Use of AMPS in Queen Maud Land Area June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 1! DROMLAN weather forecast service Case study: blizzard at Novolazarevskaya runway on the 1st of Febuary 2006 June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 2! 7/15/14! Hartwig Gernandt Weather Forecast at Neumayer ! 3! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 4! User in the DROMLAN community Do 228 ships traverses Basler DC-3 Iljushin76 June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! C-130 5! User in the DROMLAN community Special Thanks from all the forecasters on RV POLARSTERN ..... .......for the AMPS products via Email! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 6! forecast area Westbound: Eastbound: contact with BAS/ forecaster at Rothera June 13, 2006! contact with USAP/forecaster at McMurdo or Casey/Davis Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 7! DROMLAN weather forecast service was established in season 2002/2003 to provide forecasts for intercontinental/feeder flights and other weather dependent activities! forecast centre is Neumayer Station! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 8! products and service Every season more than 2500 forecasts have been worked and transmitted to DROMLAN partners! Twice daily forecasts for all stations, field parties, traverses, ships! Individual forecasts for aircrafts ! Service is available 24 hours (office hours are 05:00 to 22:00, „one man show“) ! communication and distribution via email, HF, VHF, Iridium, telephone, fax! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 9! Forecast Base Neumayer Station! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 10! ....on top!! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 11! Case study: blizzard at Novo runway on the 1st of Feb 2006 Flight with Iljushin 76 from Cape Town to Novo runway ! ETD Cape Town 31st of January at 23:00 UTC! ETA Novo runway 1st of Febuary at 05:00 UTC! due to AMPS and ECMWF forecasts flight was delayed for 2nd of Febuary in the afternoon or night!! This was done 2 days ahead!!! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 12! Case study: blizzard at Novo runway on the 1st of Feb 2006 WEATHER INFORMATION FROM NOVO RUNWAY 18:00 UTC AIR TEMPERATURE WIND SPEED (m/s) WIND DIRECTION AIR PRESSURE CLOUD AMOUNT (octas) CLOUD CELLING (m) VISIBILITY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER REMARKS CONTRAST & HORIZON June 13, 2006! 08:00 UTC January, 31 -5.4 C 11.3 100 918.8 hPa 2/0/0 -/-/>20 km good February, 01 AIR TEMPERATURE WIND SPEED (m/s) -6.7 C 18.4 WIND DIRECTION AIR PRESSURE CLOUD AMOUNT (octas) CLOUD CELLING (m) 115 918.3 hPa ?/?/8 -/-/1850 VISIBILITY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER REMARKS CONTRAST & HORIZON 350 m snowdrift nil Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 13! Case study: blizzard at Novo runway on the 1st of Feb 2006 WEATHER INFORMATION FROM NOVO RUNWAY 18:30 UTC February, 01 07:00 UTC February, 02 AIR TEMPERATURE WIND SPEED (m/s) -5.4 C 20.4 AIR TEMPERATURE WIND SPEED (m/s) -5.5 C 13,5 WIND DIRECTION AIR PRESSURE CLOUD AMOUNT (octas) CLOUD CELLING (m) VISIBILITY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER REMARKS CONTRAST & HORIZON 115 919.6 hPa ?/?/? -/-/? 50 m blizzard nil WIND DIRECTION AIR PRESSURE CLOUD AMOUNT (octas) CLOUD CELLING (m) VISIBILITY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER REMARKS CONTRAST & HORIZON 110 922,3 hPa ?/?/? -/-/? 500 m snowdrift nil June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 14! Case study: blizzard at Novo runway on the 1st of Feb 2006 WEATHER INFORMATION FROM NOVO RUNWAY 12:00 UTC February, 02 .....no landing conditions on the 1st and 2nd February in the morning! ! AIR TEMPERATURE WIND SPEED (m/s) -3.6 C 7,2 WIND DIRECTION AIR PRESSURE CLOUD AMOUNT (octas) CLOUD CELLING (m) VISIBILITY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER REMARKS CONTRAST & HORIZON 100 922,1 hPa ?/8/0 -/1430/10 km mod June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 15! AMPS 27th - 00 UTC June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 16! ECMWF 27th -00 UTC June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 17! Forecast AMPS 30th - 12 UTC June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 18! Forecast ECMWF 30th - 12 UTC June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 19! Final decision: Canceling flight with Iljushin 76 arriving on the 1st in the morning!! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 20! Forecast AMPS 31st - 00 UTC June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 21! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 22! ......good job done by AMPS and ECMWF!!!! - safety - costs June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 23! AMPS and ECMWF AMPS + surface winds + meteograms show cloud layers + cross sections + and a lot more individual forecast products June 13, 2006! EMWF + EPS-meteogram Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 24! Thank you! June 13, 2006! Ralf Brauner/AWI/DWD! 25!
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