Ursula Geismann, Press Officer of the Association of the German Furniture Industry e.V., on the occasion of the Press Conference for the and 2015, on 24 September 2014 in Mallorca. Worldwide furniture consumption on the increase Strong growth impulses from Asia and the USA Kitchen and furniture trends: Global mix and a lot of individuality A new phase of home living has begun. For most people home living is becoming more important and thus also more attractive. There are reasons for this. In the big "emerging markets" such as India and China, more and more people are becoming affluent. They have more income and can thus invest more money in furnishing their own four walls. The furniture and interior decorating business is thus becoming increasingly more important worldwide. The worldwide furniture consumption has doubled over the last ten years up to Worldwide furniture con- around 335 billion Euros. For the year sumption to increase by 4 2014, an increase of around 4 percent is percent in 2014 expected for the worldwide furniture consumption. The average expenditure is €47 per person from Peking, to Ulan Ba- Every citizen of the world tor, to Mombasa, Hyderabad through to spends on average €47 Eu- Washington. ros on furniture per annum The growth is predominantly being driven by Asia. Whereas the furniture market in Western Europe is expected to decline by one percent this year, the furniture sales in North America are expected to rise by The strongest growth im- 2 percent, in Eastern Europe by 3 per- pulses are coming from cent, in the Middle East, parts of Africa Asia and parts of South America by 4 percent and in Asia by 6 percent. The development of the worldwide furniture demand is consistent with the economic outlook in the most important sales markets. However, due to the current worldwide crises, the GDP growth is expected to be curbed. The economic researchers are expecting the global econ- Crises are dampening the omy to carry on picking up speed this mood year and next year, but not as significantly as in the past years. The Asiatic emerging markets, predominantly China with an expected 7.4 percent growth in GDP in 2014, will take over the role of the world's most important driving force for the economy. A steady, but moderate increase in the USA's GDP of 1.7 percent for this year and 3 percent for next year is also forecast. The European Union with its meanwhile 28 member states is the biggest economic area in the world. The 507 million inhabitants achieved a gross domestic product of 13 billion Euros in 2013, which corresponds to a 0.2 percent decrease EU still the biggest econom- compared to the previous year. The cri- ic area in the world sis-hit economy in the EU is still weak this year. The growth forecast for this year is thus only 1.1 percent and the prospects are uncertain. For example, the EU economy is still in a recession. According to the current forecast by the EU growth forecast only 1.1 EU Commission, the real GDP in the EU percent will increase by 1.6 percent in 2014 and by 2.2 percent in the Euro area. For 2015, a 2 percent growth rate in the EU and a 1.7 percent growth rate for the Euro area is forecast. Slight growth in the EU exWho supplies the different economic re- pected in 2015 too gions with new furniture? The world's largest furniture manufacturer is still the Peoples' Republic of China with an overall share of 31 percent. The Chinese production volume for furniture has increased sharply over the past years. In the meantime, however, there are signs of a slowdown in growth due to the increased manufacturing and material costs and the related rise in the production costs. As a result, Chinese furniture imports to Germany declined by 9.8 percent last year. The USA produce 14 percent of all furniture, followed by Italy with a 7 per- In China, the furniture pro- cent share of the world production and duction has stabilised at a Germany with a share of 6 percent. With high level. a share of 6 percent - the figure from the year 2013 - ranking fourth in the world, Germany holds a significant position. Our domestic industry encountered declines in turnover due to the difficult overall market situation in 2013. For the year 2014, we are expecting to achieve a stable turnover, which matches last year's level. The German furniture industry achieved a 1.6 percent growth in turnover in the first six months of 2014. As such, our industry is currently treading water economically speaking. According to our The German furniture mar- estimates, this won't change significantly ket up until the end of the year, so that we are expecting to close the fiscal year 2014 with zero growth. 