August 2014 - NoConvencionales.com

World Shale Gas Argentina
Pluspetrol Unconventional Projects
Javier Iguacel
VP Business Development
August 2014
1
PLUSPETROL IS A PRIVATE E&P COMPANY, FOCUSED MAINLY ON LATIN AMERICA AND AFRICA
Locations
2013 Key Figures
Operated Oil & Gas Production
537 Mboed
Net Oil & Gas Production
158 Mboed
Total Proven Net Reserves
Oil
Gas
30%
70%
886 MMboe
Strategic Partners
Production History (Mboe/d)
600
500
400
Oil
537
Gas
300
200
100
0
77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
2
First Vaca Muerta Horizontal Well Completed by Pluspetrol
3
Agenda
1. Unconventional reservoirs impact in the US
2. Pluspetrol’s project
3. Massive Development in Argentina
4
US unconventional activity is a game changer, with impact in several areas
US Natural Gas Production
80
(Bcf/D)
70
US Crude Oil Production
15
Shale
Shale Oil
(MMBBL/D)
Tight
60
Conventional
Conventional
39%
50
40
21%
30
25,6
Bcf/D
10
14,3
Bcf/D
28%
3,5 MMBBL/D
72%
8,9 MMBBL/D
5
20
40%
10
26,3
Bcf/D
0
0
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Fiscal
1,3% of Revenues
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Investments
Employment
Energy Deficit
Acreage Value
1% of GDP
2% of Labor Force
17% of consumption
30%
(5.098)
Eagle Ford, based on
transactions
172.541
87.302
17%
(2.689)
3,0
108
0
Bln USD
2005 2012 2020
0
2005 2012 2020
Bln USD
0,0
2005
M/People
2012
2020
8.500
6%
(1.106)
1,7
60
19.500
USD/Acre
MMBoe
2005
2012
2020
2010
2014
Argentina is the 2nd shale producer with 22.000 boe/d from 240 wells
Source: EIA, IHS, Giga.
5
Agenda
1. Unconvetnional reservoirs impact in the US
2. Pluspetrol’s project
3. Massive Development in Argentina
6
In June 2011 an Unconventional Reservoirs group was formed. Goals were defined.
June 2011
Jan 2011
Start Point
Jan 2012
Jan 2013
Jan 2014
Pluspetrol Unconventional Business Team
Vision:
By developing unconventional resources we aim to take the company to the
next growth level maximizing Company's equity
Objective
To develop unconventional reservoirs to contribute to achieve a desired growth
goal set by the company
Short Term Focus:
Our Acreage:
Understand and estimate the amount of unconventional resources available
Understand what technical development, operation optimization, economics and
market conditions are needed to convert this resources into reserves
Other Acreage:
Identify and acquire/participate in high potential unconventional blocks
7
A five phase exploration plan was designed
Phase 0
Regional
Screening
Phase 1
Phase 2
Phase 3
Phase 4
Acreage
Pre-seleciton
Drilling of
vertical wells
& sweet-spot
identification
Drilling of
productivity
pilot
Early
production
pilot
Full
commercial
development
Description
• Select focus areas
• Obtain “big
picture”
• Detailed research
• Acquire data with
little investment
• Drill vertical pilot
• Drill production
to characterize and pilot, vertical or
obtain information horizontal
• Start operational
• Drill additional
optimization
verticals if needed
• Develop early
• Roll out the pilot
production scheme • Scale production
• Optimize drilling,
completion and
facilities
Objective
• Identify sweetspots
• Identify locations
for vertical pilots
• Identify location
for early
production pilot
• Obtain all
necessary
information to
start commercial
development
Currently here
• Understand how
and how much to
produce
Working plan was executed during 2011 and 2012. Wells were tested during 2013.
Jan 2011
June 2011
Jul 2012 to Jan 2013
(Start Point)
Jan 2012 Vertical Drilling
Jan 2013
Jan 2014
Drilling wells
Regional Map
• 8 wells with Vaca Muerta as primary objective
• 3 wells with VM as secondary objective
• 7 Tight Gas wells to Los Molles in Centenario and Zapala
• 1 Horizontal well in Puesto Silva (Starts testing in Sep 14)
Puesto Silva Horiozntal Well Microseismic mapping
L. Jarillosa
3 wells
P. Silva
3 wells
Monitor
well
Zapala
1 Tight Gas
well
A. Baguales
1 explo well
Cinco Saltos
2 explo well
Horizontal well
Centenario
2 wells VM
+ 6 Tight gas
9
TIGHT GAS: Visualized Business Case
Objective 1A - Understand and estimate the amount of unconventional resources remaining
Jan 2011
June 2011
Jul 2012 to Jan 2013
(Start Point)
Jan 2012
Drilling
Feb 2013
Jan 2013
Jan 2014
Completion days improvement
Map showing potential locations
Central Norte
35 wells
Noreste
10 wells
Days
40
MOLLES
(Only Tight)
29
Sudeste I
16 Wells
1st
Frac/d
+200%
0.5
MOLLES
+ LAJAS
1st
Sudoeste
5 Wells
Infill
14 Wells
2nd
-38%
28
20
21
18
3rd
4th
5th
6th
1.5
1
1
3rd
4th
1.3
0.5
2nd
5th
6th
1st stage gas project in Centenario
45 wells development
Source: Internal Presentation Feb 2013
10
SHALE OIL
Objective 1A - Understand and estimate the amount of unconventional resources available
Jan 2011
June 2011
Jul 2012 to Jan 2013
(Start Point)
Jan 2012
Drilling
Nov 2013
Testing
Jan 2013
Jan 2014
Regional Map
Findings
1) Proved acreage
Horizontal wells: 320
Proved acreage
(25,000 acres)
Technically Recoverable
Reserves: 160 MMstb
2) Vaca Muerta is a world class shale with similar
productivities than Eagle Ford.
