22 22 CDM 23 3 目次 略語 第1章 1.1. 基礎情報 ...................................................................................................... 1 プロジェクト概要 ........................................................................................ 1 1.1.1. 概要....................................................................................................... 1 1.1.2. 提案プログラム CDM の適用条件.......................................................... 2 1.1.3. プロジェクト適用技術 .......................................................................... 3 1.1.4. 第一号 CPA 案件概要 ............................................................................ 4 1.2. 企画立案の背景 ............................................................................................ 4 1.2.1. 企画立案の背景 ..................................................................................... 4 1.2.2. 本プロジェクトにおけるプログラム CDM の意義と課題 ......................... 5 1.3. スリランカ基礎情報 ..................................................................................... 5 1.3.1. 概要....................................................................................................... 5 1.3.2. 政治....................................................................................................... 6 1.3.3. 和平問題................................................................................................ 6 1.3.4. 経済概況................................................................................................ 7 1.4. スリランカにおけるエネルギー概況 ............................................................ 7 1.5. グリシディアの特徴 ..................................................................................... 9 1.6. 関連する法制度 .......................................................................................... 12 1.6.1. 環境影響評価制度 ............................................................................... 12 1.6.2. グリシディア推進政策 ........................................................................ 14 1.7. スリランカにおける CDM 関連政策・状況等 ............................................... 14 1.7.1. スリランカにおける CDM 体制 ........................................................... 14 1.7.2. CDM プロジェクト承認プロセス ........................................................ 15 1.7.3. スリランカにおける CDM プロジェクト ............................................. 16 第 2 章 調査内容 ....................................................................................................... 18 2.1. 調査実施体制 ............................................................................................. 18 2.2. 調査課題 .................................................................................................... 19 2.3. 調査内容 .................................................................................................... 20 2.3.1. 現地調査スケジュール ........................................................................ 20 2.3.2. 有効化審査対象事業者の特定(課題 1) ............................................. 20 2.3.3. エネファブ社 ガス化設備に関する課題(課題 2) ........................... 21 2.3.4. PoA 運営体制構築(課題 3)............................................................... 30 2.3.5. バイオマス発生量/需要量の把握(課題 4) ........................................... 31 2.3.6. PDD 修正作業/有効化審査対応(課題 5) ......................................... 37 2.3.7. 追加性確立手法に関する課題(課題 6) ............................................. 39 第 3 章 プログラム CDM に関する一般事項 ................................................................ 41 3.1. プログラム CDM に関する一般事項 ........................................................... 41 3.2. PoA-DD 及び CPA-DD に記載すべき事項 ................................................... 42 3.3. プログラム CDM の現状と課題 .................................................................. 44 第 4 章 ベースラインシナリオ .................................................................................. 45 4.1. ベースライン方法論 ................................................................................... 45 4.1.1. 方法論の適用条件 ............................................................................... 45 4.1.2. バイオマス利用に関する考慮事項 ....................................................... 45 4.2. プロジェクトバウンダリー ........................................................................ 