ETFS ALL Commodities

Technische Analyse
13 mei 2014
Asset Classes ‘topdown’ bekeken
Voor lange- en kortetermijn beleggers
Doe-het-zelf beleggen
Bron: Het Financieele Dagblad 25 maart 2014
HOE:
TECHNISCHE ANALYSE
WAARIN:
ALLES IS RELATIEF
Laag kopen
Hoog verkopen
Bron: De Financiele Telegraaf / www.marketwatch.com
Niet timen, maar
jaarlijks herbalanceren
Exchange Traded Funds
Asset Allocatie (USD)
ETF ASSET ALLOCATIE (in USD)
iShares Core Total U.S. Bond
iShares MSCI ACWI Index Fund
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Index Trust
SPDR DJ Glob.RealEst
SPDR Gold Trust
KOERS
108.69
58.75
33.00
45.97
124.10
FASE
stijgend
stijgend
stijgend
stijgend
stijgend
RS
3
5
2
1
4
5 ETF’s in 2014
rwo, gld, gsg, agg, acwi
ETF’s REITS
iShares in euro’s
Grondstoffen
(sub)indices
Softs
ETFS COFFEE
Softs
ETFS COCOA
Softs
ETFS SUGAR
Softs
ETFS COTTON
Grains
ETFS WHEAT
Grains
ETFS CORN
ETFS SOYBEANS
ETFS ALL Commodities
ETFS ALL Commodities
DJ UBS GRONDSTOFFEN
(SUB)INDICES
KOERS
2014
RS
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7
-8
-9
-10
NY-DJ-UBS Agriculture Sub-Index
81.27
15,90
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
NY-DJ-UBS Commodity Index
135.76
6,40
NY-DJ-UBS Energy Index
97.97
2,70
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
+
NY-DJ-UBS Grains Index
64.15
16,80
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
NY-DJ-UBS Industrial Metals Index
132.48
-1,00 p
+
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
NY-DJ-UBS Livestock Index
38.83
13,80
-
-
-
-
+
+
+
+
+
-
-
NY-DJ-UBS Petroleum Index
295.17
-1,10
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
NY-DJ-UBS Precious Metals Index
184.13
3,10
-
-
-
-
-
-
+
+
+
+
+
NY-DJ-UBS Softs Index
64.16
16,90
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
ETFS Industrial Metals
relatief tov ETFS All.C.
Performance
ETFS 2014
Security Name
ETFS Coffee
ETFS Nickel
ETFS Soybeans
ETFS Grains DJ-AIGSM
ETFS WHEAT
ETFS Corn
ETFS Livestock DJ-AIGSM
ETFS NATURAL GAS
ETFS All Commodities DJ-AIGSM
ETFS Cotton
ETFS Cocoa Individual Securities
ETFS Soybean Oil
ETFS Energy DJ-AIGSM
ETFS PHYSICALGOLD
ETFS Gasoline
ETFS PHYSPM BASKET
ETFS Industrial Metals DJ-AIGSM
ETFSPHYSIPLATINUM
ETFS Heating Oil
ETFS Sugar
ETFS PHYSIC SILVER
ETFS COPPER
close
1.824
16.24
20.96
4.678
1.117
1.322
2.868
0.1
10.17
1.982
3.35
4.228
7.37
91.79
38.38
74.72
9.81
101.3
16.75
11.66
13.75
23.5
1W
-0.5
4.3
0.8
-2.4
-2.8
-4.3
0.1
-1.0
-0.1
-2.3
-0.1
0.8
-0.2
0.9
0.4
1.4
2.2
1.2
0.4
-0.3
2.7
2.5
2W
-8.2
14.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.2
-0.1
-3.8
0.1
-2.7
-2.0
1.2
-0.9
0.5
-0.2
0.6
4.3
0.9
0.5
-1.0
0.9
3.7
3W
-10.9
13.3
-0.3
-0.6
1.3
-2.4
-0.2
-3.8
-1.1
-1.8
-3.5
-3.0
-1.9
0.3
-2.5
0.5
2.1
1.8
-1.3
-3.3
-0.1
2.5
4W
-4.8
16.2
-1.4
0.3
1.8
0.1
0.9
-4.8
-0.8
-1.3
-5.2
-4.7
-3.2
0.4
-2.8
0.5
3.1
0.8
-2.3
0.2
0.1
4.4
5W
-9.1
19.9
2.6
2.5
6.9
-0.9
1.8
-2.9
0.3
1.6
-4.5
-0.8
-1.3
-0.6
-1.0
-0.4
3.7
-0.3
0.4
-0.9
-1.2
4.8
6W
0.6
25.4
1.2
1.5
5.4
-1.0
1.1
-1.0
0.4
-3.7
-3.9
-1.4
-0.1
-1.0
0.3
-1.0
4.7
-0.8
-0.2
-4.5
-2.9
4.1
7W
2.0
31.4
3.3
1.2
0.5
-0.5
-3.5
-2.0
0.5
-3.9
-4.7
1.4
-0.6
0.3
0.9
0.9
6.7
2.6
-0.9
-8.0
-1.3
3.8
8W
7.6
29.2
6.1
3.4
0.4
2.9
-1.9
3.1
2.2
-3.8
-4.2
0.8
1.6
-2.5
1.5
-1.6
8.8
0.7
-0.3
-1.1
-3.5
7.1
9W
-7.4
32.8
8.8
5.3
3.6
3.4
-1.0
2.0
2.0
-1.7
-4.7
-1.3
2.3
-4.7
1.3
-3.3
9.7
-0.8
0.7
-2.6
-7.3
8.4
10 W 2014
-6.4 55.0
36.2 47.2
3.8
17.0
3.9
16.3
7.9
15.5
0.9
14.6
1.3
10.9
-2.9
8.7
0.3
7.1
-1.5
5.6
-4.3
4.7
-6.2
4.5
-0.6
4.5
-2.4
3.7
0.9
2.5
-2.2
2.3
6.4
1.3
-2.0
0.5
-0.8 -0.3
-8.0 -1.3
-6.0 -4.1
3.0
-7.0
ETFS NICKEL
+ 50% 2014
ETFS NICKEL
+ 50% 2014
Spdr S&P Commodity
tov Spdr Gold Trust
Spdr S&P Commodity
tov Spdr Gold Trust
ETFS Physical Gold
Staatsobligaties
Eurozone
7,5 NL per 15-1-2023
van 144.33 naar 148.97
Patroonherkenning
theorie
Patroonherkenning
praktijk (10jr NL)
Patroonherkenning
praktijk (10jr NL)
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
Aandelen ‘place to be’
ACWI vs AGG
aandelen vs obligaties
iShares in euro
REGIONAAL
Aandelen AEX 9-5-2014
IEX-monitor vs LOEF
Selectie
relatieve sterkte
7
6
4
2
5
9
1
Unilever
Ahold
Unibail
Corio
Boskalis
Heineken
Royal Dutch
80% SELECTIE = WINNAARS 2014
Selectie
relatieve sterkte
Beleg in de richting van de
stijgende hoofdtrend !
Test AEX sinds 2000
stijgende hoofdtrend
+100
ptn.
-236
ptn.
22 : 25 winstgevend
88% hitratio
Unilever vanaf 1997
+ relatieve sterkte AEX
Ahold in 2014
+ relatieve sterkte AEX
Corio in 2014
vs Unibail-Rodamco
Contact / vragen
LYNX
HERENGRACHT 478
1017 CB AMSTERDAM
TEL. 0800 2030
Edward Loef, Certified Financial Technician
www.edwardloef.com
[email protected]
TEL. 06 – 51 36 54 76

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