Economic Impact of Inbound Tourism on Regional Destinations of Japan Takeshi Kurihara Institute for Transport Policy Studies Research background and objective • Japanese domestic travel market will decline • Inbound tourism demand has been increasing – Economic impact on the regional destination? – Is Inbound tourism beneficial or not? • Evaluate the economic impact on the regional destinations quantitatively – Inbound tourism spending survey – Effective inbound tourism policy for the regions 2 Research question Is inbound tourism important compared to the domestic tourism? What is the characteristics of inbound tourism spending behavior in the regional destination compared to that in the big cities? How can we measure economic impact of inbound tourism on the regional destination? What is the effective inbound tourism policy for the regional destination? 3 guest both host Positive impact of inbound tourism Economic increase income, tax revenue creating job Socio-cultural improve destination image proud of their region conservation of cultural resources mutual understanding (cultural fusion, passport to peace) understanding of cultural resources destination attachment 4 Number of oversea visitors stayed (2013) 5 Regi Takayama onal Fuji kawaguchiko Big Sapporo city Kyoto No. oversea /pop visitors (a/pop) stayed (a) 149,996 1.62 oversea share (a/total no.) 0.153 96,524 3.79 0.157 708,264 789,945 0.370 0.536 0.121 0.144 Data: JTA (2013), Population census (2010) • Small numbers compared to the big cities • Inbound tourism impact on some regional destinations Travel experience and destination Destination No. Visitors visits to Within from Hokkaido Kyushu Japan Golden route 1st time 45% 19% 15% Taiwan rd 3 time 39% 20% 17% 1st time 70% 0.4% 0.4% Thailand rd 3 time 49% 14% 16% Golden route: Visitors to Tokyo area, Mt. Fuji, Nagoya, Kyoto, Osaka Data: JTA (2012) • Popular destinations for 1st time visitors • Repeat visitors travel to some other destinations 6 Inbound tourism spending in Japan 7 Spending/region (cumulative %, 2010) Japan (%) Korea 80 Taiwan China 60 40 20 Chubu(incl. Nagoya) Kinki(incl. Osaka) S E Asia N America Kanto(incl. Tokyo) 0 • Most spending goes to the metropolitan area Data: JTA Necessities for the spending survey • Consumption trend survey for foreigners visiting Japan – Japan Tourism Agency – Data limitation on the regional destinations Needs their own survey Know-how? 8 Points to the survey • Provide a finding to the regional destinations Aims Accurate spending amount Points 1. Survey area 2. Sample size 3. Survey sheets Low cost 4. Place 5. Distribute & receive Variety of samples 6. Interviewer 9 Survey area × Yufu Beppu × × Aso Kurokawa × Kumamoto × Fukuoka × Nagasaki × × Miyazaki Kagoshima (人) 1 10 Benefit for collecting data 1 Understand the travel spending behavior Information for inbound tourism marketing 2 Input for estimating the economic impact Cost benefit analysis Who is the beneficiary of inbound tourism? →discussion on cost burden 11 Survey outline 12 Popular destinations in Japan Takayama Apr 2013 Yufu, Aso, Ibusuki Oct 2013 to Feb 2014 Fuji kawaguchiko Oct 2012 0 400km 13 Spending items Accommodation Eating & drinking Transport (exclude JR pass, etc.) Amusement service Shopping Survey Result No. No. distribu respon tion (a) dents Yufu 593 90 Aso 620 91 Ibusuki 600 58 Fuji 258 160 Takayama 377 210 Valid Return samples rate (b) (b/a) 76 13% 87 14% 43 7% 156 60% 198 53% 14 Visitors’ country/region South East Asia Yufu North East Asia Europe Aso Ibusuki Fuji Takayama N. America Australia 0 20 40 60 80 (%) • Small number of visitors from North East Asia at Aso, Fuji and Takayama. 15 16 Length of stay Yufu Aso Day trip 1 night 2 nights 3+ Ibusuki Fuji Takayama 0 20 40 60 80 (%) • Yufu, Fuji: close to the major destination(Beppu, Shinjuku) Travel spending in Takayama One day Eat & drink Japanese 17 Shopping Oversea Transport Amusement Overnight Japanese Other Accommodation Oversea 0 5 10 15 20 (1,000yen/pop) Japanese data: Takayama city tourism statistics (2012) • Oversea visitors’ travel expense – Total amount exceeds Japanese visitor for overnight visitor – Spending for shopping is higher for both one day and overnight 18 Travel spending in Takayama Transport* Shopping** Asia (n=20) ¥21,840 N. America ¥22,615 (n=24) Europe ** * 95% Sig. ** 99% ¥27,650 (n=67) Australia ¥33,958 (n=39) 0 ** 1 2 3 (10,000 yen/pop) • Travel spending of visitors from Europe and Australia is higher than visitors from Asia • By spending items: Transport→Asia, Shopping→Australia Travel spending (one night visitor) Yufu Accommodation Transport 19 Shopping Aso Ibusuki* Amusement service Fuji Takayama Eat & drink 0 5 10 15 20 (1,000yen/po Travel spending and Length of stay Takayama Fuji Aso Yufu ● 99% significance level night(s) a b c d e 0-1 - ● × ● ● ○ 95% significance level × no significance 1-2 - - - - a) Accommodation 0-1 - - - - b) Eating & Drinking 1-2 ○ ● ● × ○ c) Transportation 0-1 - × × × × d) Amusement Service 1-2 ○ × × × × e) Shopping 2-3+ - - - - 0-1 - ● × ● × 1-2 ● × × ○ × 2-3+ × × × × × • Travel spending of each regional destination has its saturating point 20 Conclusion • Propose the inbound tourism spending survey in regional destinations • Characteristics of inbound tourism spending in the region – Value for money; regional specialty that reflects their own history or story – Saturation of spending amount⇔even length of stay extend, spending increase? – Visitors from Asia spend more? like Tokyo? 21 Policy implication Monitoring the spending trend in the regions themselves To increase the number of visitor is better than extend the length of stay in some regions Quality and variety of local food, amusement service, products(souvenirs) for enhancing the economic impact 22
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