Report 04-04-2014

Registro Mercantil de Madrid, Tomo 183543, Libro 0 ,Folio 21, Sección 8, Hoja M‐218152 Cif‐B81975385 UGS CASTOR – Report 04/04/2014
Dear Sirs,
Please be aware that Fitch Ratings has made a press release on 28 March 2014 stating
that: “Fitch Ratings maintains Watercraft Capital S.A.'s (Castor Gas Storage) EUR1.4bn
secured bonds (rated BBB+) on Rating Watch Negative (RWN).”
Please find attached the full press release.
ESCAL UGS, S.L.
Madrid, 4th March 2014
Sede Social San Francisco de Sales, 38 28003 Madrid. España T (+34) 91 535 77 01 F (+34) 91 535 20 15 www.escalugs.com Planta Operaciones Ctra. CV‐11 – p.k. 19.550 Apartado de Correos 347 12500 Vinaròs. Castelló T (+34) 964 02 94 94 F (+34) 964 02 94 96 Pag. 1 de 1 FITCH MAINTAINS CASTOR GAS STORAGE
BONDS ON RATING WATCH NEGATIVE
Fitch Ratings-London-28 March 2014: Fitch Ratings is maintaining Watercraft Capital S.A.'s (Castor
Gas Storage) EUR1.4bn secured bonds (rated BBB+) on Rating Watch Negative (RWN).
The RWN reflects continued high uncertainty over the future of the Castor Gas Storage project and
the implications for bondholders following unexpected seismic activity in the project's vicinity in
3Q13. Developments in the near term could take one of four paths: (1) the inclusion of the assets
in the national remuneration system under the 'Transitory Remuneration' regime; (2) concession
relinquishment by the project company; (3) the triggering of the project sponsors' ACS SCE's
obligation to prepay the bonds in November 2014; or (4) concession termination by the government.
In our view, ACS SCE is incentivised to resolve the issue as it is committed to prepay the senior
bonds under the sponsor support agreement if the project is not included in the remuneration system
by 30 November 2014.
Fitch placed the rating on RWN on 1 October 2013 following the order by the Spanish authorities to
pause the activity at Castor gas storage plant due to unusual seismic activity in the project's vicinity
(off the coast of Valencia) that commenced after a cushion gas injection cycle was completed. The
Ministry of Industry ordered to stop the gas injection in the reservoir, and had requested detailed
reports from the country's National Geographic Institute (IGN) and from the Geological Survey
Institute of Spain (IGME).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Preliminary indications are that the results of the studies by the two official institutes are inconclusive
and additional investigations may be conducted. The authorities have also been provided with the
results of the studies commissioned by the project company (ESCAL UGS), which we believe concur
that the seismic activity was caused by a secondary fault line and not by Castor reservoir's fault
line. The issue is highly complex as well as politically and socially sensitive, and the authorities
may delay any decision until a conclusive view on the seismic issues is formed. In our view, the
project will not be able to get back on track in line with the original schedule and re-start 'cushion
gas' injection any time soon.
There is a possibility of an interim solution whereby the project's assets are included in the
remuneration system under 'Transitory Remuneration' while the operations of the project remain
suspended until further investigations are completed and a firmer political view is formed.
Favourably, the outcome of the technical and financial audit of the project conducted by the authorities
is positive, confirming that the project's investment cost of EUR 1.46bn is reasonable and the project's
technical design is sound. In accordance with the regulatory provisions, the completion of this audit
allows the project to be included in the remuneration system while other commissioning milestones
(48h gas tests and definitive commissioning certificate) remain pending.
At the same time, the second payment date under the bonds on 30 June 2014 is approaching, and ACS
SCE is expected to cover most of the debt service requirements as per sponsor support agreement.
A Project Bond Credit Enhancement (PBCE) facility of EUR200m is also available for on-going
payments of debt service.
RATING SENSTIVITIES
Fitch will review the RWN within the next three months. In the event that the project secures
Transitory Remuneration status, this may be supportive of the current rating level, depending on the
timing and amount of the first remuneration payments as well as on the progress by the authorities
towards the final decision on whether the gas reservoir should be re-opened or not.
In the other scenarios, the rating is likely to be downgraded by at least one rating category (three
rating notches) due to the reliance on ACS SCE and the untested concession compensation regime to
repay the bonds. Compensation provisions in case of concession termination by the government or
relinquishment of the concession by the project company are favourable on paper, but lack precedents
and are not sufficiently clear with respect to the actual payment mechanism and timing. Compensation
payments are defined as 'net book value of the assets', subject to the assets remaining operational.
Compensation may also be limited to 'residual value' in case of serious violations or intentional
negligence of the operator. The concepts of 'net book value', 'residual value' and 'operational' are not
well-defined under the regulation, and the determination of compensation payments would be at the
government's discretion.
Fitch gains some comfort that the presence of the European Investment Bank (EIB) as the PBCE
provider and a bond investor mitigates the political risk to some extent. In addition, there is ample
liquidity within the project structure under the sponsor support agreement with ACS SCE and
the PBCE facility to support debt service in the interim phase. The PBCE could also be used to
supplement termination payments to repay the bonds.
Key Rating Factor Assessments:
Completion Risk - Weaker
Revenue Risk - Midrange
Operations Risk - Midrange
Infrastructure Renewal - Midrange
Debt Structure - Stronger
Contact:
Primary Analyst
Jelena Babajeva
Director
+44 20 3530 1375
Fitch Ratings Limited
30 North Colonnade
London E14 5GN
Secondary Analyst
Federico Gronda
Senior Director
+39 02 8790 87287
Committee Chairperson
Dan Robertson
Managing Director
+44 203 530 1312
Media Relations: Francoise Alos,
[email protected].
Paris,
Tel:
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Email:
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com.
Applicable criteria 'Rating Criteria for Infrastructure and Project Finance', dated 12 July 2012, 'Rating
Criteria for Availability-Based Projects' dated 18 June 2013 are available at www.fitchratings.com.
Applicable Criteria and Related Research:
Rating Criteria for Infrastructure and Project Finance
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=682867
Rating Criteria for Availability-Based Projects
http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=710784
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