Company KALPATARU POWER TRANSMISSION LTD. Target 110-120 15 March 2014 Key Data Matrix as on 14.03.14 (BSE) CMP(Rs.) 52 Week High/Low (Rs) Market Cap (Rs Cr) P/E x TTM Industry EPS TTM(Rs) EV(Rs.Cr) P/BVx Face Value (Rs. Cr) Book Value (Rs. In Cr) Dividend Yield (%) BSE Code BETA-Sensex Industry PE 85.45 96.30/56.00 1,311 9.02 POWER 9.64 1869.26 0.69 2 126.12 1.72 522287 0.63 8.87 Share Holding Pattern 19.91 50.92% 7.71 8.00% 3.43 19.42% 62.38% 10.20% PROMOTORS FII'S make more, for sure. KPTL, an integral part of Kalpataru Group is a leading multidimensional EPC Contracting company with a diversified portfolio in Power Transmission & Distribution, Cross Country Pipeline, Oil & Gas field Surface Facilities, Civil Infrastructure Projects, Power Generation (biomass) as well as Railway projects. KPTL is the company headquartered at Gandhinagar- capital city of the State of Gujarat, in Western India with consolidated turnover of 54 Bn (USD 1 Bn) and an annual installed capacity in excess of 180,000 MT of galvanized steel towers. Kalpataru Power owns three large Fabrication plants for galvanized steel towers equipped with modern machineries (more than a dozen CNC machines) and automated temperature controlled galvanising baths, besides its state-of-the-art Testing Station and R & D Centre. In addition to trained workmen at the plant and construction sites, the Company has a competent resource of more than 2,000 managers and staff including a full-fledged Design / Engineering Department with more than 60 qualified engineers using PLS Tower, i-tower, STADD, PLSCADD, BOCAD, AUTOCAD facilities. INDUSTRY OUTLOOK Power transmission sector is the vital arteries of the entire power chain of any country. The growth of power sector is important for the development of the robust and non-collapsible transmission network. The transmission system planning in the country, in the past, had traditionally been linked to generation projects as part of the evacuation system. Ability of the power system to safely withstand a contingency without generation rescheduling or load-shedding was the main criteria for planning the transmission system. However, due to various reasons such as spatial development of load in the network, non-commissioning of load center generating units originally planned and deficit in reactive compensation, certain pockets in the power system could not safely operate even under normal conditions. This had necessitated backing down of generation and operating at a lower load generation balance in the past. Transmission planning has therefore moved away from the earlier generation evacuation system planning to integrate system planning. n the last 5 years, power generation capacity has grown by ~50%, whereas transmission capacity has increased by ~30% . As per the 12th Five Year Plan, the future expansion in power generation capacity in India is planned around 88GW . In order to meet this capacity, investment in the transmission sector needs to be increased. INVESTMENT RATIONALE INSTITUTION OTHERS Mohit Taneja +91-11-30211872 [email protected] CONTINUOUS AND HEALTHY GROWTH IN SHREE SHUBHAM LIGISTICS (SSL) Due to improved utilization and incremental capacity the revenue of SSL grew by 14% to 73 crore for Q3FY14. At the end of last quarter, the current capacity of SSL stood at 1.3 million metric tonne (MT). It has recently started 6 new warehouses in Madhya Pradesh. The new capacities are currently running at the utilization levels of 60-65 % and old capacities is running at the utilization of 80-85% levels. The company has planned investment for INR 2.5 bn for the expansion over FY14-16. The management is also contemplating the further expansion in the third phase of the capacity Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd Mansukh House, Plot No. 6, Opp. Mother Dairy Plant, Patparganj Road, Pandav Nagar, New Delhi-110002, Phone: 91-11-30211800, 47617800, Fax: 011-30117710, Email: [email protected], Website: www.moneysukh.com SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-DP-NSDL-140-2000 MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293 Company KALPATARU POWER TRANSMISSION LTD. make more, for sure. SENSEX AND KPTLCOMPARISON 22500 100 22000 90 21500 80 21000 70 20500 60 20000 50 19500 40 19000 30 18500 18000 20 17500 10 17000 0 S& P B SE SEN SEX K P TL BSE POWER & KPTL COMPARISON 2000 100 1800 90 1600 80 1400 70 1200 60 1000 50 800 40 600 30 400 20 200 10 0 0 S&P BSE PO W ER KPTL DIVERSIFIED ORDER