Table of Contents 1. Preface................................................................................................... 1 2. Details of the International Symposium ......................................................... 3 (1) Date (2) Place (3) Official Supporters (4) Industry Sponsors (5) Program and Brief Summaries of Speeches 3. Results of Questionnaires ......................................................................... 37 4. Summary .............................................................................................. 40 5. Acknowledgments .................................................................................. 42 1. Preface The space debris problem is “a common challenge for all humanity” that cannot be solved by any single nation. As a first step to address this challenge, top-level policy makers from the United States and countries in Europe and Asia were invited to attend and participate in the first-ever international symposia held by the private sector on the space debris problem, last year and the year before last. These symposia have been widely appreciated as timely meetings, not only by the guest speakers, but also by the audience. Against the backdrop of a surge in countries operating satellites, particularly Asian countries, multilateral discussions have been held since the first symposium, including the discussion in the United Nations (UN) Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS), the efforts towards an International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities, and the progress of the UN Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) on space transparency and confidence-building measures (TCBMs) to promote sustainable space development and use. These discussions addressed the implementation of TCBMs for responsible actions in space, and the peaceful use of space and establishment of rules for safe, secure, stable, and sustainable space activities. While these symposia and discussions addressed aspects of policy, the symposium reported on herein aimed not only to reach policy agreement, but also to suggest that Japan take a leadership position with regard to the technology required for solving space debris problems. This report outlines the symposium. As a note of acknowledgment, this symposium was held as part of a project funded by the Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST) through its Infrastructure Development Program for Promoting International S&T Cooperation, a segment of which is determined by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT). 1 Photograph of all speakers Photograph of the venue 2 2. Details of the International Symposium (1) Date Thursday-Friday, February 27-28, 2014 (2) Place Yurakucho Asahi Hall (3) Official Supporters Office of National Space Policy, Cabinet Office Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications Ministry of Foreign Affairs Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry Ministry of Defense The Society of Japanese Aerospace Companies (4) Industry Sponsors (alphabetical order) Analytical Graphics Inc. Fujitsu Limited High-Reliability Engineering & Components Corporation IHI AEROSPACE Co., Ltd. IHI Corporation LSAS Tec Co., Ltd. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. NEC Corporation NEC TOSHIBA Space Systems, Ltd. SKY Perfect JSAT Corporation 3 (5) Program and Brief Summaries of Speeches Day 1: Thursday, February 27, 2014 Welcome Remarks Mr. Shogo Kitahara, President, JSF Thank you all very much for participating in the 3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Space Development and Utilization for Humankind in spite of your busy schedules. I am especially grateful to Mr. Ichita Yamamoto, Minister of State for Space Policy, for attending the Symposium in spite of his busy schedule in the Diet session. I would also like to take this opportunity to express my appreciation to guests who are high-level dignitaries from the government of Japan and other representative persons of relevant countries and organizations around the world. Thanks to your contributions and cooperation, we are holding this third symposium. The past two symposia included many participants, including high-level domestic and foreign dignitaries, qualified speakers, and a large audience, and gained a favorable reputation for international discussion and activities to improve the current alarming situation facing sustainable space development and use. This is the only symposium in Japan for the space debris problem at the policy level. Since the first symposium, progress has been made in various forms in this field, domestically and internationally. Internationally, the United Nations (UN) Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) from relevant countries finalized its report on outer space transparency and confidence-building measures (TCBMs) in July of last year. Parallel to this activity, the EU led a multilateral discussion to reach agreement on an International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities. Under the UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS), the Working Group on the Long-term Sustainability of outer space activities has taken the initiative of discussion. Furthermore, the first meeting of the Japan-US comprehensive dialogue on space was held in March last year. Domestically, greater importance has been placed on space situational awareness (SSA) in the new Basic Plan for Space Policy, revised in January 2013, and discussions on SSA activities in terms of the national security have begun. While the past two symposia focused primarily on policy-related issues, we intend to devote this third symposium to discussion of technical issues, such as Active Debris Removal (ADR), an ultimate solution to overcome the congested environment around Earth, in addition to policy issues for future agreement. In order to achieve these goals, we have invited representative persons of relevant organizations around the world. We hope that constructive discussion will be conducted, not only by speakers, but also among all participants in this symposium. 4 Guest Speeches Mr. Ichita Yamamoto, Minister of State for Space Policy, GOJ More than 20,000 pieces of space debris are said to be in orbit, a number that is expected to increase in the future. Space debris is becoming a serious problem to spacefaring nations that operate artificial satellites and the International Space Station (ISS), for instance. In 2013, a movie was released on the theme of the risk of space debris, entitled “Gravity,” allowing the observation that the space debris problem has become widely known. The Basic Plan for Space Policy, established in January 2013, attaches importance to space debris mitigation from the point of view of sustainable space development and utilization. In December of last year, the Cabinet Office decided upon the National Security Strategy (NSS), which addresses space debris mitigation. However, space environment protection through space debris mitigation is not achieved by a single nation, but requires international cooperation. Hence, the Government of Japan (GOJ) is actively participating in international meetings on the long-term sustainability of outer space activities under the UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS) and discussions on the International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities led by EU. In addition, we are also actively working on technology for space debris collection. I view outer space as public property, with unlimited latent possibilities. To promote sustainable development and use of space, every country has to share this concept. I hope this symposium will be fruitful and satisfactory for all participants. Mr. Yoshiya Muto, Councillor, National Security Secretariat (NSS), Cabinet Secretariat, GOJ The National Security Council (NSC) of Japan is a ministerial-level body presided over by the Prime Minister, whereas the National Security Secretariat (NSS) is an administrative unit is fully dedicated to supporting the NSC, planning and formulating a national security policy, and effecting mutual coordination among relevant ministries and agencies, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Defense. With regard to outer space, the NSC and the NSS will promote a space policy related to national security, in cooperation with relevant organizations such as the Strategic Headquarters for Space Policy. One of the first tasks of the NSC was the 5 establishment of the National Security Strategy (also NSS). Although guidelines already existed within the context of defense policy, with an obvious focus on defense goals and objectives, there has been nothing describing an over-arching national security policy related to space, except for a basic policy on national defense that is only several lines long and has never been amended since its institution in 1957. Succeeding and containing this, the National Security Strategy, which is over 30 pages long, places emphasis on diplomacy and defense, and describes national security in a comprehensive way with regard to space. Accordingly, the Strategy can be said to be the first substantial national security strategy for Japan. The National Security Strategy regards outer space, as well as the sea and cyberspace, as global commons, and confirms the importance of securing free access to and use of such global commons by the international community. Furthermore, the Strategy emphasizes the promotion of the use of outer space from the viewpoint of security, and states Space Situational Awareness (SSA) as one of its major policies. It is significant that the space policy, including SSA, is clearly described in the first National Security Strategy for Japan. As the use of outer space for security purposes advances, Japan’s efforts to secure stable uses of outer space, including SSA, also contribute to Japan’s defense as well as the effectiveness of the Japan-U.S. alliance. In cooperation with relevant ministries and agencies, the National Security Secretariat will strive to work on efforts between Japan and the United States and activities regarding the International Code of Conduct. Mr. Jun Shimmi, Ambassador in charge of UN Affairs and Ambassador in charge of Cyber Policy, Deputy Director–General, Foreign Policy Bureau, Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA), GOJ From the viewpoint of diplomacy, there are two big waves, or mountains, of problems related to outer space since World War II, for which the Ministry of Foreign Affairs is responsible. The first one is, of course, the Cold War period. In the 1960s and 1970s, the United States and the Soviet Union were in fierce competition in the space race, and five international treaties on outer space were established. In and after 1980, completely different concepts of and relations among individual nations and the international community have arisen, in contrast to those of the Cold War era. Against this backdrop, we have been faced with the second problem: how to address problems related to outer space, and how to establish order in addressing such problems by the nations concerned and the international community. Accordingly, I think this symposium has important significance and, from the viewpoint of diplomacy, it is 6 important for Japan to have active dialogues on outer space with other nations and participate in rule-making related to outer space. Thanks to efforts of the EU and relevant nations, open-ended consultations on the Proposal for an International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities that were open to all nations were held in Ukraine in May 2013, and in Thailand in November 2013. We regard the Code of Conduct as highly important, and have been actively contributing to the discussion. It is also important for Japan, as a nation in Asia, to lead and involve the emerging spacefaring nations in Asia. The UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS) has been discussing best practice guidelines for the long-term sustainability of space activities, which include measures for space debris mitigation. Not only the Government of Japan, but also Japanese private sectors, have also been contributing actively to this effort, providing technical information, for example. For the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, rule-making, transparency, and international cooperation regarding outer space are a new field, in a sense. As Mr. Muto mentioned with regard to the National Security Secretariat (NSS), the National Security Council (NSC), and the National Security Strategy (NSS), the new national security policy under the Abe Government clearly states that outer space is the field to be addressed in Japanese diplomacy. To support this goal, therefore, the Government will strive to address the problem, with the support and cooperation of public and, in particular, private sectors. Mr. Keisuke Isogai, Deputy Director-General, Research and Development Bureau, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT), GOJ Challenges to the frontiers, including outer space, are significant because they lead to opportunities to maintain or improve the international presence of Japan, which aims to establish an advanced science- and technology-oriented nation and to create an energetic future that can develop the new potential of children who direct their dreams for their future to space, as well as the young who dream of doing great thing in the world. In the International Space Exploration Forum (ISEF) held in Washington, D.C. last month, MEXT Minister Shimomura stated that Japan will take a positive role in participating in future operations of international space exploration, and contribute to space exploration in a responsible