APEC Workshop on Renewable Energy Promotion and Pricing Mechanism, Taipei, Chinese Taipei The Renewable Energy Development and Related Promotion and Pricing Mechanism in Japan September 26, 2013 Takao Ikeda The Institute of Energy Economics, Japan (IEEJ) Generation Mix 1 Generation Mix Trend in Japan § LNG mainly compensates for the decline of nuclear after 2011 (Source) METI 2 Current Generation Mix in Japan Among the total electricity generated in fiscal 2010, renewable energy, etc. accounted for approximately 10%; approximately 9% of which is hydraulic power generation. Other renewable energy is still cost prohibitive. Composition of annual electricity generated in Japan FY 2010 FY 2011 Renewable energy excluding hydropower Hydropower Coal Petroleum Approx. 24% Approx. 8% Hydropower Approx. 9% Natural gas Approx. 27% Nuclear power Natural gas Approx. 9% Approx 10.7% Approx. 1% Renewable energy excluding hydropower Approx. 31% Approx. 1.4% Approx 39.5% Approx. 14.4% Petroleum Nuclear power Approx. 25% Coal Note: “Etc.” of “Renewable energy, etc.” includes the recovery of energy derived from waste, refuse derived fuel (RDF) products, heat supply utilizing waste heat, industrial steam recovery, and industrial electricity recovery. Source: Prepared based on the Agency for Natural Resources and Energy’s “Outline of Electric Power Development 3 in FY 2010” 3 Promotion and Pricing Mechanism of New and Renewable Energy 4 Major laws and strategies for Renewable Energy in Japan #1 1. Sunshine Project (1974) Long-term national project for new energy technology research and development in Japan launched in July 1974. In 1993, Sunshine project was renewed as the New Sunshine Project consolidated with Moonlight Project ( Energy Efficiency) and other environmental project. The project has finished in 2000. 2. Law Concerning Promotion of the Development and Introduction of Alternative Energy (1980) Known as “Oil Alternative Energy Law”. Oil Alternative Energy were developed and introduced for (1)Combustion, (2)heat, (3)energy, and (4)electricity which are generated from other than oil products. In 2009, oil alternative law was renewed as “NonFossil Energy Law”. In this law, energy suppliers (Electricity/Gas/Oil companies) have to use non-fossil energies while using fossil oil efficiently. 3. Law Concerning Special Measures to Promote the Use of New Energy (1997) Known as “New Energy Law”. New Energy is energy which are not price-competitive among Oil Alternative Energy. Hydropower and Geo-thermal power are not included because of their price-competitiveness. (http://www.japaneselawtranslation.go.jp/law/detail/?ft=1&re=02&dn=1&co=01&ky=%E6%96%B0%E3%82%A8%E3%83%8D%E3%83%AB%E3%82%AE%E 3%83%BC&page=3) 5 Revision of “New Energy” Innovative High-level Energy Utilization Technology Oil Alternative Energy Coal Large Hydropower Small Hydropower Geothermal(binary) Photovoltaic Power Natural Gas Renewable Energy New Energy (Black Liquor) (Scrap Wood) Biomass Thermal Unutilized Energy (Temperature Deference Energy) Biofuels (Energy Crops) Natural Energy PV(High Efficiency, New Materials), Battery for PV and Wind in parallel including capacitor, Ethanol Production Technology from lignocellulosic biomass, BTL (Biomass to Liquid) Production Technology, Gasification Power Generation from Biogas Rapid Advancement of Energy Efficiency Biomass Power Solar Thermal Unutilized Energy (Snow Ice) Geothermal Biomass Wind Power Ocean Energy Nuclear Power Development of Renewable Energy Recycling Energy Waste Power Waste-based Fuels (RDF) Waste Thermal Stationary Fuel Cell, Hybrid Auto, Natural Gas Cogeneration, Heat Pump, Oil Residue Gasification Technology (IGCC, IGFC, etc), Clean Coal Technology Diversification of Energy Source Fuel Cell Vehicle, Electric Vehicle, Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle, CNG Vehicle, Diesel-substitute LP gas Vehicle, Hydrogen Vehicle, High Concentration Bio Fuel Vehicle, GTL Production Technology, DME Production Technology, Non-traditional Fossil Fuel Usage Technology (Methane Hydrate, Oil Sand, etc) (Source) Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), Japan (modified by IEEJ) 6 Major laws and strategies for Renewable Energy in Japan #2 4. Special Measures Law Concerning the Use of New Energy by Electric