2014 NOVEMBER Edition Market Update and Fund Review Dear valued Investor, We are pleased to present the final edition of the Prosper newsletter for the year 2014. We are delighted that we have been able to generate exceptional returns during the year and wish to reiterate our commitment to continued prudent investment strategies in order to ensure that your funds generate best returns at all times. Amana Takaful looks forward to serving your Family Takaful and long term financial planning needs in 2015 as well and anticipate a year of renewed financial markets and vibrant development. We wish you and your loved ones a prosperous and achievement filled 2015. Yours truly, Amana Takaful Prosper Team Benchmark Asset Allocation (Equity:Non Equity) for the month November 2014 Return for the Year Last 12 month Return (November13 –14) Amana Takaful – Volatile multiple fund Amana Takaful – Growth multiple fund Amana Takaful – Stable multiple fund Amana Takaful – Protected multiple fund* 90%:10% 60%:40% 10%:90% 0%:100% 21.80% 22.72% 8.27% 7.03% 19.57% 14.39% 6.11% 8.51% 20.07% 14.84% 6.37% 8.58% ASPI S&PSL20 100%:0% 100%:0% -28.32% -34.08% 19.24% 19.86% 20.14% 20.99% Annualized Return * Inception of the Protected Multiple Fund was on October 2012 | Source: www.cse.lk and AMANA Capital Data Top 4 Equity Holdings as at November 30, 2014 Volatile Multiple Fund Growth Multiple Fund Top 5 White List Stock Performance for the month of November 2014 ODEL PLC 6.2% Access Engineering PLC 3.8% • Renuka Shaw Wallace Lanka IOC PLC 2.0% Sunshine Holdings PLC • Sunshine Holdings PLC Tokyo Cement Lanka PLC 1.9% Textured Jersey PLC • Textured Jersey PLC Chevron Lubricants PLC 1.4% • Access Engineering PLC • Access Engineering PLC • Singer Sri Lanka PLC • • Source: www.cse.lk and AMANA Capital Data Prosper Price Performance Vs ASPI [ PAGE 01] Stock Market As at end Nov 2014 Month Quarter ASPI 7153.90 -2.36% -1.35% 20.99% S&PSL20 3971.12 -2.84% -1.66% 21.67% +5.67bn 13.48bn 20.52bn Net foreign pur/(sales) LKR Market PE Ratio 19.25× Market capitalization LKR 3.04 Tn YTD Source: Colombo Stock Exchange Fixed Income Market Last month Last Change Reverse repurchase rate (Rate CBSL lends to commercial banks) 8.00% 8.00% Jan -14 Repo Rate (Rate which commercial banks place excess cash with CBSL) 5.52% 5.50% Nov-14 364 days T Bill 6.00% 6.00% 0.00% Inflation 1.5% 1.6% 0.1% MoM Private Sector Credit 4.6% 2.6% LKR 52.3 Bn Key Policy Rates Growth This month (Sep 2014) (Aug 2014) LKR/USD (Midpoint average) 131.01 132.40 2.07% -1.05% Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka Fund Manager’s Report • The market momentum got disrupted in November with the announcement of the presidential election. ASPI declined 2.36% during the month while S&P SL 20 fell 2.84%. We expect the volatility to continue with the investors keeping a close eye on the upcoming election. • Despite the volatility in the equity markets, the overall macro outlook for Sri Lanka continues to be stable. At the auctions held during the month, 1 year interest rate continued to remain stable at 6.00%. • Point to point inflation continue to slow down with November reporting +1.5% though MoM inflation accelerated to +0.1% up from -1.6%. The Food and Beverage (F&B) segment in the basket increased by +0.6% MoM while recording a YoY growth of 4.9% during the month. Core inflation increased by +0.11% MoM, for the second consecutive month. • Though we are mindful of possible market volatility in the near term, we continue to remain bullish on equities given the low interest rate regime coupled with attractive valuations on select counters. With this in mind, we continue to increase the overall equity allocations in the Growth and Volatile funds, by making use market weaknesses. [ PAGE 02] White List as of November 2014 Finance and Insurance Diversified Holdings Manufacturing Services