way, through Japan’s field of expertise. Japan also is scheduled to host the next meeting. On the other hand, as mentioned by Space Policy Minister Yamamoto, space debris such as defunct artificial satellites, are in orbit around Earth, threatening safe and stable space development and use. To contribute to sustainable space development and 7 utilization, the MEXT and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) have made various efforts toward space debris mitigation and monitoring, attracting increasing international interest. To be concrete, we have made efforts that include measurement and tracking of debris by optical telescopes and radar on the ground, studies on orbital computation for grasping objects expected to re-enter in the near future, and development of technology to reduce the period of time that defunct satellites stay in orbit, in cooperation with the Japan Space Forum, the host of this symposium. Furthermore, to construct a new system for space debris monitoring, we will begin study for the realization of the system next year, in coordination with the Cabinet Office and the Ministry of Defense. The MEXT will make continued efforts to actively promote research and development, as well as international cooperation, for mitigation and reduction of space debris to contribute to humanity’s sustainable development and use of outer space. Mr. Jota Yamamoto, Director General for International Affairs, Bureau of Defense Policy, Ministry of Defense (MOD), GOJ Sustainable development and utilization of space is a considerable and significant challenge. The fact that the symposium has a wide spectrum of participants from the United States, Europe, Australia, Russia, and the United Nations is proof that the theme is so significant. The advantages – economic, social, and security-related – of being able to use outer space sustainably and stably are immeasurable. Stable use of outer space is a challenge to be addressed by the Government of Japan. As a member of the Government, the Ministry of Defense (MOD) will play an appropriate role. In December of last year, the Government established the National Security Strategy (NSS) and set out the National Defense Program Guidelines. As provided therein, Japan aims to secure stable utilization of outer space through the effort of Space Situational Awareness (SSA). It is appropriate that the MOD also plays a role in this effort. We at the MOD have been conducting a study on capacity for SSA. The Air Self-Defense Force has radar (FPS-5 radar) for airspace and missile defense. We are now performing experiments and studies to determine whether the FPS-5 radar can be used for SSA purposes. To establish the most effective SSA system for all relevant bodies in Japan, the MOD will promote research and study in cooperation with the Cabinet Office and MEXT. The MOD is determined to contribute to SSA for the security of Japan and the world. Japan is a technological power. In addition, the most important thing in SSA is to promote international information sharing and cooperation. Japan and the United States have already understood the importance of cooperation in SSA. I am sure that this 8 symposium triggers further understanding of the necessity of international cooperation. Keynote Speeches “Japan’s New Space Policy and the Sustainable Development and Utilization of Space” Mr. Junya Nishimoto, Director-General, Office of National Space Policy, Cabinet Office, GOJ The Basic Plan for Space Policy established in January last year has two pillars, “expansion of the use of space” and “ensuring autonomy.” “Use” includes security and economic growth, and to ensure “autonomy” means to have the ability to access outer space on Japan’s own at any time, independent of other countries. Priorities can be described as: first, to secure necessary and sufficient resources for further use of space and ensuring autonomy; second, to allocate certain amounts of resources to space science; and finally, to allocate to space exploration and human space activities. Three subjects on which great importance is placed are National Security and Disaster Management, Development of Industry, and Space Science Frontier. For sustainable development and use of space, the Basic Plan explains that Japan needs to maintain international dialogue with other relevant bodies. As explained by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, there are various international frameworks concerning outer space. Measures against space debris cannot be taken by a single nation without international cooperation. Therefore, it is important that Japan contribute to such international frameworks. There are two observatories for space debris, at Kamisaibara and Bisei, and owned by JSF. How Japan should effectively use such facilities and, in addition, what type of SSA system Japan should have; the Cabinet Office and the Ministry of Defense are performing investigation about them this year and MEXT will join us to continue the investigation next year. SSA is important for national security and also important as private activities. It can protect assets in outer space operated by private companies and also by the Government. It will function effectively in terms of national security. We have examined what type of SSA system Japan should have. There are several types of SSA systems in the world: one way, adopted by the United States and Germany, is that a national security sector has and manages SSA centers and uses SSA for civilian purposes; another way, adopted by France, is that SSA centers operated independently by military and civilian bodies are connected and used for national security purposes. We must determine what type of SSA system we will adopt. As explained by the National Security Council (NSC) and National Security Secretariat (NSS), the National Security Strategy was established, firmly declaring the importance of outer space. The Strategy states that security of the global commons, including sea, space, and cyberspace, is important, also noting the necessity of enhancement of Japan’s SSA system for 9 various purposes, including the stable use of outer space, the importance of information-gathering satellites, the enhancement of function of the Ministry of Defense, and the importance of information gathering. Outer space is an environment of global commons. To promote the use of space more actively, it is important to maintain the space environment for sustainable use. Japan, one of nations leading space development, should contribute to activities for preservation of the space environment. “Strengthening Global Partnership in SSA Activities” Mr. Frank A. Rose, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Space and Defense Policy, Bureau of Arms Control, Verification and Compliance, US Department of State, USA I am pleased and honored to be back in Tokyo for this third international symposium. I always have a great experience during my trips to Japan, and I’d like to thank the Japan Space Forum for inviting me back once more and for selecting such a timely topic. To begin, I would like to provide a brief policy update on United States efforts on Space Situational Awareness (SSA) cooperation in the past year, while deferring to my colleague Doug Loverro on some of the more technical aspects of our SSA cooperation. As everyone in this room understands, the increasingly congested space environment is of growing concern for all nations. Avoiding collisions requires us to strengthen the foundational capability of SSA to improve our ability to characterize the space environment and to predict the location of objects orbiting the Earth, including space debris. To attain this purpose, not only international cooperation on SSA sharing but also cooperation with the private sector is required. For example, the United States has signed SSA sharing agreements this year with Australia, Japan, Canada, Italy, and France. We expect to sign several agreements with additional governments in 2014, as well as with numerous commercial owners and operators. The United States continues to provide notifications to other governments and commercial satellite operators of potentially hazardous conjunctions between their satellites and other orbiting objects. We are also exploring the possibility of establishing two-way SSA sharing, including with Japan. We hope that as our space surveillance capabilities improve by working with partner nations jointly, we will be able to notify satellite operators earlier and with greater accuracy. One of the most important areas for us to continue pursuing international cooperation on SSA is in the Asia-Pacific region. It is important to build a stable, productive, and constructive space security relationship with emerging powers and China. The process of updating and broadening the US-Japan cooperation on space security presents an ideal opportunity to enhance the US-Japan Alliance. The United States and Japan have held several space security 10 dialogues, including the first-ever Comprehensive Dialogue on Space, in the last three years. We expect a second Comprehensive Dialogue to be held this spring in Washington, DC. The United States and Australia signed a Memorandum of Understanding to work together on space surveillance at the 2010 Australia-US Ministerial (AUSMIN). We agreed at the 2012 AUSMIN that the United States would transfer and start operating a C-Band radar to Australia in 2014 and also signed another agreement to relocate a space surveillance telescope to Australia at the 2013 AUSMIN. We have ongoing space security dialogues with Australia, as well as a trilateral space security dialogue with Japan. Discussions on space security have also been increasing with our Republic of Korea allies. As concerns Transparency and Confidence-Building Measures (TCBMs), the consensus report was endorsed by the UN General Assembly. We hope that all countries will review the report carefully and consider implementing many of the near-term and pragmatic TCBMs contained therein. In parallel with cooperation with ASEAN, we have also been holding US-India space security discussions. Of course, it is important to have dialogue on space security with China. The reason is that Chinese military writings highlight the need to interfere with, damage, and destroy reconnaissance, navigation, and communication satellites owned by the United States. China has satellite jamming capabilities and antisatellite capabilities. We carefully observe the movements, and also expect Chinese transparency of space development and utilization. The United States looks forward to deepening our engagement with all governments in the Asia-Pacific region to ensure the long-term sustainability and security of the fragile space environment. “Building Global Partnerships in Space” Mr. Douglas Loverro, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Space Policy, Office of the Under Secretary Defense for Policy, US Department of Defense, USA The United States will perform the following three efforts: deployment of new surveillance sensors, strengthening of the ability of data analysis, and international cooperation and data sharing. Regarding new surveillance sensors, although the United States already has global surveillance sensors, built in the 1960s–1970s. Pieces of space debris in that age numbered 1,000 or less, their sizes were relatively large, and their orbits were almost identified. At present, we have been tracking about 20,000 pieces of debris, but there are another 500,000 pieces we have not tracked, about 20,000 of which can destroy satellites. We have to consider both the 20,000 tracked pieces of debris and the 20,000 untracked pieces that can destroy satellites. The United States is constructing a new Space Fence using S-band radars, which can track 11 debris objects three centimeters or larger in size, on Kwajalein Island. Not all, but most, of debris objects will be track-able by the new Space Fence in low and medium Earth orbit. The new Space Fence can observe and detect 150,000–250,000 objects, and can track them more quickly than the past, contributing to collision avoidance. Geostationary Earth orbit and high-altitude satellites such as GPS will be observed by telescopes. For the observation, the United States and Australia have already agreed to relocate a space surveillance telescope, which can detect objects about 10 cm in size, to Australia. In either case, observation by telescopes can be possible only at night. Therefore, we are conducting the “Geosynchronous Space Situational Awareness Program (GSSAP)” as the third system. In the GSSAP, two satellites will orbit and operate above and below the geostationary Earth orbit and collect information on geostationary satellites. Unlike ground-based telescopes, the satellites can operate in the daytime, and also can discriminate between friendly and harmful objects. These three important programs will be in service within four or five years. Next, with regard to data analysis, we are now developing a system, the Joint Space Operations Center (JSpOC) Mission System (JMS), to process and share massive amounts of data to be obtained by the new sensor program mentioned earlier. The JMS, consisting of new computers, allows us to share and disseminate a variety of information, such as conjunction assessment, collision avoidance, and pre-launch conjunction assessment, more quickly and accurately. Our capabilities will be improved dramatically. Even though only the United States has enhanced capabilities of sensors and analysis, the space debris problem cannot be solved, without international cooperation, as pointed out by Mr. Rose. Mr. Nishimoto said that Japan will have its own SSA system in place. The United States welcomes this, but its data obtained should be shared with us. Data transparency through data sharing is important for sustainable preservation of the space environment, and we have to make every possible effort to leave the great space environment to the next generation. “Consideration on the Long-term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities” Dr. Yasushi Horikawa, Chairperson of United Nations Committee for the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS) I would like to speak about some considerations on the long term sustainability of outer space activities in my personal capacity, rather than on behalf of UN COPUOS. We who are living in the 21st century are enjoying significant benefits from space exploration and utilization. Protecting the space environment is vital and crucial to space applications, and in the end, to human security. Therefore, various efforts are being made to ensure long-term sustainability of outer space activities. 