53 4.2.1. PoA........................................................................................................... 53 4.2.2. CPA........................................................................................................... 53 4.3. 4.3.1. ベースラインシナリオの設定と追加性の証明 ............................................ 54 ベースラインシナリオ ............................................................................ 54 4.3.2. 追加性の証明 .......................................................................................... 54 第 5 章 モニタリング計画 ......................................................................................... 56 5.1. モニタリング計画 ...................................................................................... 56 5.2. モニタリング体制 ...................................................................................... 58 第 6 章 温室効果ガス排出削減効果........................................................................... 60 6.1. ベースライン排出量 ................................................................................... 60 6.2. プロジェクト排出量 ................................................................................... 60 6.3. リーケージ ................................................................................................. 63 6.4. 温室効果ガス排出削減量............................................................................ 63 第7章 コベネフィットに関する調査結果 ............................................................. 66 第8章 持続可能な開発への貢献 ............................................................................ 68 第9章 利害関係者コメント ................................................................................... 71 第 10 章 事業性評価.................................................................................................. 73 10.1. 本プロジェクトの実施体制 ........................................................................ 73 10.2. プロジェクト実施期間/クレジット獲得期間 .............................................. 73 10.3. 実施スケジュール ...................................................................................... 74 10.4. 経済性分析 ................................................................................................. 74 10.5. 第 11 章 資金計画 .................................................................................................... 76 事業化に向けた課題 ................................................................................... 79 資料編 添付資料 1: CDM SSC-POA-DD 添付資料 2: CDM SSC-CPA-DD (ライオンビール社) 添付資料 3: CDM SSC-CPA-DD (Template) BEASL Bio Energy Association of Sri Lanka, CCD Climate Change Division, CDM Clean Development Mechanism, CEB Ceylon Electric Board, CER Certified Emission Reduction C/ME Coordinating/Managing Entity, CPA CDM Programme Activities, CDM CPA-DD CDM DNA Designated National Authority, DOE Designated Operational Entity, EIA Environment Impact Assessment, FAO Food and Agriculture Organization, GHG Greenhouse Gas, IEE Initial Environmental Examination, IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency, PDD Project Design Document, PIN Project Idea Note PoA Programme of Activities, PoA-DD SEA Sustainable Energy Authority, UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, 1 1.1. 1.1.1. Gliricidia sepium CDM1 Programme of Activities: PoA Lion Brewery Ceylon Limited. CDM Programme Activities: CDM CPA PoA CPA 6,468tCO2/ PoA CPA 4,400tCO2/ 10,868tCO2/ 40 PoA CPA 300 2,000k 1- 1 PoA ( C/ME) Association of Sri Lanka, BEASL) PoA 1 (Bio-Energy PoA CPA Clean Development Mechanism 1 C/ME PoA C/ME PoA BEASL PoA PoA CPA CPA CDM CPA 1-1 PDD 1- 1 I.C.(ver.18) AM0042 45MWh 1 CPA 2011 5 2011 12 CDM (Bio Energy Association of Sri Lanka, BEASL) 1.1.2. PoA CDM I.C. (Ver 18) AM0042 PoA 2 1- 2 PoA a. I.C.(ver.18) b. (EB23, Annex18) c. d. e. 45MWth f. CDM-SSC-PoA-DD A.4.2.2. g. CDM h. i. PoA CPA C/ME 1 j. k. CPA PoA Web 2011 1 29 1.1.3. CDM Ener Fab (Pvt)Ltd. 7 0.2% PoA PoA PoA 3 1.1.4. CPA CDM DOE 1 3 3 Det Norske Veritas Certification AS DNV PoA DNV CPA PoA PoA PoA CPA 1- 3 1-3 CPA 2,070 6,468 tCO2/y 64,680 tCO2 10 1.2. 1.2.1. NGO CDM 5,000~10,000 tCO2/y tCO2/y CDM CDM CDM CDM F/S 4 1.2.2. CDM 2,000 CDM CDM CDM CDM CDM CDM 1.1.3. CDM 1.3. 1.3.1. 