Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan Almaty Ring Road PPP (BAKAD) London, December 9, 2014 Contents Subject Slide Introduction 3 Technical parameters 7 Financial structure 13 Contractual aspects 22 Tender process 30 Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 2 Project Snapshot • Part of the “Western China – Western Europe” transnational highway • Population served1 – c. 2,000,000 • Greenfield bypass toll road • Length – 66 km (4/6 lanes) • CAPEX – est. $680m • Remuneration based on availability payments • Currency risk mitigation mechanism • Other standard project finance features (incl. termination, arbitration, step-in provisions, etc.) [1] Includes Almaty and three neighbouring districts, 2014. Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 3 Importance of BAKAD Infrastructure Construction of a key link in the “Western China – Western Europe” transnational highway Reduction of commuting time to Almaty Signalling effect First large PPP in Kazakhstan First large infrastructure project outside of the Oil&Gas sector financed with private capital Pipeline of road projects Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 4 Project Team Ministry of Investments and Development (Automobile Roads Committee) Sweco International (Sweden) IFC EBRD Lead Transaction Advisor Mobilized grant to co-finance project preparation Kocks Consult PPP TA Unit (Kazakhstan) (Germany) Archaeology Expedition Gide Loyrette Nouel (France/Russia) (Kazakhstan) Design Institute “TRTI” (Sweco) Engineering Center Astana Colibri Law Firm (Russia) (Kazakhstan) (Kazakhstan) Ernst & Young (Russia/ Kazakhstan) Design Institute “Dortrans” (Kazakhstan) Other stakeholders: • JSC “Kazakhstan Center for Public-Private Partnership” (PPP Center): Regulator under Ministry of National Economy • RSE “Gosexpertiza” (Independent State Expert Review): Regulator under Ministry of National Economy • Local municipal and regional authorities (akimats): Public-sector beneficiaries of the project Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 5 Contents Subject Slide Introduction 3 Technical parameters 7 Financial structure 13 Contractual aspects 22 Tender process 30 Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 6 Technical Parameters: Overview Construction period 50 months Operations period c. 15.5 years 66 км long 27 k vehicles 4/6 lanes April-October 23 construction season 23 toll plazas entrances Cost of Construction (US$ m) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 86 114 285 163 33 12 intersections 21 bridges Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan Total: US$ 680m 19 viaducts 7 Technical Parameters: Construction Parameter Unit Construction length (length) Total km 66 Road category -- Ι-а Design speed km/h 150 Number of traffic lanes А) on sections Stake 0-55 and Stake 570-660 B) on sections Stake 55-570 - Traffic lane width m 3.75 Road shoulder width m 3.75 Width of the hard part of the road shoulder m 2.5 Width of median m 6.0 Width of safety strip near the median m 1.0 Carriageway width A) with 4 lanes B) with 6 lanes m m 4х3.75 6х3.75 Width of pavement A) with 4 lanes B) with 6 lanes m m 22 29.5 Width of roadbed A) with 4 lanes B) with 6 lanes m m 28.5 36 Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 4 6 8 Technical Parameters: CAPEX • Cost of Construction Estimated cost of construction: US$680 m (US$ mln) 300 • CAPEX estimated by GoK’s advisors based on: Detailed designs 285 250 200 Local methodology for cost estimation 163 150 114 • Approved by Gosexpertiza • Bidders allowed to review CAPEX estimates during bidding process 100 86 50 33 0 Year 1 Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 9 Technical Parameters: Traffic Average Annual Traffic Volumes, 2018 TRAFFIC STUDY • Transport model based on economic development forecasts, 2 traffic counts and a WTP/O-D survey • Unique vehicles entering motorway begin at 78,495 vpd and rise to 112,650 vpd by 2038 Number of Vehicles 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 P1-P2 • Average Daily Traffic: 2018: 27,308 vpd 2038: 44,344 vpd P2-P3 P3-P4 P4-P5 P5-P6 P6-P7 P7-P8 P8-P9 P9-P10 P10-P11P11-P12 Road Segment Heavy trucks/buses • Substantially, all traffic is local (commuters) Medium trucks/buses Light trucks/buses Cars Average Annual Traffic Volumes, 2038 Proportion of trucks increases over time (western China-Western Europe Corridor) • Traffic expected to be remarkably stable given variable weather conditions throughout the year Cross-section traffic figures Weighted average 2018 forecast 2038 forecast Number of Vehicles 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 P1-P2 P2-P3 Cars Trucks Total AADT Peak hour (% total) (% total) (real vpd) (equiv. vpd) (real vpd) (equiv. vpd) 88 12 27,308 