12 We know that, since the first satellite (Sputnik) was launched in 1957, more than 6,000 satellites have been launched, and half of those have perished. Currently, about 1,000 operational satellites are orbiting around the Earth. Therefore, more than 2,000 are still flying uselessly. Sources of space debris are not only discarded spacecraft but also fragmentation due to inadvertent accident or intentional destruction. More than 20,000 pieces of space debris with more than 10 cm in size are surrounding Earth and being tracked. Although objects with diameter smaller than 10 cm are not trackable, collision with this debris may destroy spacecraft and endanger astronauts. Regarding Space Situational Awareness (SSA), full knowledge of the near-Earth space environment, including space weather, space debris, and Near-Earth Objects is important. Sharing SSA information between government and commercial actors, among governments, and with the public is becoming necessary to ensure safety in space. For that purpose, discussions have been underway at various fora, such as the UN COPUOS, the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), the European Union-led efforts to develop an International Code of Conduct (ICoC) for Outer Space Activities, the United Nations Conference on Disarmament (UNCD), and the First Committee of the General Assembly. The report issued by the Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) working on Transparency and Confidence Building Measures (TCBMs) in space activities, adopted at the UN General Assembly last year, described the concept and meaning of TCBMs and recommended pursuit of the long term sustainability of outer space activities through the UN COPUOS and Code of Conduct discussions. I would like to congratulate the chairman of the Working Group on the Long-term Sustainability (LTS) of Outer Space Activities under the Science and Technology Subcommittee (STSC) at the UNCOPUOS, Peter Martinez, for his successful progress in organizing 33 guidelines into a draft best practice guideline report. In June, there will be a working group of LTS to discuss the new draft of best practice guidelines. The resulting report will be finalized in 2015. Space development and use must be constrained, unless space debris and space objects are well managed, except for limited specific missions that require the most advanced technology or specific scientific research. Regarding small satellites, while some with specific missions may be expected to remain in their orbits for a long time, others launched for educational and capacity-building purposes may not need to be in their orbits for an extended period. For the latter, the duration to remain in the orbit or their lifetime should be shortened and limited. This is because small satellites are often launched through piggy-back rides, and they could possibly pose significant threats to primary satellites because of the lack of propellant systems for maneuvering. Small satellite users should be made aware of these threats through various workshops or symposiums. 13 “JAXA Activities for SSA” Dr. Masanori Homma, Executive Chief Engineer, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) Operating 14 satellites in orbit, JAXA recognizes that it is fundamentally important to the safe operation of these satellites to avoid collision with space debris, other artificial satellites, and the ISS, and to that end, we have been conducting daily activities for collision avoidance. Other activities in this vein include coordination of satellite operation on the occasion of the rocket launched with the rocket group, and analysis of re-entry of objects. JAXA routinely screens objects approaching JAXA satellites four weeks in advance. For example, although 14 satellites were observed as approaching ETS-VIII last year, not one was finally assessed as approaching to ETS-VIII within 10 km. On the other hand, four objects were assessed as approaching DRTS within 10 km. When artificial satellites re-enter the Earth’s atmosphere, we perform re-entry analysis in cooperation with other countries. Re-entry orbit predictions by several organizations differ in a margin of error 7–10 days before re-entry. In the end, however, re-entry time can be predicted very accurately 1–2 days before re-entry. Regarding conjunction assessment (CA), JAXA has been performing CA on the Advanced Land Observing Satellite (ALOS) since 2009, and collision avoidance maneuvers (CAMs) have been executed seven times after deciding that there was a high collision risk. When is an avoidance maneuver performed? An international standard criterion proposed by JSpOC states that if there is a possibility of approach closer than 200 m of radial distance or 1000 m of total miss distance, a maneuver to avoid collision should be executed. Wanting to enhance our capability further, JAXA has been promoting studies for optimization of radar tracking determination algorism, real-time orbit estimation, and enhancement of certainty of Probability of Collision. Since the Space Situational Awareness (SSA) sharing agreement was concluded in 2013, JAXA have been exchanging data with JSpOC. As a result, our activities are progressing markedly, and we thank JSpOC and people involved, in this respect. JAXA intends to contribute to the Government of Japan through SSA technologies that are further developed, based on our accumulated knowledge of observation, orbit analysis, CA, and CAM. Panel 1: International Code of Conduct and the Long-term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities Moderator: Dr. Sergio Marchisio, Professor of Law at the University Sapienza of Rome, Chairman of European Centre for Space Law (ECSL/ESA), Italy Panelists: Mr. Michiru Nishida, Deputy Director, Special Assistant for Disarmament and 14 Non-Proliferation Issues, Arms Control and Disarmament Division, Disarmament, Non-Proliferation and Science Department/Space Policy Division, Foreign Policy Bureau, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, GOJ Dr. Peter Martinez, Chairman of the UN COPUOS Scientific and Technical Subcommittee’s Working Group on the Long-Term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities, Republic of South Africa Ms. Victoria Samson, Washington Office Director, Secure World Foundation, USA “International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities and Japan’s Efforts” Mr. Michiru Nishida, Deputy Director, Special Assistant for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation Issues, Arms Control and Disarmament Division, Disarmament, Non-Proliferation and Science Department/Space Policy Division, Foreign Policy Bureau, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, GOJ There are five reasons why the International Code of Conduct (ICoC) for Outer Space Activities has been drafted. The first reason is the sharp increase in spacefaring countries. Countries that cannot launch satellites, but operate them, have increased in number markedly. The second reason is that the degree of dependence of our everyday life on outer space has risen, and the use of outer space has quite permeated our daily life. The third is that while outer space activities began with military use and then extended to civilian use, the borderline between civilian and military use has become increasingly unclear in recent years. The fourth is the lack of international regulations or rules. The existing prescriptive frameworks on outer space activities are only the Outer Space Treaty and other legal frameworks entered into force in 1960s and after. Basically, there are no international laws. The fifth reason is the increase in space debris, which has especially increased due to China’s anti-satellite test conducted in 2007, which is connected with the fact that there are no prescriptive frameworks regulating such action to begin with. In the international community, regulations on outer space activities for civilian and military uses have been discussed separately. Led by the EU, formulation of an International Code of Conduct (ICoC) for Outer Space Activities for both civilian and military purposes began with major spacefaring countries independently of the United Nations (UN). The first draft of the Code was released in 2008. The Code has the following three major problems: (i) regarding its scope, the Code is to be applied to all outer space activities, including security and civilian purposes; (ii) the Code is proposed from the outside of the UN; and (iii) how can the Code ensure universality, or gather support from as many countries as possible. Since the Code is designed for the international community, participation of as many countries as possible is desirable. As indicated by statement released by the Minister of Foreign Affairs in January 2012, Japan positively supports the establishment of the Code on the basis that it will contribute to construction of outer space governance and the enhancement of outer space security. While the Code of Conduct is based on a top-down approach, that is, by obtaining political 15 commitment and outlining political principles, its guidelines are developed with a bottom-up approach, that is, from the technical point of view of engineers and experts. These two activities are being carried out in parallel and simultaneously; it is important that the two efforts be completed in a way that they are consistent with each other. “UN COPUOS and its efforts to promote the Long-Term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities” Dr. Peter Martinez, Chairman of the UN COPUOS Scientific and Technical Subcommittee’s Working Group on the Long-Term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities, Republic of South Africa Concerning the concept of sustainability of outer space activities, various discussions on this topic have been held over the past 20 years. Sustainability of the space environment is the concern of all beneficiaries of space activities, whether or not they are space actors. Therefore, I think that countries that are not involved with space development and use at present should also take part in discussions on space sustainability. Although discussions on various problems in COPUOS have been held by two subcommittees, the Scientific and Technical Subcommittee (STSC) and the Legal Subcommittee (LSC), discussions on long-term sustainability are determined to be integrated into STSC. Terms of reference for the Working Group are: (i) to examine the long-term sustainability of outer space activities in the wider context of sustainable development on Earth, taking into account the concerns and interests of all countries, in particular those of developing countries; (ii) to take into consideration current practices, operating procedures, technical standards, and policies associated with the long-term sustainability of outer space activities, including, inter alia, the safe conduct of space activities throughout all the phases of the mission life cycle; and (iii) to take as its legal framework the existing United Nations treaties and principles governing the activities of States in the exploration and use of outer space. Outcomes of the Working Group include: (i) preparation of a report on the long-term sustainability of outer space activities containing a consolidated set of current best practice guidelines and operating procedures; (ii) production of a set of voluntary recommended guidelines that could be applied by all spacefaring actors, including international organizations and non-governmental entities, to reduce collectively the risk to space operations for all spacefaring actors; and (iii) conclusion that recommendations will be non-binding (non-binding does not mean non-legal). In addition, guidelines should be high-level and not too technically detailed; voluntary and not legally binding; based on actual, proven efficient and effective practices; consistent with existing international legal frameworks for space activities; take into account the needs and interests of developing countries; and consistent with relevant recommendations of COPUOS and its Subcommittees, other UN bodies, and 16 other relevant international organizations. “Complementary Initiatives for Safety, Security and Sustainability (SSS) in Outer Space” Dr. Sergio Marchisio, Professor of Law at the University Sapienza of Rome, Chairman of European Centre for Space Law (ECSL/ESA), Italy The safety, security, and sustainability (SSS) of outer space activities have acquired a central importance at the international level within the fora dealing with outer space issues. “Safety” is not intended to imply that space operations will carry no risk. Rather, it refers to a regime in which risks are identified, assessed, and managed. “Security” means that all countries can freely access outer space, and can pursue the use of outer space. “Sustainability” is