65,607km2 2,000 GDP 1,000 US 2 1948 2005 11 2007 2006-2016 2 Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy Authority,2009,Natioal Energy Security Drive-Achieving National Development through Energy Security- Action Plan2009 5 10 1- 4 1 65,607km2 2,022 2 *3 73.9% 0.8% 69.3% 3 18.2% 7.1% 15.5% 7.6% 7.6% 407.1 US 6.0% 2,014 US (LKR) =0.75 GDP GDP *4 1 5.6% 0.1% 2011.1.15 1990-2005 HP 2 ,2009,Sri Lanka Socio-economic data 2009.”Register General's Department” ,2009,Sri Lanka Socio-economic data 2009. 1981 ODA 2008 3 4 1 1 1.3.2. 1946 UNP SLFP 1951 2 JVP TNA 2010 1 26 1.3.3. 1970 1983 LTTE 2009 LTTE 5 5 7 2006 LTTE 19 7 20 2007 3 15 2009 6 5 28 1.3.4. 1990 5% 2004 2007 GDP 6.8% 5 GDP 5.76% 2006 7.4% 3 10% 2006 3 2007 2008 9 4 1.4. (1) 1990 3 ODA 2008 Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy Authority,2009,Natioal Energy Security Drive-Achieving National Development through Energy Security- Action Plan2009 4 7 1-3 / 30 2007 2008 1- 2 Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy Authority,2009,Natioal Energy Security Drive-Achieving National Development through Energy Security- Action Plan2009 (2) / 26 2 GDP 50% (3) 1) Ministery of Power and Energy 5 5 Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy Authority,2009,Natioal Energy Security Drive-Achieving National Development through Energy Security- Action Plan2009 8 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 2) 2015 6 10% 1.5. (1) 1700 1- 5 7 (1700 ) 1,000~2,000mm/ PH4.2 1,400~5,000 5,000~10,000 /ha /ha 18 6~9 8,9 6kg/y/ 6 7 20 ,2006, 1600 www.worldagroforestrycentre.org) 9 6 270~1,075 /ha (2) 1) 8 9 : : 2~3%, kg / 23g / 2) 3) 6-9 9 8 9 25% 1ha 6 10 4 10 10 14 Grilicidia Sepium, Acacia auviculiformis, Leucena 11 10 1.6. 1.6.1. (Environmental Impact Assessment, EIA) EIA 3 1993 772/22 23 1999 11 5 1104/22 6 24 1995 2 859/14 (1) EIA F/S 1993 6 24 772/22 EIA 1995 2 23 859/14 31 EIA Preliminary Information ToR Initial Environmental Examination, IEE EIA ToR EIA 116 EIA EIA IEE EIA 3 1 EIA Evaluation Committee Technical EIA EIA IEE 95% 1 1 12 (2) 1) PoA CPA EIA PoA 2) EIA EIA a) b) a) EIA b) PoA CPA EIA PoA a) EIA [EIA 4ha ] 2 5ha 1ha 50ha 3 4 Land clearance 13 5 b) 3 2006] 200611 [ III 1- 6 EIA PoA CPA - a) ( ) - b) (3) CPA EIA 1.6.2. (1) 4 2006 4 12 (2) 900 1 ( ) 4,000 4.4 1.7. CDM 1.7.1. CDM 2002 9 3 CER 11 Guideline for Implementing the Environmental Impact Assessment Process Dr. H A J Gunathilake(CRI), P G Joseph (Ministry of Science & Technology), Harsha Wickremasinghe (Energy Conservation Fund),2006, Sustainable Biomass Production in Sri Lanka and Possibilities for Agro-forestry Intervention 12 14 Certified Emission Reduction 620 t 13 CDM 1- 7 CDM REDD14 Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources,”Opportunuties for CDM in Sri Lanka” (1) Designated National Authority: Climate Change Division: (2) DNA CCD CDM CDM 1- 8 CDM * * 1.7.2. CDM Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources,”Opportunuties for CDM in Sri Lanka” CDM DNA 13 14 CDM Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources,”Opportunuties for CDM in Sri Lanka” REDD:Reduced emissions from deforestation and degradation in developing countries CO2 CDM 15 DNA JICA CDM PIN DNA DNA PDD DNA:PDD DNA DOE DOE CDM CDM 1- 3 CDM PIN Project Idea Note Project Design Document: PDD PIN 2 PIN PDD PIN DNA PDD PDD DNA 15 1.7.3. CDM 2010 1 1 130 7 10 21 15 2010 1 19 PIN DNA 16 1- 9 CDM GHG (t CO2/ y) 2005.10.30 2005.10.30 2005.10.30 2006.12.11 2009.3.28 Magal Ganga Alupola Badulu Oya Hapugastenne ,Hulu Ganga Sanquhar Delta Badalgama AMS-I.D. ver.5 34,179 AMS-I.D. ver.5 25,109 AMS-I.D. ver.5 44,842 AMS-I.D. ver.9 5,489 AMS-I.D. ver.13 AMS-III.K. ver.3 43,265 AMS-I.D. 43,800 10 MW 2009.10.26 ver.13 ,Trincomalee 2010.8.24 2011 Adavikanda, Kuruwita Division 1 12 AMS-I.D. (ver13) UNFCC Website 17 13,484 2 2.1. 2-1 2-1 Climate Change Division Ministry of Environment ( ) (DNA) CER Central Environment Authority(CEA), Ministry of Environment Sustainable Energy Authority SEA) Bio-Energy Association of Sri Lanka (C/ME) PoA PoA Moratuwa University Enerfab (Pvt) Ltd Lion Brewery Public (Ceylon) LC (CPA) Mahatma Gandhi Center Aitken & Spence & Others (Potential CPAs) 2- 1 2-1 1) PDD 2) C/ME CDM (BEASL) ( 18 ) CDM 16 DNA PDD [DNA] 2.2. 