Verifier visit Certificate of entitlement from CFI Regulator Sale of ACCUs ACCU issuance ( = South Pole Group Services) 5 Native Forest Protection Landowners or long-term leaseholders can be compensated for not executing rights to clear native forests on their property 6 Are you eligible? 1. Only land that is forest following the Australian forest definition: Vegetation of woody plants above 2m height, covering with its canopy ≥ 20% of the ground. 2. Only forest that has met this definition continuously, without interruption, from 1989 to 2014 3. Rights to convert to cropland or grassland have been issued by 1 July 2010 and therefore if you are not on the list, you won’t get REDD CFIs. 4. Property Vegetation Plan (PVP) specifies the tree species and the tree size which can be felled. The carbon in these trees is calculated to determine the emissions that are avoided. You have to agree to: - Keep the forest standing for 100 years - manage the native forest in order to achieve a mix of native trees, shrubs and understorey species 7 Specifications and some lessons learnt 1. Carbon pools that are eligible: AGB, BGB, emissions from biomass burning. 1. A Clearing Buffer must be defined in compliance with the PVP (e.g. “20% of managed land must be retained under native vegetation cover”). This can be vegetation that has not continuously met the forest definition 2. A Deforestation Plan must be created, outlining the scenario of forest clearing in absence of a carbon project. It shows in detail where which clearing method would be applied in order to show economic viability of forest clearing. 3. Biomass in the forest must be measured in a biomass survey campaign: Plan for at least 4 weeks full work of team >6 people. Assure good trip logistics with back office support! 4. Mathematical models for calculating biomass measurements from DBH & Height must be developed specific to each project: Allometric Equations = Destructive Sampling & statistic know-how. A destructive sampling campaign may involve a team of five working for two weeks cutting down 100 trees to be measured. 2, 3 + 4 mean work in Geographic Information Software. 4 + 5 must meet stringent statistical requirements of the CFI methodology. 5 is a lot of hard work and the summer is coming…so start soon. 8 Example: Sunset Ranch Native Forest Protection Project Coolabah NSW Analysis of stable forest between 1989 and 2012 from AUS government data = 8.500 ha forest of 15.000 ha property Mapping of Carbon Estimation Area & Clearing Buffer according to CFI and PVP Distribution of over 100 biomass survey plots over property with random number algorithm Biomass survey conducted by field teams in 6 weeks on site Development of local biomass models for local tree species Approximately 100 tCO2e per hectare of forest Verification concluded in June 2014 9 Thank you Christian Dannecker Director Forestry and land use, South Pole Group [email protected] www.southpolecarbon.com +61 434 707 019 Our services for Landowners • Tailor-made ACCU estimates for your property and your potential in CFI • Consulting on business plan and feasibility of a project with expected costs and • • • • • • • returns Mapping and stratification based on high resolution satellite images for your property Registration of your company / property as an eligible offset entity under CFI Vegetation biomass estimates and Biomass surveys Selection of best service – lowest price quotations of an independent auditor Offset Report development Supervision of Verification process till successful issuance of credits Sales at maximized volume / price ratios of your carbon credits 10 11 Natural Forest Regeneration and the CFI MY CFI webinar 28th July 2014 Ben Keogh - Managing Director Australian Carbon Traders 12 Human-Induced Regeneration of a Permanent Even-Aged Native Forest—1.1 • Designed to be a simple methodology to capture rapid re-growth following extensive rains in 2010-2011 • Aimed at Mulga rangelands • Mulga requires 1-2 years of wetter than a average years to successfully regenerate • Young Mulga is preferred by grazing sheep and goats - less palatable to cattle 13 Key Eligibility • Zero baseline – No forest (2m and 20%) 10 years before project start date • Project Mechanism and start date – Prior 1 Jan 2013 - Non Kyoto ACCU – Post 1 Jan 2013 - Kyoto ACCU – Must have a documented change in management (project mechanism) that leads to regeneration • E.g. removal of grazing, suspension of clearing • If grazing - grazing must be excluded until forest is 2m and 20% 14 