Utilities (2002) Known as RPS (Renewable Portfolio Standard) Law. In this law, the amount usage of renewable energy goals were established with 5 kinds of electricity (wind, solar, small hydropower, biomass power generation , binary geothermal). (http://www.rps.go.jp/RPS/new-contents/top/toplink-english.html) 5. Biomass Nippon Strategy (2002/2006) Comprehensive strategy of utilization of biomass set by Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries in cooperation with Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, the Ministry of the Environment, and Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism etc. 6. New National Energy Strategy (2006) National energy strategy for 2030. Regarding renewable Energy, (1) promoting innovation in new energy technologies (achievement of PV power cost reduction comparable to thermal power generation etc.), (2) introducing 20% alternative energy in transportation sector etc. 7. Special Measures Law Concerning the Purchase of Renewable Energy Electricity by Electric Utilities (2011) Known as FIT (Feed in Tariff) Law, which will start from July, 2012. In this law, the purchasing price and its duration will be determined separately. 7 Outline 2003 RPS (Renewable Portfolio Standard) wind, solar, small hydropower, biomass power generation , binary geothermal 8-year target set by every 4 years 2009 Nov Buyback surplus PV electricity from residence Developed from Utilities’ voluntary Net metering system 2011 Aug Passage of FIT Law Proposal from the Advisory Committee 2012 Apr Proposal from Advisory committee for the purchasing rate and the duration 2012 May Public Comment From May 16 to June 1 2012 Jul Commencement of FIT Start from July 1 FY 2013 Revision of PV tariff Based on the PV system price decline 8 Renewable Energy Purchased by Utilities under RPS (TWh) 0.0 2003 2.0 4.0 Hydro Wind 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Commencement of RPS Biomass PV 2004 Wind Hydro Biomass PV 2005 Wind Hydro Biomass PV 2006 Hydro Wind Biomass PV 2007 Wind Biomass Hydro PV 2008 Hydro Wind Biomass PV under Buyback PV 2009 Wind Hydro Buyback System for surplus PV electricity from residence Biomass PV 2010 Wind Hydro Biomass PV PV under Buyback Source: METI 9 Buyback System started from Nov 2009(1) Major points of the buyback system ○Of the electricity generated by photovoltaic generation systems, surplus electricity will be purchased. ○ The buyback period is within the 10 years from the start of the program. The buyback price is fixed. (※The buyback price may differ depending on the fiscal year in which a panel is installed. In the initial stages, it is \48/kWh for residential use [less than 10kW].) ○ Expenses will be born by all electricity users. (\48/kWh for residential use) as of Nov. 2009 Surplus electricity Users of photovoltaic generation systems Electricity Solar surcharge (Born by all electricity users) Electricity Users Purchase revenue Electric Power Companies Surplus electricity Purchase revenue (\24/kWh for purposes other than residential use) ※In the initial stages after installation, \48/kWh for residential use (less than 10kW) and \24/kWh for other uses. In the case where a private electric generator is also installed, \39/kWh and \20/kWh, respectively. 10 Buyback System started from Nov 2009(2) November 2009 - March 2011 April 2011 -March 2012 (FY2011) Continued until April 2013 (FY2012) Residential Use Under 10kW 48 JPY/kWh (39 JPY/kWh) 42 JPY/kWh (34 JPY/kWh) Non Residential Use and Residential Use Over 10kW 24 JPY/kWh (20 JPY/kWh) 40 JPY/kWh (32 JPY/kWh) *Rate increased because of finishing subsidy Rate inside the brackets are for the houses/ facilities using private generation system (photovoltaic generation plus fuel cells, etc.) Buybacks rate will be decide each year and the rate continues for 10 years after the start of the program. 