2-2 1) PoA 2) (Lanka Walltile Meepe 3) PoA PoA CPA C/ME PoA CPA CDM CER 4) 5) PDD PDD 6) 2010 5 EB54 5MW 20GWh/y 16 2.3.7. 19 ) DNA 2.3. 2.3.1. 5 2-3 1 2010.9.1~5 3 PoA C/ME BEASL DNA BEASL C/ME EB54 BEASL 2 2010.9.18~29 BEASL 3 2010.12.5~12 4 2010.1.5~12 C/ME 5 C/ME 5 2011.2.4~19 PoA PoA 2.2. 2.3.2. 2008 1 2007 ( 20 ) CDM 2009 , CPA PoA ESCO 2013 PR CDM 2010 2 3 PoA 6,468tCO2/y 4 2,200tCO2/y CPA PoA CPA 2.3.3. 2 (1) Lanka Walltile Meepe,.Ltd 21 (2) 2-4 2-4 Kohombe Estate Hotel Sigiriya Kandalama Hotel Jetwing Hunas Falls Heritance Tea Factory Lanka Walltile Meepe Ltd (3) Tar (4) 1) 22 NOx Tar Char 3 2-5 Kohombe Estate 20%wb Kohombe Estate 50%wb 15%wb 5% 1,000kJ/kg 2 3% 40%wb 20%wb 2-5 Kohombe Estate ( ) Hotel Sigiriya Kandalama Hotel Jetwing Hunas Falls Heritance Tea Factory 30~50 ×100~150mm 20%wb 30~50 30~50 30~50 30~50 23 ×100~150mm ×100~150mm ×100~150mm ×100~150mm 20%wb 20%wb 20%wb 20%wb WBG 60~300 2) 20%wb 77% WBG-300 100% 50~60% DG CH4 CO H2 5C/h 60 24 3) 50% 20%wb Air Seal 1 JIS 2-6 a) 2% < 500 kg/m3 < 0.15 W/mK 5 kgf/cm2 900 JIS JIS JIS JIS R2611 R2611 R2611 R2611 b) 1,000 1,400 SiO2 Al2O3 45~55% 55~45% 1.6~2.0 (W/mK 0.47~1.05 Daily Start 25 Daily Stop Kandalama 8~10hr 19hr DG 5hr Lanka Walltile Meepe Ltd Tar DSS 500hr~1500hr Filter ) Tar DG DG DG Tar < 0.1g/Nm3 at O2=5% Tar Hz Tar 26 300 4) Air-Seal PQ PQ 17 Tar 2-7 inch mm JIS A9501 2 3 4 5 50 65 65 65 400 104 20 600 99% 5kg/cm2 Tar DG 17 p.25 27 2-8 2-8 / Inlet D/H h1/h2 10~25m/s L/m3 / 28 V/A DG a. CO, %vol. mg/Nm3 Tar CH4, CO2 , H2, H2O Ash b. (mmH2O, Pa) DG Tar Daily Start Tar a. b. c. 29 Daily Stop Q Q P PQ PQ Q P U 2.3.4. PoA 3 PoA C/ME PoA CPA CDM C/ME CER PoA CPA DNV 1 C/ME PoA CPA CDM C/ME CER C/ME CPA BEASL 1 CPA C/ME CPA CPA PoA 30 C/ME CER CPA PoA BEASL C/ME (4 CPA ) C/ME CDM CPA PoA BEASL CPA 1.1.2. CDM CPA CPA CPA [BEASL ] 2.3.5. ( 4) (1) (2) 50km 1) 2-9 31 2-9 ARDA (Grama Niladhari) 2) CPA 50 2-10 2-10 1) 1,750mm 1,750~2,500mm 2,500mm 2) 0.3 ha 0.3 ha 3) 500 500 32 3 2- 2 8 50km 4 0 4 2 2 1 2 6 2-11 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - 2-12 33 - 2-12 1) 2) ARDA ARDA 1 10 407 3) 20 150 4) 10 57 2- 3 34 (3) 1) 2-13 50km 2-14 532,046t 2-13 50km (Ha) (%) ( 1 - - /ha) 27 2 3 4 288,141 277,388 316,068 42% 29% 48% 91 106 395 2-14 (Kg/ / ) 6 6 6 6 (t/ ) - 66,076 51,161 359,559 476,797 50km (Ha) 152 7,088 3,609 4,498 2-15 ( /ha) (Kg/ 800 800 800 800 / ) [ ] (%) 25 25 25 25 6 6 6 6 50km (t/ ) 55,249 476,797 532,046 35 (t/ ) 547 25,517 12,992 16,193 55,249 2-16 50km (t/ ) 71,140 152,207 90,146 313,493 2) 2-17 2-17 407 4 1.0% 150 0 0% 57 3 5.3% 10 9 162,900 3) 53 36 37 8,094 CPA 45.6 CPA 4.1.2. AM0042(Ver. 02) 50km 25% 2-18 a) 50km 532,046 b) 50km 162,900 c) 50km 369,146 d) e) CPA a)-b) 8,094 50km 45.6 2.3.6. PDD c) d) 5 (1) PDD PDD PDD 1) : 2010 (Sustainable Energy Authority: SEA) Ceylon Electricity Board: CEB SEA (Net Calorific Value) 2) EB54 2.3.7. EB54 37 SEA 15MWth DNA SEA 3) 2010 2010 1 1 1 4) 50km 2.3.5. 5) 2010 9 2011 1 1 1 LKR31/L LKR9.0/kWh LKR 40/L LKR10.5/kWh LKR9.87/kWh 2011 4 1 35% 40% (2) 2011 1 29 2 PoA_DD 1 27 UNFCCC CPA_DD 2 PoA_DD 17~18 C/ME 2 CPA_DD (Corrective Action Requests CAR) PoA_DD, CPA_DD 38 DOE 2-19 AnnexI DNA C/ME C/ME DNA corrective and CPA preventive actions C/ME PoA_DD corrective and preventive actions. CDM PoA CPA CPA 2010 2 CPA_DD PoA_DD PoA C/ME PoA_DD EB54 DNA 5% CDM SEA DNA DNA CDM 2.3.7. 2010 6 5 EB54 5MW 15MW 5MW 20GWh/y 2 2.25MW DNA CDM PoA 5% 39 CDM 5% 400 1 SEA BEASL 0.16% 1% SEA 5% Harita Lanka DNA DNA 5MW DOE 3 DOE EB54 40 CDM 3 CDM 3.1. CDM programme of activities; PoA 18 CDM CDM program activities; CPAs 19 CDM CDM [EB33,Meeting Report] PoA PoA CPA CDM CPA [EB55,Annex28] PoA CPA 1 PoA [EB55,Annex28] PoA 28 A/R 60 PoA CPA PoA (Designated Operational Entity, DOE) CDM CPA 20 7 2 A/R 10 A/R 30 CPA PoA [EB55,Annex28] PoA CDM PoA CDM PoA 18 19 CDM CERs CDM CDM PoA ,Ver.03 PoA EB47,Annex29 CDM 41 1.1.3. [EB55,Annex28] PoA PoA CPA [EB55,Annex28] PoA CPA [EB55,Annex28] CPA PoA PoA DOE CDM CPA CDM PoA CPA PoA [EB55,Annex28] [EB55,Annex28] PoA PoA CPA CDM PoA DOE C/ME [EB55,Annex28] PoA C/ME DNA (authorization) ( CDM (MoC: Modalities of Communication) [Glossary of CDM terms Ver5, p21]) CER CDM