about ensuring that all humanity can continue to use space for peaceful purposes, and for socioeconomic benefit, maintaining its potential to meet the needs of present and future generations. The first effort for SSS of outer space is the Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines, drafted by the Inter Agency Debris Committee (IADC) in 2002. With the Guidelines as the basis, the COPUOS Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines were endorsed by the UN General Assembly in 2007. In addition, the Working Group on Long-Term Sustainability (LTS) at the UN COPUOS and discussions on the Draft International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities (ICoC) have also been ongoing. These efforts present some commonalities, but also several differences. While the Working Group on LTS at the UN COPUOS has followed a bottom-up scheme, the ICoC is a top-down process. Although the ICoC was endorsed by the Council of the European Union in 2010, the process was further internationalized with two rounds of open-ended consultations held in Kyiv and Bangkok in 2013. It has been questioned whether these initiatives are in the interest of developing and emerging spacefaring nations. It is my opinion that emerging spacefaring nations have a strong interest in ensuring that the space environment is used in a safe, secure and sustainable way, so that they can fully enjoy the benefits of space activities and launch outer space initiatives to the benefit of their citizens. These initiatives do not impose any requirements on countries that might act as a barrier to their space activities, which may be of particular interest to developing countries. “The Code of Conduct: A Starting Point” Ms. Victoria Samson, Washington Office Director, Secure World Foundation, USA As outer space has become commercialized, and spacefaring countries have been increasing in number year by year, a code of conduct has become critical. To make outer space activities orderly and to not allow any space actors to conduct irresponsible activities, a preliminary 17 draft of an International Code of Conduct (ICoC), which calls for the involvement of many countries, was proposed by the EU in 2008. However, the ICoC has not yet been perfected. The first draft of the ICoC was released for international discussions in 2010. Although many countries, both developing and developed, have been involved, developed countries have promoted the ICoC for its security aspects. The EU has regarded the ICoC as a part of its outreach regarding outer space, and has made efforts to make a positive approach in this respect to developing countries. However, the then Secretary of State Hillary Clinton announced that the United States did not approve of the ICoC, but hoped to achieve orderly space activities in concert with the countries concerned. This position was because the United States was concerned that the ICoC would restrict its outer space activities. The United States planned to coordinate with the countries concerned in 2013, and to repeat discussions from various viewpoints, including military and security, to finalize the discussions in 2014. It is worth noting that since the ICoC is non-legally binding, it should be more acceptable to more countries. Strengthening its prospects, the ICoC is under discussion at the State level, where outer space has been treated as a national resource. The Outer Space Treaty states that States shall be responsible for national space activities whether carried out by governmental or non-governmental entities. That is, States should not take harmful actions directly or indirectly, and should not destroy objects in outer space. States also should not create space debris, which can be regarded as weapons in outer space. The ICoC is expected to be a deterrent, in order to ensure space safety, and may become legally binding in the future. Regardless, the long-term sustainability of outer space activities will be achieved, if many States are involved in drafting and finalizing the ICoC. Panel 2: UN-GGE/TCBM Moderator: Dr. Sergio Marchisio, Professor of Law at the University Sapienza of Rome, Chairman of European Centre for Space Law (ECSL/ESA), Italy Panelists: Dr. Victor Vasiliev, Chairman, Group of Governmental Experts on Transparency and Confidence-Building Measures in Outer Space Activities Dr. Sergio Marchisio, Professor of Law at the University Sapienza of Rome, Chairman of European Centre for Space Law (ECSL/ESA), Italy Mr. Frank Rose, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Space and Defense Policy, Bureau of Arms Control, Verification and Compliance, US Department of State, USA “The Outcome of the GGE on TCBMs in Outer Space Activities. What’s Next?” Dr. Victor Vasiliev, Chairman, Group of Governmental Experts on Transparency and Confidence-Building Measures in Outer Space Activities Although the Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) consists of experts representing 15 countries, other countries, including Japan, and other international organizations and bodies, 18 such as COPUOS, ITU, and WMO, also took part in the discussion. The Report of the GGE finalized last year was approved in the UN General Assembly by consensus. The Working Group had proposed the measures as having a voluntary, non-legally binding character, and discussing them in terms of not endangering others. We also discussed recommendations on how to enhance the transparency of outer space activities. The first item considered is information exchange on space policies, including the principles and goals of a State’s outer space policy, on major military outer space expenditures, and other space security activities. The next item is notification, in light of the conclusion that exchange of information on outer space objects and conjunctions is necessary. Information exchange includes not only provision of information on outer space activities but also information on how to foster risk reduction. By creating a mechanism for this information exchange process, information exchange among the countries concerned will be improved. If such information exchange is achieved, it can assist with the solutions of problems. This symposium also affords an opportunity for information exchange. Accordingly, we highlight here four practical and implementable recommendations: (i) the GGE encourages States to review and implement the proposed TCBMs, (ii) the GGE recommends universal participation in and adherence to the existing legal framework relating to outer space activities, (iii) the GGE recommends that the General Assembly decide how to further advance TCBMs in outer space, and (iv) the GGE calls upon the UN Secretary-General to appeal to all relevant entities and organizations of the UN system to effectively implement our conclusions and recommendations. Although the Report of the GGE and proposed TCBMs are not the ultimate products, they are intended to serve as the catalysts for further consideration. Since Russia currently is the Chair of the G-8, we will propose concretization of the TCBMs. In the UN COPUOS, we intend to propose further measures to enhance long-term space sustainability, building on some of the proposals of the GGE Report. We will also propose to establish a center for active debris removal operations. “A Landmark Consensus on TCBMs in Outer Space” Dr. Sergio Marchisio, Professor of Law at the University Sapienza of Rome, Chairman of European Centre for Space Law (ECSL/ESA), Italy With regard to the value of the GGE, first, the mission of the Group is clearly presented: TCBMs stand as negotiated measures, regardless of the presence or absence of legally binding force. Second, regarding constituents of the GGE, its members are nominated on the basis of equitable geographical representation from 15 countries. They may be restricted, but are inclusive at the same time. Third, the GGE can derive practical outcomes, according to its ambitious original challenges. The consensus report emphasizes that TCBMs are for the welfare of humankind, and to that end, the safety and security of outer space activities and 19 long-term sustainability will be maintained. A primary feature of the GGE report is that TCBMs should be clear, practical, and proven to achieve its goals. In addition, the report also describes the necessity of testing the proposed TCBMs for effectiveness. Moreover, TCBMs must be implemented bilaterally and multilaterally, the latter of which provides the opportunity to involve more countries in implementation. As described in the final part of the report, political commitments will be pursued. If a country makes a declaration on non-first placement of weapons in outer space, some countries will follow suit, because it is not legally binding. However, as such, it should be verified whether this approach is effective. The draft International Code of Conduct (ICoC) is more practical and more reliable, and is a good foundation for developing a non-legally binding framework for guaranteeing that malfunction and mistrust will not occur in outer space, thereby preserving safety and stability in the space environment. If a multilateral ICoC is adopted, transparency will increase, the number of events caused by debris will decrease, and hazards in outer space will decrease, as described during this symposium. “U.S. Perspective on the Importance of the GGE” Mr. Frank Rose, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Space and Defense Policy, Bureau of Arms Control, Verification and Compliance, US Department of State, USA The GGE experts sought to find solutions to common challenges and problems in an increasingly contested and congested space environment. The Group’s study was a unique opportunity to establish consensus on the importance and priority of voluntary and pragmatic measures to ensure the sustainability and safety of the space environment, as well as to strengthen stability and security in space for all nations. Furthermore, the Group endorsed efforts to pursue political commitments – including a multilateral code of conduct – to encourage responsible actions in, and the peaceful use of, outer space. In this regard, the Group noted the efforts of the European Union to develop an International Code of Conduct (ICoC) for Outer Space Activities through open-ended consultations with the international community. The Group’s study endorsed efforts to pursue bilateral transparency and confidence-building measures (TCBMs). This highlights the importance of efforts such as ongoing discussions on space security policy that the United States has been conducting with a number of spacefaring nations, including Italy, South Africa, and Japan. Such dialogue has the potential to lead to the construction of a mechanism for warning of potential hazards to spaceflight safety and building confidence. To strengthen stability in space through voluntary, non-legally binding TCBMs is important. It was endorsed by the UN General Assembly last December. While all nations are increasingly reliant on space, its use is at serious risk. Accidents caused by irresponsible acts could not only harm the space environment, but could also disrupt services on which all governments depend. As a result, I would recommend that all 20 governments review and consider implementing the recommendations of the GGE. Day 2: Friday, February 28, 2014 “Panel 3: Possible Global SSA Networking Cooperation” Moderator: Ms. Stacie Shurchay, Analyst in the Space Policy Branch, J5 Plans and Policy Directorate, United States Strategic Command, Offutt Air Force Base, Nebraska, USA Panelists: Ms. Stacie Shurchay, Analyst in the Space Policy Branch, J5 Plans and Policy Directorate, United States Strategic Command, Offutt Air Force Base, Nebraska, USA Group Captain Colin Thomson, Director, Defense Space Coordinating Office, Royal Australian Air Force, Australia “Evolution of the U.S. SSA Program” Ms. Stacie Shurchay, Analyst in the Space Policy Branch, J5 Plans and Policy Directorate, United States Strategic Command, Offutt Air Force Base, Nebraska, USA Our data is obtained from our Space Surveillance Network (SSN), a network of radar sensors and telescopes located all over the world, handling approximately 400,000 observations a day. We also cooperate with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), as space weather is strongly relevant. All of the data are gathered at the Joint Space Operations Center (JSpOC), where military personnel and contractors work together. While the telescopes used for the SSN are dedicated to this effort, some of the radar sensors are dedicated, and others are collateral or contributing. The compiled data are used mainly for: (i) conjunction assessment; (ii) launch trajectory screening; (iii) predicted maneuver screening; and (iv) reentry assessments. The United States Strategic Command (USSTRATCOM) SSA Sharing Program has three tiers. The bottom tier addresses emergency notification. Emergency conjunction summary messages are provided to all satellite owners and operators, regardless of whether or not they have an agreement on data sharing. At the second tier, the basic services—satellite catalog in the two-line element set (TLE) format; reentry assessments and Tracking and Impact Prediction (TIP) reports, which provide detailed reentry prediction information; and reentry object information—are available through our website (Space-Track.org). The top tier, advanced services, requires an agreement with the United States. In addition to the basic services listed above, seven additional services, including collision avoidance, conjunction assessment, and end-of-life/disposal operations, are provided to satellite owners and operators who enter into such agreements. The SSA Sharing Program started in 2004, the National