Project development • • • • • • • Identify project Mechanism Identify Project area boundaries Identify CEAs Identify areas of regeneration in CEA Identify exclusion zones Establish monitoring régime Gain necessary approvals ( state govt, financiers, Indigenous groups) 15 A C B A) Forest extent prior to project start date and during baseline B) B) AND Forest Extent in 1989 C) What's left is area of potential regeneration Monitoring has to identify regeneration areas that meet the definition of a CEA (RMT results X CEA area )- emissions = ACCU 16 Project Monitoring – Fuel usage – Grazing records – Regeneration event(s) – Stem densities /height ( to prove regeneration) – Change in management ( don’t act on right to clear, destocking, feral animal control) 17 Example – western NSW • Project Mechanism – control of feral and domestic grazing pressures ( goats and sheep) • Stock removed in 2007 - cannot be returned until forest cover attained • Ongoing control of goats ( water point traps) since 2007 • Regeneration began in 2008 but became widespread in Feb 2010 following rains • Baseline – February 2000 to February 2010 • All stands 2m and 20% at Feb 2010 ineligible • Change in carbon – New stands over 2 and 20 and 0.2ha 18 Comparison 1 Similar areas in 2007 (left) and 2010 (right). The heavily eroded and overgrazed condition on the left (2007) has been transformed by rain and reduced grazing. Due to the rain and reduced grazing pressure what would have taken years has occurred in months. 19 Comparison 2 2008 - denuded and no regeneration 2010 Mulga regenerating The image on the left is a typical area in 2008; a similar area in 2010 shows the revegetation as indicated by the red arrows. 20 Comparison 3 The image on the left clearly shows the grazing effect of sheep and goats on the understorey and lower limbs of the Mulga. The image on the right is an area close by with Mulga clearly revegetating in the foreground and the recovery of the lower limbs of mature Mulga in the middle and background . 21 Regenerating Mulga No seedlings were evident in 2008. In 2010 seedlings were evident 15 – 20 m from individual trees. In the image on the right the image is of an area (approx 10m2 ) 10m away from the crown of the parent tree. Not only were isolated seedlings identified (left image), the image on the right had over 15 individual seedlings (some shown by the red arrows). Mulga trees were laden with mature seed and seed fall was evident in abundance on the ground. Further rainfall and favourable conditions and the continued exclusion of grazing will see a further regeneration of Mulga. 22 Comparison 4 2008 heavily grazed young Mulga 2010 young Mulga growing freely in absence of grazing 23 No regen around bores Bore 2007 2010 Revegetation is not occurring in heavily denuded areas such as the Bore seen here in 2007 (left) and 2010 (right). The absence of a mature seed source prevents regeneration. This is common on all areas of heavy traffic such as yards and water points. Cleared areas or those without seed source are not regenerating and are considered exclusion zones 24 Infilling of Mulga forests The red arrows indicate juvenile Mulga either grown from seedling or 2nd generation Mulga released through moisture availability and reduced grazing pressure. The juvenile Mulga is infilling between three patches of Mulga extending the forest extent (blue arrows). 25 Condition of grazed properties “grazing line” An area on a nearby property to the east of Wanaaring showing limited Mulga regeneration. Sheep and goats were sighted nearby and were clearly grazing the area. Close inspection of the photo will show that the “grazing line” (red dashed line) or the height which sheep and goats graze the Mulga up to is defined. Further on ground inspection identified no Mulga seedlings. The juvenile or 2nd generation Mulga (blue arrows) are clearly grazed and take on a “pom pom” form. More work will be required to quantify the total effect of grazing and 26 for refining carbon models. Summary • Hierarchy of ease! – Freehold and non Mortgaged in NSW • Project Area Boundaries – Affect monitoring of fuel – losses of timber form other areas - need to be as tight as possible • CEA Stratification – – – – – Methodology is prescriptive- nature is chaotic Requires expert GIS analysis – not for the faint hearted More CEAs = more models – more records - more costs Must meet definition of CEA In QLD must match registered Carbon Rights 27 28 1000mm Rainfall Map 29 30 31
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