Global mining deals outlook / March 2014 Being strategic in resources JVs remain key Joint Ventures (JVs) have been an important part of the mining industry for decades and have been instrumental to the development of many major resource projects. In recent years, JVs have taken on special significance given the restriction in availability of capital and debt finance, increased capital costs for projects, and greater complexity of mining projects in an environment of heightened commodity price volatility. These factors manifest themselves in a few ways: • A reluctance by managers to commit to large mergers and acquisitions; • Difficulty in funding large resource projects, particularly those with commissioning risk; production. Instead of all-out takeovers, many miners are collaborating through JVs. By advancing a project together, miners don’t have to assume all of the risks associated with making a full acquisition on their own. “JVs allow companies to share capital investment and project risk,” says John Gravelle, PwC’s Global Mining Leader. “They can act to fill an exploration gap in a company’s business strategy.” The reasons to seek out a JV vary and can include: • Mega projects where a number of parties share the financial and development risk; • Renewed focus on cost cutting and risk sharing. • Transactions being undertaken between companies with existing cash and funding capacity and those with quality development projects or existing production with growth potential; and There is a de-risking taking place across the mining industry. Still, companies need to continue finding ways to grow their reserves and secure future • Investors (particularly in Asia) seeking to secure off-take agreements as part of their funding of an investment into a resources project.. • Pressure to reassess the viability of existing or near term projects; Ideally, these arrangements feature each participant bringing particular expertise to manage specific risk elements and an allocation of capital that allows each organization to focus absolutely on what it does best. www.pwc.com/ca/mining Global mining deals outlook / March 2014 / Being strategic in resources / JVs remain key Conditions right for JVs “ In any joint venture, there has to be two willing parties with aligned objectives to enter into the deal. Above that, conditions, be it financial or technical abilities as well as market cycles, play a major role in making that decision. ” Marz Kord President and CEO, Wallbridge Mining Co. A number of JV agreements are being struck in the mining industry around the world, and across various commodities. One recent example is Wallbridge Mining Co. Ltd.’s JV with Lonmin plc to explore for platinum group elements, copper, nickel and gold in the mining-rich region of Sudbury, Ontario, Canada. Wallbridge has had a long-term strategy of de-risking exploration by maximizing on JV opportunities, says company President & CEO Marz Kord. “In any joint venture, there has to be two willing parties with aligned objectives to enter into the deal,” he says. “Above that, conditions, be it financial or technical abilities as well as market cycles, play a major role in making that decision.” Wallbridge has had success generating projects and attracting major mining companies to participate in the exploration efforts, he adds. “On the one side, Wallbridge is trying to de-risk exploration and utilize their technical expertise in finding PGM in Sudbury. On the other are platinum producers with need for diversification and a lack of technical expertise in PGM discovery in North America,” says Kord. “These factors make the conditions right.” Another recent example is the JV agreement Nordgold N.V. struck last fall with Columbus Gold Corp. for the rights to a 50.01% interest in certain licenses at Columbus Gold’s Paul Isnard Gold Project in French Guiana, in the Montagne d’Or gold deposit. “Montagne d’Or is a project with real potential and we look forward to taking it forward,” Nordgold CEO Nikolai Zelenski told us recently. He said the company’s focus remains on developing its organic pipeline, as well as opportunities to develop a number of highly prospective deposits in its portfolio. “However, in addition, we are looking at listed junior companies with promising assets in emerging market geographies for small-scale and bolt-on acquisitions. We are not restricted by geography but we do have a firm set of criteria that any potential project needs to match,” he says. “Our competitive advantage is that we have a demonstrable track record in project execution and operations in diverse emerging markets jurisdictions, and this gives us significant geographic scope in which to look.” “ We are looking at listed junior companies with promising assets in emerging market geographies for small-scale and bolt-on acquisitions. We are not restricted by geography but we do have a firm set of criteria that any potential project needs to match. Nikolai Zelenski CEO, Nordgold N.V. 2 ” Global mining deals outlook / March 2014 / Being strategic in resources / JVs remain key Problems can arise Like any form of M&A, JVs have their pros and cons. One potential problem is the risk projects run of not moving forward due to the involvement of two boards. This opens the door for disagreements in strategy between the parties on both sides and could potentially lead to delays in the decisionmaking process. That’s because every fundamental decision needs to be made by both boards given that the project is under joint control. That’s not something you see in most strategic sub investments by finance providers or investors, which is what makes JVs different. with communities and governments, many of which depend on the tax revenues and jobs that will be generated from the