Archäoseismologie Fragen

Archäoseismologie
Archäoseismologie
Fragen
Fragen
• viele Fragen sind in der jungen
Wissenschaftsdiziplin noch offen
– welche Methoden sind die richtigen?
– Verhältnis zur historischen Seismologie
– Verhältnis zur Paläoseismologie
– Gefahr der Zirkelschlüsse
– Hypothesen
- Earthquake Storm(s)
- Fallrichtung von Säulen zeigt Bodenbewegung
- etc. …
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Slide 2
4/1
Archäoseismologie
Topics
KGH Archäoseismologie
Nur, 2002 Int. Handbook of Earthq. and Eng. Seismology
Slide 3
Nur, 2002 Int. Handbook of Earthq. and Eng. Seismology
Slide 4
Topics
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
4/2
Archäoseismologie
A. Nur's Earthquake Storm Hypothese
KGH Archäoseismologie
Nur, 2002 Int. Handbook of Earthq. and Eng. Seismology; Karnik, 1968
Slide 5
A. Nur's Earthquake Storm Hypothese
• as pointed out by Nur (1998) and Nur and Cline (2000).
it appears that earthquakes, most likely through an
earthquake storm, could have been responsible for
ushering in the physical collapse at the end of the
Bronze Age
• of course eathquakes alone probably have not
destroyed entire societies or powers. More likely they
rendered cities and population centers vulanerable,
even defenseless to human attack and at times even
invited attack ....
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Nur, 2002 Int. Handbook of Earthq. and Eng. Seismology; Karnik, 1968
Slide 6
4/3
Archäoseismologie
A. Nur's Earthquake Storm Hypothese
• Intensitäten (I-IX) gibt es nur von Gegenden, die
besiedelt sind
• das führt tendenziell dazu, dass zerstörte Orte in
Regionen mit hohen beobachteten Intensitäten liegen
• hier ein Modell der Bevölkerungsdichte 2000 BCE
KGH Archäoseismologie
Lemmen, 2009, Geomorpholigie
Slide 7
Hypothesis
• The hypothesis is today widely accepted in
archaeology •Izmit, 1999, M7.6
•Shake Map USGS
• It is part of an earthquake
storm (1225–
•- 10% g
1175 ) proposed by A. Nur and Cline (2000):
Therefore, we offer the hypothesis that a number of the sites were
partly or totally destroyed in a 50-year period at the end of the Late
Bronze Age as a result of seismic events occurring as an ‘‘earthquake
storm’’ along the geological faults of the Aegean and the
Eastern Mediterranean
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Slide 8
4/4
Archäoseismologie
Kilian's Hypothese zur Argolis
• K. Kilian entwickelte in den 1980-er Jahren die
Hypothese des Untergangs der Mykenischen Kutur im
13. Jahrhundert BCE durch Erdbeben
• besonders Bauschäden in der Argolis (Mykene, Tiryns
und Midea) wurden von ihm als Erdbebenfolgen
interpretiert
KGH Archäoseismologie
Kilian, 1996, Archaeoseismology
Slide 9
Kilian's Hypothese zur Argolis
• Gründung
• K. Kilian entwickelte in den 1980-er
Jahren die
•
Auffüllung
Hypothese des Untergangs der Mykenischen Kutur im
• creep
13. Jahrhundert BCE durch Erdbeben
• hydrologische Einwirkungen
• besonders Bauschäden in der Argolis
(Mykene, Tiryns
• ...
und Midea) wurden von ihm als Erdbebenfolgen
interpretiert
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Kilian, 1996, Archaeoseismology
Slide 10
4/5
Archäoseismologie
Direktivität in archaeodamage
Korjenkov and Schmidt (2008)
Mallet (1857)
KGH Archäoseismologie
Slide 11
Direktivität in archaeodamage
Sekiya: ‘A model showing the
motion of an Earth particle
during an earthquake’
Parkfield (2004), M 6.0
D 8.4 km; PGANS
8.03 m/s2
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Journal of the College of Science, Imperial
University, Japan, 1 (1887), 359-363, p.
