Iraq Presentaion

Sho Murata, Andrew Vierra, Hitomi Inoue
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Key points from 1990~2003
Key Points from 2003~
Wheeler’s Criteria
Conclusion
02.Aug.1990 – Iraq invaded Kuwait
06.Aug.1990 – UNSC Resolution 661 adopted
which imposed economic sanctions
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Reaffirming Resolution 660
Noting Iraq‘s refusal to comply with
Resolution 660 and Kwait‘s right of selfdefence
The Council took steps to implement
international sanctions on Iraq under Chapter
VII of the UN Charter
- Resolution 660 (2.Aug.1990)
The Council condemned the invasion of Kuwait by
Iraq and demanded Iraq withdraw immediately and
unconditionally to positions as they were on 1.
August.
02.Aug.1990 – Iraq invaded Kuwait
06.Aug.1990 – UNSC Resolution 661 adopted
which imposed economic sanctions
17.Jan.1991 – USA, UK, France and others
launched war on Iraq
28.Feb.1991 – Iraqi Republican Guard expelled
from Kuwait
Declaration of cease-fire
03.Apr.1991 – UNSC Resolution 687 adopted
Foundation of UNSCOM
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Reminding Iraq of its obligations under the
Geneva Protocol and to unconditionally remove
and destroy all chemical and biological weapons
and ballistic missiles with a range greater than
150km.
Requesting Iraq submit, within 15 days, a report
declaring all locations of all the aforementioned
and agree to urgent, on-site inspection.
Requesting Iraq to abide by its obligations under
the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, agreeing
not to develop nuclear weapons and submitting
a report to the Secretary-General and IAEA within
15 days.
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Requesting the Secretary-General to submit,
within 3 days, a plan for the deployment of the
UN Iraq-Kuwait Observation Mission along the
demilitarised zone.
Requesting the Secretary-General to form a
special commission which shall carry out
immediate on-site inspection of Iraq‘s biological,
chemical and missile capabilities. → UNSCOM
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An inspection regime created by the UN with
the adoption of Resolution 687 to ensure
Iraq’s compliance with policies concerning
Iraqi production and use of weapons of mass
destruction after the Gulf War.
Until the UNSC saw that Iraq‘s weapons
programs had been aborted and Iraqi leaders
had allowed monitoring systems to be
installed, the UN‘s sanctions would continue
to be imposed on Iraq.
The Security Council,
1. Demands that Iraq comply fully with resolution 660
2.
(1990) and all subsequent relevant resolutions, and
decides, while maintaining all its decisions, to allow
Iraq one final opportunity, as a pause of goodwill,
to do so;
Authorizes Member States co-operating with the
Government of Kuwait, unless Iraq on or before 15
January 1991 fully implements, as set forth in
paragraph 1 above, the above-mentioned
resolutions, to use all necessary means to uphold
and implement resolution 660 (1990) and all
subsequent relevant resolutions and to restore
international peace and security in the area;
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British Defence Secretary, Geoff Hoon
- Not least because those weapons of mass
destruction might well be capable of posing a
threat to the UK, in which case we would be
entitled to act in self-defence.
British Foreign Office Minister, Ben Bradshaw
- Iraq is in flagrant breach, not only Security
Council Resolution that was the basis for the
Gulf War ceasefire, but of the ceasefire
agreement that it entered into at the end of
the Gulf War.
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Nothing in the present Charter shall impair the
inherent right of individual or collective selfdefence if an armed attack occurs against a
Member of the United Nations, until the Security
Council has taken measures necessary to
maintain international peace and security.