Amana Bank PLC Expo Lanka Holdings PLC Abans Electricals PLC Asia Siyaka Commodities PLC Amana Takaful PLC Free Lanka Capital Holdings PLC ACL Cables PLC Ceylon Printers PLC Beverages and Food PCH Holdings PLC ACL Plastics PLC Hunter & Company PLC Bairaha Farms PLC Sunshine Holdings PLC Agstar Fertilizers PLC Kalamazoo Systems PLC Ceylon Tea Services PLC The Colombo Fort Land & Building Co. PLC Alumex PLC Lake House Printing & Publishers PLC Convenience Foods PLC Healthcare Central Industries PLC Power & Energy Harischandra Mills PLC Asiri Surgical Hospitals PLC Ceylon Grain Elevators PLC Hemas Power PLC Heladiv Foods PLC Ceylon Hospitals PLC (Durdans) Chevron Lubricants Lanka PLC Lanka IOC Kotmale Holdings PLC Nawaloka Hospitals PLC Dankotuwa Porcelain PLC Laugfs Gas PLC Nestle Lanka PLC The Lanka Hospital Corpoartion PLC Dipped Products PLC Panasian Power PLC Raigam Wayaba Salterns PLC Land and Property Hayleys Fibre PLC Vidullanka PLC Renuka Agri Foods PLC City Housing & Real Estate Company PLC Kelani Cables PLC Vallibel Power Renuka Shaw Wallace PLC Colombo Land & Development Com PLC Kelani Tyres PLC Plantations Tea SmallHolder Factories CT Land Development PLC Lanka Cement PLC Balangoda Plantations PLC Three Acre Farms PLC Huejay International Investment PLC Lanka Ceramic PLC Elpitiya Plantations PLC Motors Serendib Engineering Group PLC Lanka Floortiles PLC Hapugastanne Plantations PLC Colonial Motors PLC Serendib Land PLC Lanka Walltiles PLC Horana Plantations PLC DIMO PLC Seylan Developments PLC Laxapana Batteries PLC Kahawatte Plantation PLC Lanka Ashok Leyland PLC York man Holdings PLC Piramal Glass Ceylon PLC Kelani Valley Plantations PLC Sathosa Motors PLC Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals Printcare PLC Kotagala Plantations PLC United Motors Lanka PLC Chemanex PLC Regnis (Lanka) PLC Madulsima Plantations PLC Construction & Engineering Haycarb PLC Royal Ceramic Lanka PLC Malwatte Valley Plantations PLC Access Engineering PLC Industrial Asphalts (Ceylon) PLC Samson International PLC Maskeliya Plantations Limited Colombo Dockyard PLC J.L. Morison Son & Jones (Ceylon) PLC Sierra Cables PLC Metropolitan Resource Holdings PLC Lankem Development PLC Lankem Ceylon PLC Singer Industries (Ceylon) PLC Namunukula Plantation PLC MTD Walkers PLC Union Chemical Lanka PLC Swisstek (Ceylon) PLC Talawakelle Tea Estate PLC Footwear and Textiles Trading Textured Jersey Lanka PLC Tess Agro PLC Ceylon Leather Products PLC C. W. Mackie PLC Tokyo Cement (Company) PLC Udapussellawa Plantation PLC Kuruwita Textile Mills PLC Eastern Merchants PLC Telecommunications Watawala Plantations PLC Odel PLC Office Equipment PLC Dialog Axiata PLC Stores & Supplies Information Technology Singer (Sri Lanka) PLC Sri Lanka Telecom PLC E B Creasy & Company PLC PC House PLC Gestetner of Ceylon PLC Source: AMANA Capital Data Information contained in this monthly commentary should be used as general advice and information only. It does not take into account the particular circumstances, investment objectives and needs for investment of any investor or purport to be comprehensive or constitute investment advice and should not be relied on as such. Any action taken to make investments should be after consultation of your investment manager or professional in investment analyst. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. If you are interested in investing in Prosper, you may reply this mail and a member of the investment advisory team will get in touch with you. SPONSOR Amana Takaful PLC (PQ23) 660- 1/1, Galle Road, Colombo 03. Tel: 0117 501 000 | Fax: 0112 597 429 E-mail: [email protected] | Web: www.takaful.lk FUND MANAGER AMANA Capital No. 06, Glen Aber Place, Colombo - 04. Sri Lanka. Tel: +94 11 7801000|Fax: +94 11 2556412 E-mail: [email protected] [ PAGE 03]
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