Space Policy was reviewed in 21 2010, and, finally, in 2012, the Commander of USSTRATCOM was delegated the authority to go forward and sign international SSA sharing agreements with international governmental entities. Currently, we have 41 commercial agreements, five signed governmental agreements, and seven pending governmental agreements. The SSA Sharing Study was conducted in 2012 by USSTRATCOM and the National Reconnaissance Office. The Study recently reviewed our approaches to sharing information, as it has been said both that we share too much information and that we do not share enough information. Such a review will be conducted as needed. Therefore, a few years later, you might look back and be surprised that this was all that could be presented today. “SSA: ‘An Australian Perspective’” Group Captain Colin Thomson, Director, Defense Space Coordinating Office, Royal Australian Air Force, Australia Although SSA is a new capability for Australia, we recognize that we should be actively involved in team efforts that assure safety in outer space. Regarding Australia’s Defense SSA vision, we currently use SSA capability for deterrence. SSA has the potential to ensure the safety of our space assets. Moreover, from the viewpoint of mission assurance and resilience of assets in space, we require relevant data. Furthermore, it is important to provide timely advice to the senior echelons of defense and government. We also hope to be a hub for SSA within Australia as the immediate region. As an overview of Australian Defense SSA, our understanding of and commitment to space is developing bit by bit. Regarding the policy framework, the 2013 Defense white paper described an evolving appreciation of space capabilities. In terms of the budget, 100– 120 million dollars have been used, and space personnel, currently numbering 20, will be increased to 50, not as a support unit, but with function of operating the system. Sensors include C-band radar, telescopes, and a laser tracking system, to be put into operation in 2016 or 2017. (It has been said that the United States aims to begin operation of Space Fence 2 in 2020.) These capabilities will be operated by the Royal Australian Air Force, with an AusSpOC (analysis center), Space Ops (operation center), C-band radar, and optical telescopes in place for our national defense SSA. In addition, universities and research institutes have potential SSA capabilities through their telescopes and radio wave observation facilities. New SSA research programs in academia, including these universities and public research institutes, have begun. Issues related to Australian SSA include very few Australian space assets and unclear leadership (government, industry, or academia). Current involvement seems to be driven by consensus and bottom-up initiatives. Because Australian SSA begins with cooperation with the United States, it will take time to conduct independent SSA operations and analyses. While other projects in the 22 government have reduced their budgets, SSA is unique in securing its budget. “ISON Project as an Example of Successful Broad International Co-operative Efforts on Regular Monitoring of Objects and Events in High Near-Earth Orbits (GEO and HEO)” Dr. Vladimir Agapov, Senior Scientist, Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics, Russia (read by Mr. Susumu Yoshitomi, Executive Director, Japan Space Forum) Mr. Yoshitomi briefly presented International Scientific Optical Network (ISON) activities on the basis of materials Dr. Agapov prepared on his behalf. (Abstract is omitted.) Special Report “Report from the AMOS Conference SSA Policy Forum: US Space Policy and International SSA Collaboration” Ms. Jeanne Unemori Skog, President & CEO, Maui Economic Development Board, USA The Advanced Maui Optical and Space Surveillance Technologies Conference (AMOS), started in 1999 in Maui, convened representatives of 13 countries at its 14th annual gathering last year. In parallel with meetings for space monitoring technologies, including conventional optical observation, we initiated the SSA Policy Forum within the AMOS Conference two years ago to discuss the policy context of SSA activities. Despite the fact that the amount of space debris has increased exponentially, public awareness of the SSA is lacking, though it is key to sustaining space policy that values SSA capabilities. Without public awareness, there is less pressure on elected officials and government agencies to acknowledge and adequately fund SSA. For these reasons, it is hoped that this Symposium will lead to changing the paradigm that although debris problem is serious, public awareness of it is low. The backdrop to SSA efforts is colored by a number of practical constraints and realities. No single nation can or should conduct SSA alone. A collaborative shared endeavor and a system of cooperation are necessary to solve the debris problems. Equitable sharing of costs will also be necessary. As Mr. Loverro, of the US Department of Defense, said, the Regional Space Fence Radar Surveillance System developed in the early 1960s was terminated in 2013, due to increased obsolescence and cost considerations, and a succeeding new Space Fence system is under development. It is not realistic in this era that only the United States provides others with data; the nations of the world should contribute to data provision and data sharing. For that purpose, data sharing agreements among various nations are in process. The SSA Space Forum had panelists from Canada, Australia, Germany, France, the UK, and Japan. A point of the discussion was the increasing significance of SSA capability in 23 recent years. European experience bears out that SSA proves challenging in various aspects, such as national sovereignty, governance, international cooperation, and security. Another topic of the forum was the role of civil SSA and security-oriented SSA. Domestically, cooperation between the commercial (civil) sector and the military (security) sector on possible points is important. Panel 4: Active Debris Removal (ADR) Moderators: Dr. Benjamin Reed, Deputy Project Manager, Satellite Servicing Capabilities office, GSFC-NASA, USA (Technical) Professor Souichiro Kozuka, Faculty of Law, Gakushuin University (Legal) Panelists: Dr. Benjamin Reed, Deputy Project Manager, Satellite Servicing Capabilities office, GSFC-NASA, USA Mr. Yasuyuki Ito, Associate Executive Director, JAXA Mr. Nobu Okada, CEO, Astroscale Pte. Ltd., Singapore Professor Souichiro Kozuka, Faculty of Law, Gakushuin University Professor Sa’id Maosteshar, London Institute of Space Policy and Law, UK “Challenges of Robotic Approach to Removing Orbital Debris” Dr. Benjamin Reed, Deputy Project Manager, Satellite Servicing Capabilities office, GSFC-NASA, USA Although a robotic approach to removing orbital debris is a challenge, NASA does not set policy for debris removal. Accordingly, I will discuss what NASA will do if NASA undertakes a debris removal mission in future. The title of my office is the Satellite Servicing Capabilities Office, not the Satellite Debris Removal Office. However, many of the technologies that we are developing at NASA for satellite servicing overlap significantly with the technologies that could be required for active debris removal. We have defined satellite servicing as anomaly recovery, instrument upgrade, life extension, mission resilience, flexible architecture, and gap mitigation. I participated with three of the five Hubble servicing missions, all five of which were accomplished by robots and astronauts working together to transform the Hubble Space Telescope from a satellite in the 1990s to a telescope in the 2010s. Active debris removal (ADR) is an indispensable technology to reduce the number of pieces of debris. The target is rocket bodies at 700 kilometer altitude in sun-synchronous 98-degree inclination orbit. My presentation will cover challenges associated with large debris removal, notional debris removal vehicle (DRV), notional requirements for DRV, servicing technology development and overlap, and cooperative servicing aids. 24 One of challenges associated with large debris removal is how to capture a tumbling object. A challenge associated with the removal of non-cooperative satellites is that unspent propellant in the tanks is unknown. To prevent the debris environment in low Earth orbit (LEO) from worsening, five objects per year or more should be removed. The first technical requirement to realize ADR is autonomous rendezvous docking. The next requirement is robotic arms, which should have functions of autonomously capturing, holding, and releasing. They also require functions to place “de-orbit devices,” such as tethers, thrusters, and drag enhancement devices (e.g. canvas) on the debris. The next technical requirement is capture tools. Possible locations of debris for capture include an attachment ring (a part that had attached to a rocket in the launch phase of the satellite), debris body diameter, and boost motor nozzle. Possible attachment techniques include mechanical grippers or adhesive. A refueling experiment is now being performed on the ISS with a sophisticated manipulator, the Canadian Dextre. To refuel objects that were designed to be refueled and satellites that were not designed to be refueled are not easy tasks. Robotic ADR has significant challenges, in that the target objects are basically spinning, and are non-cooperative, and five large objects per year or more should be removed or de-orbited. The present technology NASA has developed for satellite servicing overlaps some of the technology required for ADR, however, with possible capabilities to meet these challenges. “Overview of JAXA’s Research Activities on Active Space Debris Removal” Mr. Yasuyuki Ito, Associate Executive Director, JAXA JAXA has formed an organization-wide committee to share debris-related information and discuss space debris. The committee consists of not only technology development sectors, but also the international relations sector and the legal sector. The committee has established and conducts an overall, comprehensive plan for debris. Here, I discuss our activity of removal of large debris in orbit. Propulsion for de-orbit includes electrodynamic tethers (EDTs), traditional chemical propulsion, ion beam irradiation, and atmospheric drag augmentation (e.g. blowing up a balloon). These methods have advantages and disadvantages; therefore, trade-offs should be considered according to application. As concerns attachment, JAXA experienced rendezvous and docking with Orihime and Hikoboshi (KIKU-7), and rendezvous and capturing with KOUNOTORI. A highlighted theme of JAXA’s research and development sector is EDTs. The largest advantage of the EDTs is that they involve propellant-free propulsion. A long conducting tether is stabilized by gravity gradient, and in the tether, an electric current flows in the process of collection and emission of electrons and exerts a Lorentz force against the 25 geomagnetic field. The force acts on the direction opposite to the flight direction and therefore, the altitude of the object will gradually decrease. Although the drag force is not great, an analysis showed that two-to-three tons of debris at the altitude of 1,000 km, for example, could be re-enter within a year. While technology development for debris removal has been promoted, international rules and mechanisms need to be coordinated. Beyond that point, it is intended that some ADR projects will be performed with international cooperation. Finally, as a demonstration of the technology we are developing, an experiment using KOUNOTORI (H-II Transfer Vehicle), a cargo transporter to the International Space Station (ISS), is under consideration. Several days before re-entry, several hundreds of meters of an electrodynamic tether will be attached to the KOUNOTORI; we will check the overall behavior and the operation of the brakes, and whether the electric current flows as intended. Although it is just an early stage, a part of the budget in the next fiscal year (2014) has been approved. Although it has not yet been decided, the project is included in the government draft. Thus, we are encouraged to continue making progress step by step. “Reasons Why Private Sector Should Take Lead in ADR” Mr. Nobu Okada, CEO, Astroscale Pte. Ltd., Singapore I have often been told that “a challenge to debris removal by the private sector can be a lifework, but it is not job,” and that “it requires an enormous amount of capital—this is not IT industry.” I sometimes think these assumptions are correct, yet I still believe that private sectors should play a key role in active debris removal. I summarize here the current challenges concerning debris: First is a communications challenge. The space debris issue has not been communicated to the public; that is, most of the public does not know about it. The second challenge is an organizational challenge. Although NASA, ESA, and JAXA allocate their budget into various outer space activities every year, priorities on the space debris issue are very low in the respective organizations. The third challenge is technological. Human beings have not developed solid answers yet. The fourth is an economic challenge. No one would like to pay money to solve the space debris issue. Finally, the fifth challenge is a transparency challenge. The technology to remove debris is easily diverted into military use; ADR should be conducted with transparency. There are two reasons why the private sector could lead debris removal efforts. First, the private sector already possesses the mechanism to enhance transparency, which is one of the key measures for confidence building. The private sector has many stakeholders, such as investors and customers. The private sector cannot get the “next deal” if it cannot fully explain how to remove space debris to its stakeholders in a convincing way. Therefore, private sectors have incentive to enhance transparency. The next reason is business models. 