GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com GTAT RESEARCH REPORT: Published July 21, 2014 COMPANY OVERVIEW AND PRODUCTS: GT Advanced Technologies (NASDAQ: GTAT), formerly GT Solar International, is a diversified technology company producing materials and crystal growth equipment for the global electronics, solar and LED (Light Emitting Diode) industries1. The company operates in three segments: polysilicon, photovoltaic (PV), and sapphire segments. The company’s polysilicon segment offers the equipment and services necessary to operate a polysilicon production plant. Polysilicon is a material consisting of small silicon crystals and is used to manufacture semiconductors, solar cells, and other thin-film devices2. The company manufactures and sells silicon deposition reactors, or SDR, which are used to react gases at high temperatures to produce polysilicon, the key raw material used in silicon-based solar wafers and cells. The company also offers engineering services and related equipment. In addition the company sells hydrochlorination technology and equipment which is utilized to convert silicon tetrachloride into trichlorosilane (TCS), which is used as a seed material in the manufacture of high purity silicon. Hydrochlorination technology is designed to improve the efficiency and lower the costs of polysilicon production. GT Advanced Technologies also operates in the photovoltaic industry. Photovoltaics is a method of generating electrical power by converting solar radiation into electricity, using semiconductors3. The PV segment is engaged in the development, manufacture, and sale of crystallization growth furnaces to produce silicon ingots used in the production of solar wafers. The company manufactures and sells directional solidification, or DSS, crystallization furnaces and ancillary equipment used to cast crystalline silicon ingots by melting and cooling polysilicon in a precisely controlled process. These ingots are used to make photovoltaic wafers which are, in turn, used to make solar cells. The company’s sapphire segment provides advanced sapphire crystallization furnace systems used to produce sapphire materials for industrial and consumer applications, including medical devices, dental, oil and gas, and watch crystals, as well as specialty optical applications, such as low absorption optical sapphire for advanced optics and Titanium-doped sapphire material for high power lasers. The company manufactures and sells sapphire material and the equipment for growing sapphire crystals. Sapphire crystals are formed by heating, melting, and slowly cooling aluminum oxide in a special furnace over a 14 to 18 day period. This forms a large, very hard, crystal (boule) which is then cut with a diamond or laser into wafers. The company’s sapphire material is manufactured using an advanced sapphire crystal growth furnace, or ASF system, at their facility in Salem, Massachusetts. Recently, the company announced that it expects to manufacture sapphire material for sale at their Mesa Arizona facility. The company’s sapphire material production operations in Arizona are intended to be used to provide “scratch proof” sapphire materials for Apple Inc. (these materials are assumed to be for iPads, iPhones, and iWatches). The company will continue to offer ASF systems for sale to sapphire manufacturers in certain select markets as permitted under their arrangement with Apple, including the LED industry and for a range of other applications. 1 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com The company has also recently announced new product releases and product developments, including a SiClone™ silicon carbide sublimation furnace that will be used to produce silicon carbide boules. These silicon carbide boules, after certain cutting and processing steps, are used to make silicon carbide wafers, which serve as a substrate for manufacturing power electronics semiconductors. These semiconductors are used in applications such as electric and hybrid vehicles, and power conditioning equipment such as inverters for wind farms, solar arrays and other industrial applications. The company is developing a HiCz™ monocrystalline silicon ingot growth system, which is designed to produce high quality silicon monocrystalline wafers for higher efficiency solar cells. HiCz growth systems produce larger, lower cost monocrystalline ingots with greater yields than traditional growth systems. GT Advanced Technologies expects to commercially introduce the HiCz™ equipment during in 2014. Also under development is a GT annealing furnace, a high temperature refractory metal furnace used for a variety of industrial purposes, including annealing of advanced materials. Annealing is a process whereby an advanced material is heated to a certain uniform temperature below its melting point and then cooled in a precise manner. Annealing is designed to relieve stresses in the crystal structure making the applicable material harder and more durable