Governance, Risk & Compliance Applications The KnowCo Stress-testing and Business Modelling Application Overview The KnowCo Stress-testing application (‘KST’) is designed to Reduce the significant and fast-growing workload on risk and compliance professionals involved in business planning and stress-testing Reduce reliance on user-developed spreadsheets by storing data, scenarios and output securely, in a controlled production environment Empower banks to fulfil all regulatory and best practice expectations, including the most recent Basel standards1 Take data from any stable source at any level of granularity Enable Reverse Stress-testing, using multiple variables Enable the necessary harmonisation between credit, earnings-at-risk and liquidity stress-testing (for example recessionary scenarios and credit concentration scenarios) Support the user in business modelling activities (e.g. for ICAAP) Support the implementation of Recovery and Resolution Planning. Users can model and perform stress tests for any, or any combination, of: Liquidity Risk Interest Rate Risk (IRRBB) Credit Risk Pillar 1 Capital Credit Risk Pillar 2A Capital Business Modelling and Planning. Users can produce a set of risk profile metrics and reports for day to day risk management and in addition are able to drill down into more detailed information contained within these reports. To further support compliance and for best practice risk management standards, we have developed the following additional applications that complement KST: 1 E.g. BCBS Working Paper No. 24 Liquidity stress testing: a survey of theory, empirics and current industry and supervisory practice © KnowCo Limited. All Rights Reserved April 2014 The KnowCo Stress-testing Application (KST) The KnowCo Funds Transfer Pricing application (‘KFTP’). This application has been developed to support compliance with UK and European standards and best international practice (see http://www.knowco.co.uk/kftp). The balance sheet risk management tool (BSRM) which enables integrated stresstesting and business modelling for ICAAP and viability in cognisance of regulators’ emphasis on this aspect of risk management: KnowCo Reporting Services Datamart (‘KRSD’), a Risk Intelligence data repository from which MI Reporting for liquidity gaps, capital buffers, risk appetite, early-warning signals monitoring and other BSRM reports are produced. KRSD provides a combination of high-level and detailed risk MI reports in the form of dashboards and drill-downs, which can be customised to suit the client’s management requirements. Business Modelling and Stress Testing with KST KST allows a user to create and define bespoke forecasting and stress parameters that will compute liquidity and capital requirements, and the effects of interest rate stresses and credit impairments on earnings, under a potentially unlimited number of scenarios. It enables the user to apply a wide range of tests to their current and projected balance sheet and cashflows, including the behavioural modelling of cash flows with no contractual maturity. Data is captured at cash-flow level, while risk drivers and stress parameters are applied at segment level (portfolio, product, reporting item name etc.) and at account, client and connected counterparty level (for concentration risk assessment and large-exposure stresstesting). Loading Pre-defined Scenarios Once created, scenarios can be saved and applied to different data sets as required. A set of scenario templates, based on the stress parameter benchmarks set by regulators, is also provided to support the definition of the scenarios. © KnowCo Limited. All Rights Reserved Page 2 April 2014 The KnowCo Stress-testing Application (KST) Range of Stress Parameters The range of stress-testing facilitated by KST is depicted in the KST toolbar ribbon shown below: KST allows the user to stress: Non-marketable Assets (Wholesale and Retail). Users can model: Defaults across the portfolios – individual accounts and concentrations of connected accounts Concentration risk Roll-overs – contractual and behavioural Draw-downs on committed lines Portfolio growth or reduction in both balances and available lines Credit rating downgrades and upgrades Interest rate risk (IRRBB) – see below Marketable Assets (for example Debt Securities, Equities, Commodities, Derivatives etc.). Users can model: Buying and selling marketable assets © KnowCo Limited. All Rights Reserved Page 3 April 2014 The KnowCo Stress-testing Application (KST) The marking-to-market revaluation of assets Repo and reverse repo transactions The effect of haircuts to market values, and market closures Concentration risk Wholesale and Retail Liabilities. Users can model: Contractual roll-off (contractual maturity, if any, is captured in the data-mapping process) Behavioural roll-overs (e.g. different behaviours for “less stable” and “stable” depositors – Types A and B in the UK) © KnowCo Limited. All Rights Reserved Page 4 April 2014 The KnowCo Stress-testing Application (KST) Concentration risk (withdrawal of large deposits or default of loan exposures, irrespective of contractual maturity) Funding strategy – the growth or reduction of various portfolios or products Interest rate risk (IRRBB) – see below Intra-Group Assets and Liabilities Intra-Group assets and liabilities can be distinguished behaviourally from other assets and liabilities. Off-balance sheet items (such as guarantees and Letters of Credit). Users can model: The utilisation of credit lines for off-balance sheet products such as L/Cs The conversion to on-balance sheet exposures and subsequent repayment or default Concentration risk Cross-currency risk The potential effects on liquidity of rapidly-changing FX rates Interest rate risk The effects on earnings of changes in interest base rates over the short, medium and longer term Optionality and Repricing: flexing absolute rates of fixed interest and/or marginal rates of variable interest, per time bucket, in order to model the effect on interest income and expense of replacing higher-yielding assets and/or less expensive deposits with, respectively, lower-yielding and more expensive business: Multi-step Period stress Plan/Stress intervals and horizons may be user-defined or configured at installation (common horizons – e.g. 30 days for Basel III LCR, 5 years for business planning – are in-built) © KnowCo Limited. All Rights Reserved Page 5 April 2014 The KnowCo Stress-testing Application (KST) Apply stress scenarios to one or more subsets of data at a time to analyse the impact of a stress scenario on e.g. your USD portfolios, or your mortgage book. Reverse Stress Testing The Reverse Stress-testing functionality allows the user to generate scenarios stressing multiple variables in automated iterations until given capital, liquidity or earnings-at-risk resources are depleted. Other possible uses of the reverse stress-testing functionality can include: Allowing the user to determine what type of business growth can be achieved with the capital and liquidity resources in hand and planned; Allowing the user to test how sensitive portfolios are towards certain risk drivers. Results Outputs can be displayed in real-time, on-screen, or produced on a scheduled basis in batch mode. Additionally various reports are available within KST. These include daily cash flow graphs for different time horizons, the stress parameters report and liquidity gap analyses by portfolio, currency, etc. Outputs can also be exported to an Excel or ‘flat’ file, or to the risk database for further analysis and reporting via the reporting functionality. The screenshot below shows example on-screen outputs in KST: © KnowCo Limited. All Rights Reserved Page 6 April 2014 The KnowCo Stress-testing Application (KST) Management Reports The following screens show examples of risk profile reports produced: © KnowCo Limited. All Rights Reserved Page 7 April 2014 The KnowCo Stress-testing Application (KST) About KnowCo KnowCo provides Governance, Risk and Compliance (‘GRC’) support to financial institutions in UK, Europe, the Middle East and Africa. This support is across the organisational spectrum from GRC strategy, through the policy and process-system infrastructure, to assurance and risk intelligence. Our value proposition is based on a combination of regulatory and technical GRC subjectmatter expertise and pragmatic, proportionate delivery and implementation skills. Our risk management applications help banks and other institutions deal more quickly and cost-effectively with GRC challenges. Please contact us for an informal discussion Paul Ashton +44 (0)7799 113535 [email protected] Lise Land +44 (0)7732 832246 [email protected] KnowCo Limited 23 Austin Friars, London EC2N 2QP +44 (0)207 084 6387 www.knowco.co.uk © KnowCo Limited. All Rights Reserved Page 8 April 2014
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