UBS Preliminary Agenda 20th Annual Reserve Management Seminar for Sovereign Institutions 15 - 20 June 2014 Wolfsberg Conference Center Ermatingen, Switzerland Agenda is preliminary and subject to change UBS Sunday, 15 June 2014 – Afternoon arrivals 13.00 Lunch (Light lunch) 18.30 Opening ceremony Welcome remarks • Hans W. Bölsterli, Conference Manager, UBS • Paul Donovan, Global Economist, UBS Investment Bank • Massimiliano Castelli, Head of Strategy, Global Sovereign Markets, UBS Global Asset Management, Zurich • Toni Schönenberger, CEO Wolfsberg 19.30 Drinks / dinner Agenda is preliminary and subject to change UBS Monday, 16 June 2014 – Macro and Politics 08.30 Plenary session Developments in Central Bank reserves “Reserve Management in a rising rate environment”, Pierre Cardon, Head of External Fund Management, BIS Basel, Basel Paul Donovan, Global Economist, UBS Investment Bank, London 10.15 Coffee break 11.00 Keynote address Larry Hatheway, Chief Economist, UBS Investment Bank, London Curt Custard, Head Global Investment Solutions, UBS Global Asset Management, Chicago 12.30 Lunch 13.45 Group photo 14.00 Politics session Mona Sutphen, Former Deputy Chief of Staff to President Obama George Magnus, Senior Economic Adviser, UBS Investment Bank, London 15.45 Coffee Break 16.30 Regional Economic Panel US Maury Harris, Chief US Economist, UBS Investment Bank, New York Europe Reinhard Cluse, Chief Economist Europe & Emerging EMEA, UBS Investment Bank, London Asia Tao Wang, Head of China Economic Research, UBS Investment Bank, Hong Kong 17.30 End 18.30 Drinks / dinner Agenda is preliminary and subject to change UBS Tuesday, 17 June 2014 – UBS Chairman's Day Central Bank Governor’s Day 09.00 Opening Key Note: "Global monetary policy at a crossroads" Axel A. Weber, Chairman UBS AG Followed by Panel on developed markets: "From tapering to tightening: US monetary policy tightening and its effects on the global economy and financial markets" Opening remarks: "What is the path forward for US monetary policy, and what are the risks to either side?" Sandra Pianalto, Outgoing President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland "Challenges for ECB Monetary Policy" Athanasios Orphanides, former Governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus and former member of the Governing Council of the ECB "Will Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE) break Japan's deflation spell? Framework of QQE and policy effects thus far achieved" Hiroshi Nakaso, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan Panel Discussion incl. Q&A (moderated by Axel Weber) 12.00 Lunch Break 13.30 Key Note: "After the minsky moment: The monetary - fiscal mix – theory versus practice" Paul McCulley, Chairman of the Society of Fellows of the Global Interdependence Center (GIC), incl. 15 mins Q&A moderated by Axel Weber 14.30 Panel on emerging markets: "Emerging market turmoil – self-inflicted boom/bust cycle or fallout from the Fed's tightening?" Opening remarks: "Brazil’s outlook after the beginning of policy normalization" Luiz Pereira da Silva, Deputy Governor of International Affairs and Corporate Risk Management of Central Bank of Brazil "Lessons from using FX intervention as a tool of monetary policy" Andrew Abir, Director of the Market Operations Department at the Bank of Israel "Currency board – blessing or curse for an emerging economy?" Kalin Hristov, Deputy Governor of the Bulgarian National Bank Agenda is preliminary and subject to change UBS 15.30 Panel Discussion incl. Q&A (moderated by Axel Weber) 16:30 Key Note: "Quantitative and qualitative easing – old wine in new bottles or a new paradigm?" Athanasios Orphanides, former Governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus and former member of the Governing Council of the ECB incl. 15 mins Q&A moderated by Axel Weber 17:30 End 18:30 Drinks followed by UBS RMS 20th Anniversary Gala Dinner Agenda is preliminary and subject to change UBS Wednesday, 18 June 2014 – Asset Management 08.00 Ulrich Körner, CEO UBS Global Asset Management CEO UBS Group Europe Middle East & Africa / Member of the GEB 08.30 Massimiliano Castelli, Head of Strategy, Global Sovereign Markets, UBS Global Asset Management, Zurich 9.00 Joshua McCallum, Head of Fixed Income Economics, UBS Global Asset Management, London 09.40 Key Note Speech: "How to select new asset classes for a central bank portfolio" Sandro Streit, Head of Asset Management, Swiss National Bank, Zurich 10.40 Coffee Break 11.00 Uwe Schillhorn, Head Emerging Market Debt, UBS Global Asset Management, Chicago 11.45 Key Note Speech: Gerardo Garcia Lopez, Head of International Operations, Banco de Mexico 12.30 Panel Moderator: Massimiliano Castelli, Head of Strategy, Global Sovereign Markets, UBS Global Asset Management, Zurich Stephane Deo, Global Head of Asset Allocation, UBS Investment Bank, London Andreas Köster, Head of Asset Allocation & Currency, Global Investment Solutions, UBS Global Asset Management, Zurich Sandro Streit, Head of Asset Management, Swiss National Bank, Zurich Gerardo Garcia Lopez, Head of International Operations, Banco de Mexico 13.30 Lunch 15.00 RMS Group meetings 18.00 Key Note Speech Paul Polman, Chief Executive Officer, Unilever N.V. Followed by Q & A 18.45 Drinks and dinner Agenda is preliminary and subject to change UBS Thursday, 19 June 2014 – Investment Strategy 08.30 UBS Foreign Exchange, Rates and Credit today Mark Ratcliffe, Global COO, UBS Foreign Exchange, Rates and Credit Distribution 09:00 The Gold Market Edel Tully, Precious Metals Strategist, UBS Investment Bank, London 09:30 Mansoor Mohi-uddin, Chief Currency Strategist, UBS Investment Bank, Singapore 10.00 Rossa White Chief Economist, Irish National Treasury Management Agency 10.45 Coffee break 11.15 Hariyadi Ramelan, Director, Head of Reserve Analysis Group, Reserves Management Department, Bank of Indonesia Adam S. Posen, Former member Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee, President Peterson Institute for International Economics 12.45 Lunch 14.00 Workshops 1 - US Short Duration James Law, Head of US Short Duration, UBS Global Asset Management, Chicago 2 - Risk Management for Sovereign Institutions, Mark Deans, Head of Risk Advisory, UBS Global Asset Management, London 3 - The Gold Market Hector Freitas, Global Head Precious Metals Sales, Investment Bank, Zürich Ulviye Emirzade, Precious Metals Sales, Investment Bank, Zurich 17.30 End 18.30 Departure for Swiss evening 19.00 Drinks and dinner Conference awards ceremony Agenda is preliminary and subject to change UBS Friday, 20 June 2014 – Precious Metals day 08.00 Departure for UBS AG Gold Tour – Optional 11.00 Tour to Metalor - The leading precious metals company worldwide Avenue du Vignoble, CH-2009 Neuchâtel (Groups max 2 x 6 Persons) Lunch at restaurant Return Transfer Zurich - airport – Arrival approx. at 6.00 pm Registration will be available on Monday at the venue, first come – first serve Friday, June 20, 2014 Departure day for non-participants to Gold visit 08.00 1st shuttle bus: Departure for Zurich Airport – downtown Zurich 09:00 2nd shuttle bus: Departure for Zurich Airport – downtown Zurich Agenda is preliminary and subject to change
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