PROPOSED Capital Improvement Program FISCAL YEARS 2016-20 New: Bailey’s Upper Elementary School for the Arts and Sciences December 18, 2014 1 DEVELOPMENT PROCESS • Individual meetings with School Board Members to gain insight about magisterial district needs • Recommendations from School Board appointed community advisory committees COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 COLUMN 4 Item One • School Board Work Session presentation “Findings of Item Two Facility Needs - by region, pyramid, and school” Item Three (November 10, 2014) Item Four 2 CONCEPTS • Maximize existing or projected surplus capacity at adjacent facilities • Enact program changes to create or maintain pyramid-wide cohorts and “cohort survival” (community-based schools) COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 COLUMN 4 Item One construction where surplus capacity is not • Build new Item Two available Item Three Item Four • Utilize boundary changes to alleviate attendance islands 3 ENHANCEMENTS • Enrollment Impact from New Housing-Residential Development Monitoring section • New Information regarding Proffers associated with new Residential Development COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 COLUMN 4 • System-wide Summary Sheet Overview of Current/Projected Item One Enrollments & Capacity Item Two Item Three Itemvacant Four • Map of school buildings and administrative centers, along with owned vacant school sites 4 Current Assumptions • Enrollment growth will continue, especially at the middle schools and high schools • The Capital Program Funding will remain at $155M • Beginning in FY2016, the BOS will provide a $13.1M transfer to offset infrastructure replacement costs normally funded through capital dollars • The Department of Defense approved a grant of 80% to construct a new elementary school on Fort Belvoir – Fairfax County is funding the balance • Construction costs continue to increase by approximately 5.5% FISCAL YEARS 2016-2020 5 ENROLLMENT GROWTH AND CAPACITY CHALLENGES • Membership increased by approximately 2,000 students between September 2013 and September 2014 • Student membership has grown by approximately 22,000 students since September 2006 • Enrollment growth projected to continue over the next five years to a projected membership of nearly 198,000 students Item One in the 2019-20 school year Item Two COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 Item Three COLUMN 4 • Advanced Academic Program membership has grown by Item Four approximately 500 students from September 2013 to September 2014 6 MORE ABOUT K and 12 GRADES K* 12* Variance SY 2010-11 12,221 11,463 +758 SY 2011-12 13,009 11,731 +1,278 11,849 +1,490 SY 2012-13 13,339 COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 COLUMN 4 Item One Two SY Item 2013-14 13,424 12,029 +1,395 12,912 12,164 +748 Item Three Item Four SY 2014-15 *General Education Students Only; as of September 30th 7 FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO ENROLLMENT GROWTH • Net in-migration SY 2013-14 = + 856 students* • Forecast construction of new dwelling units 2013-2015 yearly average = +2,050 units** COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 COLUMN 4 • Forecast construction of new dwelling units Item One 2013-2020 yearly average = +3,640 units** Item Two Item Three Item Four *Source: FCPS Mobility Report Data **Source: Fairfax County Demographic Report January 2013 8 ENROLLMENT (General Education and AAP Only) 79,384 100,000 92,324 3.6% 95,632 120,000 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 13.9% 22,606 24,034 Item One 40,000 Item Two 20,000 COLUMN 4 27,383 COLUMN 1 50,682 60,000 46,799 6.4% Item Three Item Four 0 Elementary Middle 2005 2008 2010 2012 9 2014 High 2016 2018 2019 53,942 80,000 PAST, PRESENT, FUTURE GROWTH COMPARISONS Prior Five-Year Enrollment Growth was Equivalent to: • 10 new 950 capacity elementary schools • 2 new 1,350 capacity middle schools • 2 new 2,500 capacity high schools • Accommodated with 4 new elementary schools, 1 new middle school, 27 capacity enhancement projects, and 19 renovations with additions COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 Growth COLUMN 3 is Equivalent COLUMN 4 Projected Five-Year Enrollment to: Item One • 7 new 950 capacity elementary schools Item Two • 2 new Item 1,350 capacity middle schools Three • 1 new Item 2,500 Four capacity high school Future 6-10 Year Enrollment Growth is Equivalent to: • 2 new 2,500 capacity high schools 10 CIP SUMMARY Areas of Concern: • Richmond Highway Corridor (Route 1) • Northwest County/Dulles, Route 28 • Tysons, Vienna/Silver Line Development Corridor FISCAL YEARS 2016-2020 11 CAPITAL PROJECTS SUMMARY New Construction • • • • • Route 1 Area ES (funded) New Fort Belvoir ES (funded) Northwest County ES (unfunded) Fairfax/Oakton Area ES (unfunded) Future Western HS (unfunded) COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 COLUMN 4 Item One Item Two Capacity Enhancements Item Three • Addition to Westbriar ES approved in the 2013 bond Item Four • Addition to South Lakes HS approved in the 2013 bond (planning) anticipated in the 2015 bond (construction) 12 RENOVATIONS SUMMARY Construction to be Completed FY 2015 Clermont ES Garfield ES Terra Centre ES Sandburg MS Marshall HS Item One Item Two Item Three Item Four Construction to be Completed FY 2016-20 New Fort Belvoir ES Route 1 Area ES Terraset ES Sunrise Valley ES Westgate ES COLUMN 1 Haycock ES COLUMN 2 Ravensworth ES Woodlawn ES Forestville ES North Springfield ES Springfield Estates ES Keene Mill ES Bucknell ES Cherry Run ES Waynewood ES Stratford Landing ES Newington Forest ES Hollin Meadows ES White Oaks ES Mt. Vernon Woods ES COLUMN 3 COLUMN 4 Belle View ES Annandale Terrace ES Clearview ES Thoreau MS Rocky Run MS Jefferson HS Langley HS West Springfield HS Herndon HS 13 Under Construction or in Planning by FY 2021 North West County ES Fairfax/Oakton Area ES Silverbrook ES Renovation of 10 ES Hughes MS Cooper MS Frost MS Oakton HS Falls Church HS FIVE-YEAR CIP REQUIREMENTS New Construction* Elementary Schools New Fort Belvoir ES Route 1 Area ES North West County ES Fairfax/Oakton Area ES $3M $21M $8M $263,000 Total $33M Unfunded Portion $8M *Does not add due to rounding FISCAL YEARS 2016-2020 14 FIVE-YEAR CIP REQUIREMENTS Capacity Enhancements Elementary School (1 school) High School (1 school) $8M $14M Total $22M Unfunded Portion FISCAL YEARS 2016-2020 15 $14M FIVE-YEAR CIP REQUIREMENTS Renovations Elementary Schools (32 schools) Middle Schools (5 schools) High Schools (6 schools) $352M $97M $339M Total $ 788M Unfunded Portion FISCAL YEARS 2016-2020 16 $613M FIVE-YEAR CIP REQUIREMENTS Site acquisition $10M Unfunded $0 Special program facilities Unfunded FISCAL YEARS 2016-2020 $3M $0 17 FIVE-YEAR CIP REQUIREMENTS FY 2016-20 CIP Total Five-Year Requirements by Category (in percentages) Site Acquisition 1% New Construction 4% Special Program Facilities 0.15% Capacity Enhancement 3% COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 COLUMN 4 Item One Item Two Item Three Renovations Item Four (Include Additions) 92% New Construction Capacity Enhancement Renovations (Include Additions) 18 Special Program Facilities Site Acquisition FIVE-YEAR CIP REQUIREMENTS Total Five-Year Requirement $856M Projects with Approved Bonds (funded) $220M Projects without Approved Bonds (unfunded) $636M Average Annual Expenditures $171M* * Includes previously authorized amounts unspent FISCAL YEARS 2016-2020 19 EXPENDITURES BEYOND THE FIVE-YEAR CIP PLANNING PERIOD (FY 2021 – FY 2025) • Anticipated CIP expenditures for FY 2021 – FY 2025 are provided as a supplement to conform to the County’s request • Approximately $593 million required – New Construction $167 million – Renovations $426 million FISCAL YEARS 2016-2020 20 NEXT STEPS Presentation Thursday, December 18, 2014 Public Hearing Tuesday, January 6, 2015 Work Session COLUMN 1 Monday, January 12, 2015 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 COLUMN 4 Item One Item Two ActionItem Three Thursday, January 22, 2015 Item Four 21 FCPS WEBSITE LINK http://www.fcps.edu/fts/planning/cip.shtml COLUMN 1 COLUMN 2 COLUMN 3 Item One Item Two Item Three Item Four 22 COLUMN 4
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