32,838 1,327 Heavy trucks/buses 1,543 78 22 44,344 56,970 2,211 2,858 Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan P3-P4 P4-P5 P5-P6 P6-P7 P7-P8 P8-P9 P9-P10 P10-P11P11-P12 Road Segment Medium trucks/buses Light trucks/buses Cars 10 Technical Parameters: Tolling TOLLING STRATEGY • Toll rates set by GoK • Concessionaire to collect tolls on behalf of GoK and transfer toll revenue to the state budget • Concessionaire to supply tolling equipment Toll Plaza • “Open” toll system Intersection Flat fee upon entry No ‘main carriageway’ toll plazas “Congestion charge” approach • 23 toll plazas (15 + 8) • GOK interested in creating conditions for seamless transition between toll roads to be developed in Kazakhstan To be discussed with short-listed bidders Comparison of proposed tolls against benchmarks Toll rate (KZT) Class 1 - light vehicles Class 2 - minivans Class 3 - light trucks Class 4 - heavy trucks Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan International benchmark Min Max 343 489 399 570 456 651 536 765 Suggested gross toll rates 240 240 325 385 11 Contents Subject Slide Introduction 3 Technical parameters 7 Financial structure 13 Contractual aspects 22 Tender process 30 Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 12 Transaction Structure • 20-years BTO • Traffic revenues collected by concessionaire and transferred to GoK • Concessionaire remunerated through front-loaded availability payments • Paid in local currency but government to compensate for currency fluctuations Availability Payments (illustrative) Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 Compensation other expenses Investment Cost compensation Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 13 Investment Cost Compensation Investment cost compensation – Fixed Cost of construction including interest during construction (LIBOR + 3%) and other elements Paid during first years of operation (to mimic debt repayment schedule) Availability Payments (illustrative) Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 Compensation other expenses Investment Cost compensation Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 14 Compensation of Other Costs Compensation of other costs– Fixed OPEX, REPEX, tax, cost of capital and other costs Paid during operations period Availability Payments (illustrative) Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 Compensation other expenses Investment Cost compensation Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 15 Currency Risk Compensation Currency risk compensation – Variable Additional public subsidy to compensate for any devaluation-depreciation of KZT Vs US$ above 5% (cumulative) Availability Payments (illustrative) Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 Year 19 Year 20 Compensation other expenses Investment Cost compensation Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan FX compensation 16 Availability Payments AVAILABILITY PAYMENTS, A SUM OF • Investment cost compensation Cost of construction and other Paid during first [10] years of operation (to mimic debt repayment schedule) • Other cost compensation OPEX, REPEX, tax, cost of capital and other costs Paid during operations period • Currency risk compensation Additional public subsidy to compensate for any devaluation-depreciation of KZT Vs US$ • Other Performance penalties, other • Credit rating Kazakhstan: BBB+ (S&P), Baaa2 (Moody’s) • Strong interest from lenders: IFC, EBRD and ADB Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 17 Risk Matrix Type of risk Grantor Concessionaire Land expropriation Financing risk Inflation and cost overruns Commissioning of road; meeting hand-back standards Availability of road; meeting operating standards Traffic risk Currency fluctuations Termination payment; discriminatory change in law Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 18 Transaction Structure: Modifications MODIFICATIONS SINCE PREVIOUS INVESTORS CONFERENCE • Traffic risk: Transferred to GoK Availability payments applicable to “projects of exceptional significance” • FX risk: Transferred almost fully to GoK Government to compensate for currency fluctuations above 5% • Bankability: Step-in rights for lenders allowed Government to sign a Direct Agreement with lenders • Dispute resolution mechanism: International arbitration outside of Kazakhstan applicable to PPPs International arbitration allowed even if SPV is registered in Kazakhstan • Limited incentives for private sector efficiency Availability payment not adjusted for efficiency gains • Tender process: Two-stage tender process allowed • Mandatory use of local templates for the preparation of bidding documents International templates approved and adapted to local legislation Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 