projects. JVs might also create a shift in deal strategy away from mega-deals which otherwise would potentially lead to diversification either by commodity or region. That said, JVs can feature more strategic, low-risk, cost consolidation opportunities. The major terms of a JV agreement include: i. ownership; ii. proportion of capital to be committed and timing of capital injections; iii. board representation and decision making process; iv. operator agreement; v. anti-dilution and buy-back terms for failure to make capital injections. “When a 50/50 JV is formed, there is usually a lot of discussions on who retains the ultimate veto on major decisions such as mine plans, capex spend and capital calls. As there is usually a dilution mechanism, this can lead to potential problems down road if one party is not able to make capital calls,” says Stephen Mullowney, PwC Canada’s Deals Mining Leader. A delay in mega projects could also impact global supply and demand of metals. An imbalance could have an impact on global commodity prices or, possibly lead to missed opportunity, particularly if commodity prices are on an upswing. Finally, project delays can also negatively impact relationships “ When a 50/50 JV is formed, there is usually a lot of discussions on who retains the ultimate veto on major decisions such as mine plans, capex spend and capital calls. As there is usually a dilution mechanism, this can lead to potential problems down road if one party is not able to make capital calls. Stephen Mullowney Canadian Deals Mining Leader, PwC 3 ” Global mining deals outlook / March 2014 / Being strategic in resources / JVs remain key Outlook: JVs expected to play a key role in M&A activity We expect JV activity to continue into 2014 as companies search for growth, or capital, without having to go it alone. “ [Seeking investment partners for our Simandou deposit] is really a significant change for the project and, quite frankly, reduces the risk profile for us. ” Sam Walsh, CEO, Rio Tinto When we studied the top five M&A deals of 2013, (see our report, Strategically Picking Up the Pace: 2014 Global Mining Deals outlook) we noticed the changing nature of M&A in the mining industry today. Instead of outright takeovers, companies are buying and selling smaller portions. That led to significant drop in deal values, by about 35% to about $39 billion (US) in 2013, compared to $56 billion in 2012 (not including Switzerland-based Glencore International plc’s $54-billion takeover of United Kingdombased Xstrata plc in 2012). We expect M&A activity to pick up slightly, but miners will continue to turn to safer transactions such as JVs, for reasons mentioned earlier. JVs will also continue to evolve as interests of the participants change. An example is the Clermont Mine, a coal producer in Australia. This was an existing JV, however Rio has sold its 50.1% stake for $1 billion to Glencore Xstrata (who will take over management) and Sumitomo. Financial investors will also become important JV partners in 2014. BHP Billiton has said it may seek partners to develop its massive Jansen potash project in Saskatchewan, Canada. In an earnings conference call with investors in early 2014, BHP CEO Andrew Mackenzie said the company is talking to a number of players, including customers and competitors. “There are people who would like to invest strategically alongside us in developing this operation,” he said. We may also see an increase of ventures with partners with different backgrounds, such as sovereign wealth funds (SWF) and downstream players. For miners wishing to retain control of a mining project, a SWF or trading house may be a more advantageous JV partner versus another miner. SWFs and trading houses typically take a minority interest in the project and are more concerned with off-take as opposed to operating the project. Based on our experience, this usually makes the negotiation of the terms and conditions a little easier. In addition, a JV structure might suit private equity as an investment method. The large amounts of capital raised by dedicated private equity funds in 2013 will need to be deployed in the near future or risk being returned to shareholders. Co-investing with a major will provide private equity with both technical expertise as well as a possible exit. JVs may not only arise around the resource base. For instance, Rio Tinto has announced that it is looking at investment partners for the infrastructure portion of the giant Simandou deposit. “It’s really a significant change for the project and, quite frankly, reduces the risk profile for us,” Rio CEO Sam Walsh told investors on an earnings conference call in February, calling it “an important move.” We expect JV activity to continue into 2014 as companies search for growth, or capital, without having to go it alone. JVs may not be as immediately accretive as a merger or takeover, but for pragmatic executives (not to mention their shareholders), it can be an effective alternative in today’s market to mitigate risk. “ There are people who would like to invest strategically alongside us in developing [our Jansen potash project in Saskatchewan]. Andrew Mackenzie, CEO, BHP Billiton 4 ” Global mining deals outlook / March 2014 / Being strategic in resources / JVs remain key Let’s get together: Recent JV examples The deal Snapshot Tianjin Materials and Equipment Group Corporation (Tewoo) invest in African Minerals’ Tonkolili iron ore mine in Sierra Leone. Tewoo receives a 16.5% economic interest in the Tonkolili project and a 20-year off-take agreement Constantine Metal Resources Ltd. and Japan’s Dowa Metals & Mining Co., Ltd. on Constantine’s Palmer VMS project in Alaska. Dowa has the option to earn a 49% interest in the project by making aggregate expenditures