Report from the GOT IA Technology Conference in Florence, April 8-10, 2014 IEA’s Gas & Oil Technologies Implementing Agreement GOT Florence Technology Conference April 8-10, 2014 Background GOT is a forum where innovative ideas can be fostered, shared and leveraged, to prepare the ground for wider cooperation in areas such as joint development of new technology where challenges are steep and properly qualified capabilities are limited. According to the most recent estimate from the IEA World Energy Outlook Investment Study, more than US $ 850 Billion will be invested annually to secure and sustain global gas & oil supply over the next 20 years; Even a modest 0,5 % spending in R&D implies that more than $ 85 Billion will have to be directed and prioritized during this timeframe into equipment developers, laboratories, universities and research establishments which are stretched on resources and capacity even today – a situation that calls for open innovation to distribute the work load and collaboration to avoid inventing the wheel multiple times. The GOT spring technology conference was held April 8-10, 2014 at the GE Learning Center in Florence, Italy. The overall purpose of the conference was to identify the major challenges throughout the gas & oil value chain as seen from the perspective of the stakeholders and so set the agenda for future research efforts. There were approximately 60 participants from countries such as USA, China, Australia, Italy, Germany, Switzerland, Spain, Netherlands, and Norway – representing governments, companies, universities, research institutes and other stakeholders. A list of attendees can be found in the appendix. GOT as a network will utilize the convening power of IEA to facilitate open discussions and idea exchange between stakeholders across traditional dividing lines, for instance informal debate to illuminate possible consequences of new regulations, opportunities for technology transfer between industries, and needs and gaps to make step changes and disruptive innovation in the oil & gas industry happen. Looking back, the industry has seen major transformations occurring in steps like for example: Exploration successes in the 1980’s and 90’s resulting from novel methods for harvesting marine 3D seismic and sharing data New field development options emerging from diverless subsea production systems for large water depths tied back to FPSO’s using flexible production risers Advanced well architecture with horizontal and multilateral wells as well as open hole completions offering maximum reservoir contact. A few examples can be highlighted to illustrate some of the challenges the industry is facing. Subsea satellites tied back to a field center (“hub”) is the preferred field development option in many cases; e.g. in deepwater and remote areas. Now that ‘$100 is the new $20’, the commerciality of such prospects is threatened. The rising costs strike hard in particular in two areas; wells and tie-back. 1 Report from the GOT IA Technology Conference in Florence, April 8-10, 2014 The tie-back cost of a satellite development will, as a first approximation, be proportional to tie-back distance. Until now, tie-back distances are most commonly between 5 and 20 km but can be extended up to 40 km for oil, or up to 200 km for gas. Traditional technologies for flow assurance like chemical injection and regeneration, heat tracing, circulation with stabilized oil, and so forth, put practical and economic limits to reach. However, emerging technologies like the subsea factory concept, cold flow, all-electric systems, etc, open up for tiebacks of longer distances. These solutions also offer ways to cut cost, especially if dual, hi-alloy pipelines and complex umbilicals for hydraulic power and chemicals can be replaced by a single, carbon steel pipeline, simple power supply, and fiber optic control. Well cost has typically been 1/3 of the CAPEX breakdown, but is now rapidly approaching ½. Starting with a hole the size of a small “tunnel” at the seafloor, the drilling and completion process ends up with a 2-3 inch “straw” into the reservoir. One basic question that could be raised is why we have to dig out 50 times more rock than we need for the actual production tubing itself. Another aspect determining the cost of a deep-water well (close $ 100 Million) is the duration of the drilling, essentially driven by ROP (Rate of Penetration) and the various ‘flat spots’ along the Depth vs Time progress curve, caused by tripping, waiting on weather, and a variety of other elements of unproductivity. For example, one operator made the observation that drilling downtime caused by regulatory testing of the Blowout Preventer (BOP) alone accounts for annual costs of more than $ 5 Billion. The purpose of the testing is to ensure