Measures taken by Members in the exercise of
this right of self-defence shall be immediately
reported to the Security Council and shall not in
any way affect the authority and responsibility
of the Security Council under the present
Charter to take at any time such action as it
deems necessary in order to maintain or restore
international peace and security.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Resolution 678 authorised the use of force to
expel Iraq from Kuwait in 1990
Resolution 678 also authorised the use of force
in support of the objectives and demands
contained in Resolution 687, in April 1991
Iraq has breached Resolution 687
by breaching Resolution 687, Iraq has reactivated the authorisation to use force
originating in Resolution 678
the authorisation to use force remains
delegated to the United States and Britain,
without reference to the Security Council
The Security Council,
Recalling and reaffirming its resolutions 660 (1990) of
2 August 1990, 661 (1990) of 6 August 1990, 662
(1990) of 9 August 1990, 664 (1990) of 18 August
1990, 665 (1990) of 25 August 1990, 666 (1990) of
13 September 1990, 667 (1990) of 16 September
1990, 669 (1990) of 24 September 1990, 670
(1990) of 25 September 1990, 674 (1990) of 29
October 1990 and 677 (1990) of 28 November
1990,
Noting that, despite all efforts by the United Nations,
Iraq refuses to comply with its obligation to
implement resolution 660 (1990) and the abovementioned subsequent relevant resolutions, in
flagrant contempt of the Security Council,
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Insisting Iraq allow access by international
humanitarian organizations to the areas
affected.
Demanding Iraq co-operate with the SecretaryGeneral and international organisations to
assist in humanitarian aid efforts.
02.Aug.1990 – Iraq invaded Kuwait
06.Aug.1990 – UNSC Resolution 661 adopted
which imposed economic sanctions
17.Jan.1991 – USA, UK, France and others
launched war on Iraq
28.Feb.1991 – Iraqi Republican Guard expelled
from Kuwait
Declaration of cease-fire
03.Apr.1991 – UNSC Resolution 687 adopted
Foundation of UNSCOM
15.Aug.1991 – UNSC Resolution 706 adopted
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Decide on a mechanism to allow Iraq to sell oil
in return for humanitarian aid from Member
States.
- Iraq could sell um to US$ 1,6 billion, following
approval of each sale by the Security Council
Committee.
⇒Iraq refused
claiming that it was a violation of its sovereignty
and that it imposed a guardianship on its people
30.Oct.1998 – Security Council refused to confirm
that economic sanctions would be lifted in the
event of verfied Iraqi disarmament
31.Oct.1998 – Iraq ceased cooperation with
UNSCOM.
11.Nov.1998 – UNSCOM staff were withdrawn
from Iraq on instruction from the United States.
14.Nov.1998 – Iraqi Government resumed
accepting inspectors from UNSCOM and IAEA.
15.Nov.1998 – UNSC confirmed cooperation by
Iraq.
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Allied forces destroyed the civilian infrastructure
which supported public health
- Value of destroyed infrastructure and economic
assets: USD232bn (Iran-Iraq war: 67bn)
- 18 of 20 power-generating plants were
rendered inoperable
*immediate postwar electricity was reduced to
4% of prewar levels
*water couldn‘t be purified and sewage
couldn‘t be treated, which let water-borne
disease flourish
*estimated mortality due to diarrhea during
both 1991 and 1992 were triple of 1990 levels
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*the death rate among children under five had
more than doubled during the period of
sanctions
- UNICEF Executive Director Carol Bellamy:
There would have been half a million fewer
deaths of children during the period 1991 to
1998 if substantial reduction in child mortality
throughout Iraq during the 1980s had continued
Article 54, Section 2
- It is prohibited to attack, destroy, remove or
render useless objects indispensable to the
survival of the civilian poulation or to the
adverse Party, whatever the motive, whether
in order to starve out civilians, to cause them
to move away, or for any other motive.
Europe‘s Position
US‘s Position
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Saddam Hussein is a brutal
dictator who has defied
UNSC resolutions for over a
decade.
Perpetuation of the status
quo
- sanctions on Iraq
- no-fly zones
- the presence of Western
troops in Saudi Arabia
is itself a cause of
terrorism.
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Iraq is a problem, but
using force is not the
answer.
Invasion of Iraq could
lead to a long-term
occupation that would
actually provoke more
terrorism.
Europe‘s Position
US‘s Position
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Iraq could be conquered,
stabilized, and even
democratized, like Japan
and Germany after the
Second World War.
If Saddam Hussein were
removed, democracy
could flourish in the
Middle East.
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Considering postwar Iraq,
we should think more
about Lebanon and
Algeria than Germany
and Japan.
Iraq‘s ethnically divided
population
resentful Shiite majority
artificial borders
Unequally allocated
natural resources
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1937 Born in Al-Awja.