BOOK REDUCES THE OVERALL RISK OF COMPANY KPTL has the healthy order book and the most favourable condition for the company is that their order book is well diversified. It has the order ranging from road projects of Rohtak- Bawal project , Agra-aligarh project, Nagpur- Wainganga project and Rewa- Madhya Pradesh project. It order book also contain order for the transmission both internationally and domestically. Its order book for international Transmission is around 30% and for domestic is around 20%. The infra pipeline and railways project in order book is around 6% . The JMC Project has around 44% share in the order book. The well diversified order book provide the sufficient options to the company to reduce the risk in this togh macroeconomic condition currently prevailing in the country and Kalpataru power has done just enough to diversify the risk. TURNAROUND IN JMC PROJECTS AND INCREASED PRESENCE OVERSEAS The JMC Projects of the company, which was lagging for the past few quarters due to bad Job mix and high input costs can expect a turnaround after posting an impressive performance in Q3FY14. The management's focus on improving margins in JMC projects have started yielding results. The revenue from JMC grew by 9% YOY TO Rs.1956 crore and its OPM is 4.9% for the December quarter. The operating profit grew by 15% and PAT grew by 7% YOY. With new leaders in segment and complete change in the high value F&B quality job and new projects in southern India helped the company to perform better in the segment. KPTL increased its presence globally by adding manufacturing capacities in US and it has currently 2 transmission BOOT projects. FINANCIAL VALUATION KPTL is currently trading at the PE of 9.02x of its FY14E EPS of Rs. 8.78. Further despite difficult macroeconomic condition we are expecting the company to maintain the order inflow from both domestic and global markets. Apart from this, the healthy order book position of the company, we expect it to register the healthy growth in FY14and FY15. Further with healthy growth in SSL, likely margin expansion in JMC projects and stable margin in Transmission and distribution business , we are recommending the buy call for KTPL for the target of 110-120. FINANCIAL STANDALONE In the last five financial year (FY13-09), the top line of the KPTL has grown at the annual CAGR rate of 11.8% while the operating profit of the company for the same period grew at CAGR of 9.24%. However, due to capital being locked in the real estate and BOOT projects the PAT of the company has suffered in the last year otherwise it was growing at the CAGR rate of 11.8% for the four years after leaving last year PAT. In FY 13, net sales of the company grew by 10.02% to 3286 crore over FY12, the operating profit declined by 2.18% to 322 crore While due to high depreciation the PAT of the company declined by 16.53% to 137.65 crore. In Q3FY14 The net sales of the company grew by 18.38% to 1040.17 crore YOY & 10.03% QOQ, while operating profit of the company grew by 6.16% YOY & 3.19% QOQ while PAT of the company declined by 4.07% to 33.70 crore, due to high depreciation and increase in tax paid in last quarter YOY but on quarterly basis the PAT grew by 8.74%. The operating margin (OPM) of the company declined by 53bps QOQ to 8.94% and Profit after tax margin declined by 1bps QOQ to 3.21% Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd Mansukh House, Plot No. 6, Opp. Mother Dairy Plant, Patparganj Road, Pandav Nagar, New Delhi-110002, Phone: 91-11-30211800, 47617800, Fax: 011-30117710, Email: [email protected], Website: www.moneysukh.com SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-DP-NSDL-140-2000 MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293 Company KALPATARU POWER TRANSMISSION LTD. make more, for sure. SEGMENT WISE ORDER BOOK SWOT ANALYSIS STRENGTHS ! ! ! CONTINUOUS GROWTH IN SHREE SHUBHAM LOGISTICS (SSL) HEALTHY AND WELL DIVERSIFIED ORDER BOOK POSITION STABLE MARGINS IN JMC AND T&D BUSINESS 6% 20% WEAKNESS 44% ! ! ! CAPITAL LOCKED IN REAL ESTATE AND BOOT PROJECT FOR LONG TIME LEGACY ORDERS IN RAILWAY AND PIPELINE PROJECTS AFFECT MARGINSS DELAY IN COMMISIONING OF PROJECTS DUE TO COST PLUS REGIME 30% OPPORTUNITIES JMC T&D Overseas ! ! ! T&D Domestic DIVERSITY IN GEOGRAPHICAL FOOTPRINT AND PRODUCT PORTFOLIO FOCUSED PLANNING FOR SHORT AND LONG TERM PLANNING USE OF HIGH PERFORMANCE CONDUCTORS IN EXISTING AND NEW LINES THREATS Infra & pipeline ! ! ! RISE IN PRICE OF STEEL MAY AFFECT