Financial Institutions, Western States Market Report November 2014

KPMG Corporate Finance LLC
WESTERN STATES FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS OVERVIEW
November 2014
Regional M&A Transaction Statistics
Number of Regional Transactions
50
43
40
30
28
38
32
16
20
39
36
v 19
33
22
19
10
0
2004
2005
2006
Price / LTM Earnings (1)
20x
17.7x
17.6x
15x
2007
2008
15.1x
15.8x
15.8x
5%
4%
2011
2012
2013
YTD 2014
3.9%
2.6%
3%
3.0%
v
2%
5x
2.1%
1.6%
1%
1.1%
0%
0x
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2009
YTD 2014
Price / Book
200%
133.5%
2010
2011
2012
2013
YTD 2014
132.2%
127.1%
122.3%
125.8%
114.2%
2010
2011
2012
2013
YTD 2014
Price / Tangible Book
200%
150%
2010
Premium / Deposits
19.6x
v
10x
2009
131.4%
100%
126.8%
v
117.4%
120.3%
109.9%
150%
145.4%
100%
50%
v
50%
0%
0%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
YTD 2014
2009
Note: Includes all announced transactions in AZ, CO, KS, MT, NE, NM, OK, UT and WY, excluding failed banks
Source: SNL Financial
(1) Excludes multiples smaller than 8.0x and larger than 40.0x
Regional M&A Transaction Overview
On November 11th, Kalispell, Montana-based Glacier Bancorp Inc. ($8.1 billion in assets), agreed to acquire Ronan,
Montana-based Montana Community Banks Inc., the parent company of Community Bank Inc. ($180 million in
assets) for approximately $25 million (50% cash and 50% stock mix) representing 120% price to tangible book value.
The acquisition will expand Glacier’s footprint in western Montana by eight branches. The transaction is expected to
close by Q1 2015, and Community Bank will merge into Glacier Bank and First Security Bank banking divisions.
On November 17th, Maywood, Nebraska-based UniBanc Corp., the parent company of Farmers State Bank ($100
million in assets), agreed to acquire Stapleton, Nebraska-based Bank of Stapleton ($28 million in assets). The
acquisition results in UniBanc entering both Lincoln County, NE (one branch with 0.77% deposit market share) and
Logan County, NE (one branch with 100% deposit market share).
©2014 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware
limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Western States Regional Bank Index (“WBI”)(1)
Regional bank stocks, as measured by the WBI, fell 3.7% for the month of November. The largest daily decline during
the month took place on November 28th where the WBI fell 2.3%. Broader bank stocks, measured by the S&P Bank
index, posted a slight gain of 0.9% compared to the 2.5% gain recorded by the S&P 500.
Market Cap Stock Price
Bank Name
Symbol State
($ in mil)
11/28/14
Price /
Price /
Price /
NPAs (2) /
LTM
YTD
LTM EPS
Book
Tang. Book
Assets
ROAA
Stock Price Change
Monthly
BancFirst Corporation
BANF
OK
$991
$64.01
(1.5%)
14.2%
16.3x
165.9%
182.9%
0.41%
0.99%
BOK Financial Corporation
BOKF
OK
$4,469
$64.45
(6.0%)
(2.8%)
14.8x
137.8%
157.9%
1.13%
1.11%
Capitol Federal Financial Inc.
CFFN
KS
$1,761
$12.52
(2.3%)
3.4%
22.4x
118.2%
118.2%
0.29%
0.82%
CoBiz Financial, Inc.
COBZ
CO
$467
$11.48
(4.5%)
(4.0%)
16.2x
190.4%
192.5%
0.44%
1.02%
Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
CBSH
MO
$4,123
$42.82
(0.7%)
0.1%
16.2x
192.5%
206.6%
0.32%
1.18%
First Interstate BancSystem, Inc.
FIBK
MT
$1,284
$28.12
(4.2%)
(0.9%)
15.3x
145.0%
192.5%
1.08%
1.07%
Glacier Bancorp, Inc.
GBCI
MT
$2,054
$27.38
(4.6%)
(8.1%)
18.3x
197.4%
228.5%
1.21%
1.41%
Guaranty Bancorp
GBNK
CO
$322
$14.82
(6.0%)
5.5%
19.2x
156.7%
162.9%
0.81%
0.84%
National Bank Holdings Corporation
NBHC
CO
$787
$19.23
(1.8%)
(10.1%)
NM
97.5%
107.9%
2.26%
0.16%
Southwest Bancorp, Inc.