for use in end-use applications. The company expects to commercially introduce the GT annealing furnace in 2014. Another product that the company is developing is the Hyperion™ ion implant system, which exfoliates or "lifts" off an ultra-thin, flexible substrate from material such as silicon, silicon carbide and sapphire. The company’s Hyperion implant system works across a wide range of materials. The system is in development and testing, and is expected to be used for manufacturing solar PV wafers (silicon), power semiconductors (silicon carbide), and for substrates used in other potential applications (including sapphire). Finally, the company is developing the Hydride Vapor Phase Epitaxy (HVPE) system. This system is expected to produce high-quality Gallium Nitride (GaN) epi layers on substrates used in the manufacture of LEDs. GT Advanced Technologies HVPE system is expected to lower the cost of producing LEDs by improving the throughput of the Metalorganic Vapor Phase Epitaxy (MOCVD) tool and lowering precursor costs. In 2014, the company acquired exclusive rights for a plasma vapor deposition (PVD) process technology which complements the HVPE system. The company will release a product offering that includes both the HVPE and PVD tools, which is expected to provide LED manufacturers with increased throughput at lower cost to produce GaN templates on patterned or planar wafers. MARKET AND COMPETITION: Demand across the company’s product segments is increasing. The market for the company’s polysilicon products is accelerating, reaching $20/kg for the first time since 2012. As shown on the next page, increased polysilicon demand is expected to exceed capacity during 2015. 2 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com 3 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com Spending on PV equipment grew rapidly from 2009 and peaked in 2011, resulting in significant overcapacity and a sharp decline in demand for PV equipment. According to NPD Solarbuzz4, capital spending on PV equipment peaked in 2011 at approximately $13 billion, and then declined rapidly to an eight-year low of $1.73 billion in spending in 2013. It appears the PV equipment market bottomed in 2013, and a recovery in demand for equipment is expected. Capital equipment spending for PV systems is projected to begin recovering during 2015, as shown below: Solar Photovoltaic Capital Equipment Spending Cycles between 2005 and 2016 Demand for solar PV capital equipment will be driven by increased demand for solar systems, as shown below:5 4 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com Rating: Established Equipment and Materials Supplier BUY According to International Data Corporation (IDC), global smart phone sales are expected to increase by 73% from approximately 1 billion units in 2013, to over 1.7 billion units by 20176. Apple has approximately 17% market share of the smart phone market, and has been estimated to sell over 200 million iPhones in 20147. These estimates indicate the company has significant growth potential in its sapphire crystal business through its recent relationship with Apple. Smart Connected Device Market by Product Category, Unit Shipments and Market Share, 2013 and 2017 (shipments in millions)8 Product Category 2013 Unit Shipments 2013 Market Share 2017 Unit Shipments 2017 Market Share 2013—2017 Growth Desktop PC 134.4 8.6% 123.11 5% -8.4% Portable PC 180.9 11.6% 196.6 8% 8.7% Tablet 227.3 14.6% 406.8 16.5% 78.9% Smartphone 1,013.2 65.1% 1,733.9 70.5% 71.1% Total 1,556 100% 2,460.5 100% 58.1% The company competes with a number of other manufacturers and vendors in each of its product lines9. Recent demand for polysilicon production equipment has been limited, but appears to be recovering. Competitors for the company’s polysilicon production equipment include: MSA Apparatus Construction for Chemical Equipment Ltd, Centrotherm Elektrische Anlagen GmbH & Co., Morimatsu Industry Co. Ltd., and Poly Plant Project, Inc. Indirect competitors who produce polysilicon for the semiconductor and solar industries (produced for their own use and not marketed to third-parties), include: Hemlock Semiconductor Corporation, Wacker Chemie AG, MEMC Electronic Materials, Inc., and Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. The company’s PV business is focused on developing, manufacturing, and selling crystallization growth furnaces to produce silicon ingots for usage in the production of silicon wafers and cells. The company’s installed base of these DSS crystallization furnaces is approximately 3,450 sold and installed since 2003. An increase in photovoltaic capital equipment is anticipated.10 Competitors in the PV space are mostly equipment manufacturers located in China, including: ALD Vacuum Technologies AG, JYT Corporation, Ferrotec Corporation, PVA TePla AG, Centrotherm Elektrische Anlagen GmbH & Co., Jing Gong Technology, and Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Co., Ltd. In the company’s sapphire