11 FIT Basic Scheme (Started From July 2012) Power producers utilizing renewable energy Electricity from Renewable Source Supply Electricity Utilities PV Middle & Small Hydro Wind Purchase Electricity Fund for Purchasing Electricity from Renewable Energy Collecting Surcharge rate for FIT Payment of With ordinary collecting amount electricity rate of surcharge Organization for adjusting the surcharge by different region Customers Biomass Geothermal Decide the tariff rate every fiscal year with respect for the opinion from advisory committee for purchasing price Minister Economy, Trade and Industry Power from PV at houses Approving power generation facilities Advice of Rate and Duration Advisory committee for purchasing price etc Source: METI Decide Surcharge rate for FIT every fiscal year Major Revision from RPS to FIT RPS (PV: Buyback) Feed in Tariff PV Under about 500kW No Limitation by Capacity Wind - - Hydro Under 1MW Under 30MW Geothermal Only Binary Cycle power plant No Limitation (Including Flash Steam Plant) Biomass No category Differentiate the purchase rate by category Source: METI 13 Electricity Cost Estimation in Japan 2010 2020 2030 (Japanese Yen/kWh) Source: National Policy Unit, Cabinet Secretariat http://www.npu.go.jp/policy/policy09/archive02_shisan_sheet.html 14 Feed in Tariff started from July 2012 FY 2013; PV 10kW >=: \37.8(36.0+Tax)/kWh, 10kW< \38.0/kWh (Incl. Tax) Source: METI 15 Deployment in FY2012 and FY2013(April and May) Major part of deployment under FIT is PV due to the development Terms (MW) Cummulative Deployment Start operation from Volume as of March 2011 April 2012 to March (Approxmate) 2013 Start operation from April to May 2013 Development Term PV (Residential) 4,400 1,269 (Apr-Jun: 300) 279 2-3months PV (Non Residential) 900 706 (Apr-Jun: 2) 961 1 Year Wind 2,600 63 (Apr-Jun: 0) 2 4-5 Yrs Middle and Small Hydro (More than 1MW) 9,400 1 (Apr-Jun: 1) 0 2-3Yrs Middle and Small Hydro (Less than 1MW) 200 3 (Apr-Jun: 1) 0 2-3Yrs Biomass 2,300 36 (Apr-Jun: 6) 38 3-4Yrs Geothermal 500 1 (Apr-Jun: 0) 0 9-13Yrs Source: METI 16 PV System cost revison (residential use) FIT for PV residential sect which is started from July 2012 was based on the PV System cost of JPY(10 thousand) 46.6 / kW in 1st Q 2012. Revised FIT for residential PV for FY 2013 should be based on the latest (4th Qtr) cost which is JPY(10 thousand) 42.7 / kW. About JPY(10 thousand) 4 / kW has dropped (10thousand JPY/kW) Already Build Total Ave. Newly Build System cost for FY2012 tariff Latest System cost for FY2013 tariff Source: METI Oct-Dec, 2011 Jan-Mar, 2012 Apr-Jun, 2012 Jul-Sep, 2012 Oct-Dec, 2012 Jan-Mar, 2013 Apr-Jun, 2013 National Government Subsidy for Residential PV system Fiscal Year Subsidy (10Thousand JPY/kW) Condition (10Thousand JPY/kW) Buy BackTariff (JPY/kWh) 2010 2011 2012 70 48 35 650 600 475 48 42 42 2013 20 410 38 17 Development in the Future 18 Geothermal Power Plants (Japan) M oriG eotherm alP lant (H okkaido Electric P ow er C o.,Inc.D onan G eotherm alEnergy C o.,Ltd.) O num a G eotherm alP lant (M itsubishiM aterials C orporation) Sum ikaw a G eotherm alP lant (Tohoku Electric P ow er C o.,Inc. and M itsubishiM aterials C orporation) U enotaiG eotherm alP lant (Tohoku Electric P ow er C o.,Inc. and A kita G eotherm alEnergy C o.,Ltd.) M atsukaw a G eotherm alP lant (Japan M etals & C hem icals C o.,Ltd.) Kakkonda G eotherm alP lant,U nit 1 (Tohoku Electric P ow er C o.,Inc.and Japan M etals & C hem icals C o.,Ltd.) Kakkonda G eotherm alP lant,U nit 2 (Tohoku Electric P ow er C o.,Inc.and Tohoku G eotherm alEnergy C o.,Ltd.) H acchobaru G eotherm alP lant, U nit 1 and U nit 2 (Kyushu Electric P ow er C o.,Inc.) SuginoiG eotherm alP lant (SuginoiH otel) O take G eotherm alP lant (Kyushu Electric P ow er C o.,Inc.) Takigam iG eotherm alP lant (Kyushu Electric P ow er C o.,Inc. and Idem itsu O ita G eotherm alC o.,Ltd.) O nikobe G eotherm alP lant (Electric P ow er D evelopm ent C o.,Ltd.) Yanaizu-N ishiyam a G eotherm alP lant (Tohoku Electric P ow er C o.,Inc.and O kuaizu G eotherm alC o.,Ltd.) H achijojim a G eotherm alP lant (Tokyo Electric P ow er C o.,Inc.) Kokonoe G eotherm alP lant (Kokonoe Kanko H otel) Takenoyu G eotherm alP lant (H irose Trading C o.,Ltd.) Yam agaw a G eotherm alP lant (Kyushu Electric P ow er C o.,Inc.and Japex G eotherm alKyushu C o.,Ltd.) O giriG eotherm alP lant (Kyushu Electric P ow er C o., Inc.and N ittetsu Kagoshim a G eotherm alC o.,Ltd.) Kirishim a KokusaiH otelG eotherm alP lant (D aiw abo Kanko C o.,Ltd.) (Source) Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), Japan 19 Governmental support measures FY 2012 budget Choice of Energy Options:Issued on June 2012 The geothermal amount of introduction is made