Energy Link Ltd Hydro Watch 31/10/2014 Issue: 915 Date: Thursday, 30 October 2014 A weekly summary relating to New Zealand hydro storage and inflows. Compiled by Energy Link Ltd. Storage Summary South Island South Island Controlled Uncontrolled South Island North Island Total Taupo Total Storage Current Storage (GWh) 1178 507 1685 363 2047 Storage Change (GWh) 8 -55 -47 23 -24 Note: SI Controlled; Tekapo, Pukaki and Hawea: SI Uncontrolled; Manapouri, Te Anau, Wanaka, Wakatipu Transpower Security of Supply South Island North Island New Zealand Current Storage (GWh) 1585 363 1947 Note: These figures are provided to align with Transpower's Security of Supply information. However due to variances in generation efficiencies and timing, storage may not exactly match Transpower's figures. New Zealand Summary Total storage decreased 23.8 GWh over the last week. South Island controlled storage increased 0.7% to 1178 GWh; South Island uncontrolled storage decreased 9.8% to 507 GWh; with Taupo storage increasing 6.7% to 363 GWh. New Zealand Storage and Inflow Summary 4500 2000 4000 1750 G 1500 3000 1250 2500 1000 2000 750 1500 Inflows (GWh) Storage (GWh) 3500 500 1000 250 500 0 0 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Month Taupo Inflows (2014/15) South Island 2013/14 Waikato 2013/14 New Zealand Storage (2014/15) Average SI Storage (9/10-13/14) Date: Thursday, 30 October 2014 Manapouri Storage (GWh) This Week 407 Last Week 442 % Change -8.1% Inflow (GWh) This Week Last Week % Change Ph 03-479 2475 68 162 -58.0% South Island inflows (2014/15) South Island 2014/15 Waikato 2014/15 New Zealand Storage (2013/14) Clutha Waitaki Waikato NZ 207 222 -6.8% 1071 1067 0.4% 363 340 6.7% 2047 2071 -1.1% 46 106 -56.8% 105 154 -31.7% 64 64 -0.4% 283 487 -41.8% 1 Level 4, Consultancy House, 7 Bond Street, P.O.Box 478, Dunedin Operat Energy Link Ltd Hydro Watch 31/10/2014 Lake Levels and Outflows Catchment Manapouri Clutha Waitaki Waikato Lake Level Storage Outflow Manapouri Te Anau Wakatipu Wanaka Hawea Tekapo Pukaki Taupo (m. asl) 178.15 202.67 309.85 277.18 340.96 705.10 524.53 356.74 (GWh) 135 271 45 55 107 286 785 363 (cumecs) 17 177 196 18 Outflow Change -91 -8 -17 1 Inflow Summary The two charts below represent where current inflows are in relation to historic inflow patterns. The percentile values have been calculated using all inflows since 1931. South Island Inflows - The past four weeks of S. I. inflows rank as the 35th driest on record. South Island Inflow Percentile Data 4 week running average 1000 99%ile 900 95%ile GWh 800 700 75%ile 600 Median 500 25%ile 400 5%ile 300 200 1%ile 100 4week inflow 0 Month North Island Inflows - The past four weeks of N. I. inflows rank as the 20th driest on record. North Island Inflow Percentile Data 4 week running average 140 99%ile GWh 120 95%ile 100 75%ile 80 Median 25%ile 60 5%ile 40 1%ile 20 4week inflow 0 Month Waikato System Ph 03-479 2475 2 Level 4, Consultancy House, 7 Bond Street, P.O.Box 478, Dunedin Energy Link Ltd Hydro Watch 31/10/2014 Waikato System Lake Taupo Levels and Inflows 357.50 250 357.00 200 356.50 150 356.00 100 Minimum Lake 355.50 50 355.00 Inflows (GWh) Lake level (m) Maximum Lake 0 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Month Taupo Inflows (2014/15) 2011/12 2014/15 2009/10 2012/13 Average 2010/11 2013/14 Maximum Lake Levels Lake Levels - Lake Taupo storage increased to 63.5% of nominal full at 363 GWh. Inflows - Inflows remained steady at 64 GWh. Generation - Average generation decreased 2.5% to 296.1 MW. Tekapo Lake Tekapo Levels and Inflows 712 220 200 Maximum Lake level 710 180 160 140 120 706 100 80 704 60 40 702 Minimum Lake level Inflows (GWh) Lake Level (m) 708 20 700 0 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Month Tekapo Inflows (2014/15) 2011/12 2014/15 Minimum Lake Levels 2009/10 2012/13 Average (Last 5 Years) 2010/11 2013/14 Maximum Lake Levels Lake Levels - Lake Tekapo ended the week 39.6% nominally full with storage increasing to 286 GWh. Inflows - Inflows into tekapo decreased 11% to 49 GWh. Generation - Average Tekapo generation increased 10.9% to 63.1 