26 It has often been asked who should pay for debris removal. If we continue ADR, the cost will increase year by year. On the other hand, if we do not perform ADR, loss by satellite damages and insurance costs will gradually increase. Above all, economic loss of society will increase due to the impacts on satellite use; therefore, the break-even point between the ADR cost and the cumulated cost without ADR will come, in the course of time. From the long-term viewpoint, an ADR business model can be established and short- and mid-term business models also established. We will reveal our business model in mid-May. Although ordinary business requires many funds, but cannot typically make a profit in its early stages, our model can produce a profit in its first year. In sum, ADR undertaken by the private sector does not promise to be easy, but it is not an impossibility. “Common Sense to Avoid a ‘Tragedy of the Commons’: Necessary Steps for Creating an Internationally Coordinated Framework for Active Debris Removal” Professor Souichiro Kozuka, Faculty of Law, Gakushuin University The space debris problem can be viewed as a “tragedy of the commons.” That is, everyone acknowledges that it is a problem, but no one takes the initiative to solve the problem, bearing the responsibility and cost. Considering this from the perspective of private laws, ownership of space objects must be discussed. In space debris removal, unlike in the field of space law, consideration of ownership is important. In the case of space debris in outer space, especially satellites owned by private companies or upper stages of rockets launched by private companies, owners must be required to remove them in a responsible way. It seems very difficult from a legal standpoint to remove a piece of debris because it obstructs outer space activities, with the owner not being involved. In other words, consent of the owner is necessary. As concerns Japan, the law of outer space activities provides that an owner should commit space debris removal to other bodies, or, if not, the government removes the debris and the owner of the debris must respond to the request for the removal cost. Because the “preventive principle” is established in the field of international environmental law, the approach that if a nation leaves an object that can be dangerous to the surrounding nations or bodies, the nation bears a responsibility internationally is an established way of thinking. A point in question is whether “to leave an object” means “to simply leave an object,” or “to leave an object even though there is a measure to be adopted.” As far as space debris is concerned, there have been no measures adopted. In addition, it is extremely difficult to foresee the collision of debris with other space objects. Debris has no negligence because it lost its control. In outer space, one holds negligence liability, not strict liability; therefore, it is difficult to prove negligence. In addition, “product liability” is also taken into account. All things considered, the respective nations have no 27 choice but to make their own laws for outer space activities to address such problems. For example, the laws of outer space activities of respective nations provide that if a nation views the leaving of space debris in orbit as its responsibility: the nation imposes a duty to remove the debris upon the owner or operator concerned, in order to avoid such liability; the law prescribes debris removal as a requirement for the license to launch; or respective nations establish liability for leaving debris, such as product liability, within their domestic laws. “International law: Obstacle to Active Debris Removal and Potential Solutions” Sa’id Maosteshar, London Institute of Space Policy and Law, UK To assume what will be included in respective nations’ regulations and laws to facilitate ADR, one must consider the distinction between public international law and the liabilities and responsibilities established under private laws. Agreements such as the Outer Space Treaty and the Liability Convention provide for the responsibility of states, and that responsibility lies with a state that has national activities in outer space. Accordingly, the state has the obligation to continually supervise the activities of their nationals in outer space. For that purpose, registries and approval systems are used, allowing the state jurisdiction and control over space objects. With regard to the debris, the question of who is responsible for damage caused by the debris is an interesting and important one. For damage that occurs in outer space, negligence must be proven. The definition of negligence in international law differs from that in domestic laws; negligence does not concern a duty of care, but a duty occurring by an act or omission. As per international law, this is the definition of negligence. In addition, there is no obligation under international law to remove a space object after it has performed its function. A doubt arises as to whether leaving debris is equivalent to occupying outer space, as states do not have the right of possession of outer space. The United Kingdom was the second country to pass a formal Outer Space Act, in 1986. This Act created a regime for licensing outer space activities. There is a license condition that requires that the activities of the licensee shall avoid interfering with the activities of others in the use of outer space. If one leaves a satellite up at the end of its useful life, it can easily be said to be interfering with the activities of others. Since the Secretary of State has the power to grant licenses, the Secretary of State can also require a licensee to remove debris from orbit. Such a mechanism could be employed in other states. The next topic is who is going to pay for debris removal. One approach to this issue may be to consider the Intelsat system when it was first conceived. Entities that can benefit from debris removal invest in and create an organization to remove space debris. Even if one cannot invest in the organization, one can commission the organization to remove debris for 28 pay. Even a state that does not depend on outer space much can take part in this system. Who is responsible for what is currently up there? As neither the US nor Russia assume responsibility, the Intelsat system could be adapted. With some of the technologies making great progress, the industry of debris removal could be sustainable, if funding can be collected through the Intelsat system. Panel 5: Commercial Space Activities and its SSA Moderator: Mr. Susumu Yoshitomi, Executive Director, Japan Space Forum Panelists: Dr. Andrew D’Uva, Adviser to Space Data Association Limited, President of Providence Access Company, USA Mr. Paul Welsh, Vice President, Business Development, Analytical Graphics Inc. (AGI), USA Mr. Senol Gulgonul, Director, R&D and Satellite Design, Turksat Satellite Communication and Cable TV AS, Republic of Turkey Mr. Tomohiro Kusunose, Managing Director, Space Engineering Development Co., Ltd. “Private Sector Leadership in Sustaining Safe Space Operations: the Space Data Association Example” Dr. Andrew D’Uva, Adviser to Space Data Association Limited, President of Providence Access Company, USA This presentation addresses the question of whether the private sector can operate sustainable space business. Space is used for various purposes, including military, commercial, and civil purposes; here, I suggest activity that the private sector can conduct. Space use can be served or promoted through various activities, including space debris removal activities that have been considered by governments, national space agencies, and international institutes. The private sector can complement these governmental activities. For instance, the Space Data Association (SDA) supports such activities via the private sector. The little known SDA was organized and funded by leading communication satellite operators, such as Eutelsat, Inmarsat, Intelsat, and SES. SDA operates on a not-for-profit basis, and the activity of the Space Data Center (SDC) covers commercial, civil, and military operators owning satellites in LEO, HEO, MEO, and GEO. SDC controls and operates 91 LEO satellites and 267 GEO satellites, and information management is absolutely secure. There are three key missions of SDA. The first is to increase safety of flight through automatic conjunction assessments including planned maneuvers. The second is to help to mitigate radiofrequency interference, and the third, to maintain up-to-date contact information for participating satellites. Collision can be avoided by using the latest data in automatic conjunction assessments. 29 SDA believes it accomplishes collision avoidance better than anyone else today. Collision avoidance sounds simple, but is actually very hard to do. The information to be provided is rectified in a common format, allowing operators to convert into the operators’ format. The important point for operators is that this is also done at an exceptionally low cost, thanks to SDA’s automatic conjunction assessments. One of the differences between SDA and JSpOC is radiofrequency interference (RFI) mitigation support. Since JSpOC does not provide such service, SDA recommends that satellite operators participate in both SDA and JSpOC. “Commercial SSA Advancements: the Commercial Space Operations Center (ComSpOC)” Mr. Paul Welsh, Vice President, Business Development, Analytical Graphics Inc. (AGI), USA AGI is a commercial software company celebrating its 25th anniversary this year and STK, software for satellite orbit analysis, is our flagship product. We also offer other software to the marketplace, such as software for visualization of satellite information. The Commercial Space Operations Center (ComSpOC) produces analysis data on the basis of optical observation data and radar data. Because photographic films have disappeared, all data have been digitized, and computers’ capabilities have evolved, using this software, the only software available for this task. To address the point that ComSpOC will no longer be necessary if SSA is realized, we think ComSpOC will never become unnecessary, and we view it as a complementary capability to SSA systems. The remote sensing domain was also once the exclusive domain of government systems, but it has changed now. ComSpOC data services include orbit determination, maneuver detection, RFI support, light curve analysis, launch and early operation support, and proximity monitoring. By using ComSpOC, satellite operators can increase operational efficiency, improve operation of geosynchronous satellites in the same orbit, which leads to radio interference, and increase safety of flight. “TURKSAT and SSA” Senol Gulgonul, Director, R&D and Satellite Design, Turksat Satellite Communication and Cable TV AS, Republic of Turkey Turksat operates three communication satellites, and is developing one satellite in Japan. Since 1994, we have been providing satellite broadcasting and communication services for small receiving stations in Turkey and for the Middle East, the whole of Europe, and the whole of Africa. This year, we established an observatory mainly to monitor our space assets or satellites. With this facility, we can observe all satellites within a few 100 meters accuracy with 30 multiple measurements. Actually, we are able to watch the situation around our satellites by ourselves. Turksat adopts a co-orbit position. If interference occurs, we notify users, particularly users in foreign countries, of the occurrence and its cause. Accuracy of the co-orbit position is determined by orbital parameters. To obtain adjacent satellite orbital parameters, we depended on JSpOC TLE, or we ask the operator of the adjacent satellite to provide the parameters. We also perform periodical conjunction assessments using the TLE database. To conduct collision analysis, a few hundred meters’ accuracy is needed. Space Data Association (SDA) is a good initiative for this need. Turksat is not a member of SDA yet, but we are discussing this option, as data sharing among many satellite operators is important. ITU regulates the frequency and orbit position of geostationary satellites. However, in the case of LEO, only the frequency is regulated; the orbit is not regulated. This is one of the circumstances that worsens the debris problem in LEO. It is true that there are various risks in a geostationary orbit. If satellites are de-orbited according to ITU regulation, they cannot be de-orbited more than 300 kilometers away, because of insufficient fuel or loss of control during de-orbit, and remain near the geostationary Earth orbit. According to ESA, there are 65 such satellites. To solve debris problems, international cooperation and coordination is required. “Overview of Himawari 8/9 Ground Control System Development and Operation” Mr. Tomohiro Kusunose, Managing Director, Space Engineering Development Co., Ltd. We established a special purpose company, Himawari Operation Enterprise Corporation (HOPE), for a private finance initiative (PFI) project. The term of the contract is from September 2010 to March 2030, which is for about 20 years. Since constant operation of satellites will begin in 2015, we will operate the satellites, Himawari-8 and Himawari-9, for about 15 years. We will make every effort to ensure that this long-term contract will not be discontinued, and that Himawari-8 will be operated safely. Our mission is to operate these satellites in orbit for 15 years safely and securely, in