ENERGY De wijk als energieleverancier Homelab2050 Petra de Boer 27 november 2014 1 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER The World of Energy: Six major trends 1. Increased electricity demand 4. Aging assets and workforce 2. Environmental responsibility or stewardship 5. Advancing technology, e.g. ICT 3. Declining fossil fuel supplies 6. Maintaining reliability DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 2 Energy transition in the view of WWF 100% renewables in 2050 Source: WWF energy report 2011 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 3 Scenario’s uit het Energieakkoord voor Nederland Nederland wil naar 14% duurzame energie in 2020 4 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Solar market in The Netherlands Nederland heeft een doel van 4 GW zon in 2020 5 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Three parallel trends in European power sector 2014 2050 Affordable DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 6 Impact of solar production Hoe passen deze duurzame energiebronnen in de bestaande infrastructuur? 7 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Large volumes of RES require more flexibility … Fast controllable power generation, including curtailment of e.g. wind power Large(r) interconnection capacity, and cross-border trading Energy storage, small-scale and large-scale systems (and services) Smart local energy, i.e. integration of DG, demand response, and active participation of end-users 8 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 A day in 2050 seen through the ‘eyes of the individual’ .....I can’t imagine how things were done in 2014.” Nieuwe technologieën zijn een bron van flexibiliteit van het energiesysteem DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 9 Smart local energy systems … Home Automation Smart metering Demand Response Network Automation Microgeneration Dynamic Load Management Electric Vehicles Energy Storage Distributed Generation DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Real Time Ratings The energy consumer will have a more active role … Passive energy consumers become participating prosumers, and finally modern ‘energy down- and uploaders’ They will affect power flow and the energy market which will stimulate the development of new market mechanisms, and new services DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 … and ‘new’ companies will enter the energy market ICT and telecom Building industry and contractors Technology providers and manufacturers Automotive industry and suppliers Service providers and other energy providers Housing corporations and local governmental bodies Virtual organizations of energy consumers DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Size of implementation From R&D, via pilots to large-scale implementation Stabilization Acceleration Large-scale implementation First field tests, e.g. PowerMatching City Larger demonstration projects Take-off Time (years) R&D, first developments 2010 2015 2020 2030 2050 13 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Strengthen the business case for New Energy Smart domestic appliances Electricit y storage PV Wind Informatio n Consumer > prosumer Heat Pum p Airco Second life applications of EV batteries Added Business Values Increased energy demand by new applications Sma rt Grid s µ-CHP HRe Smart Energy Systems Distributed Energy Resources CSP •V2 G •G2 V EV Domotic a 14 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Strengthen the business case for New Energy Smart domestic appliances Electricit y storage PV Sma rt Grid s Wind µ-CHP Informatio n Consumer > prosumer Heat Pum p Airco Second life applications of EV batteries EV •V2 G •G2 V Added Business Values Increased energy demand by new applications HRe Smart Energy Systems Distributed Energy Resources CSP Domotic a 15 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 … in which end-user acceptance & participation is key We like electric cars We are participating producers of energy We like smart home appliances Matched by ICT We save money with micro CHP and solar-PV DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 16 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Smart Grid Rendement voor Iedereen • Ontwikkeling van 8 smart grid dienstverleningsconcepten • Toetsen van deze concepten in 2 pilots van 100 huishoudens in Amersfoort en Utrecht • Dienstverleningsconcepten gericht op energiebesparing en optimaal gebruik eigen opgewekte zonne-energie Amersfoort Nieuwland 18 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Innovatieve diensten Solar4All 19 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Inzicht in je eigen energieverbruik: Insight4All • App voor smartphones en tablets • Webportal • Slimme meter, zonnepanelen, wasmachine, droger, vaatwasser, koelkast, vriezer Doel: 5% energiebesparing 20 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Gezamenlijk energiebesparen: Together4All + 21 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Bottom up benadering Traditional Top-down Bottom-up Approach Governments Network operator Suppliers Active involved community “Pushing” offers Lack of acceptation “lazy confi customers” “Participating” community Suppliers DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Network operators Governments BEWONERSCOLLECTIEF Via ICA methodiek gerichte publiciteit 100-10-1 regel – 1200 woningen met PV – 120 aanmeldingen – 12 ambassadeurs Alle ambassadeurs zijn professionals op eigen vakgebied Communicatie / Techniek / vaktechnisch 100 deelnemers van begin tot eind – (1 invaller, wachtlijst van 20 mensen) DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 24 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 13-okt-14 6-okt-14 29-sep-14 22-sep-14 15-sep-14 8-sep-14 1-sep-14 25-aug-14 18-aug-14 11-aug-14 4-aug-14 28-jul-14 21-jul-14 14-jul-14 7-jul-14 30-jun-14 23-jun-14 16-jun-14 9-jun-14 2-jun-14 26-mei-14 19-mei-14 12-mei-14 5-mei-14 Watt/uur Doel Together4All: continu verbruik verminderen 300 250 200 150 100 AmersVolt 50 0 Doel: verminderen continu verbruik met 20% Powe demand (W) Vraagsturing apparaten: Flex4all 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Time steps in 15 minutes (1/4 hour) Profiel Wasmachine Profiel Droger Profiel Vaatwasser Conclusie: geen mogelijkheden tot significante markt trading met deze 3 apparaten DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 De piek in het energieverbruik verschuiven: profit4All Doel: Meer zonne energie verbruiken en lagere pieken in het verbruik 26 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Solar4All: Een wolk trekt over Amersfoort….. Doel: De energielevering van zonnepanelen voorspellen door informatie te delen 27 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 Vragen? Contact [email protected] 026-356 2552 www.dnvgl.com SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER 28 DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014
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