Matakuliah Tahun Versi : T0234 / Sistem Informasi Geografis : 2005 : 01/revisi 1 Pertemuan 13 Masa Depan SIG 1 Learning Outcomes Pada akhir pertemuan ini, diharapkan mahasiswa akan mampu : • Memperkirakan arah perkembangan dari SIG di masa yang akan datang (C2,TIK13) 2 Outline Materi • Materi 1 : Permasalahan SIG masa kini • Materi 2 : Perkembangan teknologi masa depan • Materi 3 : Pengaruh perkembangan teknologi terhadap SIG 3 GIS in the 1990s Issues for GIS in the 1990s (Adapted from Maguire, 1991; Rhind et al.,1991; Rhind,1992) Practical & Technical Issues : -How can the conversion map data to digital format be made more efficient & cost effective ? -How can large geographical data sets be stored when file sizes may exceed machine capacity ? -How can large data sets be accessed efficiently ? -How can data be commodified ? How can data sets be identified & obtained ? What about issues of pricing, liability, copyright, ownership & access ? What will be the role of nation mapping agencies in the supply & generation of data ? -How will new technologies affect the traditional methods of geographical data collection & compilation ? 4 GIS in the 1990s. (2) Conceptual GIS Issues : -How can data models represent the complexity of the real world more accurately ? -How can GIS cope with different types of data about our world, for example data that can not be represented by co-ordinates or pixels (sound, photographs, video & free-form text) ? How can GIS complement other technologies & techniques for handling these data ? -How can GIS database functions be linked with more advanced modeling capabilities, such as those available in other software ? -How can uncertainty in data sets & in analysis operations be dealt with ? 5 GIS in the 1990s. (3) Implementation & user issues : -How can GIS be made easier to use ? What makes an interface effective & appropriate ? -What are the costs & benefits of introducing GIS ? How can these be assessed ? -What is the impact of GIS on an organization ? What can be learned from successful & unsuccessful applications ? -How can GIS awareness be raised, & what education & training is necessary for organizations ? How can training in particular system be improved ? -How will the rigorous, objective perspective of GIS be adapted to the imprecise, subjective world of human reasoning & decision making ? 6 Twenty predictions for GIS (Adapted from : Rhind, 1992; Rhind et al., 1991) A. Conceptual & Technical Predictions : 1. Data models will be developed to handle 3D & time characteristics, & complex interactions between objects. 2. There will be new analysis & support functions to allow, for example, the tracking of data lineage or visual interaction with the stages in an analysis process. 3. There will be support for quality assurance & quality control. 4. Support for multimedia will become common. 5. GIS & GPS developments will occur. GIS & GPS will be integrated for data collection & compilation, & a decline in mass digitizing will be accompanied by growth in use of GPS. 6. Tools for visualizing 3D & time-dependent data will be developed. 7. There will be a convergence in general-purpose GIS, with most system running under Unix & functionality becoming more similar. 7 8. Sector-specific products will probability appear. Twenty predictions for GIS. (2) B. Market Predictions : 9. Vendors will attempt to differentiate products by efficiency of coding, friendship schemes & other means. 10. The bulk of the GIS market will be outside the USA. Europe & Japan will challenge American supremacy, & political factors will ensure that software & system creation will be carried out in multiple locations. 11. Users will want local customization of global products, for example translation into their own language. 12. There will be a growth in "value-added services". 8 Twenty predictions for GIS. (3) C. Data Predictions : 13. Digitizing will be done where it is cheapest. The peak off mass digitizing will be over in the USA & UK by 2000. 14. The data volume problem will disappear in some applications (due to, instance, CD-ROM) 15. Ownership of data will become an issue, & data issue will continue to be affected by government policies. 16. Concern over privacy & confidentiality of data will be an issue in socio-economic applications. 9 Twenty predictions for GIS. (4) D. Human & Organizational Predictions : 17. Improved techniques will become available for the GIS acquisition & project management process. 18. GIS will become part of wider management information system in many organizations. 19. The skills & professionalism of individuals involved will influence the success of applications. 20. Education & training will have to concentrate on setting & demonstrating standards as well as curriculum contents. 10 Progress on Conceptual & Technical Issues -The third & fourth dimensions are poorly catered for, & there is an overemphasis on the map & image presentation of spatial data. -Commercial systems using object-oriented data models are now available. -No widely used GIS with established methods for handling three-dimensional & temporal data, despite advances in related fields such as geological modeling. -Links to other software are often provided in GIS products. -Model & menu builders exist in some packages to allow integration of analysis from elsewhere, or the addition of new functions programmed by the user. -Visualization of both 3D & time data is also an area of research & development. -Data lineage tracking functions in some software have assisted quality control. 11 Progress on Conceptual & Technical Issues. (2) -GIS applications now include scanned images (for instance, pictures of property & assets), but sound & video are less common. -To be object-based spatial-nodal videos on the WWW -The integration of GIS & GPS has progressed further than Rhind perhaps to expected. -GPS receivers can frequently collect attribute as well as positional data, & field-base computing systems combining GIS & GPS technology allow direct plotting of data on a map base whilst in the field. -PC based products under Windows OS more popular than Unix. -Most systems can now handle rasters & vectors, & data exchange is standard. 12 Progress on Products & Markets -Develop products for different market sector, because of PCbased systems' development. -These handle specific applications & offer targeted functionality. -Hybrid GIS/CAD systems have emerged. -Other software products, including databases, spreadsheets & statistical analysis packages, have also been given mapping extensions. -The vendors need to differentiate their products to promote them to potential customers. -The market outside the USA is certainly expanding, such as Netherlands, UK & Australia. -Translation of products into languages such as Russian & Chinese. -Growth of users in Eastern Europe, Latin America, Africa & Far East. -Limited availability & poor quality of data can be a major obstacle, for example in Latin America. 