private sector capacity. We will prepare for debris in orbit by, for example, installing a mechanism to avoid collision with debris, and we hope to finish the 15-year-long term of operation successfully. For that purpose, we would like to learn various systems for SSA, presented in this Symposium, and to adopt useful ones to perform and continue safe operation of Himawari-8 and Himawari-9. Summary of Discussions: Strengthening Global Partnership in SSA Activities and What’s Next? Moderator: Mr. Susumu Yoshitomi (Executive Director, Japan Space Forum) 31 Panelists: Dr. Sergio Marchisio, Professor of Law at the University Sapienza of Rome, Chairman of European Centre for Space Law (ECSL/ESA), Italy Dr. Peter Martinez, Chairman of the UN COPUOS Scientific and Technical Subcommittee’s Working Group on the Long-Term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities, Republic of South Africa Ms. Stacie Shurchay, Analyst in the Space Policy Branch, J5 Plans and Policy Directorate, United States Strategic Command, Offutt Air Force Base, Nebraska, USA Dr. Benjamin Reed, Deputy Project Manager, Satellite Servicing Capabilities office, GSFC-NASA, USA Professor Souichiro Kozuka, Faculty of Law, Gakushuin University Susumu Yoshitomi In summary of this two-day symposium, this panel discusses “Strengthening Global Partnership in SSA Activities.” I will ask the panelists to summarize their impressions of this symposium briefly, within five minutes. After that, I will again ask everyone about what will come next, or what should we do in the next phase, as described in the title, “and What’s Next?” Various issues were discussed yesterday and today in this symposium; we intend to continue to hold this symposium in the years to come, so please answer the question from your respective standpoints. Dr. Sergio Marchisio We have addressed many issues during this symposium from the viewpoint of international cooperation in future SSA activities and, in my opinion, all of them have been discussed in depth, providing useful information for all the participants. For my part, I think the initiatives on TCBMs are important. As stated in several presentations, we cannot take the benefits of outer space for granted. If the space debris problem worsens, we will not be able to reap benefits from outer space. Urgent action is necessary. For that purpose, it is necessary to gain political commitments. The measures recommended by the UN GGE Consensus Report should be implemented one by one. TCBMs must be adopted in collective form, at the multilateral level. Dr. Peter Martinez I have been involved in the SSA issue for a long period of time at UNCOPUOS, and most of the discussions there involve top-down approaches. It was interesting to listen to the presentations on SSA activities in this symposium from the people who are involved in it from the operations floor level. I hope that the guidelines we are working on in UN COPUOS will help the people concerned. I intend to strengthen space safety and 32 sustainability through the various guidelines. I think that the audience here fully recognizes the problems; however, there are 60 or more spacefaring nations, and the number of emerging space actors will increase further. The emerging space actors are made aware of the challenges before they enter the space domain, thereby helping them to become responsible users of space from the earth. Ms. Stacie Shurchay I think this is a very diverse and wonderful group, from which I have learned a lot. With new technologies and initiatives, the commercial base is very strong; it motivates the governmental base, and encourages us to continue to evolve our policies. Dr. Benjamin Reed First, I see the rate of cooperation increasing. It is a good thing that organizations—international, intergovernmental, commercial, and military—around the world come together at forums like this. Cooperation appears to be on the upslope. On the other hand, I also see that the space environment is deteriorating year by year, and the rate of collisions is not going down. Threats posed by debris are not going away, but the cooperation for addressing them is improving. I think the challenge for all of us in the future is what we should do to improve the situation. After hearing what I have heard these two days, I think we are on the right track, but it is going to take continued diligence on everyone’s part. I do have hope for the future. Professor Souichiro Kozuka Although SSA and long-term sustainability are very closely related to each other, they are not the same. Active debris removal (ADR) is not the same as either SSA or long-term sustainability. Therefore, my first point is that there are several topics that are related but are not equivalent. My second point is that the interests of the entities involved vary considerably. There are various interests of nations, space agencies, and the private sector, and services for such entities will be provided by something like international organizations and by private companies. International cooperation also varies: there are intergovernmental frameworks and voluntary organizations created by operators. Various interests are involved. Mr. Susumu Yoshitomi Thank you for your impressions of this two-day symposium. We have held the symposium on SSA three times, and have gained a favorable reputation and requests to continue to hold the symposium again, from both inside and outside of Japan. As a Summary of Discussions, I ask the panelists what they should do in the next phase of their 33 respective areas, from their perspective. In order from Dr. Marchisio, please. Dr. Marchisio said a while ago that the Report of TCBM was finalized, but the question remains how to implement it. So I ask Dr. Marchisio “What’s next?” Even if you only have a personal opinion, please tell us. Dr. Sergio Marchisio From the perspective of the European Union, the TCBMs mentioned in the GGE Report are non-legally binding, and some countries have expressed concern that such voluntary instruments are inherently fragile. However, it is my opinion that they may pave the way for the adoption of other kinds of measures once their effectiveness is proven and their practicability demonstrated. I think there has been a growing trend among nations to agree on the International Code of Conduct (ICoC), one of the initiatives; however, the ICoC is only one of the options. What will become of the ICoC outside the UN Framework? What should be done to streamline the process and rebrand to open-ended consultations? The ICoC is now at a critical juncture. Whether we can reach a successful conclusion or not, we have to ask for various opinions from various standpoints and consult with many third countries. In any case, it is important to note that any choice for the way forward should take into account the possible involvement of the UN, and in this line, the European Union should continue and intensify, together with other countries, such as Japan. I would conclude that the lessons of this symposium are that we need more international cooperation. Dr. Peter Martinez UNCOPUOS has been examined for the past two and a half years, and study is still ongoing. A course of action of the Working Group is now in the hands of the member states. Currently, 33 candidate guidelines are drafted, although some member states will propose additional guidelines or amendments for the guidelines. We will make efforts not to reduce them, and will have a draft for the June session of COPUOS. Finally, we will be looking at concluding the work in the June session of COPUOS next year. Then we will consider how this result should be released, either as a stand-alone General Assembly Resolution or as an annex to the COPUOS Report. We will then go into an implementation phase. In the future, GGE/TCBM and the Report on long-term sustainability may be linked together at UN level. Ms. Stacie Shurchay Though I am not able to relate details, the space unit of USTRATCOM will update some strategies. In addition to our commercial initiatives and agreements, we also work bilaterally with a number of countries and have signed five governmental agreements. We will also cooperate with countries that may not have space policy offices. 34 The JSpOC has a host of issues that it will be addressing in the future. We are looking forward to JMS, a newly introduced system. Dr. Benjamin Reed What is next for us can be addressed in two categories: legacy and future activities. Legacy projects are those we have done, that we continue to monitor in orbit. For that purpose, we continue to develop technologies. We will focus on rendezvous centers, algorithms, capture techniques, robotics, tools, high-speed computing, etc. to enable autonomous operations. From the viewpoint of de-orbit, I am interested to see what happens with the JAXA proposal for using the HTV vehicle with a tether for increased orbit decay. For future projects, I think having additional discussions at this level on cooperative servicing aids is the right course of action. Professor Souichiro Kozuka From the legal perspective on debris removal, I have two answers to the question. One is that only discussing an ideal system will result in only a dream. How to realize it on an international platform will be a problem. That is, where—for example, on UNCOPUOS, intergovernmental platforms, or private sector frameworks—it will be done and who take the leadership will remain questions. Another response, which can be a prerequisite for operational aspects, is that points of the problem have to be made clear. There are several entities studying, examining, and releasing legal frameworks for debris removal, and these should keep up dialogues to clarify points and reach consensus. In such situations, common understandings among lawyers, engineers, and policy-makers must be established. Mr. Susumu Yoshitomi Thank you. In our ADR session, how to make the space situation known to the public is mentioned. Mr. Ito mentioned the movie “Gravity.” Last year, in the 2nd symposium, Mr. Yukimura introduced his comic, “PLANETES,” in which the young protagonist works for debris removal in the 2060s–2070s. Many students who read it and had deep interest in outer space participated in the 2nd symposium. In a sense, public education in this area does not go well without international cooperation, as Dr. Marchisio said. Though it may be impertinent of us, a private foundation, we would like to offer an opportunity to tell the public about the space debris situation and to be helpful to the government of Japan in contributing to solve the space debris problem. As we hear various opinions on international cooperation from various standpoints in Japan, we held the 1st symposium two years ago, and this is now the 3rd. At the same time, the means of educating the public is also a big problem. Without public 35 understanding in Japan and other countries, activities to solve the problem through national budgeting will not be supported by the public. Thank you for participating in this Summary of Discussions. I hereby close this panel session. Closing Remarks Mr. Shogo Kitahara, President, Japan Space Forum I would like to express my appreciation to all of you for your enthusiastic discussion over the past two days. Thanks to your cooperation, we have completed all of our programs on schedule, and, acknowledging our panelists of the Closing Session, we have established a good reputation of fruitful discussion. All of our efforts in holding this symposium have been worthwhile. I believe this symposium can contribute to sustainable space development and use, from this point on. We at the Japan Space Forum will continue promoting our activity, and look forward to your continuous support. In closing, I sincerely thank the participants from Japan and abroad for their attendance and participation in spite of busy schedules, and I also thank our sponsors for their support. 