over a 4-year period. The Agreement includes terms that allow Dowa to acquire off-take rights during and upon completion of the earn-in option period Constantine is the operator for work programs carried out during the earn-in period. Rio Tinto sells 50.1% stake in the Clermont Mine in Queensland, Australia to Sumitomo and Glencore Xstrata (who will take over management). Apart from the normal regulatory process, the deal is dependent on approval by the remaining original JV partners (Mitsubishi Development, J-Power Australia, J.C.D. Australia). Copper Fox Metals joins with Teck Resources to further explore and develop the Schaft Creek project in British Columbia, Canada Teck took a 75% interest and will become operator of the project. The JV agreement also means Teck will arrange equity and debt financing for its construction Polar Star Mining Corp. strikes a deal with Newmont Mining Corp. to explore and potentially develop the Montezuma project located in the Antofagasta and Calama districts of Chile. A three phase earn-in over a 7-year period, allowing Newmont to own up to a 75% beneficial interest in the concession. Sarama Resources Ltd. enters JV with Savary Gold Corp. to develop Sarama’s Sérakoro 1 and Savary’s Houndé South properties in Burkina Faso. The joint venture will be held 35% by Sarama and 65% by Savary and Savary will be the operator. 5 Mining Excellence at PwC Delivering local solutions to global challenges The mining sector is facing a range of competing trends and a rapidly changing global business environment. Against the backdrop of commodity price fluctuations, miners need to balance shareholder dividend expectations whilst maintaining an investment pipeline in the midst of increasing operating costs. Safety, environmental and community principles also continue to shape the industry as miners look to achieve their licence to operate and deliver on corporate responsibilities. Mining Excellence at PwC has been designed to mobilise and leverage PwC’s collective global knowledge and connections to deliver an exceptional and tailored client experience, helping our clients navigate the complex industry landscape and meet their growth aspirations. Our team of specialists is exclusively focused on the sector and brings an industry-based approach to deliver value for you and your organisation. “ The positive story for miners is that the long-term growth fundamentals remain intact. But, mining companies are facing significant downward pressure. As an industry, we need to fully address the confidence cisis, before we are able to move on to the next phase of the cycle. John Gravelle, Global Mining Leader, PwC ” Mining Excellence at PwC provides our clients: Leading edge knowledge and global thought leadership Connections to our vast network of mining experts and global client portfolio The delivery of an experience that meets our clients’ definition of ‘value’ With significant investment in the research behind our mining publications and a comprehensive industry learning and development program, our professionals can share both industry and technical insight with our clients, such as: We have the widest network of industry experts who work out of strategic mining hubs across the globe to help better connect you to vital mining markets. With mining experts working around the globe, our award winning teams are helping clients deliver on specific projects and organisational growth aspirations. We offer advisory, tax and audit services to global corporations and locally listed companies. • A library of industry publications designed to help challenge “conventional” thinking and delve into topical industry issues. This includes: -- global thought leadership publications including Mine and Mining Deals -- flagship territory publications focused on regional and industry-specific issues Our connections provide: • seamless client service delivered with collaborative cross-border account management • maximised deal potential through a wellconnected global community of mining leaders • a mobile workforce to ensure effective service delivery in even the most remote mining locations. • extensive industry development program for our people and clients, featuring our annual learning and development programs: -- Americas School of Mines (North America) -- London School of Mines (United Kingdom) -- Asia School of Mines –– Hard Hat: The Mining Experience (Australia) 6 Mining Excellence at PwC complements this with: • a suite of niche mining consulting capabilities focused on optimising value across mining operations and effectively managing risk to help our clients grow their business and deliver shareholder value • a comprehensive client feedback program to ensure we are always improving and delivering on individual client needs. Contacts Global Mining Leader John Gravelle Canada +1 416 869 8727 [email protected] Steve Ralbovsky USA Ken Su China +1 (602) 364 8193 [email protected] +86 (10) 6533 7290 [email protected] Ronaldo Valino Brazil Kameswara Rao India +55 (21) 3232 6139 [email protected] +91 40 6624 6688 [email protected] Jock O’Callaghan Australia Sacha Winzenried Indonesia +61 3 8603 6137 [email protected] +62 21 5289 0968 [email protected] Jason Burkitt UK Frank Rittner Russia +44 (20) 7213 2515 [email protected] +7 (495) 232-5536 [email protected] Hein Boegman South Africa +27 11 797 4335 [email protected] Sources Bloomberg S&P Capital IQ Intierra © 2014 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, an Ontario limited liability partnership. All rights reserved. PwC refers to the Canadian member firm, and may sometimes refer to the PwC network. Each member firm is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details. 3919-01 0214
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