13 Progress on Products & Markets (2) -Developments in GPS & Remote Sensing will help ease these data problems, & data availability is being assisted by the provision of some data sets freely over the Internet. -Consultant services to meet one-off applications have been an area of with particular expansion, some consultants also producing custom software. 14 Progress on Data Issues -In the USA & UK, as the national mapping agencies have completed the initial encoding of their resources, & many of the major utilities are completing their data capture programs. -The new challenges are in updating & revising these data. -In the digitizing of UK population census boundaries was put out to tender and subcontracted to more than one organization to ensure the quality & competitiveness. -Mass digitizing moving to Far East will not become a reality. -The development of automatic digitizing tools & increased resolution & availability of good aerial photography & satellite imagery offer alternative. -The data produced by digitizing need to be stored, & many of the digital data sets that have been created are huge. -In the USA, spatial information is regarded as public good, with access available to every citizen for a nominal charge. 15 Progress on human & Organizational Issues -The number of business applications of GIS has expanded, there has been a renewal of interest in making the business case for GIS. -GIS will become part of wider MIS in many organizations is certainly true for commercial applications. -Certainly training & educational opportunities have expanded. -In the UK, GIS has appeared in the National Curriculum. -In the USA, the NCGIA's core curriculum has been widely adopted in universities and colleges. -The vendors have been addressing the needs of the K-12 (Kindergarten to year 12) GIS curriculum. -Courses available at technician level, analyst level & manager level; by traditional study or distance learning; or even over the Internet. 16 WHERE NEXT for GIS # Can GIS be truly three-dimensional ? # Can real time GIS become reality ? # Can computers be used to model the interactions between features ? # Is there a better way of modeling geographical data than the current raster/vector/object-oriented paradigms ? # Are there other ways of representing space that do not rely on maps ? 17 WHERE NEXT for GIS. (2) Goodchild, 1995 considers that GIS are : -Two-dimensional with limited abilities to handle the third dimension -Static, with limited abilities to cope with temporal data -Good at capturing the physical position of objects -Offering a diverse & confusing set of the data models -Still dominated by the idea of a map, or view of a spatial database as a collection of digital maps. 18 Next GIS Applications -Maquire (1991) perhaps everyone use GIS every day for routine operations. -GIS infiltrating other areas of IT, such as spreadsheet, database & graphics packages. -Maps & mapping functions are available over the Internet to anyone who has a modem. -GIS is appearing in everyday use in other type applications. -All cars will have a navigation aid & map will be queried & retrieved over the Internet. -Virtual field trip are being developed as learning aid (Fisher et al., 1997) -Computer games offer exciting simulations of the real world with which user interact. 19 Next GIS Applications (2) -GIS are being mooted as tools for generating ideas, & for improving the participation of all players in the decision-making process. -Intelligent GIS will provide inputs to the highest level within organizations. -GIS is used for strategic advice, & systems required are customized, expensive products that will be provided by niche players in the GIS marketplace. 20 Next GIS Technology -Future users of GIS will expect systems with tools for multimedia, for real-time modeling of complex phenomena and for better representation of the real world. -Geographical Analysis Machine (GAM) might become more generally available. -Further development of open systems will be a major theme in coming years. 21 Emphasizing the Information -Highlighted barriers to the development of GIS, which focused in the main on data issues, such as referencing, standards & confidentiality. -The data mountain continues to grow, with data being collected at every opportunity. -More and more data have a spatial references. -There is a need for new techniques to use this data mountain resources. -Data issues are still foremost among problems & challenges for the future. 22 People & GIS -Two areas of skill & knowledge in the basic understanding of geographical phenomena : Spatial Thinking & High level Technical Skill. 23 Predictions for 21 Century -New & improved data models will be developed, especially for true 3D modeling, global data sets & temporal modeling -Developments in related fields will influence developments in GIS (For examples : AI, NN, Geocomputing, Spatial Statistics, Multimedia, VR, the Internet, Office Packages) -There will be a continued repackaging of products to meet sector-scientific needs, and with continued dominance of the PC, further expansion of the desktop market -There will be further additions to GIS functionality, For examples : Much-needed exploratory data analysis & error analysis. -Data collection and exchange will continue to be influenced by GPS development, coupled with future developments in satellite communication & data collection methods 24 Predictions for 21 Century. (2) -Peripherals such as high-quality printers will become widely available, possibly through online Internet Service Providers -Data storage will cease to be issue, although the development of real-time systems will challenge even the largest storage devices. -The ideas of interoperability, allowing the use of the most appropriate software tool for the solution of a particular problem, will extend to influence other areas of GIS, including data & education -New education & training products will be developed to address skill shortages for both potential users, the research & development needs of the GIS industry. 25 Penutup • Mahasiswa diharapkan telah mampu memperkirakan arah perkembangan dari SIG di masa yang akan datang . 26
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