36 3. Results of Questionnaires (1) Why did you register for this SSA symposium? I want to learn about the latest outer space activities. To hear about a future Japanese SSA system. I’m interested in peaceful use of outer space. To obtain information. I’m interested in the business of debris removal. For my studies. To staff our booth. (2) What is your overall impression of the SSA symposium’s Keynote Speeches and Special Report? Large parts of contents overlapped the contents of last year’s symposium, but some were new. I am doing debris removal-related work, and the symposium is very informative due to its multifaceted aspects, such as political and legal aspects. I look forward to the potential of SSA activities undertaken by the private sector. Too much weight is given to discussion on TCBM. I think it is because the US Departments of State and Defense are focused on this. Why don’t you shift direction gradually? I have no clear ideas on this, but perhaps the risk for LTS could be re-examined and there could be reporting on countermeasures, for example. I couldn’t understand the technical terms, but the session on ADR was very interesting. I intend to consider measures to prevent and address space debris in further detail. The approach to ADR from the commercial sector’s point of view is fresh to me. I think the debris problem is linked to security issues. It is necessary to have opportunities to make it known to, to educate, and share it with people concerned with outer space. I expect such opportunities. (Not only should some groups be aware of these problems, but also the general public.) Hearing Keynote Speeches by the Ministries of Foreign Affairs and Defense of Japan and Department of Defense of the United States, I now understand their ways of thinking. I wanted to get handouts of the speeches, if possible. Through the presentations, I can learn about the ways of thinking by various countries. It was helpful to my understanding to hear an outline of SSA. I learned that the preservation of the space environment must be a high priority in this age, as it is very important to outer space use over the long term. I also learned that international cooperation and a common understanding is required to conserve the space environment, although respective nations may have different intentions about its use. Discussions were considerably international and political, and were useful to deepen my 37 general education. I learned much about subject matter that is not addressed in depth in my university classes. The Symposium had substantial merit, although discussion was less enthusiastic than last year’s. I was not able to understand Panels 1 and 2 of the first day because they were vague. Moderators should stimulate the panels. It is regrettable that the panels finished early, even though the panelists made special efforts to convene. (3) What is your overall impression of the SSA symposium’s Panel Discussions? ADR by the private sector is very interesting; I am developing a deep interest in space ventures. I had read of the symposium in the program, and came to hear the panel on ADR in particular. In the panel discussions in which private sector representatives took part, I was pleased to hear their opinions, which I seldom hear. I benefitted from learning about details of SDA in Panel 5. Such graphical information is useful. I noted with interest that SSA is started in earnest in the United States and other countries. I was interested to hear about the way Japan handles SSA. I was intrigued by the concept that space is a global commons. I think that a guiding principle common to the world is required. Is the United Nations working on this? Presentations in which speakers only read their manuscripts to the audience should be improved. Slides with small fonts were difficult to understand. I hope that speakers will improve their presentation skills. A lecture with poor presentation should be withdrawn from the program. Although my knowledge of the topics is not in-depth, I learned a lot. I came to the symposium in the middle, and I could not find a simultaneous interpretation receiver. Presentations by SDA and AGI were interesting. I think the introduction of Himawari by SED was off the topic of the symposium. It is regrettable that the focus on SSA became blurred. The lecture by Professor Kozuka in Panel 4 (ADR) was very interesting. I was interested in the viewpoint on the direction of laws concerning international debris removal. China has debris satellites in GEO, and I think that a law to enable removal of these satellites is needed. The moderators’ skills were reflected in their management of the Panels, which was not 38 good. (4) Please write freely what you think of the SSA symposium as a whole. Thank you for holding the symposium and letting me know about it. This is the third time I have participated in the symposium. Excellent summary reports were published last year, and the year before. By publishing the reports every year, there will be good material to inform about the circumstances of SSA in Japan. I expect this report will also be published this year. I thank those who summarize and edit the report. I feel the symposium was somewhat incongruous, because too much weight was given to TCBM. I agree with Professor Kozuka’s opinion in Summary of Discussions that TCBM and TLE removal are alike, but different. The uniqueness of the symposium will become clear if it is differentiated from other debris-related symposia by specializing in SSA. If LTS is the theme of the symposium, a broader discussion is expected. I hope the symposium will be continued. In spite of the available screen and OHP, only a limited number of speakers used them. I guess participants gathered only in Day 1, since there were no Keynote Speeches on Day 2. Simultaneous interpretation was better than that of last year. I am glad that I was able to hear various opinions from different viewpoints. I hope that materials in which the points of the lectures are summarized will be handed out. Is this possible, or are they classified? I am glad to have this rare opportunity to hear lectures by foreign VIPs. I understood the worldwide problems of space use. I noticed that JAXA’s status has changed. I want to hear more technical discussion, such as the questions by a JAXA engineer. My curiosity was stimulated by lectures and questions by speakers I rarely see. Because the period from February to March is usually the end of the fiscal year in Japan, there are many people who want to participate in the symposium, but are busy and cannot. I wish that their circumstances could be considered. It would be wonderful if participants and panelists from China and India could take part in the symposium. Why not address more concrete activities of SSA? The contents didn’t fit the theme. Professor Kozuka of Gakushuin University pointed this out in the last panel discussion, and I quite agree with him. It would be better for the symposium to concentrate on specific points. 39 4. Summary I would like to express my appreciation to all our guests, speakers, panelists, and a total of 400 participants for your invaluable contributions to this third symposium, which lasted two days, and is now successfully concluded. We are especially grateful to Mr. Ichita Yamamoto (Minister of State for Space Policy), Mr. Yoshiya Muto (Councillor, National Security Secretariat, Cabinet Secretariat), Mr. Jun Shimmi (Ambassador in charge of UN Affairs and Ambassador in charge of Cyber Policy, Deputy Director-General, Foreign Policy Bureau, Ministry of Foreign Affairs), Mr. Keisuke Isogai (Deputy Director-General, Research and Development Bureau, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology), and Mr. Jota Yamamoto (Director General for International Affairs, Bureau of Defense Policy, Ministry of Defense) for participating in an international symposium held by a private organization, and giving their guest speeches in spite of their busy schedules in the session of the Diet. We also thank the Keynote speakers, Mr. Junya Nishimoto (Director-General, Office of National Space Policy, Cabinet Office), Mr. Frank A. Rose (Deputy Assistant Secretary for Space and Defense Policy, Bureau of Arms Control, Verification and Compliance, US Department of State, USA), Mr. Douglas Loverro (Deputy Assistant Secretary for Space Policy, Office of the Under Secretary Defense for Policy, US Department of Defense, USA), Dr. Yasushi Horikawa (Chairman of United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space), and Dr. Masanori Homma (Executive Chief Engineer, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency), as well as Ms. Jeanne Unemori Skog (President & CEO, Maui Economic Development Board, USA), who presented a Special Report on the AMOS Conference, which cooperates with our symposium in Maui. This year we adopted a format of panel discussions, and held lectures and discussions by invited specialists in respective areas as follows: Panel 1: International Code of Conduct and the Long-term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities Panel 2: United Nations Group of Governmental Experts on Transparency and Confidence-Building Measures (UN-GGE/TCBM) Panel 3: Possible Global SSA Networking Cooperation Panel 4: Active Debris Removal (ADR) Panel 5: Commercial Space Activity and its SSA It was reported that EU-led discussions on the International Code of Conduct were conducted with many countries outside the UN framework, and that the Code will be finalized in 2014, although problems resulting from the fact that the Code is not being 40 formulated within the UN framework were indicated. It was also reported that, concerning long-term sustainability of outer space activities, best practice guidelines have been discussed in Group A (sustainable space utilization), Group B (SSA), Group C (space weather), and Group D (regulatory regimes) under the Science and Technology Subcommittee (STSC) at UN COPUOS, and will be finalized in a year. The Report concerning transparency and confidence-building measures (TCBMs) was finalized by the Group of Governmental Experts, reported to the UN Secretary-General, and introduced in the UN General Assembly. Cooperation in the global SSA network has been continuously promoted, led by JSpOC of the United States Air Force. This is the first time this symposium discussed active debris removal (ADR). Although ADR is expected to be the only measure to prevent the debris environment from worsening and to improve it, both technology development and consensus on legal frameworks are needed. This symposium provided an overview of the present state of efforts for them in Japan and the world. ADR is an important topic to be addressed, from this point on. In addition, although the actual status of commercial outer space activities are rarely brought to center stage because they can be closely related to business management, the private sector’s expectations of public organizations, such as the United Nations and the governments of the various nations of the world, were revealed. In the first symposium, held the year before last, expectations for Japan’s presence in the SSA area were expressed by the Western participants. To respond to these expectations, last year we held the second symposium with invited representatives from emerging spacefaring nations in Asia, and focused on the necessity of global SSA activity. In Japan, the new Basic Plan for Space Policy was established in January of last year, substantially incorporating the importance of SSA activity, as compared to the old Basic Plan. As a result, various efforts around SSA activity have been initiated and carried out in the Office of National Space Policy (Cabinet Office), Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, and Ministry of Defense. In particular, investigations commissioned by the Office of National Space Policy and Ministry of Defense concerning the construction of Japan’s future SSA system by the private sector and a budget request for 2015 are being examined at the governmental level. As an organizer of the symposium, it is the greatest of all delights that such activities in the government have been advancing along the direction we originally set our sights on, indicating that the phase of investigation and discussion is about to shift to the next phase of implementation. 41 5. Acknowledgments This symposium was funded by Infrastructure Development Program for Promoting International Scientific and Technological Cooperation in FY2013. It is not necessary to point out that the space debris problem is one of our national challenges. We thank the Japan Science and Technology Agency again for meeting the challenge to address this problem and for adopting our proposal in spite of the fact that we are a private organization. This symposium could not have been a success without the cooperation of our guests, including Mr. Ichita Yamamoto, who also participated last year, and key government officials, including the Councillor of National Security Secretariat (NSS), Cabinet Secretariat, who participated for the first time, and speakers both from Japan and abroad. We are deeply grateful to them. We also thank the Office of National Space Policy of the Cabinet Office; the Ministry of Foreign Affairs; the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology; the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry; the Ministry of Defense; and the Society of Japanese Aerospace Companies for their support. In addition, we thank the following eleven industry sponsors for their help in holding the symposium, networking reception and facility tour: Analytical Graphics Inc.; Fujitsu Limited; High-Reliability Engineering & Components Corporation; IHI AEROSPACE Co., Ltd.; IHI Corporation; LSAS Tec Co., Ltd.; Mitsubishi Electric Corporation; Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd.; NEC Corporation; NEC TOSHIBA Space Systems, Ltd.; and SKY Perfect JSAT Corporation. We also thank the Society of Japanese Aerospace Companies for its help with publishing activity connected to the symposium. Last, we thank members of the Program Advisory Committee: Dr. Susumu Toda (Chair of the Committee; Former Executive Director of JAXA), Dr. Setsuko Aoki (Professor, Faculty of Policy Management, Keio University), Dr. Toru Sato (Professor of Graduate School of Informatics, Kyoto University), Dr. Kazuto Suzuki (Professor of International Politics at Graduate School of Law, Hokkaido University), and Dr. Atsushi Sunami (Associate Professor of National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies) for appropriate instructions and advice. We also thank AAA communications Inc. and affiliated companies for support behind the scenes. This program was conducted under the auspices of the following organizational structure: General manager Shogo Kitahara Operational manager Susumu Yoshitomi 42 Planning Invitation Accounting Publication Operations Operations Operations Operations Sadao Aoki Takeshi Shiraishi Mineko Saitoh Yasuo Fusejima Yoshinori Kobayashi Nobukazu Ohnishi Tomohito Narita Tomoko Enoki 43 Published on March 2014 Prepared by Japan Space Forum Shin-Ochanomizu Urban Trinity Bldg. 2F 3-2-1, Kandasurugadai, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 101-0062 Japan URL: http://www.jsforum.or.jp/ Printing and binding: MICHIWA SHOHKOH CO., LTD. For inquiries, please contact us at: Department of Science and Applications, Japan Space Forum Tel: 03-6206-4903 Fax: 03-5296-7010 (C) 2014 Japan Space Forum No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise.
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