360
Slide 12
4/6
Archäoseismologie
Common Sense Argumente
'Cathedral', Sussita,
Sea of Galilee
KGH Archäoseismologie
Slide 13
Common Sense Argumente
• The site of Susita (Lake of
Galilee) is situated close to
the surface trace of the
Dead Sea Transform Fault.
Granite columns from a
Roman palace complex have
fallen parallel to each other
and testify to an earthquake,
probably that of AD 363,
which caused destruction in
the wider area.
• The direction in which the
columns are lying is believed
to indicate the direction of
strong seismic motion.
'Cathedral', Sussita,
Sea of Galilee
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Nur and Ron, 1996, Archaeoseismology
Slide 14
4/7
Archäoseismologie
Common Sense Argumente
• The site of Susita (Lake of
Galilee) is situated close to
the surface trace of the
Dead Sea Transform Fault.
Granite columns from a
Roman palace complex have
fallen parallel to each other
and testify to an earthquake,
probably that of AD 363,
which caused destruction in
the wider area.
• The direction in which the
columns are lying is believed
to indicate the direction of
strong seismic motion.
'Cathedral', Sussita,
Sea of Galilee
KGH Archäoseismologie
Nur and Ron, 1996, Archaeoseismology
Slide 15
Common Sense Argumente
• The final blow, however, was
struck not by the Arabs but
by the earthquake of AD
749, which destroyed the
citiy's large temple, and
much else beside.
• Among the massive piles of
rubble ... are nine stone
columns ... which all fell in the
direction oposite to the
ground motion caused by the
quake ... This is what we
would expect from a strong
earthquake.
'Cathedral', Sussita,
Sea of Galilee
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Nur and Burges, 2007, Apocalypse
Slide 16
4/8
Archäoseismologie
Common Sense Argumente
• Looking more closely at the
columns ... we see .. all lie
with thier axes pointing
southwest. However, if we
draw lines that connect the
center of each stone base
with the center of the
column ... most of those lines
point southeast. This is
because in an eathquake the
ground moves back and forth
...
'Cathedral', Sussita,
Sea of Galilee
KGH Archäoseismologie
Nur and Burges, 2007, Apocalypse
Slide 17
Common Sense Argumente
• The southward component of
motion, at least, is expected;
the long-term motion of the
Arabic plate is to the north,
and we expect the initial
northward jump of the plate
– the jerked tablecloth – to
result in the columns toppling
to the south.
'Cathedral', Sussita,
Sea of Galilee
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Nur and Burges, 2007, Apocalypse
Slide 18
4/9
Archäoseismologie
Common Sense Argumente
• The southward component of
motion, at least, is expected;
the long-term motion of the
Arabic plate is to the north,
and we expect the initial
northward jump of the plate
– the jerked tablecloth – to
result in the columns toppling
to the south.
'Cathedral', Sussita,
Sea of Galilee
KGH Archäoseismologie
Nur and Burges, 2007, Apocalypse; Karcz and Kafri, 1978
Slide 19
Common Sense Argumente
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Hinzen, 2009 (BSSA)
Slide 20
4/10
Archäoseismologie
Common Sense Argumente
'Cathedral', Sussita, See Genezareth
KGH Archäoseismologie
Slide 21
Common Sense Argumente
'Cathedral', Sussita, See Genezareth
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Slide 22
4/11
Archäoseismologie
Fragen
• Wie verlässlich sind GM Parameter, die aus archaeodamage
abgeleitet wurden?
Basic Concepts
KGH Archäoseismologie
Slide 23
Fragen
• Wie verlässlich sind EQ Parameter, die aus archaeodamage
abgeleitet wurden?
• Was sind geeignete Modelle und Methoden, um die Parameter
abzuleiten?
• Was können wir prinzipiell aus archaeodamage lernen?
– Rotational Seismology
Basic Concepts
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
Slide 24
4/12
Archäoseismologie
Fragen
• Wie verlässlich sind EQ Parameter, die aus archaeodamge
abgeleitet wurden?
• Was sind geeignete Modelle und Methoden, um die Parameter
abzuleiten?
• Was können wir prinzipiell aus archaeodamge lernen?
– Rotational Seismology
Basic Concepts
KGH Archäoseismologie
Prof. Dr. K.-G. Hinzen
weiter
Slide 25
4/13