CPA CDM 3.2. PoA-DD PoA-DD CPA-DD CPA-DD 42 PoA 3- 1 PoA-DD20 C/ME PoA PoA PoA PoA PoA CPA PoA PoA CPA C/ME CPA PoA_DD, CPA_DD PoA CPA voluntary CPA PoA 21 PoA CDM-POA-DD CPA CDM-CPA-DD CPA 22 PoA CPA-DD23 ODA CPA CPA CPA i PoA CDM-POA-DD CPA ii PoA CDM PoA CPA CDM PoA 20 Procedures for registration of a Programme of Activities as a sigle CDM project activity and issuance of Certified Emission Reductions for a Programme of Activities – ver.3 EB47, Annex 29 4 21 CDM CDM 22 CPA CDM-POA-DD 23 CDM-CPA-DD Procedures for registration of a Programme of Activities as a sigle CDM project activity and issuance of Certified Emission Reductions for a Programme of Activities – ver.3 EB47, Annex 29 4,5 43 3.3. CDM CDM 1 2 44 61 6 3- 2 CDM GHG (tCO2/y) CUIDEMOS Mexico 2009.7.31 Sadia Institute 2009.10.29 2010.8.21 520,365 AMS-III.D. ver.13 591,418 3S (AWMS) AMS-III.F (ver. 6) AMS-II.J. (ver. 3) 2010.4.12 2010.4.29 AMS-II.C. ver.9 CFL “Bachat Lamp Yojana” Masca 2011.1.12 UNFCCC Website 44 83,700 34,892 AMS-I.D. (ver. 13) 4,395 AMS-I.C. (ver. 16) 400,000 4 4.1. 4.1.1. I.C. Ver 18 4- 1 I.C. Ver 18 (1) (2) / installed/rated 45MW th 24 (3) CPA 7.3 MWth 45MWth (4) / 4.1.2. (1) [EB23, Annex18] 24 45 4- 2 1. 2. 3. 4. CDM CDM CDM CDM 5. 2 4 2 3 46 2-3m (2) I.C. PoA I.C. Ver 18 Po A I.C. Ver 18 PoA 2 4- 3 I.C. Ver 18 PoA AM0042 (appendix B attachment C) AM0042 1 AM0042 AM0042 AM0042 47 4- 4 AM0042 (1) (2) 1 (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (a) (b) (c) ( ( ) / ) ( / ) 2 2 (1),(2) (3), (9),(10) CPA (4) PoA (5) 48 CPA (6),(8) (7) (11) 2 I.C.(Ver18) Ver.3 EB 47Annex 28 AM0042Ver. 02 4-5 10 a) b) c) GHG 3 4- 5 / / - - / ( ) - [ ] - [ - ] 49 - GHG (a) 25 (b) 10 a) NO2 “provisions outlined in the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (Chapter. 4.5)” b) 26 CDM 10 / DNA DNA FAO [ ] 25 30 26 50 C/ME DOE 27 28 50km 25 25% ( [ 2.3.5. 4 ) ] 45.6 AM0042 AM0042Ver. 02 GHG 27 28 51 GHG B1 [ L1 L2 ] B1 (dumped) [ ] L1 CDM L2 k k 25 L2 L3 L4 CDM-PDD 50km 50km 20km 200km 52 k y LEy = EFCO2,LE LEy n BFLE,n,y NCVn y tCO2/ EFCO2,LE BFLE,n,y CO2 y L1 L2 L3 L4 n NCVn n n GJ/ L1 L2 L3 t t GJ/ L4 n L1 L2 BFLE,n,y L3 n BFLE,n,y y k n=k BFLE,n,y = BFPJ,k,y 4.2. CDM PoA CPA 4.2.1. PoA PoA 4.2.2. CPA I.C. Ver18 AM0042 53 CPA 4.3. 4.3.1. 4.3.2. 15MWth CPA 15MWth CPA 5MW29 EB54 20GWh/y DNA CDM 22 MWh 3.5 5% MWh 0.16% DNA CDM 15MWth 10.22% 15MWth CPA EB54 15MWth (Ver05.2)30 CPA CDM B (Ver05.2) 29 30 4-1 15MWth EB39, Annex10 54 CPA ROE 2009 1 12 19% 2010 8% 2009 PoA 2010 1~12 10.22% STEP 1. STEP 2. STEP 3. CDM (1) CDM N N (2) CDM (1) Y STEP 4. (1) (2) CDM N Y 4- 1 (Ver05.2) 55 5 5.1. CDM I.C Ver18 C/ME Bio-Energy Association of Sri Lanka Jayasinghe 2010 Joseph Munasinghe 3 9 CDM AM0042 EB23 Annex18 5- 1 C/ME t/y C/ME Km 56 5- 2 QA/AC h MT M3/y, t/y Bar MWh t/y CPA Operation Data File ODF C/ME 5-3 tCO2/GJ IPCC 1 GJ/mass GJ/mass IPCC 1 1 GJ/y 1 5-1 57 IPCC2006 Statistics [C/ME] - EFFF,CO2,i,y (tCO2e/GJ) - EFCO2, LE (tCO2/GJ) - NCVFF,i,y (GJ/mass or kL) - NCVbiomass (GJ/mass or kL) - NCVn (GJ /t) - Ratio of biomass demand of the site and availability in surrounding area Record Keeping System (Managed by C/ME) [CPA] - Hy (h/y) - FFPJy (ton or kL) - EPJ,y (MWh) - Bbiomass,y (ton) - Wc (%) - BFLE,n,y (t/y) - Duration of storing biomass resources [CPA] - Source of biomass - Utilization status (availability) of biomass resources in the area Transportation Biomass Supply Sources :Project boundary [CPA] - EGflow,y (Nm3/hr) - EGthermal.,y (GJ) - T (°C) - P (kg/cm2) Gas Utilization Facility Gasification Facility [CPA] - D(km) 5-1. 