that the BOP will work as intended when called upon, however it can be argued that testing perhaps does more damage than good and that a ‘smart BOP’ with a complete suite of condition monitoring and diagnosis would be a better system with reduced downtime, given that operators, regulators, equipment manufacturers and drilling contractors align objectives and incentives. Thus moving from a “break fix” mentality to a predictive maintenance and repair mentality, enhances safety and reduces downtime and cost. Of course there are physical and practical reasons why we do what we do, the point being that we should be ready to question these traditions and practices in order to think out of the box, set stretched goals and help nurture and incubate new technology ideas. Work sessions within the Technology Target Areas The Work in GOT is structured according to five Technology Target Areas (TTAs): • • • • • Subsurface, Exploration, Enhanced Recovery Drilling and Wells Production and Processing Safer and Cleaner Hydrocarbons Gas Value Chain Group work sessions were held within each task area. The participants were encouraged to bring an open mindset into the group work and keep focused on a few key challenges within their Technology Task Area, while also considering collaboration across areas (ref illustration). Some common concepts and terminologies were established – roadmap definition, tech gaps driven by business needs, technology readiness levels, etc. The groups were reminded to look for challenges and solutions related to reducing cost as well as enabling new field development and enhancing production. The outcome of the work sessions is highlighted in the below table. 2 Report from the GOT IA Technology Conference in Florence, April 8-10, 2014 The discussions and outcome from the work sessions are reflected in more detail in the following. Table: An overview of the key challenges identified within each task area. Subsurface & EOR EOR – why is it not happening? Incentives, barriers Technology transfer from unconventional to conventional Technology to harness heavy offshore oil needed Drilling & Wells Production & Processing Safer & Cleaner Hydrocarbons Regulations can be improved based on fact-based dialog with stakeholders Contracts optimized throughout the value chain with correct incentives BOP testing is time consuming and costly High cost – $100=$20 Keep the hydrocarbons contained in its envelope Continuous improvement needed for better HSE performance Maximize synergies between energy sources Open innovation and acceleration needed Common testing and qualification of novel concepts Gas Value Chain Pipeline infrastructure technically challenging Economics for investments, gas competitiveness, etc. Multinational regulations to be coordinated and synchronized Multidisciplinary challenges – CCUS, boosting, … TTA 1 – Subsurface & EOR New technology can add value in all aspects of the subsurface domain – discover, image, model, extract; building a robust reserve base and be positioned to capture reservoir upside. The group put up the question: Why is EOR not happening more today? All agree that EOR is the right thing to do. The days of ‘reap and run’ are over. Your next field development is at your doorstep, by “squeezing the lemon” of existing fields. The question is – how. A number of actions/remedies have to come about in order to stimulate EOR. Full scale experimentation with the reservoir is costly and risky. Oil companies should look for ways to share cost, risk, results and data. Joint field tests involving oil companies, service companies as well as governmental bodies should be encouraged. Operators should have a plan for early implementation of IOR and EOR at FID and sanction. Certain EOR methods should be combined to achieve greater effect, e.g. de-salinated water and polymer injection. A common qualification scheme among operators would help taking technology transfer and learning points from one field to the next. An international EOR-prize offering prestige and recognition would be a strong motivator for teams in oil companies. Even so, it is a fundamental problem that the business environment does not incentivize EOR – in fact on the contrary: increased unit cost per barrel is not well received in the stock market. The regulatory bodies could take a more active role, by establishing world-wide common requirements and regulations and by encouraging common equipment ‘plug & play’ standards. Governments should use national research programs to increase funding for technology development & implementation and target specific areas for international collaboration. Tax & regulations should be used actively to stimulate EOR. The lack of a common qualification scheme and standardized methods of reservoir surveillance and verification is a barrier to EOR implementation. The efficiency of pilots & full field experience must be judged against a baseline which in most cases does not exist. Furthermore, the industry should collaborate to develop more cost effective and efficient methods with minimum environmental footprint. 