Berufungsverfahren: Stochastik Montag, 25.04.2016, HS E Dr. Denis DENISOV School of Mathematics, University of Manchester 08.30 – 09.15 Vortrag mit Diskussion Asymptotics for exit times of random walks and Markov chains The classical Wiener-Hopf-factorisation has been a powerful tool for the analysis of exit times of one-dimensional random walks for more than fifty years. The factorisation is based on duality for random walks, which, in general, is not available in higher dimensions or when random walk is not homogeneous in time (or space). I will talk about a new method that combines analytical approach via harmonic functions and probabilistic universality approach that approximates random walks with Brownian motion. This method allows to find the tail asymptotics for the exit time and prove integral and local limit theorems for a multidimensional random walk conditioned to stay in a cone. I will also discuss further extensions of the method to Markov chains and non-homogeneous random walks. Prof. Dr. Leif DÖRING Institut für Mathematik, Universität Mannheim 11.30 – 12.15 Vortrag mit Diskussion Über Singuläre Stochastische Differentialgleichungen Prof. Dr. Erika HAUSENBLAS Lehrstuhl für Angewandte Mathematik, Montanuniversität Leoben Vortrag mit Diskussion 14.45 – 15.30 Nonlinear Filtering with Levy processes In many problems arising from physics, engineering, finance and many other applied sciences the state of a dynamical system cannot be measured directly and has to be estimated from observations. In general, observations made on a dynamical system are corrupted by random errors. To extract from them the most precise information about the underlying system, it is important and necessary to filter out the noise in the observations. In the talk we consider the situation where both, the state process X and the observation process Y, are described by a stochastic differential equation perturbed by Levy processes which are not independent. More precisely, L=(L1,L2) is a two dimensional Levy process whose structure of dependence is described by a Levy copula. In our situation the state process (resp., the observation) solves stochastic differential equation driven by L1 (resp., L2). We derive the associated Zakai equation for the so called density process. We also establish sufficient conditions depending on the copula and $L$ for the existence and uniqueness of the corresponding solution to the Zakai equation. Moreover, we give conditions of existence and uniqueness of the density process, for the case where one is interested to estimate quantities like P(X(t) > a), where a belongs to the real numbers. Dienstag, 26.04.2016, HS E Jun.-Prof. Dr. Matthias MEINERS Fachbereich Mathematik, Technische Universität Darmstadt 08.30 – 09.15 Vortrag mit Diskussion Solutions to complex smoothing equations In several models of applied probability such as Pólya urns, search trees, and fragmentation processes, the limiting behavior of quantities of interest is described by distributions on the complex plane that solve smoothing equations. Also the stationary solutions of certain 3-dimensional kinetic-type evolution equations satisfy smoothing equations with random similarity matrices as coefficients. In my talk, I will consider smoothing equations in dimension d with random similarities as coefficients. This is a unified framework which covers all equations appearing in the examples listed above. The main focus of the talk is on the problem of determining all solutions to these equations. The talk is based on joint work with Sebastian Mentemeier (Dortmund). Assistenzprofessor Dr. Sebastian MÜLLER Aix-Marseille Université Vortrag mit Diskussion 11.30 – 12.15 Random walk: between theory and application The theory of random walks is a very active research area that lies in between several branches of mathematics and has numerously many applications. In the first part we summarize some classic results of random walk theory and their applications. In the second part we give a brief (and non-technical) overview over my recent research activities on random walks in random media and random walks on groups. Mittwoch, 27.04.2016, HS E Prof. Dr. Stefan TAPPE Institut für Mathematische Stochastik, Leibnitz Universität Hannover 08.30 – 09.15 Vortrag mit Diskussion Invariance of closed convex cones for stochastic partial differential equations The goal of this talk is to clarify when a closed convex cone is invariant for a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by a Wiener process and a Poisson random measure, and to provide conditions on the parameters of the SPDE, which are necessary and sufficient. 2
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