5.2. CDM BEASL CPA 5.1 CPA CPA CPA BEASL CPA CPA CPA 58 4.1.2. CPA BEASL CDM Munasinge Jayasinghe Joseph Bio Energy Association of Sri Lanka; BEASL : Parakrama Jayasingha 59 6 I.C Ver18 CPA 6.1. BEthermal,CO2,y = (EGthermal,y BEthermal,CO2,y BL,thermal)*EFFF,CO2 ………(1) y / tCO2e EGthermal,y y GJ EFFF,CO2 CO2 tCO2/GJ IPCC BL,thermal 6- 1 a) b) c) d) e) f) kL/y t/kL GJ /t GJ/y kgCO2/GJ tCO2/y 2,130 0.972 41.0 81,911 77.4 6,572 Energy Data 2007, SEA Energy Data 2007, SEA a)*b)*c) Residual oil: 77.4 (IPCC 2006) d)*e)/1000 6.2. (1) (2) 2 PEy { PEon-site,y PEon-site,y y PEEC,y y + PEEC,y } (tCO2e/y) (tCO2e/y) 60 (1) FFPJ,y PEon-site,y PEon-site,y × NCVFF × EFFF,CO2 y (tCO2e/y) FFPJ,y (t/y) NCVFF (GJ/t) EFFF,CO2 CO2 IPCC ( tCO2e /GJ) PEon-site,y (2) PEy,grid Electricityy × CEFy PEy,power (tCO2e/year) EPJ,y (MWh) CEFy CO2 (tCO2e /MWh) (ECy) CPA 6- 2 (kW) (h/y) (kWh/y) 20 8,064 336 149,760 61 ×24 × 0 (Ver 01)31 A1 (OM (CM ( ( CM SEA OM (BM 3 OM BM 5 BM CEB 2005-2007 6-3 6- 3 EF_OM EF_BM EF_CM 6 -2 0.686 0.705 0.695 kgCO2/kWh kgCO2/kWh kgCO2/kWh 6 -3 6- 4 (MWh/y) (kgCO2/kWh) 149.8 (MW)× (h/y) 0.695 (tCO/kWh) 104 × (3) (1)~(2) 6- 5 tCO2/y tCO2/y tCO2/y 31 EB39, Annex7 62 0 104 104 6.3. (1) (2) CPA (3) 50km 25% CPA 6.4. 6.1.~6.3. 6 -6 6 -9 6,468tCO2/y 6- 6 tCO2/ tCO2/ GHG tCO2/ tCO2/ 2011 6,572 104 0 6,468 2012 6,572 104 0 6,468 2013 6,572 104 0 6,468 2014 6,572 104 0 6,468 2015 6,572 104 0 6,468 2016 6,572 104 0 6,468 2017 6,572 104 0 6,468 2018 6,572 104 0 6,468 2019 6,572 104 0 6,468 2020 6,572 104 0 6,468 65,720 1,040 0 64,680 63 6- 7 (t/y) 600 (tCO2/y) 1,822 tCO2/y 3 3 tCO2 330 Le Ferne Laboratories PVT LTD 1,000 tCO2/y 382 1,166 tCO2/y 130 412 tCO2/y 6- 8 tCO2/ tCO2/ GHG tCO2/ tCO2/ 2011 4,631 231 0 4,400 2012 4,631 231 0 4,400 2013 4,631 231 0 4,400 2014 4,631 231 0 4,400 2015 4,631 231 0 4,400 2016 4,631 231 0 4,400 2017 4,631 231 0 4,400 2018 4,631 231 0 4,400 2019 4,631 231 0 4,400 2020 4,631 231 0 4,400 46,310 2,310 0 44,000 64 6- 9 tCO2/ tCO2/ GHG tCO2/ tCO2/ 2011 11,203 335 0 10,868 2012 11,203 335 0 10,868 2013 11,203 335 0 10,868 2014 11,203 335 0 10,868 2015 11,203 335 0 10,868 2016 11,203 335 0 10,868 2017 11,203 335 0 10,868 2018 11,203 335 0 10,868 2019 11,203 335 0 10,868 2020 11,203 335 0 10,868 112,030 3,350 0 108,680 65 SOx NOx CO2 7-1 7-2 7-3 7-1. SOx t/y NOx NOx (t/y) t/y ppm ×10-6 NOx (Nm3/h × × h/y -3 ×46/22.4×10 (t/y) t/y g/m3 × (Nm3/h × 7-2. SOx t/y NOx t/y t/y pj: SOx pj t/y 60.0 t NOx pj t/y 7.2 t SOx bl t/y 0 60.0 -60.0 t/ SOx NOx bl t/y 14.0 21.2 -7.2t/ NOx pj t/y bl 22.6t bl: 66 t/y 49.8 72.4 -22.6 t/y h/y 7- 3 1) SOx SOx NOx (t/ ) (kL/ y)× S ( %)× 12,130×0.972×0.029× 1-0.0 2,130 kL/ y [ ] t/y t/y (t/kL)× ) 60.0 0.972 t/kL [Energy Data 2007, SEA] S 2.9% [ ] 0.0 [ ] (Nm3/h × NOx (t/y) NOx ppm ×10-6× h/ y ×46/22.4×10-3 392×10-6×3,270×8,064×46/22.4×10-3 21.2 NOx 392ppm[ ] 3,270Nm3/h[ C ] 8,064h/ y [ ] (t/y) (kL/y)× (t/kL)×( %× )+( %× )/100 2,130×0.972×(0.1×0.57+8×0.43)/100 72.4 2,130 kL/ y [ ] 0.972 t/kL [ ] % 0.1% [JIS K 2205 3 0.57 t/y [( 1 % ) ] % 8% [JIS K 2205 2 0.43 [( ] % ) ] ] 2) SOx t/y [ NOx NOx (t/y) NOx t/y ] ppm ×10-6× h/y ×46/22.4×10-3 -6 232×10 ×3,653×8064×46/22.4×10-3 232ppm NOx (Nm3/h × 14.0 [ 1.2 ] 3,653Nm3/h [ 1.2 ] 8,064h/ (t/ ) %) 100× [ ] (t/y)×(100 % 100×(1) 2,130×3.8×(100 20)/100×7.69/100×(1-0.9) 1L t/y % 20%[ % 7.69%[ 3.8kg ] %] 0.9[ ( 0.85 0.95 67 49.8 ] ) 8 (1) - (2) 7 SOx SPM (3) 68 BEASL 50% 600 32 /y 33 4,000MW 8- 1 (GWh) (%) (GWh) (ha) (100 ) (100 ) 2005 6,967 2% 139.34 6,500 65 1,463 2006 8,342 10% 834.2 35,540 356 8,759 2008 9,892 20% 1978.4 50,550 506 20,773 2010 11,505 50% 5752.5 176,630 1,767 60,401 BEASL,2006,The biomass energy sector in Sri Lanka success and constraints,Parakrama Jayasinghe (4) 72 34 35 32 33 34 2010 2010 4,000MW 50% 24% 6,000 ,2009,Sri Lanka Socio-economic data 2009. 35 69 960MW (5) 30 12 BEASL 2009 5 70 9 (1) F/S 9- 1 [DNA] Dr. W.L.Sumathipala Anoja Herath CDM CDM CDM PG Joseph CDM Chandana Samarasinghe BEASL Parakarama Jayasinghe BEASL BEASL C/ME National Development Bank Januka Nanayakkara CDM M.A. Mohamed Saleem JICA 14 S Ananda Kulasooriya 71 ODA (2) 9- 2 5,000 2 PoA 9- 3 CDM CDM CDM PoA CDM 72 10 10.1. CDM CPA DOE EX Programme of Activities (PoA) BEASL (C/ME) (- May 2010) (June 2010-) 2) EnerFAB OP+CPA Other Operating Partner(s) (Operating Partner(OP)) 1) Lion Brewery OP CPA 3) OP Other CPA(s) CPA Other CPA(s) (Unileiva, Cold Store etc) (CPA) ERPA CER CER ( ) 10- 1 10.2. <PoA> : 2011 / 5 1 28 <CPA>: CPA 2011 12 15 1 10 [ ] PDD F/S CDM 73 [CDM ] CDM CER PDD CDM CDM DNA UNFCCC CDM_SSC_PoA_DD, CDN_SSC_CPA_DD DNA PIN, 1 10.3. PoA CPA 10.4. 