ITS MARGIN ELECTION IN COUNTRY MAY STALL SOME OF ITS REAL ESTATE PROJECTS AGGRESSIVE PRICING IN RAILWAY SEGMENT MAY TAKE TIME TO RECOVER - Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd Mansukh House, Plot No. 6, Opp. Mother Dairy Plant, Patparganj Road, Pandav Nagar, New Delhi-110002, Phone: 91-11-30211800, 47617800, Fax: 011-30117710, Email: [email protected], Website: www.moneysukh.com SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-DP-NSDL-140-2000 MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293 Company KALPATARU POWER TRANSMISSION LTD. make more, for sure. Financials - Standalone QUARTERLY GROWTH 1200.00 1000.00 800.00 600.00 400.00 200.00 0.00 14Q3 14Q2 14Q1 13Q4 13Q3 Interest Earned Operating Profit Profit After Tax QUATERLY GROWTH 201309 201306 201303 201212 201209 YOY Net Sales Other operating income Total operating income Total Expenditure PBIDT (Excl OI) PBIDTM % Other Income Operating Profit Interest Exceptional Item PBDT PBDTM Depreciation PBT Profit after tax PATM % Calculated EPS INR 1040 11 1051 957 94 8.94 10 104 35 0 69 6.60 18 51 34 3.21 2.2 945 17 962 871 91 9.47 14 105 41 0 64 6.68 17 47 31 3.20 2.0 ANNUAL GROWTH 2014E Net Sales Other operating income TotalOperating Income Total Expenditure PBIDT (Excl OI) Other Income Operating Profit Interest Exceptional Item PBDT Depreciation PBT Tax Profit After Tax Basic EPS INR 6832 53 53 6394 491 39 530 205 0 325 127 198 48 152 9.96 880 10 890 798 92 10.34 13 105 38 0 67 7.54 16 51 35 3.90 2.3 1012 20 1032 798 100 9.67 11 111 30 0 81 7.81 14 66 49 4.71 3.2 879 11 890 802 89 9.96 10 99 35 0 64 7.17 13 50 35 3.95 2.3 18 1 18 19 6 -10 4 6 1 0 9 -8 34 2 -4 -19 -4 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 6036 49 6085 5611 474 36 510 194 0 316 122 194 60 134 8.44 5256 46 5302 4802 500 33 533 157 0 376 99 277 73 204 12.29 3244 15 3259 2939 320 22 343 115 0 228 58 170 42 128 41.87 ANNUAL GROWTH 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2014E 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Net Sales Operating Profit Profit After Tax Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd Mansukh House, Plot No. 6, Opp. Mother Dairy Plant, Patparganj Road, Pandav Nagar, New Delhi-110002, Phone: 91-11-30211800, 47617800, Fax: 011-30117710, Email: [email protected], Website: www.moneysukh.com 4322 41 4363 3899 464 31 495 117 0 379 88 291 79 211 13.13 4024 21 4044 3627 417 12 430 90 0 339 75 265 69 196 13.41 SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-DP-NSDL-140-2000 MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293 Company KALPATARU POWER TRANSMISSION LTD. make more, for sure. NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL Varun Gupta Head - Research [email protected] Mohit Taneja Research Analyst [email protected] This report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd (hereinafter referred as MSFL) is not soliciting any action based on it. This report is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or redistributed to any person in any form. The report is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. MSFL or any of its affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. MSFL or any of its affiliates or employees do not provide, at any time, any express or implied warranty of any kind, regarding any matter pertaining to this report, including without limitation the implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations. MSFL and/or its affiliates and/or employees may have interests/positions, financial or otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. MSFL reserves the right to make modifications and alterations to this statement as may be required from time to time. Nevertheless, MSFL is committed to providing independent and transparent recommendations to its clients, and would be happy to provide information in response to specific client queries. Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd Mansukh House, Plot No. 6, Opp. Mother Dairy Plant, Patparganj Road, Pandav Nagar, New Delhi-110002, Phone: 91-11-30211800, 47617800, Fax: 011-30117710, Email: [email protected], Website: www.moneysukh.com SEBI Regn No. BSE: BSE: INB010985834 / NSE: INB230781431 SEBI Reg.No: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834 PMSINF Regn No. INP000002387 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-DP-NSDL-140-2000 MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293
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