84,220 men and women currently work in the German furniture industry in a total of 518 companies. The figures for the same period last year were 84,388 employees in 528 companies. The importance of the German market is also reflected by the high pro capita expenditure on furniture by the consumers. German is an attractive and toughly contested market, because the Germany love home living. But let's return to the global view: The shifts in the past years, above all through China's sharply increased production and the export of Chinese furni- Stable turnovers ture, have led to a redirection of the flow of goods. The worldwide furniture business will increase by a further 5 percent this year up to around 100 billion Euros. The chief buyer worldwide is the USA. Per capita expenditure for Germany is the second biggest furniture furniture: buyer, followed by France, Great Britain Germany €390 and Canada. Due to the rising incomes of Austria €390 the population and the overall positive Italy €336 spending behaviour, the Asiatic market is France €222 also becoming increasingly significant as USA €210 a sales region. In addition to the domestic Russia €80 manufacturers, China €20 India €5 with their high-quality brand furniture Germany and Italy are also profiting from this trend. In the current year, from the point of view of the Germany furniture industry, North America is becoming an important market where we were able to sell a significantly higher amount of furniture in the first half Worldwide furniture busi- of 2014 (+5 percent). The international ness will increase by 5 per- business in the EU is also showing posi- cent this year tive development (+1.6 percent). Otherwise, the international business stagnated for the German manufacturers. In the first half of the year, the overall exports dropped by 0.5 percent down to €4.6 billion. This is of course only a small section of the global furniture world. Because if we take a look at the worldwide trade volume of our industry, it has more than doubled over the past ten years - so there is reason for optimism. We are anticipating and an excellent 2015. Manufactur- Market share of German ers that want to do business with furniture furniture in: and furnishings in the globalised world Luxemburg are going to be in Cologne in 2015. Co- Austria 59% logne is the international kitchen, furniture Belgium 22% and furnishing platform. This is why we The Netherlands 20% are expecting an increase in the number France 13% of visitors including international dealers. Spain 6% The parent fair Great Britain 5% is, as is the case with all the other furniture and furniture supplier fairs in Cologne, such as the office furniture trade fair Orgatec, the garden trade fair, the Kind + Jugend and the interzum, the "number one in furniture". Living trends All in all, the basic trend is towards a global mix with a touch of romantic. In contrast to the cool, virtual Internet, the people want their own home to be cosy and full of harmonious shapes and colours and living accessories. Items are chosen very consciously and "authentically staged". This doesn't involve items being randomly placed somewhere, but they are instead arranged in the room quite consciously to create a harmonious Italy 68% 3% overall picture. The global mix provides furnishing ideas and furniture from all world cultures. The result is unique living environments that don't easily allow the time and place of their origins to be determined. Contemporary people live in Shanghai, New York, Cape Town and Hamburg in the global mix. Far away from the urbanisation, rural regions clear- Global mix with a touch of ly lag behind the mega trends. Where in romantic the past typical cultures dominated the living environment, such as typical Scandinavian design or the typical altdeutsch (Old German) style, today it is the mega trends that have originated in metropolises all over the world. Big city living styles are at least becoming the reflection of the global modern-day age. The rise of the kitchen The kitchen belongs to the basic furnishing of every apartment today. In cooperation with architects, the modern floor plans have undergone vast change over the past years, today the kitchen has become the centrepiece of the house. Open, merged and aesthetic featuring the highest standards. Absolute individuality is also the rage in the kitchen. The compilation, the types of the fronts as well as the colours, heights, extractors, light sources - everything can be freely selected. Professional planning and consultation is therefore urgently recommended. One noticeable thing this season is the fact that many people are asking about the energy efficiency of the so-called "white goods". In addition to quiet running noises, modern electrical appliances are Individuality preferred more energy-saving than ever today. Overall, the trend in the modern offer of kitchen furniture is towards a timeless, modern and rather purist design. In addition to the perceivable living trends of 2015, we very much welcome individual demands and the increased sensibility for the living environment. The people are Saving energy is a topical becoming aware that they want to feel requirement comfortable in their own homes where they spend at least 340 days of the year. There is guaranteed to be plenty of new things to discover this year and we are thus looking forward to the upcoming and 2015. We very much look forward to being able to welcome you all there. und From 19 to 25 January 2015
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