MW. Hydro Spill - Lake Tekapo did not spill. Waitaki System Ph 03-479 2475 3 Level 4, Consultancy House, 7 Bond Street, P.O.Box 478, Dunedin Energy Link Ltd Hydro Watch 31/10/2014 Waitaki System Lake Pukaki Levels and Pukaki/Ohau Inflows 535 240 533 220 Maximum Lake level 200 531 180 160 527 140 525 120 523 100 80 521 60 519 Inflows (GWh) Lake Level (m) 529 40 Minimum Lake level 517 20 515 0 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Month 2009/10 2012/13 Average (Last 5 Years) Pukaki/Ohau Inflows (2014/15) 2011/12 2014/15 Minimum Lake Levels Mar Apr 2010/11 2013/14 Maximum Lake Levels Lake Levels - Lake Pukaki ended the week 44.1% nominally full with storage falling to 785 GWh. Inflows - Inflows into the Waitaki System decreased 43.4% to 56 GWh. Generation - Average Waikati generation decreased 19.3% to 636.3 MW. Hydro Spill - Lake Pukaki did not spill. River Flows - Flows from the Ahuriri River fell to 22.89 cumecs while Waitaki River flows were lower than last week averaging 280.16 cumecs. Clutha System 347 and Inflows 34 32 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Maximum Lake level 345 Lake Level (m) 343 341 339 Normal Minimum Lake 337 Emergency Minimum Lake Level 335 333 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Inflows (GWh) Lake Hawea Levels Apr Month Hawea Inflows (2014/15) 2011/12 2014/15 Ph 03-479 2475 2009/10 2012/13 Average (Last 5 Years) 4 2010/11 2013/14 Maximum Lake Levels Level 4, Consultancy House, 7 Bond Street, P.O.Box 478, Dunedin Energy Link Ltd Hydro Watch 31/10/2014 Lake Levels - Total storage for the Clutha System decreased 6.8% to 207 GWh. Lakes Hawea, Wanaka and Wakatipu ended the week 36.1%, 47.7% and 42.9% nominally full respectively. Inflows - Total Inflows into the Clutha System 56.8% lower at 46 GWh. Generation - Average generation was 11.5% lower at 436 MW. Hydro Spill - The was no estimated spill River Flows - Total outflows from the lakes and Shotover River fell to 436.7 cumecs. This comprised of 18 cumecs from Lake Hawea, 196 cumecs from Lake Wanaka, 177 cumecs from Lake Wakatipu and 46 cumecs from the Shotover River. Lake Wanaka Levels and Inflows 279 100 90 80 70 60 277 50 40 30 276 Inflows (GWh) Lake Level (m) 278 20 10 275 0 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Month Wanaka Inflows (2014/15) 2011/12 2009/10 2012/13 2010/11 2013/14 Lake Wakatipu Levels and Inflows 311 100 90 80 70 310.2 60 50 309.8 40 30 309.4 Inflows (GWh) Lake Level (m) 310.6 20 10 309 0 Apr May Jun Jul Wakatipu Inflows (2014/15) 2011/12 2014/15 Ph 03-479 2475 Aug Sep Oct Nov Month 2009/10 2012/13 Average (Last 5 Years) 5 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr 2010/11 2013/14 Level 4, Consultancy House, 7 Bond Street, P.O.Box 478, Dunedin Energy Link Ltd Hydro Watch 31/10/2014 Manapouri System Lake Manapouri Levels and Manapouri/Te Anau Inflows ober 2014 180 400 179.5 360 320 179 178.5 280 178 240 177.5 200 160 177 Lower Operating Level 176.5 120 176 80 175.5 40 Inflows (GWh) Lake Level (m) Upper Operating Level 0 175 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Month Manapouri/Te Anau Inflows(2014/15) 2011/12 2014/15 Lower Operating Level 2009/10 2012/13 Average 2010/11 2013/14 Upper Operating Level Lake Levels - Total storage for the Manapouri System decreased 8.1% to 407 GWh with Lake Manapouri ending the week 83.3% nominally full and Lake Te Anau ending the week 98.5% nominally full. Inflows - Total inflows into the Manapouri System decreased 58% to 68 GWh. Generation - Average generation was 6% higher at 614 MW. Hydro Spill - Estimated spill at the Mararoa Weir was 17.3 cumecs. Operating Range - Lakes Manapouri and Te Anau are operating in the upper end of their repective 'Main operating range'. Lake Te Anau Levels 204 203 Lake Level (m) Upper Operating Level 202 Lower Operating 201 200 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Month 2009/10 2012/13 Average Ph 03-479 2475 2010/11 2013/14 Upper Operating Level 6 2011/12 2014/15 Lower Operating Level Level 4, Consultancy House, 7 Bond Street, P.O.Box 478, Dunedin
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