into 3% of the total electric power production (27,200 millions kwh) at the maximum in 2030. ※2010 track record: 0.2% (2,600 millions kwh) Geological survey Exploration (drilling of exploration wells, etc.) Construction stage Investment Loan guarantee Installation of power generation facilities Risk Subsidy [Targets] Cost of test drilling, etc. including geological surveys. [Targets] Cost of drilling exploration wells to check whether a sufficient volume of steam can be stably extracted from heat sources. [Targets] Cost of drilling wells necessary for power generation Budget: \9.05 billion Subsidy ratio: 50% to 75% Budget : \5 billion Investment ratio: 50% Budget: \1 billion Loan guarantee ratio: 80% Feed-in tariff scheme Electric utilities purchase electricity generated from renewable sources including geothermal at the procurement price and for the procurement period. 20 Regulations on geothermal development 1.Natural Park Act Geological surveys and drillings for geothermal energy in national parks are restricted according to the protection zones. 2.Hot Spring Act Drilling in pursuit of hot springs (hot water, mineral water, steam and other gas from underground) requires a permission of the prefectural governor. 3.Forest Law Cutting down protected forests for constructing a base for drilling or a power generation plant requires delisting from protected status. Delisting requires a proven necessity for the public interest. 4. Act on Special Measures concerning Reform of National Forest Business Management Constructing a base for drilling or a power generation plant in a national forest requires loaning. A national forest can be used for public use or within 5ha in area, otherwise it cannot be used. 5. The Environmental Impact Assessment Law Constructing a power generation plant with output of 10,000kW or over requires EIA. When constructing a power generation plant with an output of 7,500kW-10,000kW, the necessity of EIA is judged by project. 6. Electric Utilities Industry Law Power facilities requires placing chief engineers in charge of supervision of safety matters of construction work, 21 maintenance and operation of the power facilities. Offshore Wind demonstration project Offshore of Fukushima Pref. METI 2MW class Floating offshore wind turbine and 2 set of 7 MW class floating wind turbine Floating substation from FY2013 Wind Resource Wind Speed Offshore of Goto, Nagasaki Pref.(2.4MW) MOE 100KW class floating wind turbine from FY2012 2MW class floating Wind from FY2013 Offshore of Choshi, Chiba Pref.(2.4MW) /Offshore of Kitakyushu, Fukuoka Pref (2.0MW) METI (NEDO) 2MW class wind turbine Wind observatory tower demonstration projects started from FY2012 22 Renewable Energy Deployment Potential in Japan -19% 23 Grid Framework in Japan Hokkaido Direct current power transmission Tohoku Hokuri ku Tokyo Kansai Kyushu Shikoku Chubu Frequency converter station Direct current power transmission 24 Solar and Wind Power Deployment Potential in Japan 25 Large Battery Demonstration Projects Large Battery Demonstration Projects for Grid Stabilization Hokkaido Electric Company Type of Battery Capacity Project Objective Tohoku Electric Company Redox Flow battery 40MW Lithium-ion Battery 20MW Surplus Electricity from Wind power Frequency Fluctuation Chubu Electric Company Kansai Electric Company NAS Battery 6MW Grid Stabilization from PV (Surplus Elec. & Frequency Fluctuation) R&D Target : Cost reduction of batteries as same level as Pumped Hydro in 2020 Redox Flow Battery Lithium-ion Battery NAS Battery 26 Demonstration Project on Next-generation Energy and Social Systems in Japan (FY 2010-FY2014) Large-scale and cutting-edge pilot projects have been launched in 4 areas. The outcomes to be accumulated through the projects will be utilized to create smart communities and smart cities in Asia and other countries. Kyoto Keihanna District Yokohama City Kitakyushu City Demonstration in industrial city Demonstration using new technologies in science city Large-scale demonstration in major city Toyota City Community-based demonstration in provincial city 27 Information of Smart Community Projects http://jscp.nepc.or.jp/en/ http://jscp.nepc.or.jp/en/video.shtml 28 Thank you for your attention! 29
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