Real Property Solutions 1 About the Brookfield RPS AVM A national, high quality and cost effective Automated Valuation Model (AVM) Introduction The Brookfield RPS AVM delivers cost-effective commercial grade automated home valuations for residential properties across Canada. Whether for use at origination or for portfolio reviews, the Brookfield RPS AVM provides clients with the information they need to make better and more informed decisions. About The Brookfield RPS AVM Product Overview The Brookfield RPS AVM is: A national solution National coverage, including areas where automated valuations typically do poorly as a result of limited information. Commercial grade Accuracy rate of +/-10% across the country (72% of the time), which is in line with commercial grade AVM standards across North America. Sophisticated Built using highly advanced machine learning systems and tree-based models, which can take into account extensive and diverse data sets, learn from the data in their environment as well as incorporate new and different situations. Helpful added information Supporting information provided such as multiple confidence scores and market price trend charts. Flexible The Brookfield RPS AVM can be provided by batch or real time through a browser or via an XML integration. Part of a complete solution A full suite of valuation products are available via a customizable cascade, including other market-leading AVM providers, desk-top appraisals (desk-top, drive-by and full) to help balance cost, risk and detail. Inputs: Powerful Property and Neighbourhood Data and Information • Updated regularly with hundreds of thousands of records added on an annual basis • Contains detailed property price and attribute information on millions of unique residential properties across Canada • Incorporates important neighbourhood information and proprietary analytics such as proximity indices, neighbourhood homogeneity and segmentation models, amongst others Feb_14_2014 YVJ Brookfield RPS maintains property and neighbourhood information that influence house prices. This database is: Real Property Solutions 2 Models: Machine Learning and Gradient Boosting Tree Approach The Brookfield RPS AVM is built using machine learning, which is a branch of artificial intelligence and is rooted in early research on cybernetics and robotics. Today, it is mostly concentrated on the mathematical algorithms and techniques to derive inferences from big data that are more susceptible to noise, nonnormal distributions, heteroskedasticity and other non-linear problems with the speed and efficiency to handle data with high levels of volume, velocity and variety. Machine learning is not a single technique or technology, but rather a field of computational science that incorporates numerous technologies to create systems that can learn from the data in their environment and take into account different and new situations, which is critical to effectively pricing houses in a constantly changing economic environment. Because what drives property values differs from place to place, for different property types and over time, traditional linear regressive functions tend to be too general for accurate estimates across the diverse housing stock in Canada. To solve for this, we use a Gradient Boosting Tree (GBT) based approach. GBT models differ fundamentally from conventional techniques that aim to fit a single parsimonious model. Boosted regression trees combine the strengths of two algorithms: regression trees and boosting, an adaptive method for combining many simple models to give improved predictive performance. Three models are available: 1. Machine Learning Regression (MLR) Model – a direct address match is found and the property’s specific attributes are used to compute an AVM value using Brookfield RPS’ most-advanced machine learning regression model. 2. Index Model – a direct address match is found and the property’s original value is indexed forward using a proprietary algorithm based on the Brookfield RPS House Price Index. 3. Local Market Average (LMA) Model – no direct address match can be found, so local market attribute averages are used as inputs into the MLR model. Address matching would be done via postal code with returned values representing an average property value for the micro-neighbourhood. Outputs: Confidence Scores and Accuracy In addition, Brookfield RPS has developed both a classifier and confidence function. The classifier determines if the record can be accurately predicted (hit) or not (miss), while the confidence function provides an indication of how confident the model is in the returned result. Currently, the models being utilized at Brookfield RPS can predict property values across Canada within +/- 10% of their actual value, 72% of the time, with an 80% hit rate, which is in line with commercial grade AVM standards across North America. Brookfield RPS AVM product summary: National coverage and robust hit rate Commercial grade, statistically accurate Cost effective Real-time or batch processing available Multiple confidence scores Flexible report views Market trending information utilizing the Brookfield RPS House Price Index Can be combined with other industry AVMs, and AVM cascade is customizable based on client requirements More Information For more information, please visit http://www.brookfieldrps.com. © 2014. All rights reserved. Brookfield RPS is a division of Brookfield Asset Management. All other trademarks are property of their respective holders. Feb_14_2014 YVJ Summary of Features
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