Daily Iraq July 05, 2014 Significant Events Sixteen killed and 28 wounded in a suicide car bombing on army HQ south of Samarra. IS leader ‘Caliphe Ibrahim’ (Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi) leads prayers in Mosul and demands all Muslims obey him. No reports of a downed plane as Iranian pilot is reportedly killed in the Samarra area ‘defending Shi’a shrine’. Further clashes and airstrikes at Baiji Oil Refinery - facility still closed but under government control. IS destroying Shi’a mosques and churches in Nineveh and threatens Mosul Dam and oil fields. Dhi Qar electricity protesters temporarily blocked the main Nasiriya to Basra route. Internal tribal confrontation in central Basra: shots fired, no casualties. Key Dates 19 July : Martyrdom Imam Ali 28 July : End of Ramadan 29 July : Eid al-Fitr 3 Nov : Ashura xplored.garda-world.com Page 1/6 Daily Iraq July 05, 2014 Flashpoints and Outlook Summaries Flashpoints North: ISIS advance closer to the Kurdish/Arab ‘trigger line.’ Kurdish Peshmerga/Iraqi Army clashes in disputed areas. Destabilising influx of refugees into KRG. Centre: Sunni/Shi’a political crisis descending into violence. Increase in Iranian-backed militia activity. South: Intra-Shi’a fighting as factions vying for dominance with rival successors to Grand Ayatollah Sistani. Increased ISIS bombing frequency, bringing increasing reprisals against the Sunni community. Outlook Short: GoI prepares response to ISIS overrun of Mosul and Salah ad Din. Kirkuk in hands of Peshmerga and more Peshmerga ISIS clashes anticipated. Medium: International momentum to provide some form of assistance to Iraq’s failing ISF and failing government structures. Reactive engagement of PM Maliki to Sunni elements prepared to negotiate. Media Headlines Iranian pilot ‘killed fighting in Iraq’: state media : An Iranian pilot has been killed while fighting in Iraq, state media reported Saturday, in what is thought to be Tehran’s first military casualty during battles against Islamic State jihadists. Iran’s official news agency did not say if the pilot died while flying sorties or fighting on the ground. It said Colonel Mourjani was killed while “defending” Shiite Muslim holy sites in the city of Samarra, north of Baghdad. His death comes after Iran’s declarations that it will provide its western neighbour with whatever it needs to counter the Sunni militants who are laying siege to the Shiite-led government of PM Maliki. Samarra is a major flashpoint in the fighting and is home to the Shiite Al-Askari shrine which was bombed by Al-Qaeda in February 2006, sparking a bloody SunniShiite sectarian war that killed tens of thousands. The reports of the pilot’s death came as Iranian officials insist their assistance is not in the form of troops, but rather of weapons and equipment if Iraq asks for them. AFP : xplored.garda-world.com Page 2/6 Daily Iraq July 05, 2014 National Reporting & North Region National Reporting Iranian involvement in Iraq is becoming more visible as the Islamic State ‘caliphate’ begins to pose an increasing threat to Tehran's regional interests. According to media reports, an Iranian delegation is meeting with officials from regional rivals, Saudi Arabia, to discuss a mutually acceptable compromise candidate to replace PM Maliki. Iranian Republican Guard leader General Suleimani had earlier drawn up a list of possible candidates. Meanwhile a state funeral was held in Iran for a Republican Guard pilot killed in action near Samarra. The colonel was possibly directing airstrikes by Iranian Air Force bombers operating out of Imam Ali Air Base near Nasiriya. The funeral was the first admission of Iran’s direct involvement. Following the safe release of thirty two Turkish truck drivers by IS, today the group freed five Turkish men described in the media as ‘protection staff’ from the group of Turkish nationals captured by IS from the Turkish Consular facility in Mosul. Kurdish Regional Issues The Sulaymaniya-Kirkuk road was blocked by angry drivers today. Last night minor demonstrations were reported