1957 Dropped out of an law school and
joined the revolutionary pan-Arab Ba’ath
Party.
1963 Through a coup d’état supported by
CIA, Ba’ath Party came into power.
1968 Appointed as vice-president.
Extended the secret police network and urged
elimination and massacre of objectors.
1972 President Bakr declared nationalization
of petroleum.
⇒President Nixon immediately maneuvered
to withdraw.
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1975 Hussein and Shah agreed to alienate dominion
over Shatt al-Arab to Iran.
Because of huge deposits of petroleum in Middle
East, the US worried about intensification of USSR
power there, and as long as the river dominated by
Shah, dominated by the US, American national
interest would be secured.
1979 Due to rising Anti-American Nationalism and
fundamentalism, Shah lost dominion over Iran.
US National Security Advisor Zbigniew Kazimierz
Brzeziński officialy ordered Iraq to attack
Iran and regain the river.
Reagan regime started active support for
Hussein.
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UN weapons inspector in Iraq
in the UNSCOM (1991-1998)
Critic of US foreign policy
in the Middle East
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By December 1998, Iraq had been disarmed to a
level demanded in UNSC Resolution.
90 to 95 percent of MDW in Iraq were put into
the discard verifiably.
There is no evidence that Iraq still posesses the
other 5 to 10 percent of MDW.
Even if Iraq still posesses them, even
development plan cannot be made.
By the time that UNSCOM inspetion was
suspended, 100 percent of infrastructure and
plants to develop nuclear weapons were put into
the discard.
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President Vladimir Putin: We know which nations’
representatives and citizens were fighting alongside
the Taliban, and where their activities were financed
from. Iraq is not on the list.
Michael Griffin, author of Reaping the Whirlwind, a
study of the Taliban: when you study lists of
suspects in previous al Qaeda operations, you find
Syrians, Jordanians, Yemenis, Egyptians, Saudis, but
no Iraqis, Iranians, Afghans, or Libyans.
British Joint Intelligence Committee dossier: British
intelligence sources say that despite attempts by the
CIA and FBI to find links between Osama bin Laden’s
al Qaeda network and Iraq, the British dossier does
not refer to them because there is no evidence to
back up the US claims.
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Denzil Davies (former Labour Shadow Defence
Secretary)
Douglas Hurd (former Conservative Foreign
Secretary)
King Abdullah of Jordan
Malcolm Harper (Director of the British United
Nations Association)
President Chirac
Cancellor Schröder
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the leader of the Supreme Council for Islamic
Resistance in Iraq, the most effective opposition
guerrilla group in Iraq: Do not take military
action against Saddam Hussein without United
Nations approval.
The Kuwaiti Defence Minister, Sheikh Jaber alHamad al-Sabah: Kuwait does not support
threats to hit Iraq or to launch an attack against
it. Our acceptance for this matter is conditional
on an international blanket decision within the
global organization.
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Began March 20, 2003
May 1, 2003 “Mission Accomplished”
It has been said that all troops will be withdrawn by end of this year (8
years after Mission Accomplished)
109,032 deaths including 66,081 civilian deaths
According to The New York Times, "he [Saddam] murdered as many as a
million of his people, many with poison gas. He tortured, maimed and
imprisoned countless more. His unprovoked invasion of Iran is estimated
to have left another million people dead. His seizure of Kuwait threw the
Middle East into crisis.”
Estimated 800,000 deaths caused by Saddam not counting the Iran-Iraq
war. Estimated number of Iraqis killed 300,000-600,00
Estimates as to the number of Kurds he massacred vary from 70,000 to
300,000
Estimates as to the number killed in the put-down of the 1991 rebellion
vary from 60,000 to 200,000.
Estimates for the number of dead in the Iran-Iraq war range upwards
from 300,000.
Deaths
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
Deaths
200,000
0
A Graph
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March 2003 War in Iraq begins
War on Terror!
April 9th Baghdad falls,
ending Hussein’s 24 year rule
May 1st President Bush delivers
mission accomplished speech.
