Friday, February 06, 2015 10:15am MISO WIND GENERATION FORECAST MIDDAY UPDATE Risks For the remainder of today: Mid to late afternoon wind generation risks are slightly lower. Headlines: For the remainder of today: Based off current trends, the midday update will blend the wind generation forecast slightly higher over the next few hours. Tomorrow: Wind generation before sunrise could peak slightly higher. Tomorrow: No changes will be made at this time. current forecast for this afternoon Hourly MISO wind generation forecast (MW) Date (EST) 2/6/2015 2/7/2015 12:00 AM 8145 7491 6958 6477 5387 4986 4906 5163 5775 5675 5470 5131 4582 4139 3584 3243 3025 2829 2935 3009 3233 3549 3924 4315 4846 5312 5480 5675 5704 5825 5897 5701 5269 4566 3829 3114 2676 2300 2127 2003 2027 2253 2539 2976 3430 3965 4599 5537 1:00 AM 2:00 AM 3:00 AM 4:00 AM 5:00 AM 6:00 AM 7:00 AM 8:00 AM 9:00 AM 10:00 AM 11:00 AM 12:00 PM 1:00 PM 2:00 PM 3:00 PM 4:00 PM 5:00 PM 6:00 PM 7:00 PM 8:00 PM 9:00 PM 10:00 PM 11:00 PM 10000 9000 8000 morning fcst 7000 (MW) 6000 forecast 5000 actual 4000 3000 MISO's fcst 2000 1000 0 (EST) current forecast for tomorrow 10000 9000 8000 7000 morning fcst forecast 6000 (MW) 5000 4000 3000 2000 Total MISO wind capacity: 12239 MW as of June 30, 2013 1000 0 (EST) Copyright 2015 | Commodity Weather Group, LLC | 240.207.2500 | [email protected] | 4933 Auburn Ave, Bethesda MD 20814 Friday, February 06, 2015 5:45am MISO WIND GENERATION FORECAST current forecast for today Headlines: Today: The wind generation forecast is lower at times. Moderate wind generation is forecast. 10000 9000 8000 7000 previous fcst 6000 (MW) Hourly MISO wind generation forecast (MW) forecast 5000 actual 4000 Date (EST) 12:00 AM 1:00 AM 2:00 AM 3:00 AM 4:00 AM 5:00 AM 6:00 AM 7:00 AM 8:00 AM 9:00 AM 10:00 AM 11:00 AM 12:00 PM 1:00 PM 2:00 PM 3:00 PM 4:00 PM 5:00 PM 6:00 PM 7:00 PM 8:00 PM 9:00 PM 10:00 PM 11:00 PM 2/6/2015 8145 7491 6958 6477 5387 4669 4352 4519 4885 5023 5070 4931 4582 4139 3584 3243 3025 2829 2935 3009 3233 3549 3924 4315 2/7/2015 4846 5312 5480 5675 5704 5825 5897 5701 5269 4566 3829 3114 2676 2300 2127 2003 2027 2253 2539 2976 3430 3965 4599 5537 2/8/2015 6070 6617 6976 6969 6814 6624 6307 6038 5687 5389 5153 4880 4727 4599 4576 4506 4792 5007 5486 5922 6150 6244 6131 5900 2/9/2015 5305 4540 4145 3815 3638 3378 3277 3104 2889 2441 1685 1430 1228 1101 1117 1099 1073 1298 1426 1677 1955 2502 3118 4072 2/10/2015 4899 5426 5837 6130 6232 6245 6266 6211 6374 6017 5720 5384 5005 4682 4303 4121 4160 4357 5058 5933 6342 6677 6874 6936 MISO's fcst 3000 2000 Tomorrow: The wind generation forecast is higher during the morning. Variable wind generation is expected. Sunday: The wind generation forecast is higher. Moderate to high wind generation can be expected. 1000 0 (EST) current forecast for tomorrow Risks Today: No major risks are noted at this time. 10000 9000 8000 Tomorrow: Late evening wind generation risks are slightly lower. 7000 6000 previous fcst (MW) 5000 Sunday: Afternoon wind generation risks are slightly higher. forecast 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 (EST) current forecast for day 3 previous day verification N/A 10000 9000 8000 Total MISO wind capacity: 12239 MW as of June 30, 2013 7000 previous fcst forecast 6000 (MW) 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 (EST) Copyright 2015 | Commodity Weather Group, LLC | 240.207.2500 | [email protected] | 4933 Auburn Ave, Bethesda MD 20814 Friday, February 06, 