business, the company faces competition for the sale of its ASF systems from competitors that offer alternative growth technologies, which include Kyropolous-based sapphire growth equipment. The company’s competitors include: Rubicon Technology, Inc.; Sapphire Technology Co. Ltd. (from Korea), Kyocera International Inc., Saint-Gobain, Gavish Inc., and Monocrystal. In addition, as the company rolls out its relationship with Apple and begins developing sapphire crystals as cover screens for iPhones, iPods, and iWatches, the company will begin to compete directly with Corning (NYSE: GLW). Corning is a $28.6 billion market capitalization provider of specialty ceramics, glass, and other materials, whose “Gorilla Glass” product has been used as a cover for smart phones11. 5 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: On November 5, 2013, the company signed a $578 million long-term strategic partnership agreement with Apple (NasdaqGS: APPL) to supply sapphire materials for Apple products. Under this agreement, the company will employ approximately 700 people to operate ASF furnaces and related equipment in at 1.3 million square foot plant for the production of sapphire crystals. Apple provided a prepayment of $578 million, which the company will repay over 5 years, starting in 201512. On May 8, 2014, the company reported its Q1 2014 operating results and provided updated guidance for the balance of CY 2014. The company has received approximately $440 million out of $578 million from Apple for the company’s sapphire manufacturing plant in Arizona. A shortage of polysilicon is expected to develop in 2015, and polysilicon prices have begun to recover, reaching $20/kg for the first time since 2012. The company’s PV new product offerings are designed to drive better efficiencies for customers at lower cost. The company has guided FY 2014 revenues of $600 to $800 million, non-GAAP Gross Margins of 25% to 27%, and non-GAAP operating expenses of $150 to $160 million. The company anticipates making approximately $600 million in capital expenditures in FY 2014, and to end the year with $400 to $450 million in cash and cash equivalents. Full-year earnings are expected to be $0.02 to $0.18 per share on non-GAAP fully diluted shares of 155 to 160 million13. On July 7, 2014, the company was downgraded from Buy to Neutral, and removed from the U.S. Key Call List, at UBS. This downgrade followed monthly checks on the Mesa Arizona sapphire facility that indicated the company shipped less sapphire than was expected in May. On the same date, the company was downgraded from Buy to Hold at Canaccord Genuity, stating that it was unclear how much of the company’s product Apple will use, and how much it will add to the company’s earnings potential. As a result the price of the company’s stock fell by 15.6% to $16.50, as shown below. 6 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com The company’s stock price has continued to drift lower during July, and closed at $14.84 on Friday, July 18, 2014. According to Finviz, GT Advanced Technologies currently has 30.44% of its “float” sold short as of the same date14. OUTLOOK: The company has a significant order backlog in each of its lines of business, and each business appears to be accelerating from recent trends. The company recently reported that it had a $296 million backlog in its polysilicon business, while in the company’s PV market; it had a $ 13 million backlog. Finally, the company reported that it had a $300 million backlog in its sapphire business.15 It appears that the company has an opportunity to significantly increase its market share in several growing industries, including the solar industry and consumer electronics. These opportunities are expected to develop over the remainder of 2014 and into 2015 - 2016. BOTTOM LINE: An investment in the shares of GT Advanced Technologies is a “high risk, high reward” situation. The company has reported limited and volatile earnings to date, and will continue to report volatile earnings for the foreseeable future as the markets for its products recover and it ramps the relationship with Apple. Thus, the company’s share price is likely to remain highly volatile and will react to news releases, such as any additional announcements of new product releases by Apple. In addition, as a recent “high flyer”, it is difficult to determine what is currently being priced into the company’s share price. I believe that the rewards outweigh the foreseeable risks, and I am initiating coverage with a Buy recommendation. APPENDIX: The following Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets, Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations, and Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto of the company included in the Quarterly Report on Form 10Q, for the period ending March 29, 2014.16 7 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com GT Advanced Technologies Inc. Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (In thousands, except per share data) (Unaudited) Assets Current assets: Cash and cash equivalents Restricted cash Accounts receivable, net Inventories Deferred costs Vendor advances Deferred income taxes Refundable income taxes Prepaid expenses and other current assets Total current assets Restricted cash Property, plant and equipment, net Intangible assets, net Goodwill Other assets Total assets Liabilities and stockholders’ equity Current liabilities: Current portion of prepayment obligation Accounts payable Accrued expenses Contingent consideration Customer deposits Deferred revenue Accrued income taxes Total current liabilities Prepayment obligation Convertible notes Deferred income taxes Customer deposits Deferred revenue Contingent consideration Other non-current liabilities Accrued income taxes Total liabilities Commitments and contingencies (Note 15) Stockholders’ equity: Preferred stock, 10,000 shares authorized, none issued and outstanding Common stock, $0.01 par value; 500,000 shares authorized, 136,231 and 134,463 shares issued and outstanding as of March 29, 2014 and December 31, 2013, respectively Additional paid-in capital Accumulated other comprehensive income Accumulated deficit Total stockholders’ equity Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity March 29, 2014 December 31, 2013 $ 406,599 6,690 12,971 61,909 6,333 8,046 10,314 2,758 11,699 527,319 95,813 425,757 92,967 54,279 210,971 $ 1,407,106 $ $ $ 16,800 153,888 64,608 3,164 37,163 25,560 1,625 302,808 246,174 289,000 16,494 55,598 150,077 14,618 2,088 28,425 1,105,282 $ — 1,362 367,181 793 (67,512) 301,824 $ 1,407,106 $ 498,213 1,330 12,377 39,087 2,977 1,341 17,881 2,759 7,003 582,968 93,419 209,760 95,943 54,279 150,912 1,187,281 — 77,303 39,115 234 38,995 19,724 301 175,672 172,475 283,914 23,448 55,598 99,672 15,173 808 28,116 854,876 — 1,345 355,916 1,259 (26,115) 332,405 1,187,281 8 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies Inc. Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (In thousands, except per share data) (Unaudited) Three Months Ended March 29, March 30, 2014 2013 Revenue Cost of revenue Gross profit Operating expenses: Research and development Selling and marketing General and administrative Contingent consideration expense Restructuring charges Amortization of intangible assets Production start-up Total operating expenses Loss from operations Other income (expense): Interest income Interest expense Other, net Loss before income taxes Benefit from income taxes Net loss Net loss per share: Basic and diluted Weighted-average number of shares used in per share calculations: Basic and diluted $ 22,510 21,152 1,358 $ 57,776 44,161 13,615 24,572 4,684 19,490 2,375 — 2,976 1,899 55,996 (54,638) 16,441 3,286 14,563 336 2,858 2,455 — 39,939 (26,324) $ 96 (12,549) 508 (66,583) (25,186) (41,397) $ 94 (7,480) 190 (33,520) (14,839) (18,681) $ (0.31) $ (0.16) 135,432 119,348 9 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies Inc. Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (In thousands) (Unaudited) Three Months Ended March 29, 2014 March 30, 2013 Cash flows from operating activities: Net loss Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash used in operating activities: Amortization expense Depreciation expense Prepayment obligation and convertible notes discount amortization Contingent consideration expense Loss on asset disposals Deferred income tax benefit Excess and obsolete inventory Share-based compensation expense Excess tax benefits from share-based awards Amortization of deferred financing costs Other adjustments, net Changes in operating assets and liabilities (excluding impact of acquired assets and assumed liabilities): Restricted cash Accounts receivable Inventories Deferred costs Vendor advances Prepaid expenses and other assets Accounts payable and accrued expenses Customer deposits Deferred revenue Income taxes Other, net Net cash used in operating activities Cash flows from investing activities: Purchases and deposits on property, plant and equipment Restricted cash Net cash used in investing activities Cash flows from financing activities: Principal payments under credit facility Proceeds and related excess tax benefits from exercise of share-based awards Payments related to share repurchases to satisfy statutory minimum tax withholdings Deferred financing costs Other financing activities Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities Effect of foreign exchange rates on cash Decrease in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period Supplemental cash flow information: Cash paid for interest Non-cash investing and financing activities: $ (41,397) $ (18,681) 2,976 4,149 9,505 2,375 116 (27,724) 1,882 5,711 (4,534) 345 1,202 2,455 4,086 2,604 336 181 (16,506) 477 4,423 (3) 1,609 185 193 (635) (24,741) (5,054) (5,109) 1,754 25,482 (1,830) 31 1,791 36 (53,476) — 3,422 (20,815) (17,617) 24,469 (1,643) 4,806 (38,235) 24,236 (14,088) 335 (53,964) (152,296) 108,632 (43,664) (1,585) — (1,585) — 9,761 $ $ (40,000) 46 (3,413) (255) (114) 5,979 (453) (91,614) 498,213 406,599 $ — $ (121) (2,266) (2) (42,343) 23 (97,869) 418,095 320,226 1,449 1 0 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com Rating: BUY Increase (decrease) in accounts payable and accrued expenses for property, plant and equipment Unpaid deferred financing fees Restricted cash received from Apple Fair value of Prepayment Obligation $ $ $ $ 70,836 127 111,000 86,079 (577) — — — SOURCES: 1 www.gtat.com. www.wikipedia.org. polysilicon. 3 www.wikipedia.org. photovoltaics. 4 www.solarbuzz.com. New Solar PV Capital Expenditure Cycle To Start in 2015, According to NPD Solarbuzz. January 30, 2014. 5 Ibid. 6 www.idc.com. Tablet Shipments Forecast to Top Total PC Shipments in the Fourth Quarter of 2013 and Annually by 2015, According to IDC. September 11, 2013. 7 www.seekingalpha.com. GT Advanced Technologies’ Future Is Unbreakable. Matt Margolis. January 21, 2014. 11:09 AM ET. 8 www.idc.com. Tablet Shipments Forecast to Top Total PC Shipments in the Fourth Quarter of 2013 and Annually by 2015, According to IDC. September 11, 2013. 9 www.gtat.com. GT Advanced Technologies, Inc. Form 10-K Annual Report. For the Period Ending December 31, 2013. Pages 5 – 9. 10 Ibid. 11 www.seekingalpha.com. Apple’s Solar Powered iPhone 6 and IPod Touch Under A Sapphire Hood. Matt Margolis. January 26, 2014. 8:21 AM ET. 12 www.seekingalpha.com. GT Advanced Technologies’ Future Is Unbreakable. Matt Margolis. January 21, 2014. 11:09 AM ET. 13 www.gtat.com. Prepared Remarks – GTAT Q3 CY2013 Earnings Call. November 4, 2013. 5:00 PM ET 14 www.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=gtat. 15 www.gtat. GTAT Corporate Overview as of June 2014. June 4, 2014. 16 www.gtat.com. Q1 2014 GT Advanced Technologies Inc. Earnings Conference Call. May 8, 2014. 8:00 AM EST. 2 www.finviz.com www.gartner.com www.gtat.com www.idc.com www.informationweek.com www.nytimes.com www.reuters.com www.seekingalpha.com www.solarbuzz.com Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it, and I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in the article. The information contained herein is not intended to be investment advice and does not constitute any form of invitation or inducement by Charles I. Reed, CFA to engage in investment activity. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Securities, financial instruments, strategies, or commentary mentioned herein may not be suitable for all 1 1 GT Advanced Technologies (GTAT) Established Equipment and Materials Supplier Rating: BUY GT Advanced Technologies 243 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, NH 03054 Phone: (603) 883.5200 http://www.gtat.com investors and this material is not intended for any specific investor and does not take into account an investor’s particular investment objectives, financial situations or needs. Any opinions expressed herein are given in good faith, are subject to change without notice, and are only current as of the stated date of their issue. Prices, values, or income from any securities or investments mentioned in this report may fluctuate, and an investor may, upon selling an investment lose a portion of, or the entire principal amount invested. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Before acting on any recommendation in this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT This report may contain certain forward-looking statements and information, as defined within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and is subject to the Safe Harbor created by those sections. This material contains statements about expected future events and/or financial results that are forward-looking in nature and subject to risks and uncertainties. Such forward- looking statements by definition involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of mentioned company to be materially different from the statements made herein. COMPLIANCE PROCEDURE Content is researched, written and reviewed on a best-effort basis. This document, article or report is written and authored by Charles I. Reed, CFA. An outsourced research services provider represented by Charles I. Reed, CFA, provided Small Cap Specialists, LLC this article or report. However, we are only human and are prone to make mistakes. If you notice any errors or omissions, please notify us below. Small Cap Specialists, LLC and BrokerBank Securities, Inc. are not entitled to veto, interfere or alter the articles, documents or report once created and reviewed by the outsourced research provider represented by Charles I. Reed, CFA. All parties responsible for the creation and dissemination of this report do not engage in high frequency trading. NO WARRANTY OR LIABILITY ASSUMED GTAT has not compensated Small Cap Specialists, LLC, BrokerBank Securities, Inc., or Charles I. Reed, CFA for the creation or dissemination of this report. 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