3 Report from the GOT IA Technology Conference in Florence, April 8-10, 2014 Considering how the introduction of hydraulic well stimulation (fracking) of tight shale has completely transformed the onshore gas and oil industry in North America, the group discussed what can be done to transfer this technology to the conventional domain (and vice versa). Obviously, there is a case for looking at well & completion solutions with respect to regulations & requirements as well as standardization and ‘mass production’ as opposed to the conventional one-off well designs. On the same note, one should consider secondary recovery mechanisms in tight oil with respect to reservoir characterization and modelling, reservoir surveillance, process understanding etc. EOR of Offshore Heavy Oil fields (e.g. Captain, Mariner/Bressay, etc.) offer specific challenges to the industry. More cost effective chemicals (conventional and bio-degradable) and process technology need to be developed. Handling of separated water from heavy oil production is a specific HSE concern. Further topics “on the horizon” include multidisciplinary challenges to achieve sustainable production. CCS so far has not been a complete success in offshore applications. Going forward, geoscientists and process engineers should join forces to improve concepts to integrate CCS and EOR into CCUS: Carbon Capture, Use and Storage. The group passes over a challenge to the Drilling and Wells (TTA2) group to set the direction for development of Maximum Reservoir Contact Wells, and to the Production and Processing (TTA3) group to develop Seafloor Processing: separate out water as early as possible in the flowpath to free up capacity and reduce backpressure, add energy with pumping and compression to draw down pressure and extend reach. Finally, Integrated Reservoir Monitoring should be developed to the stage where all relevant information needed to make the right decisions on reservoir and production performance is brought back to decisionmakers in Real Time. As a final message to the Executive Committee, the group recommended to clarify the vision of GOT, to bring in more operators and service companies, and to work on “Incentives for operators” in terms of e.g. common environmental regulations, governmental funding for technology development programs, tax incentives, and common qualification schemes. TTA 2 – Drilling & Wells The group stated that decisions related to the drilling process are based on perception of required compliance to regulations and legacy standards, instead of fact based and unbiased cost/risk analysis. GOT could help facilitate an overall dialog between regulators, industry, and stakeholders where the industry can support regulators to properly understand risk management. On the company side, work processes are too stringent, bureaucratic and counterproductive, although motivated by “safety first”. Some case studies should help to illuminate the problem. The industry suffers from lack of overall alignment of objectives. Asset management, Engineering, Operations, Contracting departments etc in oil companies should work jointly to understand the problem, then implement in revised compensation formats (incentives) that ensure maximum performance. Specifically, BOP testing is too time consuming and costly as discussed above. Standards for BOP testing needs to be revisited, and the mindset should move from preventive to predictive maintenance. BOP manufacturers can implement instrumentation and real-time monitoring of whole system incl. fluids, valves, plumbing etc, with a long term view of designing a BOP without fluids… TTA 3 – Production & Processing 4 Report from the GOT IA Technology Conference in Florence, April 8-10, 2014 The group set out as success criteria to draft “World Technology Outlook” for Gas & Oil yet to find + resources to reserves, addressing overall CAPEX needed for developing new capacity and replace old and set stretched targets for technology development and qualification. GOT should propose a “strategic R&D agenda” to set direction for national industrial research programs, and fund its first launch project within the next 12 months. One specific project suggestion was to invite an international bid for RDTQ&D (Research, development, tech qualification and demonstration) infrastructure – “The Game Change Accelerator” for full scale testing. In the same time frame, GOT should have as an ambition to recruit 10 new countries, 10 operators, etc and engage with API, SPE, DeepStar