19 Land Expropriation STATUS OF THE LAND ACQUISITION PROCESS • Land expropriation process near completion 96% of landplots have been acquired Completion of land expropriation and delivery of the site is a condition precedent to the Concession Agreement Grantor will provide the land free of any encumbrances, with no adverse claims pending in court Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 20 Contents Subject Slide Introduction 3 Technical parameters 7 Financial structure 13 Contractual aspects 22 Tender process 30 Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 21 Legal & Institutional Framework (1) • Strong political will and clear government policy to promote BAKAD project • Stable institutional framework dedicated to concessions, including a PPP Center set up to implement the policy framework and to assist in the selection of PPP projects • Established legal and regulatory framework, including the Law of the RK on Concessions No. 167-III dated 7 July 2006 (as amended) and tender rules that allow a fair and transparent selection of concessionaires • BAKAD project awarded in the form of a concession by Order of the Government of the RK No. 1518 dated 31/12/2013. Recognized as a project of special importance (Order of the Government of the RK No. 1060 dated 7/10/2014) • Established investment protection (against illegal acts of state bodies, against nationalization and requisition, right to use and dispose of revenues) Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 22 Legal & Institutional Framework (2) • Enhanced attractivity of the Kazakh legal and regulatory framework, thanks to recent legal amendements allowing: Signing of the concession agreement by the SPV itself Conclusion of a direct agreement International arbitration in case of a dispute between resident entities Mitigation of FX risk through adjustment of availability payments Provision of termination payments in line with best practices Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 23 Contractual Aspects of the Concession (1) • Concession Agreement based on international best practices and Kazakhstani law CONTRACTING PARTIES • Government of Kazakhstan acting through the Ministry of Investments and Development (Grantor) • A resident SPV created by Successful Bidder (Concessionaire) CONDITIONS PRECEDENT (CP) • Delivery of Site to the Concessionaire • Execution of financing agreements, fulfilment (waiver) of all conditions precedent thereto • Provision of construction works programme and submission of design to Grantor • Delivery of construction bond • Obtaining all necessary consents by Concessionaire; delivery of certificates of insurance DURATION OF THE CONCESSION • CPs to be fulfilled <6 months from signature of Concession Agreement • Construction period starts when all CPs are fulfilled ("Commencement Date") and last <50 months from Commencement Date • Operation period starts when certificate of acceptance of the construction works is issued and ends 20 years after Commencement Date Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 24 Contractual Aspects of the Concession (2) FINANCIAL ISSUES • Concessionaire responsible for arranging financing • Direct agreement between Grantor, lenders and Concessionaire • Availability payments to be paid semi-annualy during period of operation as exclusive source of compensation • Availability payments to be adjusted if certain risks materialize (MAGA, FX, etc) INTERFACE ISSUES • Grantor can exercise control over compliance with contractual terms/conditions via Grantor Representative, approving Concessionaire’s annual programme, monitoring of records (in particular in respect of toll collection), disclosure obligations and Grantor step-in (conduct of required actions) • Sections of “WC – WE” corridor will also be tolled (incl. Almaty-Khorgos): interoperability implications Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 25 Contractual Aspects of the Concession (3) LABOR • Concessionaire to comply with Equator Principles and Law. • No specific local content requirements for project. ENVIRONMENTAL • Concessionaire to conduct environment and social assessment, and establish an Environmental Social Management System. • Concessionaire responsible for strictly complying with Law and Equator Principles relating to protection of environment, health and safety. OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE REQUIREMENTS • Deductions to availability payments, in case of: defect(s) (immaterial, material or dangerous): i.e. deviation from GOST/SNiP requirements; non-performance: i.e. failure to comply with detailed technical, reporting or other requirements; unavailability: i.e. closure of any lane or lanes / entries to user traffic. Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 26 Contractual Aspects of the Concession (4) VARIATION PROCEDURE • Concession Agreement provides for a variation procedure in line with PFI standards, subject to Kazakhstani budgetary procedures when compensation is to be paid by Grantor. STABILIZATION PROVISIONS • Subject to strict conditions, Concessionaire entitled to compensation through adjustment of availability payments and/or extension of time and/or relief in event of: Adverse Government Action; Force Majeure; Qualifying Change in Law. Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 27 Contractual Aspects of the Concession (5) TERMINATION PAYMENTS • Concessionaire Default: (1) – (5) • Grantor Default or Prolonged AGA: (1) + (2) + (3) – (5) • Prolonged Force Majeure: (1) + (4) – (5) With: (1): lowest of: (i) Capital Expenditure already incurred, or (ii) “Cost of the Concession Object”, multiplied by: (percentage of ICC remaining due at Termination Date) × 0.9 (2): termination costs (3): an amount, which when taken together with dividends (or other distributions) paid by the Concessionaire and equity invested or other forms of investment on or before Termination Date taking into account the actual timing of all such payments, gives a real internal rate of return of 13%. (4): mitigation costs. (5): insurance proceeds received by the Concessionaire. Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 28 Contents Subject Slide Introduction 3 Technical parameters 7 Financial structure 13 Contractual aspects 22 Tender process 30 Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 29 Tender Requirements • Form of the bidders: single entity or consortium • Access of the bidders to a virtual data room • Bid applications shall comprise: First stage bid application, to be submitted at Step I (qualification stage) Second stage bid application, to be submitted at Step II, including: • Feasibility study (“TEO”, including technical and financial offers) • Bid security, in the form of a bank guarantee or in the form of a deposit (equal to 0.1% of value of concession object) • Contents of the applications: 1 printed original, 1 printed copy, 1 electronic copy • Language of the applications: Kazakh or Russian. Additional electronic copy in English is recommended • Bid application validity period: 12 months from date of expiry of the second stage bid application submission deadline Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 30 Qualification Criteria STEP I – BIDDERS QUALIFICATION Main qualification criteria: • Financial and material resources for the project: Participated over last 10 years in at least 2 projects satisfying any of the 3 following categories: category 1: investment in a project of construction or reconstruction of motor roads >US$40 mln; or category 2: >=2 contracts as general contractor in a project of construction and (or) reconstruction of motor roads with >=4 traffic lanes in similar climatic conditions >US$190 mln; or category 3: assets (book value) of a project operated (managed) >US$190 mln. • Bidders must have a net worth of not less than 10% from the value of the concession object Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 31 Slide 31: Qualification Criteria STEP II – SUBMISSION OF SECOND STAGE BID APPLICATIONS • Technical criteria: pass / fail review of compliance with technical specifications of the project + sign undertaking to contribute no less than 10% of cost of concession object in the form of equity • Financial criterion: minimum amount of government support discounted at 8% • Technical evaluation carried out by MID, Expertiza and PPP center. • Financial offers of only those bidders who passed the previous stage will be opened • Bid approved by expert reviews, meeting technical criteria and providing for lowest discounted availability payments is designated as first-ranked bid Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 32 Tentative Tender Schedule Event Tentative Timelines Deadline for requests for clarification at Step I January 3, 2015 Deadline for submission of Bids for Step I February 3, 2015 Invitation to submit documents for Step II End of February 2015 Deadline for requests for clarification at Step II June 29, 2015 Deadline for submission of documents for Step II July 29, 2015 End of evaluation phase at Step II Not later than end of November 2015 Negotiations with the first-ranked bidder Within 6 months from designation of the best bid Bid approval and announcement of the successful bidder Within 1,5 month from end of negotiations Signing of the concession agreement Within 90 days from announcement of the successful bidder Ministry of Investments and Development of Republic of Kazakhstan 33
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