in Erbil. The KRG is implementing a ration card system and unregistered drivers are being refused fuel as gas stations. Northern Iraq In Nineveh IS is systematically destroying all Shi’a and Christian shrines, including the ancient grave of the Prophet Jonah and the shrine of Prophet Seth. In online postings it has also threatened to destroy the Mosul Dam and burn captured oil fields if attacked by Iraqi/foreign forces. The campaign is part of a wider strategy to cleanse the ‘caliphate’ of minorities and Sunni opponents. The threats of a ‘scorched earth’ policy shows IS is now focused on defending its territorial gains. In Kirkuk province IS kidnapped a prominent Sheikh who had refused to pledge allegiance to the organisation. IS demanded that the Sheikh handover 20 vehicles and 500 weapons. In nearby Hawijah some Sunni Arab tribal elements are resisting IS rule, two attacks were launched last night against IS patrols by the Sahwa militiamen. Casualty figures were not reported following clashes between the two armed elements. As the army’s Tikrit offensive remains stalled IS is attacking its rear. Today a suicide car bomber struck an army HQ south of Samarra, killing 16 soldiers and wounding 28 more. Further north, in Baiji IS assaulted the oil refinery, which is being held by Baghdad special forces. The attack was repelled with airstrikes. An army spokesman gave the unlikely casualty figure of 500 insurgents killed. Heavy fighting continues in the Turkmen village of Bashir, 30km south of Kirkuk. After a failed Shi’a militia assault on IS strongholds last week, IS is now advancing. Casualty figures were not reported last night following an assault against a nearby Peshmerga HQ. Local media reported that up to 700 Shi’a Turkmen residents have fled the area but many are stuck at the Kurdish border. Baghdad has sent aircraft to Erbil to airlift those who made it though down to Najaf. xplored.garda-world.com Page 3/6 Daily Iraq July 05, 2014 West, South & Central Regions Western Iraq In Anbar IS has destroyed a bridge on the main highway to Baghdad. The strategic bridge was collapsed on former Route Mobile in Saqlawiya. In the centre of Ramadi this afternoon, three policemen and four Sahwa militiamen were killed when IS fighters attacked their joint checkpoint position. Southern Iraq In Babel last night IS shelled the federal forces HQ in Jurf al Sakhr, killing four and wounding 19. In Dhi Qar protesters temporarily blocked the main Nasiriya to Basra route this morning over electricity shortages. Power has been intermittent for two days in the area due to systems failures. More protests are likely as the authorities struggle to maintain the overburdened system. In a related report, the Maysan Electricity Commission head has announced that power will be cut to the province due to problems on the Iranian side of the border. The head of Maysan’s “political prisoners’ regiment” said that over 200 volunteers have been sent to fight in Anbar and five have been killed so far. In northern Basra province a new militia has been formed by tribal groups. The “Mujahidin Movement of the Basra Marshes” claims to have over 1000 members who are equipped with the “best weapons.” A spokesman said the militia was formed in accordance with the new government regulations, but did not say if it was approved by the authorities. Local sources in Basra city report that militia officials “from the North” are renting villas and looking to buy weapons and B6 armoured vehicles. So far there has been no friction with the Basra militias, but the men’s presence has been noted. This evening local media are reporting separate IED and VBIED detonations in busy areas of Basra City. Casualties figures and damage are unclear at this stage. Baghdad The Baghdad Provincial Council has formally asked the Baghdad Operations Command to intervene in the spiraling cases of militia abductions and murder of civilians. With the tacit approval of the police, the Militias are raiding neighborhoods in “anti-terrorism operations” and taking mostly Sunni men away for “questioning” - some of whom have not been returned to their homes and whose whereabouts remain unknown. xplored.garda-world.com Page 4/6 Daily Iraq July 05, 2014 Acronyms AAH - Asaib Ahl al Haq (League of the Righteous - Iranian-backed Shi'a militia) AAS - Ansar Al Sunna (Sunni insurgent group) AQ - Al Qaeda in Iraq AQ/ISIL - Al Qaeda in Iraq/Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant BaOC - Basra Operational Command BOC - Baghdad Operational Command BIAP - Baghdad International Airport CDF - Civil Defense Force CoP - Chief of Police CP - Check Point CPX - Complex Attack (an attack using multiple weapon systems) CQA - Close Quarter Assassination/Attack CoR - Council of Representatives (Iraqi Parliament) DBS - Drive by Shooting DoS - US Department of State ECP - Entry Control Point (IZ, BIAP) EFP - Explosively Formed Projectile EOD - Explosive Ordinance Disposal (Bomb Squad) ERB - Emergency Response Battalion (Iraqi Police) FoM - Freedom of Movement FP - Federal Police GoI - Government of Iraq HG - Hand Grenade (e.g. fragmentation) HME - Home Made Explosive HMG - Heavy Machine Gun HVT - High Value Target/s IA - Iraqi Army IDF - Indirect Fire (e.g. Mortars/Rockets) xplored.garda-world.com IPS - Iraqi Police Service ISCI - Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq (Shi'a party headed by al-Hakim) IOC - International Oil Company IRGC-QF - Iranian Republican Guard-Quds Force (responsible for external operations: sponsor of Shi'a proxy militias) IRL - Improvised Rocket Launcher IRAM - Improvised Rocket Assisted Mortar ISF - Iraqi Security Forces ISI - Islamic State of Iraq (Sunni Extremists, AQ affiliates) IVCP - Illegal Vehicle Check Point IVO - In Vicinity Of IZ - International Zone JAM - Jaish al-Mahdi, aka Mahdi Army (al-Sadr's militia) JRTN - Jaish Rijal Tariq al-Naqshbandia (former Ba'athist officers insurgent group) KH - Kataib Hezbollah (Shi'a militia) KDP - Kurdistan Democratic Party (KRG Pres Barzani's party) LN - Local National/Iraqi Civilian MAIED - Magnetically attached IED (aka UVIED) MEK - Peoples' Mujahidin of Iran, aka MKO (Saddam sponsored dissi-dent group in exile in Iraq) NEC - US New Embassy Compound, IZ, Baghdad NFDK - No Further Details Known NGO - Non-Governmental Organisation (aid/charity) MoD - Ministry of Defence MoFA - Ministry of Foreign Affairs MoI - Ministry of Interior MoT - Ministry of Transportation PDB - Promised Day Brigade (al-Sadr's personal militia) PKK - Kurdistan Workers' Party (IKR militia fighting in Turkey) PoI - Point of Impact (for IDF) PoO - Point of Origin (for IDF) PSC - Private Security Company PSD - Personal Security Detail PUK - Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (President Talabani's party) RTA - Road Traffic Accident RPG - Rocket Propelled Grenade SAF - Small Arms Fire SAFIRE - Surface to Air FIRE Sahwa/SoI - Sahwa/Sons of Iraqi (Militia wing of Sunni tribal Awakening Council). SoL - State of Law (PM Maliki's Shi'a-led coalition) SVEST - Suicide Vest Bomber/Attack TTP - Tactics, Techniques and Procedures USF-I - US Forces-Iraq (until December 2011) USM-I - US Mission Iraq (DoS & DoD) UVIED - Under-Vehicle IED UXO - Unexploded Ordinance VBIED - Vehicle Borne Improvised Explosive Device IED - Improvised Explosive Device IKR - Iraqi Kurdish Region For more information on this report please contact: Daniel Watson Risk Analysis Manager +964 (0) 7826 226945 [email protected] Page 5/6 Daily Iraq July 05, 2014 Contact Information For more information on how our services can support your business in Iraq contact: T +971 (0)4 453 8502 M +44 (0) 7780475944 M +971 (0) 56 644 2122 Skype dan.menard_gw Email Daniel Ménard Daniel Ménard Managing Director Middle East/North Africa (MENA) GardaWorld Information Services Our Information Services team provides members of the defence, diplomatic, development, oil & gas and infrastructure sector operating in potentially high-risk and complex environments with a comprehensive range of risk analysis, intelligence, crisis response, and training services. 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