2015 5:45am MISO REGIONAL WIND GENERATION FORECAST Hourly MISO wind generation forecast (MW) West region Date (EST) 12:00 AM 1:00 AM 2:00 AM 3:00 AM 4:00 AM 5:00 AM 6:00 AM 7:00 AM 8:00 AM 9:00 AM 10:00 AM 11:00 AM 12:00 PM 1:00 PM 2:00 PM 3:00 PM 4:00 PM 5:00 PM 6:00 PM 7:00 PM 8:00 PM 9:00 PM 10:00 PM 11:00 PM 2/6/2015 2257 2140 2034 2068 1791 1648 1642 1850 1882 1803 1869 1891 1746 1590 1338 1138 986 990 868 785 870 1077 1307 1729 2/7/2015 2094 2428 2505 2480 2389 2111 1791 1382 1205 820 782 714 675 613 497 472 506 655 698 983 1344 1778 2197 2458 2/8/2015 2625 2792 2938 2853 2686 2566 2442 2382 2266 2161 2176 2016 1927 1577 1652 1523 1611 1665 1762 1859 1821 1730 1486 1352 2/9/2015 1033 772 601 456 423 397 380 393 459 511 423 417 417 424 466 452 500 738 870 1057 1472 1897 2423 2735 2/10/2015 2984 3063 3055 2977 2792 2764 2705 2680 2628 2021 1498 1587 1665 1703 1860 2056 2275 2466 2858 2905 2955 3029 3104 3104 Central region Date (EST) 2/6/2015 12:00 AM 5387 1:00 AM 4838 2:00 AM 4405 3:00 AM 3883 4:00 AM 3077 5:00 AM 2532 6:00 AM 2335 7:00 AM 2462 8:00 AM 2903 9:00 AM 3164 10:00 AM 3169 11:00 AM 3015 12:00 PM 2817 1:00 PM 2536 2:00 PM 2227 3:00 PM 2073 4:00 PM 1982 5:00 PM 1783 6:00 PM 1967 7:00 PM 2055 8:00 PM 2075 9:00 PM 2059 10:00 PM 2148 11:00 PM 2172 2/7/2015 2465 2715 2875 3139 3283 3689 4087 4300 4045 3727 3022 2368 1958 1630 1574 1475 1465 1567 1816 1968 2068 2169 2383 3060 2/8/2015 3426 3806 3994 3984 3884 3852 3733 3581 3345 3127 2846 2732 2669 2852 2793 2852 3050 3242 3668 4020 4229 4308 4313 4216 2/9/2015 3940 3437 3168 2946 2771 2536 2483 2335 2142 1799 1230 981 780 645 620 616 542 529 525 588 464 586 689 1331 2/10/2015 1909 2363 2776 3141 3422 3456 3517 3475 3646 3865 4053 3590 3052 2647 2199 1933 1810 1684 1868 2559 2918 3159 3281 3343 East region Date (EST) 12:00 AM 1:00 AM 2:00 AM 3:00 AM 4:00 AM 5:00 AM 6:00 AM 7:00 AM 8:00 AM 9:00 AM 10:00 AM 11:00 AM 12:00 PM 1:00 PM 2:00 PM 3:00 PM 4:00 PM 5:00 PM 6:00 PM 7:00 PM 8:00 PM 9:00 PM 10:00 PM 11:00 PM 2/7/2015 288 169 100 56 31 25 19 19 19 19 25 31 44 56 56 56 56 31 25 25 19 19 19 19 2/8/2015 19 19 44 131 244 207 131 75 75 100 131 131 131 169 131 131 131 100 56 44 100 207 332 332 2/9/2015 332 332 376 413 444 444 413 376 288 131 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 19 19 6 6 2/10/2015 6 0 6 13 19 25 44 56 100 131 169 207 288 332 244 131 75 207 332 470 470 488 488 488 2/6/2015 501 513 520 526 520 488 376 207 100 56 31 25 19 13 19 31 56 56 100 169 288 413 470 413 current West region forecast for today current West region forecast for tomorrow 6000 6000 5000 5000 5000 4000 4000 (MW) 3000 forecast forecast 2000 2000 1000 1000 1000 0 0 0 (EST) (EST) current Central region forecast for tomorrow current Central region forecast for day 3 7000 7000 6000 6000 6000 5000 5000 5000 4000 forecast 3000 4000 4000 (MW) forecast 3000 2000 2000 1000 1000 1000 0 0 0 (EST) (EST) current East region forecast for today current East region forecast for tomorrow current East region forecast for day 3 4500 4500 4500 4000 4000 4000 3500 3500 3500 3000 3000 2500 forecast 2000 (MW) 3000 2500 forecast 2000 2500 (MW) forecast 2000 1500 1500 1500 1000 1000 1000 500 500 500 0 0 0 (EST) forecast (MW) 3000 2000 (EST) forecast (MW) 3000 2000 current Central region forecast for today (MW) 4000 (MW) 3000 (EST) (MW) current West region forecast for day 3 6000 (EST) Copyright 2015 | Commodity Weather Group, LLC | 240.207.2500 | [email protected] | 4933 Auburn Ave, Bethesda MD (EST)