1400
1200
P10
Vaca Muerta well type (1)
1000
800
P50
600
400
2000 m Horizontal
length well type based
on vertical well data
Eagle Ford well type (2)
P90
200
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12 Month
Source (1): Pluspetrol internal report
Source (2): modified from Merryl Lynch well type for Eagle Ford (EOG)
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Objective A2 - Understand what technical development, operation optimization, economic and
martket conditions are needed to convert this resources into reserves
Jan 2011
June 2011
Jul 2012 to Jan 2013
(Start Point)
Jan 2012
250
Drilling
Break Even
@15%
(u$s/Bbl)
Nov 2013
Jan 2013
Testing
Jan 2014
P90 EUR
200
150
P50 EUR
100 87 USD/bbl
P10 EUR
2013
Costs
50
US Costs
Drilling and completion Cost
0
Source: Pluspetrol internal report (Nov 2013)
12
Objective B – Work with BD to identify and aquire/participate in high potential
unconventional blocks
Jan 2011
June 2011
Jul 2012 to Jan 2013
(Start Point)
Jan 2012
Nov 2013
Jan 2013
Jan 2014
Regional Map
13
Objective B – Work with BD to identify and aquire/participate in high potential unconventional
blocks
Jan 2011
June 2011
Jul 2012 to Jan 2013
(Start Point)
Jan 2012
Nov 2013 Feb 2014
Jan 2013
Regional Map
Jan 2014
Assets Aquired
Total acreage : 687.000 acres
Blocks operated by Pluspetrol
La Calera
Meseta B. Esperanza
Aguada Villanueva
50% Pluspetrol
50% YPF
Blocks operated by YPF
Las Tacanas
Chasquivil
Cerro Arena
45% Pluspetrol
45% YPF
10% G&P
Salinas del Huitrín
All maturity windows included
Oil
Gas & Condensate
Dry Gas
14
Agenda
1. Unconventional reservoirs impact in the US
2. Pluspetrol’s project
3. Massive Development in Argentina
15
Vaca Muerta development feasibility assessment
Critical Factors for Unconventional Resource Development
Pacer today (will change)
for speed of market
developments
Source: Accenture report
16
Pluspetrol competitive advantages
Key competitive advantages for a successful shale development
“If you don’t have a competitive advantage, don’t compete”, Jack Welch
Normalized drilling & completion cost
1. Good quality acreage
2. Low cost operator
1st operator
41
1st operator
47
3. Reservoir understanding
Pluspetrol
43
Pluspetrol
51
4. Organization
3rd Operator
49
3rd Operator
• A multidisciplinary team was assigned
full time to the project
• The learning curve was transited
2013 Vertical wells
4th Operator
94
5th Operator
100
2013/14 Horizontal wells
4th Operator
62
100
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GROWING PRODUCTION FROM UNCONVENTIONALS COULD HAVE A MASSIVE SOCIAL
AND ECONOMIC IMPACT IN ARGENTINA
Production
Rig Count
Oil (Mbbl/d)*
1000
Shale Production
800
Conventional Production
600
400
200
2033
2031
2029
2027
2025
2023
2021
2019
2017
2015
2013
2011
2009
2007
2005
2003
2001
0
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
298
286
Rigs in Eagle-Ford
2010-2014
220
Proj rigs in Vaca
Muerta from 2014
113
41
14
18
30
40
45
45
1
2
3
4
5
6
years
Gas (BCF/d)*
12,0
10,0
8,0
6,0
4,0
2,0
0,0
Expected impact in Argentina
Shale Production
Conventional Production
• Generate quality jobs
• Reduce energy deficit
• Improve commercial balance
2033
2031
2029
2027
2025
2023
2021
2019
2017
2015
2013
2011
2009
2007
2005
2003
2001
• Increase fiscal income
• Spillover effect on regional and national general development
Some key challenges…
Capex and Wells
2015 - 2017
2018-2025
2026-2035
• Efficient and safe operations
Capex
3 B$/year
10 B$/year
15 B$/year
• Water management
% GDP
0.7%
2%
2.3%
20
55
80
Rigs
Total 2015-2035
Capex : 250 B$
Hor. Wells: 10,000
Vaca Muerta Recoverable Resources Development: 12%
• Cost optimization
• Attracting and developing talent
• Growing local infrastructure
• Win-win new paradigm: relationship with unions
• Renew technical and managerial mindset: from conventional to
unconventional
* Assumes conventional supply declining at 3% per year and demand growing at 3% per year. Conventional gas production includes tight gas.
** According to EIA R2013 ecoverable Resources Estimates
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