and other established committees and organizations. The technology focus should be how to bring challenging field development targets “into the money” – HPHT, Ultra-deep, pre-salt, Arctic, etc. Subsea processing, robotics, migrating deepwater back to shallow water applications were mentioned specifically. The group underlined the importance of engaging with standardization committees in order to set the agenda. Open innovation must be put into operation – complex systems like the Subsea Factory need open interfaces so innovators can engage and interact. The ultimate goal should be zero surface facilities, putting fewer persons at risk and avoiding visual contamination. TTA 4 - Safer & Cleaner Hydrocarbons How is it possible to add value beyond what already is taking place? A key ingredient in such value creation is to raise the level of awareness within the area, followed by sharing of ideas and information amongst stakeholders on best practice, lessons learned and case studies within the constraints of anti-trust and intellectual property rights issues. With less access to hydrocarbon fields the question is if we can and should explore and develop in more remote, possibly more environmentally fragile, areas, such as the Arctic. Regulatory work needs to be accelerated and the policy makers need to have better understanding of the industry. A major challenge within the task area is to “keep the hydrocarbons contained in its envelope,” i.e. ensure safety and prevent/stop spills and leaks, also including flaring, venting, fugitive methane. Technical integrity management including overall assessment of the infrastructure, monitoring of performance, technical conditions, flow, cost etc of aging infrastructure is necessary. HSE performance and management should be improved with a “continuous improvement” mindset, i.e. Kaizen. This includes transfer of safety culture from offshore to onshore as well as continuous focus on safety and environmental critical elements and activities. Greater transparency is needed when it comes to actual HSE performance of the industry and a much higher degree of global sharing of methods and training programs. Prescriptive approaches should be replaced with risk based approaches. The future energy use will not derive from few but rather many different sources into an energy mix. In this context, a holistic process perspective is needed when it comes to emissions/pollutions. A complete Life Cycle Analysis (LCAs) is warranted along with understanding the environmental footprints of the energy sources. TTA 5 - Gas Value Chain The work group consisted of members from the Dutch government, JOGMEC, Repsol, GTI, TNO as well as Hobre. The main areas of concern expressed by the group was that there is a need for an integrated energy grid, for alternative gas supply, and increasing future demand for gas. 5 Report from the GOT IA Technology Conference in Florence, April 8-10, 2014 An integrated energy grid will enable different energy sources to co-exist, including renewables. Gas needs to be positioned as an element of a reliable and low cost energy system to be distributed in the right quantity for economy of scale. The technical challenges discussed were partial loading, multi-directional distribution of energy, integrity issues, the varying compositions of gas as well as creating viable systems and equipment to monitor and control the flow. From an economic standpoint, feasible concepts to store energy are needed. Competitiveness of gas (e.g. to coal) is currently an issue. Base load cost needs to be lower. Centralized vs decentralized infrastructure does not have guidelines as of yet. Furthermore, regulations need to be aligned to the market structure and balanced between multiple regimes. Another issue revolved around how to effectively integrate and support other gas resources into the gas value chain. Exchange of best practice and knowledge transfer from unconventional E&P should be encouraged. Technical challenges in regards to pollution, environment, waterless fracking, emissions and energy efficiency need to be looked at. General aspects around resources, e.g. stranded resources and unconventionals (shale gas, tight gas, hydrates, sour gas, CBM) are of importance, the economics of alternative gas supply needs to be sound, development of unconventional sources worldwide to meet the demand for future gas supply needs to be planned, setting up regulations for global operations in regards to safety and environment have to be in place and finally the issue of renewable types of gas need to be considered, e.g. bio-gas and hydrogen. To name a few of the technical gaps, there is a limited understanding of geology, deep-sea mining technology, a lack of access to robust transmission infrastructure and limited experience, knowledge, and