Wie viel THG-Reduktion in Deutschland? Über Zielformulierungen

Making the Energiewende Happen
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg, Germany
UBC Conference : Managing Decarbonization: The Cases of
Canada and Germany
Looking Forward: Innovations and Climate Change
Making the Energiewende Happen Who and How?
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg, Germany
UBC Conference : Managing Decarbonization: The Cases of
Canada and Germany
Looking Forward: Innovations and Climate Change
6 Theses on the Energiewende
(1) The Energiewende also needs to be understood as a societal
process.
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
3
6 Theses on the Energiewende
(1) The Energiewende also needs to be understood as a societal
process.
(2) In the past actors new to the electricity system pushed the
Energiewende.
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
4
6 Theses on the Energiewende
Installed capacity of renewable energy supply according to ownership in
Germany in 2012
Public utilities
13%
Individual citizens and
farmers
25%
Institutional
and
strategic 41%
investors
46%
9%
12%
Cooperatives and other
forms of citizen
organizations
Minority or
interregional citizen
participation models
Citizen participation
(wider sense)
trend research, Leuphana Universität (2013)
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
5
6 Theses on the Energiewende
Schmid et al.
(2016a)
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
6
6 Theses on the Energiewende
(1) The Energiewende also needs to be understood as a societal
process.
(2) In the past actors new to the electricity system pushed the
Energiewende.
(3) The preferred structural transformations of the energy system
come with different principles, values and worldviews.
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
7
6 Theses on the Energiewende
Incumbents
Challengers
German electricity system
Centralized/ large scale
Decentralized/ small scale
Schmid et al. (2016b)
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
8
6 Theses on the Energiewende
Example for
centralized/ large
scale vision
-
Abundant sustainable
electricity
Low-cost secure electricity
-
Example for
decentralized /small
scale vision
Democratisation of energy
Independence
Lilliestam and Hanger (2016)
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
9
6 Theses on the Energiewende
(1) The Energiewende also needs to be understood as a societal
process.
(2) In the past actors new to the electricity system pushed the
Energiewende.
(3) The preferred structural transformations of the energy system
come with different principles, values and worldviews.
(4) The key factors towards centralized or decentralized
transformation of the energy system will be decided in the
political arena.
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
10
6 Theses on the Energiewende
(1) The Energiewende also needs to be understood as a societal
process.
(2) In the past actors new to the electricity system pushed the
Energiewende.
(3) The preferred structural transformations of the energy system
come with different principles, values and worldviews.
(4) The key factors towards centralized or decentralized
transformation of the energy system will be decided in the
political arena.
(5) Hence institutions matter.
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
11
6 Theses on the Energiewende
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
Uniform
Wind
System Regional
condition
cost
cap
adjusted adjusted
Tariff Scheme – Different Adjustments
Total wind power deployment
Total wind power deployment
Market design and subsidy scheme influence spatial
distribution of wind power plants
100%
75%
50%
25%
Lower wind supply/
higher load region
0%
Higher wind supply/
lower load region
Uniform
Wind
System Regional
condition cost
cap
adjusted adjusted
Market Premium Scheme – Different Adjustments
Pechan (2016)
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
12
6 Theses on the Energiewende
(1) The Energiewende also needs to be understood as a societal
process.
(2) In the past actors new to the electricity system pushed the
Energiewende.
(3) The preferred structural transformations of the energy system
come with different principles, values and worldviews.
(4) The key factors towards centralized or decentralized
transformation of the energy system will be decided in the
political arena.
(5) Hence institutions matter.
(6) There are (currently) no clear camps visible; the industry and
particularly the incumbents are still in an orientation phase.
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
13
6 Theses on the Energiewende
Legend
Continuation 1
long-term future
articulate the preferred states
~2040
Some change 2
Transition 3
Interviewed practitioners from the field of
Conventional
power plants
Transmission grid
Large-scale
renewables
Demand
Side
Storages
Distribution grid
S&M-scale
renewables
Conventional
power plants
2 2 2 3
3 3 3
3 3 3 3
3 1 3 2
3 3
3 3 3 3 2
3 3 3 3
Transmission
grid
3 3 2 2
3 3 2
3 2 3 3
1 1 2 2
3 3
3 2 2 2 2
1 1 1 3
Large-scale
renewables
3 2 2 2
3 3 2
3 3 3 2
3 2 3
3 3
3 2 1 1 2
3 1
Demand Side
3 3 2 3
2 2 2
2 3
3
3 3 3 3
2 3
2 2 2 3 3
2 3 3 3
Storages
2 3 3 2
2 3 3
2 2 3 2
1 3 3 3
2 3
2 3 1 3 3
3 2 3 3
2 3 2 3
2 3 2
2 1
3
1 2 3 2
2 3
3 2 3 3 3
3 3 3 3
2 2 1 2
2 2 2
1 3
2
3 3 2 2
2 2
3 3 2 2 2
3 3 3 2
Distribution
grid
S&M-scale
renewables
Incumbents
3
Challengers
Schmid et al. (2016b)
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
14
Summing up
• A lot remains to be done before transition is completed
• Public approval of the Energiewende is still high
• “The Energiewende is our moon landing“ (Peter Altmaier,
former Minister of the Environment, 2012)
• Non-Germans may think we are crazy…
… but maybe we only show sensible societal risk-management
(Jasanoff and Kim, 2013)
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
15
Thank you!
Contact details:
[email protected]
https://www.uni-oldenburg.de/en/wire/vwl/environment-anddevelopment-economics/team/anna-pechan/
Project homepage:
www.de-zentral.de/en
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
16
References
Altmaier, P. (2012): „Die Energiewende war unsere Mondlandung“, in: Die Welt,
https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article110381084/Die-Energiewende-war-unsereMondlandung.html
Jasanoff, S., S.-H. Kim (2013): Sociotechnical Imaginaries and National Energy Policies, in:
Science as Culture, 22, 189-196
Lilliestam, J., S. Hanger (2016): Shades of green: Centralisation, decentralisation and
controversy among European renewable electricity visions, in: Energy Research & Social
Science, 17, 20-29
Pechan, A. (2016): Where do all the windmills go? Influences on spatial distribution of
renewable energy installation, under review
Schmid, E., B. Knopf, A. Pechan (2016a): Putting an energy system transformation into practice:
The case of the German Energiewende, in: Energy Research & Social Science, 11, 263-275
Schmid, E., A. Pechan, M. Mehnert, K. Eisenack (2016b): Imagine all these futures: On
heterogeneous preferences and mental models in the German energy transition, under review
Trend research, Leuphana Universität (2013): Definition und Marktanalyse von Bürgerenergie
in Deutschland
Dr. Anna Pechan
University of Oldenburg
17

Download Report