Captured on 13
December 2003 in
Operation Red
Dawn
The Trial Of
Saddam Took
Place underneath
the Iraqi Interim
Government
5th of November
2006 convicted
and sentenced to
death by hanging.
The Capture of Saddam
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Received public attention after coming to
public attention through 60 Minutes news
report on April 28th 2004
CPA (Coalition
Provisional
Authority)
Invested with
executive,
legislative and
judicial authority
over the Iraqi
government
from April 2003
to June 2004
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Took Office May 20, 2006
General Election December 2005
Role of Iraqi National Assembly
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Proposed 21,500 more troops for Iraq
1.2 Billion dollars in reconstruction proposals
Varying opinions on success in the surge of
troops
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All U.S Soldiers will be out of Iraq by December
31, 2011
Possibly a justification or approval of the U.S
occupation of Iraq
"The Security Agreement addresses our presence,
activities, and withdrawal from Iraq", Bush said.
He continued that "two years ago, this day
seemed unlikely - but the success of the surge
and the courage of the Iraqi people set the
conditions for these two agreements to be
negotiated and approved by the Iraqi parliament.”
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War on Terror
Shot and killed in Pakistan on May 2, 2011
Man on the Moon
Sacrilegious
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On April 30, 2009 The United Kingdom
withdrew
On July 28, 2009 Australia withdrew its
military presence in Iraq
The U.S claims it will be out of Iraq by the end
of this year
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In 632 A.D Shiites believed that Muhammad's
cousin Ali should be have been Muhammad’s
successor whereas Sunnis supported an
older more experienced member of the
community
War Led to a huge divide between Sunnis and
Shiites as U.S supported the Sunnis
Before the war they coexisted peacefully
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The International community failed to
recognize that some states may act preemptively and did not provide an adequate
framework for pre-emptive action against
such groups as terrorists with weapons of
mass destruction.
U.S Vulnerability
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Began March 20, 2003
May 1, 2003 “Mission Accomplished”
It has been said that all troops will be withdrawn by end of this year (8
years after Mission Accomplished)
109,032 deaths including 66,081 civilian deaths
According to The New York Times, "he [Saddam] murdered as many as a
million of his people, many with poison gas. He tortured, maimed and
imprisoned countless more. His unprovoked invasion of Iran is estimated
to have left another million people dead. His seizure of Kuwait threw the
Middle East into crisis.”
Estimated 800,000 deaths caused by Saddam not counting the Iran-Iraq
war. Estimated number of Iraqis killed 300,000-600,00
Estimates as to the number of Kurds he massacred vary from 70,000 to
300,000
Estimates as to the number killed in the put-down of the 1991 rebellion
vary from 60,000 to 200,000.
Estimates for the number of dead in the Iran-Iraq war range upwards
from 300,000.
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http://www.shelleytherepublican.com/wpcontent/uploads/2007/04/mission_accomplishe
d.jpg
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/common
s/thumb/f/f1/Iraq,_Saddam_Hussein_%28222%2
9.jpg/220pxIraq,_Saddam_Hussein_%28222%29.jpg
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/05/07/ir
aq/main616081.shtml?tag=mncol;lst;2 (abuse)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Republican_pal
ace_baghdad_iraq.jpg
Wheeler’s Criteria
Hitomi
Sho
Andrew
1 Supreme
humanitarian
emergency
×
△
×△
2Necessity/Last Resort
×
×
×
3 Proportionality
×
△
△
4Positive Humanitarian
Outcome
△
△×
△
1 Humanitarian Motives ×
×
×
2 Humanitarian
Justifications
△
×
△×
3 Legality
×
×
△×
4 Selectivity
×
△
×
Threshold Criteria
Additional Criteria
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Although there was genocide against the
Kurds in 1998, there was no ongoing or
imminent mass slaughter in Iraq.
“in March 2003, Saddam Hussein faced anything but a clear path
to resumed mass slaughter. Boxed in by sanctions and no-fly
zones, he lacked the capacity to launch the kinds of major
military operations that had characterized his past murderous
outbursts without attracting the immediate attention of
governments with substantial military assets in region
(Roth, 86 )”
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The U.S. have decided to intervene because
Iraq’s report about WMD by IAEA was
inadequate, In a sense the US was looking for
the good reason to begin the Iraq War to
punish Saddam Hussein.
