IF A FEDERAL ELECTION FOR THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES WAS HELD TODAY, WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? IF "UNCOMMITTED", TO WHICH ONE OF THESE DO YOU HAVE A LEANING? Election March 13 1993 Newspoll 11-13 June 1993 Newspoll 25-27 June 1993 Newspoll 9-11 July 1993 Newspoll 23-25 July 1993 Newspoll 6-8 August 1993 ALP % 44.9 45 44 41 43 41 Newspoll 20-22 August 1993* 31 LIBERAL/ NATIONAL % 44.3 45 45 50 45 46 OTHERS % 10.8 10 11 9 12 13 54 15 * 8 percent "uncommitted" and 1 percent "refused" excluded ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY MR PAUL KEATING IS DOING HIS JOB AS PRIME MINISTER? SATISFIED % DISSATISFIED UNCOMMITTED % % June 11-13 1993 June 25-27 1993 July 9-11 1993 July 23-25 1993 August 6-8 1993 32 30 30 29 27 57 60 60 60 64 11 10 10 11 9 August 20-22 1993 17 74 9 ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY DR JOHN HEWSON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION? June 11-13 1993 June 25-27 1993 July 9-11 1993 July 23-25 1993 August 6-8 1993 August 20-22 1993 3091a SATISFIED % 26 24 30 30 32 DISSATISFIED % 59 59 53 54 55 UNCOMMITTED % 15 17 17 16 13 39 46 15 WHO DO YOU THINK WOULD MAKE THE BETTER PRIME MINISTER? MR PAUL KEATING % DR JOHN HEWSON % UNCOMMITTED % June 11-13 1993 June 25-27 1993 July 9-11 1993 July 23-25 1993 August 6-8 1993 40 41 38 38 38 32 30 36 34 31 28 29 26 28 31 August 20-22 1993 27 43 30 3091a THINKING OF THE FEDERAL BUDGET HANDED DOWN BY THE TREASURER, MR JOHN DAWKINS, RECENTLY. OVERALL DO YOU BELIEVE THE BUDGET WILL BE GOOD OR BAD FOR THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY? IF GOOD DO YOU BELIEVE IT WILL BE EXTREMELY GOOD OR JUST QUITE GOOD? IF BAD DO YOU BELIEVE IT WILL BE EXTREMELY BAD OR ONLY QUITE BAD? TOTAL GOOD QUITE GOOD 16 11 57 52 5 AUG '86 % 3 9 10 61 50 11 SEPT '87 % 20 6 14 14 50 43 7 AUG '88 % 15 30 8 22 16 39 37 2 AUG '89 % 17 39 13 26 14 30 28 2 23 36 10 26 19 22 21 1 AUG '91 % 20 39 14 25 16 25 24 1 AUG '92 % 11 62 29 33 7 20 19 1 13 34 10 24 10 43 42 1 8 79 41 38 4 9 9 * ---------------------AUGUST 1993----------------LIBERAL & TOTAL ALP NATIONAL ADULTS SUPPORTERS SUPPORTERS % % % NEITHER 9 12 16 AUG '90 % QUITE BAD 25 17 EXTREMELY GOOD TOTAL BAD 7 EXTREMELY BAD DON'T KNOW * Less than 0.5 percent 3082a HOW DO YOU THINK THE BUDGET WILL AFFECT YOUR OWN FINANCIAL POSITION IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS? DO YOU BELIEVE YOU PERSONALLY WILL BE BETTER OR WORSE OFF? IF BETTER DO YOU BELIEVE YOU WILL BE A LOT OR ONLY A LITTLE BIT BETTER OFF? IF WORSE DO YOU BELIEVE YOU WILL BE A LOT OR ONLY A LITTLE WORSE OFF? ---------------------AUGUST 1993---------------LIBERAL & ALP NATIONAL SUPPORTERS SUPPORTERS % % LITTLE WORSE OFF NEITHER TOTAL BETTER OFF LITTLE BETTER OFF 11 21 42 14 13 1 AUG '88 % 40 14 26 38 14 13 1 AUG '89 % 7 48 16 32 37 8 7 1 AUG '90 % 14 44 13 31 35 7 6 1 AUG '91 % 13 39 15 24 37 11 11 * 5 74 32 42 17 4 4 * 3 62 19 43 27 8 7 1 4 83 41 42 10 3 3 * TOTAL ADULTS % LOT WORSE OFF 32 8 AUG '92 % TOTAL WORSE OFF 12 LOT BETTER OFF DON'T KNOW * Less than 0.5 percent 3082a DO YOU BELIEVE THE LIBERAL AND NATIONAL COALITION WOULD HAVE DELIVERED A BETTER BUDGET FOR AUSTRALIA'S CURRENT ECONOMIC YES 55 28 AUG '86 % 23 56 21 SEPT '87 % 23 55 22 AUG '88 % 22 51 27 AUG '89 % 27 41 32 AUG '90 % 26 42 32 AUG '91 % 25 43 32 AUG '92 % 22 31 47 18 67 15 18 8 74 CONDITIONS? NO 17 ---------------------AUGUST 1993----------------LIBERAL & TOTAL ALP NATIONAL ADULTS SUPPORTERS SUPPORTERS % % % UNCOMMITTED 3082a DO YOU BELIEVE THE GOVERNMENT HAS OR HAS NOT BROKEN ITS ELECTION COMMITMENTS WITH THIS BUDGET? BUDGET -----------------------------AUGUST 1993--------------------------TOTAL ALP LIBERAL & NATIONAL SUPPORTERS ADULTS SUPPORTERS % % % HAS BROKEN 82 68 91 HAS NOT BROKEN 10 22 3 UNCOMMITTED 8 10 6 UNDER THE CURRENT ECONOMIC CIRCUMSTANCES WOULD YOU SAY THE GOVERNMENT IS JUSTIFIED OR NOT JUSTIFIED IN BREAKING ITS ELECTION COMMITMENTS? IF JUSTIFIED WOULD YOU SAY TOTALLY JUSTIFIED OR PARTLY JUSTIFIED? (ONLY ASKED OF THOSE WHO SAID GOVERNMENT BROKEN ITS ELECTION COMMITMENTS IN PREVIOUS QUESTION) BUDGET -----------------------------AUGUST 1993--------------------------TOTAL ALP LIBERAL & NATIONAL SUPPORTERS ADULTS SUPPORTERS % % % TOTALLY JUSTIFIED 5 8 2 PARTLY JUSTIFIED 20 41 15 TOTAL JUSTIFIED 25 49 17 NOT JUSTIFIED 70 46 80 NEITHER/UNCOMMITTED 5 5 3 These surveys were conducted on the telephone by trained interviewers among electors in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey was conducted on 20-22 August 1993 and is based on 1129 electors for Voting Intention and Leaders' Rating questions and 1200 adults for Budget questions. Copyright at all times remains with NEWSPOLL. 3082a