Russia Highlights – August 2014 The review of the Russian pharmaceutical market in H1 2014 In the first half of 2014, total audited Russian pharmaceutical market reached Rbl. 348 Bln. in trade prices. Market grew by 7% in H1’14 YoY supported by double digit growth rate in retail and hospital segments (Fig 1). Sales by volume were flat mainly due to retail sector improvement of previously observed negative tendency. Fig 1. Pharma market growth in H1 2014 Meet our team Svetlana Nikulina Sales Manager [email protected] Natalia Zorina Service Manager [email protected] Maria Denisova Senior Operations Manager [email protected] Stanislav Livanskiy Market Analysis Manager, Russia & CIS [email protected] Anastasia Kruglova Senior Consultant, Russia & CIS, [email protected] Source: IMS Health. TRD prices IMS Health BC “Dvintsev”, Dvintsev str., 12, bld. 1B , Moscow, Russia 127018 Russia Highlights – August 2014 DLO segment DLO sales dropped by 7% in H1 of 2014 by value driven by negative dynamic of both sub segments (7 nosology and ONLS). Thus, “7 nosology” part decreased by 3% in the analysed period (H1 2014 vs. H1 2013), while ONLS declined by deeper 11%. DLO size by value accounted for Rbl 54 Bln. in the first 6 months of 2014 including 7 nosology which is 59% of the total sales by value. Roche, Johnson &Johnson and Teva still hold their leading positions in DLO due to securing top positions in 7N segment. While top 3 leaders among brands (Mabthera, Velcade, Copaxone Teva) remained the same, some products improved their position in the ranking significantly. Rebif 44 won back its share in Multiple sclerosis market and therefore has become the fastest growing product among top 10 brands. Recombinate by Baxter and Coagil VII by Pharmstandart are also experiencing excellent growth in 7N scheme. Hospital segment Market participants expressed concerns about transferring the financial burden on the regional level in the beginning of 2014. IMS hospital data for the first half of the year didn’t not indicate any negative impact in the hospital market. Thus, the procurement of medicines in the hospital segment grew by 10% in Rbl reaching Rbl 58 Bln. in the first half of 2014 Fig 2. Retail market growth in H1 2014 compared to the same period in 2013. But, it is still unclear how sustainable this growth rate will be in terms of annual result. The leading brands are Natrium chloridum, Kaletra and Clexan, while the top 3 manufacturers are Sanofi, GSK and Roche. Retail segment Retail market has returned to the double digit growth in Q2 being driven by Rx products. Growth rate has accelerated from 8% YoY in Q1 to 12% in Q2. Sales growth YoY is impacted by high base effect of the 1st quarter of last year amid a flu epidemic. Totally, retail market increased by 10% in H1 of 2014 having an up amount of Rbl 236 Bln. in trade prices. OTC grew by only 7% YoY in H1’14 while Rx shows +13% by value. Data for the first six months of 2014 shows that currency devaluation was not transformed into inflation on retail market. Moreover, price increase is at historically low level (Fig 2). Top 3 corporations rating in the retail market stays the same with Sanofi, followed by Bayer and Servier. The sales volume of the Top 10 companies exceeded Rbl 83 Bln., accounting for 35% of the total retail market by value. 2 Source: IMS Health.*-data at TRD prices, Drop-out products are excluded due to low figures IMS Health BC “Dvintsev”, Dvintsev str., 12, bld. 1B , Moscow, Russia 127018 Russia Highlights – August 2014 The leading brands in this segment are Essentiale N, Actovegin and Kagocel. Exoderil and Mexidol show significant acceleration compared to the previous year. Russia’s largest pharmacy chains, 1-2Q 2014 The total share of the 10 major pharmacy chains in the Russian pharmacy market in 1-2 Q 2014 increased by 4 pts compared to previous year and concentrate now made up to 18,62%. The retail market itself registered a 7% growth in the analyzed period. Overall growth of TOP-10 chains is higher than the market, but its driven by certain chains, some are not performing well and will most probably go through restructuring or become M&A target, as it was in the previous year. Observing the situation of increased competition and lack of growth chains are continuing to seek for enlargement of their business by M&A and making marketing unions. According to the recent news, one of the leading Moscow chains A5 Group and Pharmaimpex, the strong regional player in Volga and Ural regions, created a marketing partnership company (COMPAS).The marketing union is aimed at increasing the number of direct contracts with manufacturers, building a single portfolio of Private Label products and forming a joint marketing policy. Marketing unions (such as Alphega Apteka, UMG, SoyuzPharma) already become a strong tool for negotiations with manufacturers. The other way to sustain the business and protect from high competition on retail market for chains to continue the development of