GENERAL AND RESTRICTED Industry Brief Offshore Support Vessels Global Advisory & Research - Accommodation Vessel, Landing Craft Tank, General Purpose Vessel 9 September 2014 Song Eng Eng [email protected] General Statistics and Information Global OSV Accommodation Vessel Malaysia (2012) OSV *Accommodation Vessel *General Purpose Vessel *Landing Craft Tank 4,975 210 249 22 3 7 * Fleet size of Malaysia Offshore Support Vessels Owners'Association members Our Assessment Accommodation, landing craft tanks and general purpose vessels form a small share or under 15% of the Offshore Support Vessel (OSV) family. Supply of accommodation vessels have been fairly static in recent years with utilization rate of within 60%. Global daily charter rates range between US$50,000 to US$250,000 per bed for non-submersible vessels. Charter rates should firm up should the current pace of E&P activities continue. International oil companies are slowing down their E&P spending this year as rising costs are affecting profitability. This includes Petronas which announced it plans to cut its capex in 2015. The slowdown in E&P spending and activity will curtail demand for OSV services which could result in a fall in charter rates in the future. The near term risk is limited as the existing contracts signed with most OSV operators are on multiple year terms, however, new and future contracts faces the risk of lower charter rates. Overview Total global OSV in operation is estimated at 4,975 according to Infield Systems. By far the largest share consists of Platform Supply Vessels (54%) and Anchor Handling Tug Supply Vessels (31%). The remaining supply vessels comprising of Accommodation Vessels, Anchor Handling Tugs, Pipelay, Multi Purpose Support Vessels and Diving Support Vessels make up a much smaller market share at 15%. There are about 49 Malaysian registered companies that own and operate a total of 249 OSVs. There are 4 phases to the Exploration and Production (E&P) cycle of an offshore oil and gas field: Exploration, Development, Production, and Decommissioning. Each phase requires services from different Offshore Support Vessels (OSV). Offshore accommodation vessels are typically deployed after the exploration stage, chiefly in the development, production and decommissioning phases. IA/Offshore Support Vessel- Accommodation Vessel, Landing Craft Tank, General Purpose Vessel/0914-1 Page 1 of 4 GENERAL AND RESTRICTED Exploration Exploration and appraisal drilling to identify & confirm the presence of hydrocarbons & commercial viability Anchor Handling Tug Anchor Handling Tug Supply Vessel Heavy lift vessels Multi-purpose Support Vessel Construction, Installation & Development Production Activities carried out Production wells are drilled and Oil and gas is extracted from infrastructure such as the deposit. Routine inspection, production platforms and maintenance and repairs are pipelines are installed. carried out. Offshore support vessels provided Anchor Handling Tug Anchor Handling Tug Anchor Handling Tug Supply Anchor Handling Tug Supply Vessel Vessel Platform supply vessel Platform supply vessel Accommodation vessel Accommodation vessel Multi-purpose Support Vessel Multi-purpose Support Vessel Maintenance Work Vessel Maintenance Work Vessel Subsea Construction Vessel Well intervention vessel Pipelay Diving support vessels Diving support vessels Liftboat/service rig Heavy lift vessels Tug & barge Tug & barge Landing craft Landing craft Distribution of global accommodation vessels Decommissioning Removal of production and processing infrastructure once a mature field ceases to be commercially viable Anchor Handling Tug Anchor Handling Tug Supply Vessel Accommodation vessel Maintenance Work Vessel Multi-purpose Support Vessel Diving support vessels Liftboat/service rig Heavy lift vessels A landing craft is a highly maneuverable open deck landing craft with shallow draft and a ramp at the bow that allow loading and unloading. It is ideal for ship-toship transport and is especially useful for cargo operations in areas without proper ports or jetties. A multipurpose supply vessel is a dedicated vessel which is able to perform multiple maintenance services on platforms, floaters, subsea wells, pipelines and risers. Source: Infield Systems Ltd Accommodation day rates by vessel type (US$‘000; 2009-2017) The fleet size of general purpose vessels and landing craft tanks appears limited in Malaysia. The vessels owned by the 23 members of Malaysia Offshore Support Vessels Owners' Association totaled 3 units (general purpose vessels) and 7 units (landing craft tanks). An accommodation workboat is a vessel that provide accommodation for personnel, lifting, heli deck, catering, workshop and storage facilities in offshore oilfields for offshore construction and/or maintenance operations. Depending on the size and specifications, accommodation vessels may accommodate between 150 to 800 people. There are 210 accommodation vessels globally, of which 114 are barge-type vessels. Supply has been relatively constant over the past few years and utilization rate has hovered around 60%. Historically, daily rates have been less volatile as charters are signed for longer multiple year terms. Source: Infield Systems Ltd According to Infield Systems, accommodation vessels within Malaysia are relatively limited with smaller capacities if compared to the fleet in Indonesia or Singapore. Fleet size of the 23 members of Malaysia IA/Offshore Support Vessel- Accommodation