risk assessment ability in general. In terms of HSE gaps, water management becomes an increased focus point with the growth of fracking activities. There is a call for a decrease of environmental footprint and risks in general. Finally, looking at the economic gaps, there is a misalignment of business drivers between regions/countries, an unknown cost for setting up the required upstream to downstream infrastructure, the economies of scale are not really known when it comes to new unconventional projects, and there is an increased cost of drilling and production in general. The last major area looked at within the task area is on how to support the role of natural gas in the future energy mix, i.e. building future demand. New applications are needed, e.g. natural gas as a fuel for transportation – e.g. barges, trucks, trains. One also needs to consider regulations on e.g. maritime transport emissions and general environmental issues. Gas needs to be economical and available. From a technical point of view, composition standards and compatibility are of importance, along with the need for new types of infrastructure, e.g. S2S, fueling infrastructure. s HSE gaps include the need to set up safety management culture for new LNG diversification, evaluate environmental benefits, and changing perceptions on emissions, and global warming. From a regulatory standpoint, standardization and international regulation implementation should be compulsory. Finally, there is an economic gap, when it comes to cost effective infrastructure (thus effecting gas price), taxation issues, and incentives along with a need to set up more deeply developed spot markets/changes on oil-indexation. Conclusion The GOT dialogue in Florence was a significant step forward in creating a global vision. On the basis of the contributions of the international stakeholders, progress towards a unique strategic vision is being made. Future consolidated GOT activities as well as the independent efforts of the task area participants will help achieve the goal of safer, more sustainable and more efficient development of the world’s resources through collaborative technology, policy and regulatory consideration. 6 Report from the GOT IA Technology Conference in Florence, April 8-10, 2014 Appendix List of attendees. Name Affiliation Country Andrea Mescoli BREDA ENERGIA SPA ITALY Arnar Kristjansson GE Oil & Gas Norway Arne Graue University of Bergen Norway Art Schroeder Energy Valley, Inc. USA LOTOS Petrobaltic S.A. Artur Sowinski Poland Bas van den Beemt TNO Netherlands Ben Ratner Environmental Defense Fund USA Camilla Vavik Pedersen Statoil Norway Cyril Widdershoven TNO Netherlands Daniela Abate GE Oil & Gas Italy Dario Salvadori SAFE SRL Italy Davide Micalella GE Oil & Gas Italy Dr. Jon Steinar Gudmundsson NTNU Norway Enrico Savoldi TECHINT COMPAGNIA TECNICA INTERNAZIONALE SPA ITALY Enrique Palomino Moreno-Manzanaro FERTIBERIA, SA SPAIN Fabio Filocamo Ministry of Universitites and Industrial Research Italy Francesca Casucci GE Oil & Gas Italy Francesco Berri GE Oil & Gas Italy Frank Børre Pederesen DNV Norway Frank Denys Netherlands Netherlands Grazia Colacicco GE Italy Günter Siddiqi Swiss Federal Office of Energy Switzerland Helge Lunde SEA-BOX Norway Ingrid Anne Munz Norwegian Research Council Norway Jeannot M. Kok HOBRE INSTRUMENTS BV NETHERLANDS Joachim Wilhelm ROSETTI MARINO SPA Italy John Felmy American Petroleum Institute USA Jostein Dahl Karlsen Norway Norway Khalid Shamsher ENGRO CHEMICAL PAKISTAN LIMITED Pakistan Kjetil Skaugset, PhD Statoil ASA Norway Lars Slagsvold GE Oil & Gas Norway Lars Sørum DNV Norway Laslo Olah Texas Institute of Science USA Luis Gorospe Rodriguez del Castillo Spain / REPSOL Spain Marco DeIaco GE Italy Marco Fallai GE Oil & Gas Italy Mario Schiatti Breda Energia s.p.a. Italy Markus Becker GE Germany Mike Moore FearnOil USA Mike Smith Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission USA Morten Wiencke GE Oil & Gas Norway Nicola Marcucci GE Italy Paolo Macculi ENI SPA ITALY Paul Doucette GE USA Peter Lilly The University of Western Australia Australia Richard Braal TNO Netherlands Richard Haut Houston Advanced Research Center USA Rod Rinholm Gas Technology Institute Norway Roy Ruså, Teknologidirektør, Petoro Petoro Norway Simone Bertolo ENEL TRADE SPA ITALY Takami Kawamoto JOGMEC Japan Torgeir Knutsen Norway Norway Torger Skillingstad RESMAN AS Norway Umberto Vitali ROSETTI MARINO SPA Italy Vello Kuuskraa Advanced Resources International, Inc. USA Øivind Fevang Statoil Norway 7 Email Misc [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]; [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] '[email protected]' [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Tag
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