Multiple Long-Run Equilibria in a Spatial Cournot Model and Welfare Implications joint work with Takanori Ago OT2012 1 Our works related to this paper (1) Spatial Cournot Competition and Transportation Costs in a Circular City (ARS 2012, joint work with Noriaki Matsushima) (2) Spatial Cournot Equilibria in a Quasi-Linear City (PiRS 2010, with Takeshi Ebina and Daisuke Shimizu) (3) Noncooperative Shipping Cournot Duopoly with Linear-Quadratic Transport Costs and Circular Space (JER 2008, with Daiskuke Shimizu). (4) Spatial Cournot Competition and Economic Welfare: A Note (RSUE 2005, with Daisuke Shimizu) (5) Partial Agglomeration or Dispersion in Spatial Cournot Competition (SEJ 2005, with Takao Ohkawa and Daisuke Shimizu) 2012/3/4 2 Mill Pricing Model (Shopping Model) Mitaka Tachikawa Kichijoji Musashisakai Kokubunji Kunitachi OT 2012 3 Delivered Pricing Model (Shipping Model, Spatial Price Discrimination Model) Hokkaido Tohoku Kyusyu OT 2012 Kansai Tokai Kanto 4 Delivered Pricing (Shipping) Models OT 2012 5 Spatial Cournot Model Consider a symmetric duopoly. Transport cost is proportional to both distance and output quantity (linear transport cost). In the first stage, each firm chooses its location independently. In the second stage, each firm chooses its output independently. Each point has an independent market, and the demand function is linear demand function, P=A-Y. No consumer's arbitrage. Production cost is normalized as zero. A is sufficiently large. Hamilton et al (1989), Anderson and Neven (1991) OT 2012 6 Properties of Spatial Cournot Model Market overlap ~ Two firms supply for all markets Market share depends on the locations of the two firms. OT 2012 7 Equilibrium Location the location of firm 1 the location of firm 2 0 1 Two firms agglomerate at the central points. similar result in . Anderson and Neven (1991). OT 2012 8 Location and Transport Costs A slight increase of x1 0 The area for which the relocation increases the transport cost of firm 1 OT 2012 1 The area for which the relocation decreases the transport cost of firm 1 9 Spatial Cournot with Circular-City Consider a symmetric duopoly. Transport cost is proportional to both distance and output quantity (linear transport cost). In the first stage, each firm chooses its location independently on the circle. In the second stage, each firm chooses its output independently. Each point has an independent market, and the demand function is linear demand function, P=A-Y. No consumer's arbitrage. Production cost is normalized as zero. A is sufficiently large. Pal (1998) OT 2012 10 Equilibrium Location Without loss of generality. we assume x1=0 Consider the best reply for firm 2. OT 2012 11 Location and Transport Costs the area for which the relocation of firm 2 increases transport cost An increase of x2 the area for which the relocation of firm 2 decreases transport cost OT 2012 12 Equilibrium Location the output of firm 2 is small The location minimizing the transport cost of firm 2. OT 2012 the output of firm 2 is large 13 Equilibrium Location the equilibrium location of firm 2 OT 2012 Maximal distance is the unique pure strategy equilibrium location pattern as long as the transport cost is strictly increasing (Matsumura and Shimizu 2006). 14 Equilibrium Location Equidistant Location Pattern OT 2012 15 Equilibrium Location Partial Agglomeration ~Matsushima (2001) OT 2012 16 Equilibrium Location a continuum of equilibria exists ~Shimizu and Matsumura (2003), Gupta et al (2004) OT 2012 17 Equilibrium Location Under non-liner transport cost OT 2012 18 Equilibrium Location in Under non-linear transport cost ~ Matsumura and Matsushima (2012) OT 2012 19 Equilibrium Location a continuum of equilibria exists In all equilibria, CS and PS, and so TS are the same. OT 2012 20 Equilibrium Location in Under non-liner transport cost, dispersion equilibrium yields larger PS and TS and smaller CS than partial agglomeration equilibrium (Proposition 1). Price dispersion yields larger CS. OT 2012 21 CS P Pa Pb Pb D Pa 0 OT2012 Y 22 Equilibrium Location in Free Entry ~ Under non-liner transport cost, dispersion equilibrium yields larger number of entering firms. Thus CS can be larger than that in partial agglomeration equilibrium. (Proposition 2) OT 2012 23 mixed strategy equilibria under quadratic transport cost (Shopping, Bertrand) the locations of firm 1 the locations of firm 2 non-maximal differentiation, Ishida and Matsushima, 2004. 24 OT 2012 mixed strategy equilibria (Shopping, Cournot) the locations of firm 1 (no-linear transport cost) the locations of firm 2 OT 2012 25 mixed strategy equilibria (linear transport cost) a continuum of equilibria exists ~Matsumura and Shimizu (2008) OT 2012 26 Two Standard Models of Space (1) Hotelling type Linear-City Model (2) Salop type (or Vickery type) Circular-City Model Linear-City has a center-periphery structure, while every point in the Circular-City is identical. →Circular Model is more convenient than Linear Model for discussing symmetric except for duopoly. OT 2012 27 General Model (1) α 0 1 It costs α to transport from 0 to 1. The transport cost from 0 to 0.9 is min(0.9t, α+0.1t). If α=0, this model is a circular-city model. If α >t, this model is a linear-city model. OT 2012 28 General Model (2) market size α 0 market size 1 1/2 If α =0, this model is a linear-city model. If α=1, this model is a circular-city model. OT 2012 29 General Model (3) It costs α to across this point 0 1/2 If α=0, this model is a circular-city model. If α>1, it is a linear-city model. (essentially the same model as (1)). OT 2012 30 Application In the mill pricing (shopping) location-price models, both linear-city and circular-city models yield maximal differentiation. delivered pricing model (shipping model) →linear-city model and circular-city model yield different location patterns~ We discuss this shipping model. OT 2012 31 Location-Quantity Model 0 Firm 2 3/4 α=0 1/4 Firm 1 1/2 OT 2012 Firm 1 Firm 2 α =1 32 Results ・The equilibrium locations are symmetric. ・The equilibrium location pattern is discontinuous with respect to α (A jump takes place). ・Multiple equilibria exist. Abina et al (OT 2012) OT 2012 33 the equilibrium location of firm 1 Results the same outcome as the linear-city model 1/2 1/4 0 Ebina, Matsumura and Shimizu (2011) OT 2012 α 34 Intuition Why discontinuous (jump)? Why multiple equilibria? ←strategic complementarity Suppose that firm 1 relocate form 0 to 1/2. It increases the incentive for central location of firm 2. ~Matsumura (2004) OT 2012 35 Complementarity Matsumura (2004) Firm 2 Firm 1 0 OT 2012 1/2 1 36 Complementarity Matsumura (2004) Firm 1 0 Firm 2 1 1/2 Central location by firm 1 increases the value of market 0 and decreases that of market 1 for firm 2→it increases the incentive for central location by firm 2. OT 2012 37
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