OKSB
OK
$329
$16.90
(6.3%)
6.2%
15.1x
121.6%
122.4%
0.97%
1.13%
UMB Financial Corporation
UMBF
MO
$2,524
$55.49
(6.9%)
(13.7%)
19.6x
156.2%
187.8%
0.24%
0.81%
Western Alliance Bancorporation
WAL
AZ
$2,328
$26.43
(0.7%)
10.8%
16.8x
269.3%
277.8%
1.27%
1.45%
Zions Bancorporation
ZION
UT
$5,694
$28.06
(3.1%)
(6.3%)
26.7x
90.1%
107.9%
0.66%
0.50%
(3.7%)
(0.5%)
18.1x
156.8%
172.8%
0.85%
0.96%
S&P Bank
0.9%
10.5%
S&P 500
2.5%
11.9%
Average(1)
$2,087
WBI Index is a equally weighted mean of stock price changes on a monthly and year-to-date basis derived from the 13 regional banks listed above
(2) Non-performing assets include non-accrual loans, loans 90+ days past due and OREO
Source: SNL Financial
(1)
As demonstrated in the table above, the WBI is down 0.5% for YTD 2014, significantly underperforming the S&P
Bank index and the S&P 500 which are up 10.5% and 11.9%, respectively. This year’s underperformance is most
likely attributed to the WBI pulling back from last year’s outperformance of national bank stocks and the S&P 500,
which is illustrated in the chart below. In 2013, the WBI increased 50.1% compared to 32.3% and 29.6% for the S&P
Bank index and S&P 500, respectively. The rest of the banks essentially caught up.
170%
Bank Index Returns 12/31/2012 - 11/28/2014
(0.5%)
160%
170%
160%
150%
150%
140%
140%
130%
130%
v
120%
120%
110%
110%
100%
90%
80%
100%
WBI
S&P Bank Index
S&P 500
90%
80%
©2014 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware
limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Regional Loan Growth Trends
2012 – YTD 2014 Median CAGR Loan Growth by State
Following a prolonged period of stagnant loan
growth as a result of the financial downturn, banks
in the western region have begun to realize
moderate growth in their loan portfolios.
6.8%
The table on the right displays median compound
annual growth rates (“CAGR”) for bank loan totals in
the Western Region states for the period of 2012 to
year-to-date (“YTD”) 2014. Overall, the Western
Region has experienced a CAGR in loans of 5.6%
from 2012 to YTD 2014. This is compared to the
national growth rate of 4.8% during the same time
period.
6.0%
8.6%
Banks headquartered in the states of Colorado,
Montana, Nebraska, Wyoming, and Utah have
experienced higher loan growth rates than the
overall region by producing a median CAGR of 6.7%
compared to 5.6% for the Western Region.
Banks headquartered in the states of Arizona,
Kansas, New Mexico, and Oklahoma have produced
a lower CAGR in loans by increasing 4.5% since 2010
compared to 5.6% for the Western Region.
Western Region
CAGR Loan
Growth: 5.6%
2.8%
v
6.9%
6.6%
5.2%
4.0%
4.6%
Source: SNL Financial
Note: Includes banks with assets between $10 million and $30 billion; excludes industrial banks
The table below shows loan CAGRs for the period of 2012 to YTD 2014 broken out by state and bank asset size. For the
Western Region, banks less than $100 million in assets experienced a CAGR in loans of 3.4% compared to loan growth
for larger banks of 6.2% ($100M to $250M in assets), 7.1% ($250M to $500M), and 7.8% (greater than $500M). These
numbers reveal smaller banks, which tend to operate in lower growth markets, are experiencing less loan growth.
For Utah, the highest CAGR in loans came from banks between $100 million and $250 million in assets. Banks between
$250 million and $500 million in assets had the highest CAGR in loans in the states of Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma,
and Wyoming. Banks greater than $500 million in assets had the highest CAGR in loans in Arizona, Colorado, Montana,
and Nebraska.
2012 – YTD 2014 Median CAGR Loan Growth by State
Arizona
Colorado
Kansas
Montana
Nebraska
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Wyoming
Utah
Western Region
9/30/2014 Bank Asset Size
$100M to
$250M to
<$100M
$250M
$500M
1.4%
4.9%
0.5%
7.0%
5.5%
6.5%
2.4%
6.9%
7.3%
7.9%
3.0%
5.4%
6.8%
7.4%
5.9%
1.0%
0.9%
9.8%
1.8%
5.9%
9.5%
2.7%
6.8%
7.1%
5.5%
15.3%
3.7%
3.4%
6.2%
7.1%
>$500M
8.4%
13.0%
6.8%
15.3%
8.2%
4.7%
6.7%
1.6%
11.0%
2012 to YTD 2014
Median Loan CAGR
by Asset Size and State
7.8%
©2014 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware
limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Financial Institutions Investment Banking Group
Recent Regional Transactions(1)
has been acquired by
(pending)
has been acquired by
(pending)
has been acquired by a
has been acquired by an
(pending)
Private Investor
Investor Group
has been acquired by
has been acquired by
November 2013
has acquired a branch of
Assisted in the sale of
bank subsidiary
has been acquired by
has been acquired by
has acquired a branch of
has been acquired by
has been acquired by
has acquired
has acquired a branch of
has been acquired by
has been acquired by
has merged with
Strategic Growth
Bancorp, Inc.
(1)
Includes transactions completed by KPMG CF professionals while employed at another firm, substantially all of whose assets were acquired by KPMG CF
Wesley A. Brown
Managing Director
[email protected]
303.339.9099
Adam C. Fiedor
Director
[email protected]
303.339.9083
Michael D. Richter
Director
[email protected]
720.204.4313
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©2014 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware
limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved.