CAP Group update – March 2015 Cerro Negro Norte mine Raúl Gamonal - CFO Ownership structure Mitsubishi Corporation Pension Funds 19,3% 6,8% Invercap Other 31,3% 42,6% 47,32% 52,68% 75,0% 99,9% 25,0% Compañía Minera del Pacífico Compañía Siderúrgica Huachipato Novacero 50,93% 30,56% 11,03% 57,79% Cintac Source: CAP, March 2015 Intasa 1 Iron ore mining 2 Mining sites Punta Totoralillo Port CAP Mining has three different areas of operation in the north of Chile, located around the cities of: El Laco Cerro Negro Norte Desalination Plant Copiapó Magnetite Plant Copiapó Valley • Copiapó • Vallenar • La Serena Los Colorados Guacolda II Port Cities Vallenar Pellets Plant Mines El Algarrobo Huasco Valley Plants Cristales Ports El Tofo Elqui Valley El Romeral La Serena Guayacán Port 3 Cerro Negro Norte mine 4 Magnetite plant 5 Los Colorados mine Iron ore El Romeral mine 7 Mining property Ranking 2013 Hectares in exploration concessions - Chile N° Company 1 BHP Chile Inc 2 Compañía Contractual Minera Los Andes 3 CAP 4 5 6 Teck Exploraciones Mineras Chile Ltda Antofagasta Minerals S.A. Codelco Ranking 2013 Hectares in exploitation concessions - Chile N° Company 1 Soquimich S.A. 2 Codelco 3 Minera Escondida Limitada 4 SCM Virginia 5 Enami 6 Antofagasta Minerals S.A. 7 • • CAP Hectares 1.917.100 841.100 % 11,33 4,97 677.700 4,01 629.700 514.500 435.500 3,72 3,04 2,57 Hectares 2.861.157 840.704 363.798 252.532 250.847 231.392 % 20,06 5,89 2,55 1,77 1,76 1,62 205.788 1,44 Top 3 position in exploration concessions More than 700.000 meters drilled over the period 2008-2013 8 Source: SERNAGEOMIN Resources and reserves of magnetic ore As a result of continued successful exploration campaigns, iron ore resources have increased progressively over the years, reaching 7,250 million tons in 2014 Mineral resources (1) Mine/Deposits & Grade (% Fe) 8.000 7.250 7.000 Tofo 27,7% Reserves (2) 2.278 2.039 Pleito Cristales 32,8% 6.351 Mine/Deposits & Grade (% Fe) 2.500 2.214 2.040 Tofo 26,1% 2.000 6.000 Los Colorados Distrito 43,3% El Laco 49,2% 5.367 4.716 5.000 4.000 3.249 El Algarrobo Distrito 30,3% El Algarrobo 45,5 % 3.478 3.000 El Laco 56,7% 1.500 1.403 El Algarrobo Distrito 35,5% El Algarrobo 49,0% 1.364 1.000 CNN 36,3% CNN 31,7% 2.000 Candelaria 10,0% Candelaria 10,0% 500 1.000 Romeral 30,5% Romeral 28,2% 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Los Colorados 34,7% 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Los Colorados 36,5% (1) Resources: Minerals measured on a geological ore content feasible of being mined. (2) Reserves: Minerals measured on a geological content feasible of being mined economically. (3) CMP has the contract for processing the tailings of the Candelaria copper mine. 9 Source: CAP Minería Mining products BF and DR Pellets (Fe 65% - 67%) Lumps (Fe 62%) Pellet Feed (Fe 67% - 68%) Fines (Fe 62%) 10 Iron ore shipments and markets Shipments (Th.MT) 11.469 10.146 10.213 2009 2010 2011 12.246 12.086 2012 2013 12.952 2014 Shipments by markets and products 2014 Lumps Self - fluxing Sinter feed 4% pellets and DR 7% pellets Pellet chips 14% 1% Fines 2% Korea Malaysia 1% 1% USA Bahrein 1% 10% Japan 7% Chile 8% Pellet feed 72% China 70% 11 Main customers Deutsche Bank* Posco Glencore* Koch Cargill* JFE Steel Corporation Bahrain Steel Qingdao Iron and Steel Xinyu Iron and Steel Kobelco Nisshim Steel Rizhao Iron and Steel Jinan Iron and Steel Wanbao Group RGL Group* Yaochang Group CAP Acero Fangda Iron and Steel Hangzhou Iron and Steel 12 * Acts as trader Steel production 13 Steel focus on long products • Steel business reorganization in 2H13 to produce 700 kt/y, with one blast furnace • Strong adjustment in its industrial processes and workforce lowering costs and expenses • Sustainable growth in long products demand mainly due to the need of grinding media supply to the mining sector Shipments and prices CAP Acero Talcahuano 2.000 1.000 883 1.600 737 799 1.400 Th.MT 900 811 699 800 700 700 1.200 600 1.000 500 800 400 600 400 1.113 922 US$/Ton 1.800 300 1.124 859 671 701 200 200 100 0 0 2009 2010 2011 Shipments 2012 2013 2014 Prices 14 Recovery of cash generation (EBITDA) Net Income and EBITDA evolution 20 14 10 -10 -7 1 2 -9 -12 US$ million 0 -10 -17 Impairment -20 -30 -22 Net income -14 -27 EBITDA -44 -31 -40 -50 -56 -60 1Q13 • 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 FY2014 Due to the reorganization and adjustment in industrial processes, the steel company has managed to generate positive cash flow over the last six quarters 15 EBITDA: Gross Margin – S&AE + Depreciation and Amortization, over the last twelve months Steel processing 16 Steel processing • Creates value-added solutions for the construction, industry and infrastructure sectors in Chile, Peru and Argentina • Chile is LATAM´s most intensive user of steel in construction • Transition to establish new and competitive supply sources of flat steel Shipments and prices Th. MT 500,0 1.167 1.059 370 274 1.119 400 412 Other 12% 1200,0 1.013 400,0 300,0 1400,0 1.252 1000,0 381 800,0 297 600,0 200,0 400,0 100,0 200,0 ,0 US$/Ton 1.199 600,0 Sales by Sector December 2014 Industrial 31% Construction 54% ,0 2009 2010 2011 2012 Shipments 2013 Price 2014 Infrastructure/ Roads 3% 17 Reorganization and assets availability Steel processing reorganization towards a lighter and lower cost structure Cintac S.A. Cintac S.A. 99.99% Cintac SAIC 99.99% Inmobiliaria Cintac S.A. 99.99% 100% Steel Trading Company INC. Centroacero S.A. 99.99% Cintac SAIC 99.99% Instapanel S.A. 99.97% Conjuntos Estructurales S.A. 99.99% Tecnoacero S.A. 99.99% Tecnoacero Uno S.A. 89.48% Tupemesa S.A. 89.48% Tupemesa S.A. • Assets availability for rental (or sale): Centroacero, 55,600 m2, US$1.3 million yearly Varco Pruden, 36,000 m2, US$0.8 million yearly 18 Other consolidated assets 19 Desalination plant Other consolidated assets 20 Power transmission line Global industry update 21 Global economic scenario •Real GDP growth expected at 7.0% in 2015 and 6.75% in 2016 •Real GDP growth expected at 3.1% in 2015 and 2.8% in 2016 • UK real GDP growth expected at 2.6% in 2015 and 2.4% in 2016, whilst Euro Zone GDP growth is expected at 1.2% in 2015 and 1.6% in 2016 • Real GDP growth expected at 1.1% in 2015 and 1.4% in 2016 •Real GDP growth expected at 0.5% in 2015 and 1.7% in 2016 •Real GDP growth expected at 2.7% in 2015 and 3.5% in 2016 •Real GDP growth expected at 2.6% in 2015 and 3.1% in 2016 22 Source: Bloomberg consensus, February 2015 Seaborne iron ore supply/demand projection Global oversupply in fines products with grades lower than 62% Fe content 1800,0 1800,0 1600,0 1600,0 1400,0 1400,0 1200,0 1200,0 1000,0 1000,0 800,0 800,0 600,0 600,0 400,0 400,0 200,0 200,0 ,0 Million tonnes Million tonnes • ,0 2009 2010 2011 2012 Australia Source: Goldman Sachs, September 2014 2013 Brazil 2014E 2015E 2016E RoW Seaborne demand 2017E 2018E 23 Iron ore price evolution Platts IODEX and 1% diff vs Platts IO fines 65% ($/dmt) 180,00 Platts IO fines 65% Fe IODEX CFR CHINA 62% Fe plus 3* Mid Range Diff 160,00 140,00 120,00 100,00 80,00 60,00 Source: Platts, March 2015 24 Supply additions is forcing displacement of higher-cost tonnes • Displacement has occurred both in China and among non-major seaborne suppliers Source: GTIS, Macquarie Research, February 2015 25 Iron ore production cuts: 170 Mtpy in 2014 Cliffs Northland Resources Feb – 14, US$ 121 per ton Canada Sweden Price/cost related mine closure Kimberley Metals Price related production cut 1.5 Mtpy Australia 2.0 Mtpy IRC Price related production cut 1.7 Mtpy JSW/Minera Santa Fe Chile Price related mine closure 2.0 Mtpy Noble Resources Sierra Leone Price related, lack of finance Russia Australia Lack of finance Placed into administration – likely closure 1.0 Mtpy 1.6 Mtpy Australia Price related mine closure MMX 1.5 Mtpy Jun – 14, US$ 93 per ton Jul – 14, US$ 96 per ton London Mining IMX Resources Labrador Iron Mines Shree Minerals Brazil Australia Price related mine closure Price related, lack of finance 0.1 Mtpy 6.0 Mtpy Canada Price related mine closure 1.7 Mtpy Bellzone Aug – 14, US$ 92 per ton Guinea 5.0 Mtpy Lack of finance 0.5 Mtpy Sep – 14, US$ 83 per ton Mt. Gibson Australia W Desert Resources Australia Oct – 14, US$ 81 per ton Price related mine closure Technical failure 2.0 Mtpy 4.0 Mtpy Pluton Resources African Minerals Australia Sierra Leone Price related mine closure Lack of finance, price related Nov – 14, US$ 73 per ton 0.8 Mtpy 20 Mtpy Dic – 14, US$ 69 per ton Dannemora Sweden Lack of finance Jan – 15, US$ 67 per ton 1.2 Mtpy Arrium Cliffs Australia Canada Price related mine closure Price related mine closure 3.6 Mtpy 6.0 Mtpy Others CITIC Iron Valley China, India, Others* Australia Australia Price related closures Technical, commissioning issues Price related mine closure 4.0 Mtpy 0.2 Mtpy 99 Mtpy Source: Platts and The Commodity Manual, Morgan Stanley, February 2, 2015 * Others include Iran, Canada, Malaysia, Peru, Mongolia, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, Venezuela, USA, New Zealand, Kazakhstan, Serbia Further cuts ex-China in 2015…? Country Company Asset Prod’n (Mtpy) At high risk of closure: 12.4 Mtpy Sierra Leone Timis Corporation Marampa 5.0 Australia Mineral Resources Carina 4.2 Norway Northern Iron Sydvaranger 2.2 Sweden Dannemora Mining Dannemora 1.0 At moderate risk of closure: 98.5 Mtpy Australia FMG Cloudbreak 40.0 Australia Arrium Middleback ranges 13.0 Australia Atlas Iron Pilbara assets 12.0 Ukraine Ferrexpo Poltava/Yeristovo 11.5 Australia Cliffs Koolyanobbing 11.0 Australia BC Iron Nullagine JV 5.5 Chile CAP Minería El Romeral 3.0 Australia Grange Resources Savage River 2.5 Source: “Iron Ore: what to look for in 2015”, Wood Mackenzie, January 2015; The Commodity Manual, Morgan Stanley, February 2, 2015 2014’s international iron ore price adjustment and CMP’s cost reduction Premium for higher grades ... but most concentrate producers are struggling … Source: Platts, December 2014 CMP’s cash cost (US$/t) 2013 2014 57,4 49,2 28 Further reduction in 2015’s cash cost US$/t Magnetite plant 39.5 Cerro Negro Norte mine 41.8 Los Colorados mine 45.5 El Romeral mine 56.1 Average cash cost 44.4 29 High quality pellet feed - a market with big potential • Pellet feed imports will almost double over the next five years, reaching 110Mt by 2020, taking China’s import dependency for pellet feed from 35% to 50%. • The spread between pellet feed and sinter fines switched from a discount to a premium. This premium has averaged almost US$3/t during 2014. 30 Source: Wood Mackenzie, December 2014 China has yet to reach peak steel per capita • Steel intensity stabilizes or starts to decline at around US$15,000 to US$20,000 GDP per capita • China GDP per capita as well as its comparison with peak steel per capita use, especially with the US, shows upside from current levels Source: World Steel association, IMF, EY, ArcelorMittal • Drivers of steel intensive growth 31 SOURCE: Metal Bulletin Events, Drivers of Chinese steel demand, Peter Markey, February 2015 Source: CRUspi, March 2015 ene 2015 sep 2014 may 2014 ene 2014 sep 2013 may 2013 ene 2013 sep 2012 may 2012 ene 2012 sep 2011 may 2011 ene 2011 sep 2010 may 2010 ene 2010 sep 2009 may 2009 ene 2009 sep 2008 may 2008 ene 2008 sep 2007 may 2007 ene 2007 US$per ton ene 2015 sep 2014 may 2014 ene 2014 sep 2013 may 2013 ene 2013 sep 2012 may 2012 ene 2012 sep 2011 may 2011 ene 2011 sep 2010 may 2010 ene 2010 sep 2009 may 2009 ene 2009 sep 2008 may 2008 ene 2008 sep 2007 may 2007 ene 2007 US$ per ton Steel price evolution 350 300 250 200 150 CRUspi North America CRUspi Europe 100 CRUspi Asia 50 00 600 500 400 300 CRUspi Flats 200 CRUspi Longs CRUmpi 100 00 32 Freight rates to China monthly average 33 Source: SSY Consultancy & Research, Seaborne Iron Ore & the Freight Market, China Iron Ore 2015 Financial performance 34 CAP – Consolidated financial evolution USD Million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Sales 1.994 2.787 2.470 2.297 1.790 740 1.184 764 708 381 37,1% 42,5% 30,9% 30,8% 21,3% Net Income 590 442 234 184 56 Cash 981 883 711 309 348 1.001 628 719 932 1.270 20 (255) 8 623 922 207 282 777 975 450 - - - 0,88 2,42 Iron Ore Shipments (Th tons) 10.213 11.469 12.246 12.086 12.952 Platts 62% Fe CFR China (US$/t) 146,82 169,37 130,08 135,13 EBITDA EBITDA Margin Gross Financial debt Net Financial debt Capex Net Financial Debt/EBITDA 96,77 35 CMP – Financial evolution USD Million 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Sales 1.271 1.770 1.406 1.431 942 782 1116 720 678 309 61,5% 63,1% 51,2% 47,4% 32,8% Net Income 902 700 355 402 113 Cash 558 501 205 46 50 - - - 159 483 (558) (501) (205) 113 433 121 222 655 911 299 - - - 0,17 1,40 Iron Ore Shipments 10.213 11.469 12.246 12.086 12.952 Platts 62% Fe CFR China 146,82 169,37 130,08 135,13 96,77 EBITDA EBITDA Margin Gross Financial debt Net Financial debt Capex Net Financial Debt /EBITDA 36 EBITDA contribution by business 97% 100% 80% 94% 98% 94% 89% 77% 60% 40% 20% 18% 6% 5% 8% 6% 4% 0% 4% 7% 0% 2009 2010 -3% 2011 2012 -2% 2013 -2% 2014 -20% Iron Steel Steel Processing 37 (1) EBITDA: Gross Margin – S&AE + Depreciation and Amortization + Dividends received in cash, over the last twelve months Credit agencies last review 2013 2014 2015 Fitch Ratings BBB/Stable outlook BBB/Stable outlook BBB/Negative outlook S&P BBB-/Stable outlook BBB-/Stable outlook BB+/Negative outlook 38 Business outlook 39 Seeking higher margins in CAP Mining Reorientation of product mix • Shipments for around 16 million MT in 2015 consider an increase in pellets, to a total of 4 million MT • The change in the mix should enhance margins, as pellets have a premium over the pellet feed 2014 2015(P) Others; 14% Pellet feed; 72% Self-fluxing and DR pellets; 14% Others; 10% Pellet feed; 65% Self-fluxing and DR pellets; 25% Continued efforts in reducing costs and expenses, combined with a weaker Chilean Peso, lower oil prices and idle capacity in the mining services industry in Chile will reduce the average 2014 FOB cash cost of US$ 49.2 per ton to approximately US$ 44.0 per ton in 2015 40 External factors could bring benefits to CAP Steel Lower prices of raw materials for steel production, and a depreciated Chilean Peso would lead CSH to positive results during 2015 Iron Ore 450 180 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 160 140 US$/Mt 120 100 80 60 40 Jan-15 Nov-14 Sep-14 Jul-14 May-14 Mar-14 Jan-14 41 USD/CLP 650 600 550 500 450 400 350 Nov-14 Aug-14 May-14 Feb-14 Nov-13 Aug-13 May-13 Feb-13 Nov-12 Aug-12 May-12 Feb-12 Nov-11 Aug-11 May-11 Feb-11 Nov-10 Aug-10 May-10 300 Feb-10 CLP per US$ A weaker Chilean Peso adds competitiveness to domestic production, as imports become more expensive Nov-13 Sep-13 Jul-13 May-13 Mar-13 Jan-13 Jul-14 0 Oct-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Apr-13 Jan-13 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-11 20 Jan-11 US$/Mt Metallurgical Coal Reorganization and adjustments in Steel Processing Reorganization of the company • The reorganization of the company to achieve a simpler organizational structure decreased SG&A expenses in 18.2% as of December 2014, YoY • It also resulted in the availability of assets for sale or rental: • Centroacero: 55,600 m2, US$1.3 million yearly • Varco Pruden: 36,000 m2, US$0.8 million yearly Working capital adjustments • Inventories will be reduced during 2015, to free up cash Positive economic outlook for Peru • Through its business in Peru, Tupemesa S.A., the steel processing group will benefit from good levels of GDP growth expected for the Peruvian economy 2015 (f) 2016 (f) 4.3 5.0 2.7 3.5 Peru GDP growth Chile GDP growth Source: Bloomberg consensus, February 2015 42 New EBITDA from CAP infrastructure in 2015 • Cleanairtech (desalination plant) and Tecnocap (electric transmission line) started their operations during 2014 and are projected to contribute to the consolidated 2015 EBITDA and net income as follows: US$ million Cleanairtech Tecnocap EBITDA (E) 43,6 7,4 Net income (E) 7,1 3,0 43 Protecting CAP’s cash flow and liquidity levels Current investment plan reached its final stage • The period within 2011 and 2014 was strong in terms of capital expenditure, due to the capacity increase in Los Colorados mine (brownfield) and the development of Cerro Negro Norte (greenfield) There are no relevant investments planned for the short-term, therefore pressure on cash disbursements will be diminished 975 1.000 US$ million • 1.200 777 800 600 450 400 200 282 142 207 150 100 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (E) 2016 (E) CAPEX for 2015 will not exceed US$ 150 million, of which US$ 60 million correspond to consolidated maintenance CAPEX 44 Further actions to face more bearish scenarios • CAPEX reduction US$ million Potencial cut on CAPEX related mainly to future development in the mining business 200 150 100 50 0 2015 (E) 2016 (E) Maintenance capex • Drilling and exploration expenses reduction Growth capex 70 60 60 Expenses have averaged US$ 41 million per year during the last 5 years. This concept could be reduced US$ million 50 43 40 30 20 40 33 29 19 10 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 45 Future maximization of EBITDA contribution from our ports Total capacity CAP ports: 34.8 Mt/y Punta Totoralillo: Guayacán: • 29 km north of Caldera • Herradura bay, Coquimbo • Iron ore shipping • Iron ore shipping • 200,000 dwt • 165,000 dwt • Max capacity: 12 million t/y • Max capacity: 6 million t/y • Effective utilization: 4.5 million t/y • Effective utilization: 2.7 million t/y Guacolda II: Huachipato: • Located in Huasco City • San Vicente bay • Iron ore shipping • Unloading coal, limestone an iron ore & finished steel shipping • 300,000 dwt • Max capacity: 12 million t/y • Max capacity: 2 million t/y • Effective utilization: 7.2 million t/y • Effective utilization: 1 million t/y Las Losas: Guarello: • Located in Huasco City • Guarello island, south • Multi purpose port • Limestone shipping • Max capacity: 2 million t/y • 800 kt/y • Effective utilization: 0.4 million t/y • Max capacity: 0.8 million t/y • Effective utilization: 0.5 million t/y 46 Note: Weighted average of port utilization: 47% CAP is in a long term business 47 Mining future prospects Project Production Mt Punta Totoralillo Port Est. Capex MUS$ Cerro Negro Norte Desalination Plant Magnetite Plant Expansion 1 Tofo 6,5 13,5 Alcaparra PF PF PF 6 PF 135 Kt Conc-Cu El Laco Copiapó 110 Magnetite Plant 1,700 2,900 1,600 300 Los Colorados Guacolda II Port Vallenar Pellets Plant Alcaparra El Algarrobo Productora Cristales Pajonales Cruz Grande Port Tofo North Sierra Tofo + Chupete El Romeral La Serena Guayacán Port 48 El Tofo Geological Projection Investment (E) : 1,700 – 2,900 MUS$ • Greenfield Production: 6.5-13,5 Mt/y of pellet feed Stage: Conceptual engineering Volume [Mt] Measured 946 Indicated 455 Inferred 190 Total 1,591 Resources Fe [%] 25.5 23.4 22.5 24.5 Pit Design Cross Section LEGEND Fe% ≥ 25 15≤Fe%<25 10≤Fe%<15 Fe%<10 Drill Hole 49 Alcaparra (iron/copper) Investment (E): 1,600 + 300 MUS$ Production: Iron ore body 6 Mt/y of pellet feed 135 kt/y of copper concentrate Simbology Topography Stage: Advanced exploration Drilling Exploratory metallurgy Fe% ≥ 45 25 ≥ Fe% < 45 Volume Resources [Mt] Iron 674 Copper 423 Fe/Cu [%] 24.5 0.26 Pit Design 15 ≥ Fe% < 25 10 ≥ Fe% < 15 Núcleos Estéril Iron & Copper intersection Simbology Topography Drilling Cu% ≥ 0.6 0.3 ≥ Cu% < 0.6 0.1 ≥ Cu% < 0.3 0.05≥ Cu% < 0.1 Cu% < 0.05 50 Conclusions Under current market conditions, the protection of the company’s cash flow and liquidity levels are of the utmost importance Cost reduction initiatives and productivity improvements are at the center of management efforts • CAP Mining • Ample portfolio of future prospects based on abundant reserves • Projects under study are being analyzed considering current market conditions • Global environmental constraints support the growing need for magnetite concentrate • CAP Steel • Focus on long steel products that distinguishes from competitors through technology and/or logistics • Positive cash generation attained, continuous cost cutting efforts geared towards profitability • CAP Steel Processing • Largest flat steel processor in the Pacific coast of South America • Leader in innovative solutions for industrial and residential construction 51 This information material may include certain forward-looking statements and projections provided by CAP S.A. (the “Company“) with respect to the financial condition, results of operations, cash flows, plans, objectives, future performance, and business of the Company. Any such statements and projections reflect various estimates and assumptions by the Company concerning anticipated results and are based on the Company’s expectations and beliefs concerning future events and, therefore, involve risks and uncertainties. Such statements and projections are neither predictions nor guarantees of future events or circumstances, which may never occur, and actual results may differ materially from those contemplated (expressed or implied) by such forwardlooking statements and projections. No representations or warranties are made by the Company or any of its affiliates as to the accuracy of any such statements or projections. Whether or not any such forward looking-statements or projections are in fact achieved will depend upon future events, some of which are not within the control of the Company. Accordingly, the recipient of this material should not place undue reliance on such statements. Any such statements and projections speak only as of the date on which they are made, and the Company does not undertake any obligation, and expressly disclaims any obligation, to update or revise any such statements or projections as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise 52 CAP Group update – March 2015 Cerro Negro Norte mine
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