multiformat. To maintain different formats (open format, discounters) will make adjustments basing on profitability of key retail market players. Table 1. Market shares of ТОР10 Russia’s pharmacy chains and associations in retail pharmaceutical market, 1-2Q 2014 Rate Pharmacy chains HQ location Number of outlets as of June 1,2014 Pharmacy chains 1 Rigla Moscow 1074 2 A.V.E. Group (inc.36,6) Moscow 669 3 А5 Group** Moscow 1019 4 Doctor Stoletov** (Inc.Ozerki) Moscow 415 5 Implozia* and ** Samara 1060 6 Raduga S.Petersburg 752 (Inc. Pervaya Pomosch ) 7 Pharmaimpex Izhevsk 510 8 Pharmakor** S.Petersburg 394 9 ASNA Moscow 370 10 Pharmland Ufa 360 Pharmacy associations 1 Alphega Apteka Moscow 1164 2 SoyuzPharma** Moscow 3196 3 UMG Moscow 1394 * Including franchising pharmacies ** Expert estimation *** Shares of each pharmacy chain before consolidation MS in retail pharmaceutical market, % 1-2Q 2014 1-2Q 2013 2,94 2,33 2,18 2,17 2,06 1,73 2,85 1,31/(1,89)*** 2,17 0,79*** 1,46 0,95/(0,76)*** 1,55 1,31 1,30 1,05 1,52 1,26 1,34 0,89 2,02 1,96 1,83 2,01 3,05 2,19 Source: IMS Health — Pharmacy chains rating; based on data from rating participants Market Insights IMS Health BC “Dvintsev”, Dvintsev str., 12, bld. 1B , Moscow, Russia 127018 3 Russia Highlights – August 2014 Cumulative rating of Russian pharmaceutical distributors, Q1-2 2014 For Q1-2 2014 the cumulative share of the TOP 10 distributors on the direct sales market reached 80%. Distributor Protek strengthened its leadership position in the first half of 2014 with 14, 70 MS in direct drug supply, though with loss of market share (-2%).Almost all distributors, national and regional, demonstrated a decline in direct sales. Interregional players, that were the main newsmakers with high growth rates, in this year significantly reduced (Pulse, Farmkomplekt) the rate of growth or even has a negative growth (Oriola).Such visible decline demonstrated a high demand from the major market players for father logistic optimization, investment in computerization and improving procedures of interaction with drugstores. It is becoming all the more evident that industry is in need of quantum leap to maintain its progress. The ways of future development will be closely tied with the provision of both guaranteed basic services and additional customized services, which would allow cutting distributors costs and provide additional opportunities to improve business technologies. Table 2. ТОР10 distributors by direct DRUG supply share (including beneficiary drug coverage), Q1-2 2014 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 * Expert estimation Distributor Protek Katren ROSTA SIA International* Alliance Healthcare Pulse Oriola R-Pharm Farmkomplekt BSS Direct drug supply share, % Q1-2 2014 Q1-2 2013 14,70 14,99 14,40 15,26 12,44 12,36 8,71 8,78 8,33 8,46 5,74 5,66 5,51 5,76 4,87 5,05 3,64 2,88 2,05 2,42 Source: IMS Health — Distributor’s rating; based on data from rating participants 4 IMS Health BC “Dvintsev”, Dvintsev str., 12, bld. 1B , Moscow, Russia 127018 Russia Highlights – August 2014 News from the employees Anton Kalyapin is appointed to the role of Senior Manager, Offering, Russia & CIS effective July 1st, 2014. Over the last 1,5 years Anton successfully performed in position of Leading KAM in IMS Russia&CIS . Galina Osina will replace Anton Kalyapin effective August 20, 2014. Galina joins IMS Health from ConvaTec where she was working on different sales roles. Galina has over 6 years experience in the Pharmaceutical Industry. She graduated from Fundamental Medicine at Lomonosov Moscow State University Upcoming IMS Health events We cordially invite you to the annual IMS Health Russia and CIS Customer Forum, which will be hosted on September 25, 2014. Along with an overview of the local market dynamics, our keynote speaker - Sarah Rickwood, Director, Thought Leaderships – will provide an outlook on the Global pharma and how HQs see Russia in the game. Another focus will be on technology where Michal Kozlowskiy, Engagement Manager, Tech&Apps will share insights how applications can help to optimize resources. IMS Health BC “Dvintsev”, Dvintsev str., 12, bld. 1B , Moscow, Russia 127018 5 IMS Health East Europe Bosnia and Herzegovina Kalemowa 36A 71000 Sarajewo Tel: +387 62 990 916 Hungary Rumbach Sebestyen utca 19-21 1075 Budapest Tel: +36 1 883 9700 Poland ul. 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The company’s expert resources draw on data from nearly 100,000 suppliers, and on insights from 39 billion healthcare transactions processed annually, to serve more than 5,000 healthcare clients globally. Customers include pharmaceutical, medical device and consumer health manufacturers and distributors, providers, payers, government agencies, policymakers, researchers and the financial community. Additional information is available at www.imshealth.com 6 IMS Health BC “Dvintsev”, Dvintsev str., 12, bld. 1B , Moscow, Russia 127018
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