U.S was extending the number of troops in
January before the submission of the report.
Other possible ways to solve the problem
e.g. postpone the investigation
criminal prosecution
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Because of the high technology, the US
overwhelmed Iraq, and smoothly invaded Iraq
with smaller number of troops in Iraq.
However, as Roth notes,
“understaffing was only compounded by the failure
to deploy an adequate number of troops trained in
policing(89)”
Given that Iraq invaded Iraq on the pretext of
rescuing Iraqi people, giving inadequate number of
troops trained in policing is the U.S’S failure.
Iraq 1991
Iraq 2003
・”Powell Doctrine”
・660,000 soldiers
・263,000 soldiers
U.S. army and navy 100,000
UK army 30,000
Intelligence : U.S. 214,000
U.K 45,000
Australia 2000
Poland 2400
・Introduction of high efficient arms
・19th March to 1st , 44 days
・Introduction of mass
weapons and people
・17th January to 3rdMarch
Short-term Outcome
・The US failed to improve the public safety,
adequate food supply, and construction of
infrastructure.
・Lack of human resource to assist.
・looting, violence was rampant
⇒state of anarchy
Mid-term Outcome
 Democracy in the hand of Iraqi people
date
28th Civil
June, 2004
War
history
Control and
sovereignty
of
Iraq is handed over
between
Shias
and
Sunni
from the United States to an interim Iraqi
government
30th January, 2005
Election of Iraqi Transitional Government for the
Constitution
15th October, 2005
Referendum for the permanent Constitution
December, 2005
An Iraqi National assembly was elected in
December, with participation from the Sunnis as
well as the Kurds and Shia
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Unstable political situation
Sectarian violence,
August 14, 2007 Yazidi communities bombing
in North part of Iraq caused 796 and wounded
1,562 people
refugees
As of November 4, 2006, the United Nations
High Commissioner for Refugees estimated that
1.8 million Iraqis had been displaced to
neighboring countries, and 1.6 milliions were
displace internally, with nearly 100,000 Iraqis
fleeing to Syria and Jordan each month
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“Governments that intervene to stop mass
slaughter inevitably act for other reason as
well, but a dominant humanitarian
intervention is important (Roth,88)”
Although there are some concerns about the
Iraqi people under Fussein’s regime, there
were more motivation such as,
・punish Iraq for possessing WMD (which had no convincing
evidence )
・transform Iraq to democratic nation in Middle East
・to protect the U.S. from terrorist attack
・Secure the oil resource in Iraq
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American exceptionalism “The Bush Doctrine”
“the long-standing belief of successive American
governments that it is a carrier of universal values,
which the United States has a historic responsibility
to protect” (Wheeler,185)
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Event in 9/11 and its fear
“the administration’s belief that the United States
is uniquely threatened after 9/11, and thus is
justified in exempting itself from the ordinary legal
rules.” (185)
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The U.S. invasion was not approved by Security
Council.
The contradictory interpretation of Resolution 1441
The U.S: it enabled the automatic use of force in the
event of non compliance
France: force could only be used when inspectors
had reported back to the Security Council for a
further decision
⇒but, there is no “authorization” in the Resolution
1441.
“pre-emptive self-defence”
UN Chater 51
“If an armed attack occurs against a Member of
the United Nations”
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Some international lawyers argue that a right of
anticipatory self-defense exists in customary
international law (190)
⇒However, the U.S. failed to demonstrate that
Iraq was posing a threat prior to invasion.
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The U.S was determined intervene Iraq,
whether Iraq submitted the adequate report
or not.
70 percent of the U.S. people supported the
intervention just before the war began.
Wheeler’s Criteria
Hitomi
Sho
Andrew
1 Supreme
humanitarian
emergency
×
△
×△
2Necessity/Last Resort
×
×
×
3 Proportionality
×
△
△
4Positive Humanitarian
Outcome
△
△×
△
1 Humanitarian Motives ×
×
×
2 Humanitarian
Justifications
△
×
△×
3 Legality
×
×
△×
4 Selectivity
△
△
×
Threshold Criteria
Additional Criteria