Vessel, Landing Craft Tank, General Purpose Vessel/0914-1 Page 2 of 4 GENERAL AND RESTRICTED Offshore Support Vessels Owners' Association stands at 22 vessels. Semisub Capacity (no. of m en) 230 – 800 Water depth If DP, unlimited, Moored <= 500m Monohull 200 - 800 Unlimited Jackup 70-460 120m Barge 40-900 <= 500m Source: Maybank Kim Eng; Infield Systems Ltd DP: Dynamic positioning Day rates (US$'000) 150 - 350 100-250 70 - 200 50-150 Non-semisubmersible accommodation supply/demand and utilization rate Source: Infield Systems Ltd There are 4 types of accommodation vessels : barges, jackup, monohull and semisubmersible vessels. Semisubmersible accommodation vessels are able to operate in harsh deepwater environment and have traditionally commanded the highest daily charter rates in excess of US$150,000 per bed as it is able to serve the growing deepwater market. Semisubmersible accommodation vessels traditionally have not been widely used in Asia but most are placed in the North Sea or within Mexico. Strong growth prospects and demand for accommodation vessels lie in semisubmersibles as it serves the deepwater market which commands the highest charter rates and utilization. Traditionally, semisubmersibles are used in North Sea and Mexico but there is increasing demand coming from Brazil and West Africa. In view of this and the limited supply of semisubmersible-type accommodation vessels, high utilization and day rates should sustain. Daily rates range between US$150,000 to US$350,000. The market for non-semisubmersible accommodation, namely, barges, jackup and monohull, is growing within each offshore region, with the exception of North America which is affected by a reduction in the operational base of platforms. Elsewhere there are significant opportunities in South East Asia and the Middle East. Considering that approximately 70% of accommodation vessel contracts relate to the maintenance and modification works, demand for nonsemisubmersible accommodation vessels will be strong, especially in Asian waters where there is a substantial amount of maintenance and installation activity in Malaysia and Indonesia. Daily rates range between US$50,000 to US$250,000 per bed depending on the size and specification. . Outlook and challenges Global E&P capex spending As Exploration & Production (E&P) activities increase, there will be greater demand for OSV vessels to provide the necessary services for the E&P activities. It follows that demand for OSV is very dependent on E&P capital expenditure (Capex). The global recession resulted in project delays/cancelations and thus reduced levels of capex in 2009-2010. Capex subsequently rebounded in 2011 to record an average of growth 12% p.a. during 2010-2013. Source: IEA Currently, the OSV industry is facing an oversupply imbalance, particularly, Anchor Handling Tugs and IA/Offshore Support Vessel- Accommodation Vessel, Landing Craft Tank, General Purpose Vessel/0914-1 Page 3 of 4 GENERAL AND RESTRICTED Platform Supply Vessels. The global OSV oversupply was a result of newbuild deliveries following massive orders for, among others, Anchor Handling Tugs and Platform Supply Vessels prior to the global economic downturn in 2008. The large orders of OSV was driven by E&P spending growing at double-digit levels during 2003 - 2008, which led to a number of new field development projects, boosting demand for drilling and subsea services. Source : Ministry of Transport, Malaysia E&P capex growth In Malaysia, OSVs increased by 54 vessels during the period 2008 to 2012. According to news reports, Petronas President and CEO Tan Sri Dato' Shamsul Azhar Abbas warned of the oversupply of OSVs in Malaysia and that there are indications that charter rates will fall in the future. Recently quoted OSV charter rates were 15% below current market rates due to an increasing supply of OSVs, barges and drilling rigs coming onstream. The oversupply in Malaysia largely refers to smaller vessels, namely, Anchor Handling Tugs below 5,000 bhp category and Platform Supply Vessels below 3,000 DWT. Also of concern, is growth will be flat for global E&P capex in 2014. International oil companies are reigning in their capex plans and postponing projects as costs have affected profitability although national oil companies are still keen to sustain their spending. The slowdown in E&P spending will dampen demand for OSV services going forward. Petronas announced that it is planning to cut its capex in 2015 although the quantum of the cut was not disclosed. Source: Clarksons . Sources : Infield Systems Ltd International Energy Agency (IEA) Ministry of Transport, Malaysia Malaysia Offshore Support Vessels Owners' Association Clarksons Disclaimer: The information and materials contained in this document is prepared for information purposes only and general in nature. The research and information contained in this document is based on material compiled from data considered to be reliable at the time of writing. However information and opinions expressed in the document should not be construed as final consideration for any business and investment decision making. EXIM Bank cannot be held responsible for any losses whether direct or indirect as result of using the information. Unauthorized use of EXIM Bank logo, name and copyrights are strictly prohibited. IA/Offshore Support Vessel- Accommodation Vessel, Landing Craft Tank, General Purpose Vessel/0914-1 Page 4 of 4
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