10 -1 10 -2 10- 1 EPC 10- 2 58,000 43,500 1 =0.75 30,000 22,500 1 =0.75 88,000 66,000 EPC No: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 ( 600mm 20m) Structure & platforms 10m3 74 10 -3 ~ 10 -5 10- 3 8,064 h/y 336 ×24 2,130 kL/y 8,094 t/y 8 /kg 149,760kWh/y 9.87 /y 40 /kg 16 4 4 8 2011.1.1 2010.9.1 4 10% 10- 4 112 88 136 0 184 520 6,240 87 69 106 0 144 406 4,867 28,000 22,000 17,000 8,800 / / / / 10- 5 64,752 1,572 6,240 6 72,570 48,564 1,179 4,680 4 54,428 EB54 10.22% ±10% 75 CER 15 IRR 10.22% 10- 6 100 0 15 35 2,200 /tCO2 (1,650 /tCO2@ 0.75 / ) 10- 7 CER IRR (15 CER ) IRR (15 -1.9% 16 ) 10.6% 10- 8 IRR 15 -10% -0.1% -1.9% -3.5% b) 5.8% -1.9% - c) - -1.9% 7.8% -3.7% -1.9% 0.4% (365 - e) ( CER ) (@1500 - /tCO2) 10.5. CPA> PoA < +10% a) d) < 11 CPA> CER 76 10.6% ) 表10-9 経済性分析 ライオンビール社における事業収支(CER販売益無) 【資金調達手法】 10年利息込,税引前IRR -0.88% 10年,利息込,税引後 -9.07% 15年利息込,税引前IRR 4.83% 資本金 100.0% 2010 0 2011 1 2012 2 2013 3 2014 4 2015 5 2016 6 2017 7 2018 8 2019 9 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 1 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 2 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 3 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 4 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 5 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 6 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 7 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 8 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 9 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 1 8,894 54,133 30,000 93,028 88,000 93,028 93,028 2 17,788 50,267 30,000 98,055 88,000 98,055 98,055 3 26,683 46,400 30,000 103,083 88,000 103,083 103,083 4 35,577 42,533 30,000 108,110 88,000 108,110 108,110 5 44,471 38,667 30,000 113,138 88,000 113,138 113,138 6 53,365 34,800 30,000 118,165 88,000 118,165 118,165 7 62,259 30,933 30,000 123,193 88,000 123,193 123,193 1 8,894 -79,106 -167,106 2 8,894 -70,212 -158,212 3 8,894 -61,317 -149,317 8,894 -52,423 -140,423 8,894 -43,529 -131,529 6 8,894 -34,635 -122,635 -88,000 8,379 8,379 8,379 8,379 8,379 -88,000 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 -88,000 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 年次 事業年度 【損益計算書】(単位:千LKR) 収入 <合計> 燃料購入節約費 CER売却益 支出 <合計> グリシディア調達費 電力購入費 人件費 補修費 減価償却費 (IRR10年の算定のための残存簿価) 営業利益 支払利息 税引前当期利益 法人税等 40.00% 当期利益 《キャッシュフロー計算書》 (単位:千LKR) CASH RECEIPTS 税引前当期利益 償却費(設備) CASH PAID OUT 法人税等支払 初期投資 資本金払込 借入金返済 税引後キャッシュフロー CER価格 0 借入金 0.0% 15年,利息込,税引後 -1.87% 2020 10 85,200 85,200 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 -19,333 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 投資回収年数 16 2021 11 2022 12 2023 13 2024 14 2025 15 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 - - - - 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 10 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 11 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 12 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 13 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 14 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 15 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8 71,154 27,067 30,000 128,220 88,000 128,220 128,220 9 80,048 23,200 30,000 133,248 88,000 133,248 133,248 10 88,942 19,333 30,000 138,275 88,000 138,275 138,275 11 97,836 15,467 30,000 143,303 88,000 143,303 143,303 12 106,730 11,600 30,000 148,330 88,000 148,330 148,330 13 115,624 7,733 30,000 153,358 88,000 153,358 153,358 14 124,519 3,867 30,000 158,385 88,000 158,385 158,385 15 133,413 0 30,000 163,413 88,000 163,413 163,413 7 8,894 -25,741 -113,741 8 8,894 -16,846 -104,846 9 8,894 -7,952 -95,952 11 8,894 9,836 -78,164 12 8,894 18,730 -69,270 13 8,894 27,624 -60,376 14 8,894 36,519 -51,481 8,379 8,379 8,379 8,379 8,379 8,379 8,379 8,379 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 10 8,894 942 -87,058 -0.88% 8,379 -9.07% 5,028 -9.07% 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 15 8,894 45,413 -42,587 4.83% 8,379 -1.87% 5,028 -1.87% 5,028 88,000 88,000 - 《貸借対照表》 (単位:千LKR) 流動資産(余剰資金) 固定資産(償却資産) 固定資産(土地) 資産合計(資本の部) 長期借入金 負債合計 資本金 資本合計 負債・資本合計 《採算計算》 (単位:千LKR) 税引後キャッシュフロー 税引後キャッシュフローの累計 税引後キャッシュフローの累計 - 投下資本 内部利益率 [IRR] (利息込、税引前) (IRR計算データ) 内部利益率 [IRR] (利息除外、税引後) (IRR計算データ) 内部利益率 [IRR] (利息込、税引後) (IRR計算データ) 58,000 30,000 88,000 88,000 88,000 88,000 年次 -88,000 4 5 表10-10 経済性分析 ライオンビール社における事業収支(CER販売益有) 【資金調達手法】 10年利息込,税引前IRR 22.24% 10年,利息込,税引後 8.76% 15年利息込,税引前IRR 23.29% 資本金 100.0% 2010 0 2011 1 2012 2 2013 3 2014 4 2015 5 2016 6 2017 7 2018 8 2019 9 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 1 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 2 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 3 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 4 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 5 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 6 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 7 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 8 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 9 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 17,432 17,432 17,432 17,432 17,432 17,432 17,432 17,432 1 17,432 54,133 30,000 101,565 88,000 101,565 101,565 2 34,864 50,267 30,000 115,131 88,000 115,131 115,131 3 52,296 46,400 30,000 128,696 88,000 128,696 128,696 4 69,728 42,533 30,000 142,261 88,000 142,261 142,261 5 87,160 38,667 30,000 155,826 88,000 155,826 155,826 6 104,592 34,800 30,000 169,392 88,000 169,392 169,392 7 122,024 30,933 30,000 182,957 88,000 182,957 182,957 1 17,432 -70,568 -158,568 2 17,432 -53,136 -141,136 3 17,432 -35,704 -123,704 4 17,432 -18,272 -106,272 5 17,432 -840 -88,840 6 17,432 16,592 -71,408 -88,000 22,609 22,609 22,609 22,609 22,609 -88,000 13,565 13,565 13,565 13,565 -88,000 13,565 13,565 13,565 13,565 年次 事業年度 【損益計算書】(単位:千LKR) 収入 <合計> 燃料購入節約費 CER売却益 支出 <合計> グリシディア調達費 電力購入費 人件費 補修費 減価償却費 (salvage value after 10 years) 営業利益 支払利息 税引前当期利益 法人税等 40.00% 当期利益 《キャッシュフロー計算書》 (単位:千LKR) CASH RECEIPTS 税引前当期利益 償却費(設備) CASH PAID OUT 法人税等支払 初期投資 資本金払込 借入金返済 税引後キャッシュフロー CER価格 LKR 2,200 借入金 0.0% 15年,利息込,税引後 10.62% 2020 10 99,430 85,200 14,230 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 -19,333 22,609 22,609 9,044 13,565 投資回収年数 11 2021 11 2022 12 2023 13 2024 14 2025 15 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 85,200 - - - - 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 72,954 64,752 1,478 6,144 580 3,867 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 8,379 8,379 3,352 5,028 10 26,475 22,609 3,867 9,044 9,044 11 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 12 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 13 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 14 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 15 12,246 8,379 3,867 3,352 3,352 17,432 17,432 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8,894 8 139,456 27,067 30,000 196,522 88,000 196,522 196,522 9 156,888 23,200 30,000 210,088 88,000 210,088 210,088 10 174,319 19,333 30,000 223,653 88,000 223,653 223,653 11 183,214 15,467 30,000 228,680 88,000 228,680 228,680 12 192,108 11,600 30,000 233,708 88,000 233,708 233,708 13 201,002 7,733 30,000 238,735 88,000 238,735 238,735 14 209,896 3,867 30,000 243,763 88,000 243,763 243,763 15 218,790 0 30,000 248,790 88,000 248,790 248,790 7 17,432 34,024 -53,976 8 17,432 51,456 -36,544 9 17,432 68,888 -19,112 11 8,894 95,214 7,214 12 8,894 104,108 16,108 13 8,894 113,002 25,002 14 8,894 121,896 33,896 22,609 22,609 22,609 22,609 8,379 8,379 8,379 8,379 13,565 13,565 13,565 13,565 13,565 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 13,565 13,565 13,565 13,565 13,565 10 17,432 86,319 -1,681 22.24% 22,609 8.76% 13,565 8.76% 13,565 5,028 5,028 5,028 5,028 15 8,894 130,790 42,790 23.29% 8,379 10.62% 5,028 10.62% 5,028 88,000 88,000 - 《貸借対照表》 (単位:千LKR) 流動資産(余剰資金) 固定資産(償却資産) 固定資産(土地) 資産合計(資本の部) 長期借入金 負債合計 資本金 資本合計 負債・資本合計 《採算計算》 (単位:千LKR) 税引後キャッシュフロー 税引後キャッシュフローの累計 税引後キャッシュフローの累計 - 投下資本 内部利益率 [IRR] (利息込、税引前) (IRR計算データ) 内部利益率 [IRR] (利息除外、税引後) (IRR計算データ) 内部利益率 [IRR] (利息込、税引後) (IRR計算データ) 58,000 30,000 88,000 88,000 88,000 88,000 年次 -88,000 11 ( ) EB54 DNA EB54 2010 7 UNFCCC UNFCCC EB54 DNA 5% 0.16% SEA SEA CDM EB DNA SEA Harita Lanka DNA ( ) DNV ~2 PoA_DD 27 1 1 UNFCCC CPA_DD 2 17~18 DNV PoA PoA DOE CPA ) CPA 2011 1 DOE CPA CDM ( 2.3.6. PDD 1 79 29 Norochcholai Coal Power Project 300MW 900WM Upper Kotmale Project(150MW) 2011 C/ME BEASAL 2 CPA CER 2010 2011 2 10 DNA 30 6 C/ME 80 PoA UNDP
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